
KGB
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Everything posted by KGB
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Article: Minnesota Twins Day 2 Draft Picks (Rounds 3-10)
KGB replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Must be part of the metric system.- 41 replies
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Agree, Mauer averaged 90 games behind the plate for his 10 year catching career and it looks like it took a toll on him after he moved. But Bryce Harper was a catcher before the draft and immediately switched positions. So if he the best hitter in the draft, hopefully they look at the long term value not just a quick fix.
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Article: Urgency To Trade Plouffe Growing
KGB replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Park's perceived value is why you should listen to offers, just like Josh Willingham, he might not get more valuable than this. Nobody is saying you should give him away. You wouldn't be trading Park to keep Plouffe, you would be trading Park to have a place to play Sano. Sano history in the minors doesn't show he going to be a much better fielder at third than he is in right field. If you trade Plouffe and find out Sano can't play third, you have not made anything better and you have put yourself in a bad trade position because you again have to trade a player to get Sano to DH. Other than trading the young players, all options should be considered. -
Article: Urgency To Trade Plouffe Growing
KGB replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
That also the reason given to not trading Josh Willingham at peak value - hope they still don't believe that. I'm not sure what value Park has in the trade market, but he should not be off the table because you are worried about future signings. -
Article: Urgency To Trade Plouffe Growing
KGB replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agree, also at Sano's size, I don't think this is going to be a quick recovery. So it's more likely he comes back at DH not at third. No reason to look to just dump Plouffe. If you can get better value for Park, move him instead since Sano future is at first or DH. -
Article: The Deterioration of Kevin Jepsen
KGB replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Moving a starting pitcher to relief is a pretty common. I don't see how that would ruin May. Hopefully like many relief pitchers, he just going through a bad stretch. If that not the case, than it's more likely he been overrated not ruined by the move.- 23 replies
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- kevin jepsen
- glen perkins
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Article: The Torii Hunter Hangover
KGB replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
How do you figure that? Are you making a correlation because you want to believe it and excluding the Hunter correlation because you don't want to believe it. Just because more people want to believe in a correlation, doesn't make it a fact. Remember the world was flat at one time Wouldn't a more reasonable explanation for Mauer reduction in 2014 was his BABIP went back to his career normal?- 35 replies
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- torii hunter
- joe mauer
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Article: The Torii Hunter Hangover
KGB replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
According to the JR Graham forum, keeping him on the roster last year cost us the playoffs. Hunter provided a value last year to the team and was important for the increase in wins, but his present alone would not make this years team a winning team. Making the jump that losing Hunter is the sole or major reason for the decline is like making the jump that Mauers production drop is solely due to his concussion. No doubt these things play a part, but making it the sole reason misses a lot of other valid explanations.- 35 replies
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- torii hunter
- joe mauer
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I agree, the main problem is that they never went into a total rebuild. Two years ago when the should have been in the rebuild mode, they were signing long term deal with FA pitchers over the age of 30 and signing Kendrys Morales because they thought they could contend. I think ownership understands that contending would bring in a million more in attendance and probably $50-$100 in additional revenue. So I think they would be willing to add payroll, but that really not what Ryan does well. We are never going to be at the Cubs payroll level, but I think they would add payroll. The difficult decision they need to make is this now a total rebuild. Should they trade veterans, cut back salaries and go with the young players. Then we'll hear more complaining about ownership not spending money but it might be the smart move. See what the young players can actually do, then start supplementing that with FA as needed.
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Article: Minnesota's Misuse of Meyer?
KGB replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
A lot of player have talent and never make it. I'm not saying the Twins management is faultless in developing players, just that most of the responsibility falls on the player. I don't think the coaches can take a lot of credit for Mauer's turnaround this year, do you?. I give Mauer credit for what he's done. But we seem to blame management for everything bad - if a player comes up at 22 and fails, they rushed him, if we player fails at 26, we waited too long to bring him up and didn't show confidence in him. It's not the Twins fault if he has an ugly girlfriend -
Article: Minnesota's Misuse of Meyer?
KGB replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
One inning doesn't make a starter, it makes a relief pitcher. He'll get a chance to show us what kind of starter he is in AAA, last year that didn't work so well. -
Article: Minnesota's Misuse of Meyer?
KGB replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Or he realizes that his future is not as a starter likes many top relief pitchers. Nothing wrong with that, just back Perkins, Nathan, Rivera, etc. The Twins are giving him the opportunity to start in AAA, so if everyone here is right, he will dominate and be up later this year. If he doesn't dominate, he probably not as good as the hype. -
Article: Minnesota's Misuse of Meyer?
KGB replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not only do you think it's a good idea, Meyer's agrees with you. http://www.1500espn.com/twins-2/2016/03/wetmore-twins-are-making-a-mistake-moving-alex-meyer-out-of-the-bullpen/ “I loved it,” Meyer said recently on last year’s move to relief. “Obviously I was open for it because the way that things were going I knew I was either going to go down to Double-A or get moved to the bullpen.” I think starting him in AAA is good to get him more innings, but at the majors, his future is in the bullpen. -
I think it's good to have Mauer batting in front of Sano so you don't want him batting first. Sano is heating up so Mauer should start getting pitched to more with less walks. To fix the top of the order,Dozier needs to start hitting or get moved out of the lineup instead of moving Mauer to the top.
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- joe mauerminnesota twins
- joe mauer
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Jepsen is an example of why you don't want to sign relief pitchers to long term contracts, up one season down the next. Go young and 1 year contracts.
- 31 replies
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- kevin jepsen
- glen perkins
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Twins have 22 pitchers on the 40 man roster and Berrios who you would expect to be on the 40 man soon, so I don't see why they are removing catchers from the roster. Looks like they need to make more decision on what pitchers they want and start clearing space through trades instead of just losing players through waivers. I understand not wanting to keep a player like Kepler on the bench, so adding Murphy to the bench would help. But if that is the reason, I think Mastroianni would have been better selection. I pray they are not bring in Murphy with the plan to give him playing time and sitting the younger players.
- 48 replies
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- tyler duffey
- kyle gibson
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http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/mauerjo01.shtml The other HOF indicator are not as favorable. The JAWS system uses only best 7 years which is about 80% of Mauer's career WAR. That's much higher than the other players. The batting titles & MVP will help but I think WS & market size also play a roll in voting. I hope I'm wrong but I think he going to have a tough road to get to the HOF
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I'm don't think Ernie Banks is universally consider a shortstop. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1960647-ranking-the-10-greatest-shortstops-in-mlb-history#articles/1960647-ranking-the-10-greatest-shortstops-in-mlb-history But even if you consider Mauer's average of 92 catching games a year over his catching career his primary position, you have to remember the HOF isn't looking to fill a roster and catcher have not faired very well in the voting. Here's a listing of catchers around Mauer's WAR and HOF voting percentage: WAR HOF % Ted Simmons 54.2 3.7% Brian Downing 48.4 0.4% Joe Mauer 45.7 Gene Tenace 45.0 0.2% Bill Freehan 44.8 0.5% I would expect Mauer to do better (probably more borderline like Oliva), but I think a he needs a few more good years to give him a shot at the HOF.
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Article: Park Factor: Did Twins Hit Home Run With Byung Ho?
KGB replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
In the off-season, you had to have a lot of concerns on what you would get from Arcia, Mauer was on a 2 year decline and Sano was entering his second year. So I think the signing was a smart move. When Sano starts hitting and if Mauer, Arcia and Park continue to hit, you should have some very valuable trade assets in Arcia and Park that will be expendable for the Twins. -
My question would be at the end of Mauer career, can you really consider his career as a catcher primary? He probably going to play more games at other postions and be at least 50% less games at catcher than other HOF catchers. Games at Catcher Mauer 920 Cochrane 1,451 Piazza 1,602 Craig Biggio is closer to Mauer as a catcher, then he is to the other HOF catchers.
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This is why they sign a players like Murphy and Nunez. They can be a bench players/veterans who don't need to play everyday and still contribute. You don't want your young players having to be bench players at the majors when they can be playing in the minors. But with options running out and players ready to contribute at the majors, they will soon have to make decisions on which players they want to keep long term.
- 23 replies
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- max kepler
- ryan orourke
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Article: Has Average Joe Returned?
KGB replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Agree, that's why his strike out rate is so important. Not being a power hitter, he's got to get put the ball in play. His K% had been increasing since 2011 and if he's got that back under control, he should be back as a .300+ hitter. This is even before the sunglasses effect, I don't think he broken them out yet this year. -
Article: Has Average Joe Returned?
KGB replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's great to see him controlling the strike zone and striking out again around 10% instead of 18%. The additional 8% of balls in play will add about .025 to his batting average pushing him back to a .300 hitter. -
Article: Three-Bagger: Schwarber, Strikeouts And Kepler
KGB replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Working on it and fixing it are two different things. Fixing a hole in your swing will have more to do with the player than coaching. Coaching can only take you so far, otherwise hitting coaches would be paid $20 million a year. I'm not saying the position change has zero impact, but I think it's a lot less than we are trying to make it up to. All the other things I listed are equally possible for Sano slow start. After 8 games, don't you think it a little early to try and blame someone elso for Sano's slow start?- 67 replies
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- miguel sano
- byron buxton
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