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KGB

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Everything posted by KGB

  1. KGB
    What happen with ABW is the normal process, so I don't think they made a mistake. They made Landa a free agent, so he could have gone to any team. It just worked out well for the Twins that he didn't sign with another team. I think it might work out better for the player too, instead of getting bounced around on waivers like ABW is doing now, probably until a team can get him to clear waiver and sent back to the minors. If a team really wants Landa, they would have to put him pay him a major league salary. Landa may have been agreeable to resign with the Twins as a free agent prior to the move where ABW might have not agreed to resign, so trying the waiver move would have made more sense for him.
  2. KGB
    •Mike Berardino informed us early in the day on Tuesday that the Twins had re-signed RHP Yorman Landa to a minor league deal. That is almost surprising because why wouldn't they wait until after Thursday's Rule 5 draft to do that. Assuming he's actually signed (and hasn't just agreed to terms) before Thursday morning's Rule 5 draft, he would be eligible to be selected. I was confused on why the Twins just dropped Landa from the roster, but I'm liking how they handled this now. If they tried to get him through waiver, any team could have claimed him and kept him by putting him on the 40 man roster. By letting him become a free agent and resigning him after the draft, you can keep him in the organization without exposing him to waiver or the rule 5 draft. Even if he is exposed in the rule 5 draft, the team has to commit a roster spot for the year.
  3. KGB
    Just look at the set back it was to Miguel Cabrera's career when the moved him to the outfield to start his career. Bottom line - no matter where Sano plays, he is a bad fielder. It's his bat they need in the lineup.
  4. KGB
    Since he already on the 40 man roster,he would have to go through waiver and a team could just claim him a put him on their 40 man. Since he still has options they wouldn't have to keep him at the major league.
  5. KGB
    Maybe, but isn't also hard to say he needs to be a short relief specialist when he has 18 games of less than an inning and a 12.97 ERA? Was he pacing himself for a long outing?
  6. KGB
    I base it on this boards ability to judge talent, compared to the ability to complain,see Achter/Slama.Hick/Arcia. The Twins will be getting a new front office, so we'll see next year where Tonkin fits in. But my bet is he will either be in a similar role or in the minors somewhere instead of being a closer or 8th inning man in the majors. But everyone will have forgotten this discussion by then.
  7. KGB
    Seems like we are just going down the AJ Achter/Anthony Slama complaints. His usage this year is likely what his MLB role will be if he has any future. If they had any confidence in him preforming at a high leverage situation, they have had plenty of opportunities to give it to him.
  8. KGB
    Games IP ER ERA <1 Inning 18 8.33 12 12.97 1 Inning 16 16 5 2.81 >1 Inning 22 39.66 18 4.08 56 64 35 4.92 Looks like Tonkin's main problem isn't when he goes over an inning, it mainly been when he pitched and inning or less.
  9. KGB
    We agree, Ugh I've never said player of today are not better than players 50 years ago. What I'm saying is you can't just look at WAR to compare players from different era's. WAR is a calculation based on the competitiveness of the players during the season and the total available WAR points. WAR doesn't factor in talent level from different years. So you can't compare just the raw WAR numbers from 2015 to 1965 because the calculation are based on yearly stats. What you can compare is what a player did against the league during the year his WAR was calculated. The comparison isn't between a regional little league final and the college world series. It's between the 1965 MVP and the 2015 MVP. Both are MVP of the best league during there season. How is that not comparable?
  10. KGB
    But WAR doesn't actually correlate to wins. It's at best a compilation of many stats during a year to compare players across positions during the year. So, it ranks player during a given year. The 5th best player in 1950 is the 5th best player for that year. Same as the 5th best player in 2016. WAR doesn't show which player is better because the era's are so different.
  11. KGB
    That not the point I'm making. I'm sure Ricky Nolasco would dominate the 1900's You said "What was 5th in a 16 team league should be roughly 9th in a 30 team league." In 1970, Tony Oliva had the 9th best WAR in a 24 team league. If they had actually expanded more teams in 1970, none of the new players would have been better than Oliva, so it's reasonable to assume he would have remained with the 9th best WAR. But with the increase in teams, the better players probably would have received a larger portion of the additional WAR points available. All stats need to be looked along with the players of that era. Nobody is going to have Ty Cobb's career batting average, but that doesn't mean players today are not better hitter.
  12. KGB
    When you add teams and players, you would not be adding additional top ten players, so your 5th best player wouldn't drop down. Think of it in terms of expansion, the expansion teams are not going to playoff or MVP type talent, they are filling out the bottom half of WAR not the top 50. The actual WAR isn't as important as the player rank, when comparing different era's, It's like batting average, the numbers look the same from 1965 to 2015, but unless you look at the context of the era comparing the actual number is meaningless.
  13. KGB
    Since this is over an 11 year time period, you have to divide out the rankings. But if you look at his top 7 years, it compares to taking his ranking for each year. Over the 11 year period his he would rank 24 among position players and if you added up each individual ranking, he would rank 22. For comparison, Mike Piazza top 7 years from 1993 - 2004, he would rank either 13th or 15th depending how you wanted to look at it. I think looking at them over a time period is better since it would value Mike Trout #1 ranking in 2013 with his 11.9 WAR higher than Albert Pujous 2006 #1 ranking with a 8.1 WAR. Also this is valuable when comparing WAR to different time periods. For example, you can't compare Oliva's WAR in a 16 team league to Mauer's WAR in a 30 team league since the total WAR points available increase with more teams. The 30 team league has 1,000 available points (including pitchers) where a 16 team league would only have 533. So a 4 WAR in 2015 is different than in 1965, so it's better to compare player rankings.
  14. KGB
    If the argument is he belongs in the HOF based on JAWS 7 year peak, I'm not sure how looking at the other years in total is absurd. Nothing absurd about flipping over the coin to look at both sides. I also think Tony Oliva should be in the HOF with his 3 batting titles, but the votes didn't agree with me. Maybe another shot through the veteran committee.
  15. KGB
    You really can't compare it that way because Mauer played during that total time period and most of the players you are comparing him to didn't play all the years. If you want to look at a comparison for the years 2004-15 for individual years, here would be his individual year ranks: Qualifed Years Season Name Team WAR rank 2009 Joe Mauer Twins 7.60 39 2006 Joe Mauer Twins 5.80 155 2008 Joe Mauer Twins 5.70 168 2013 Joe Mauer Twins 5.20 233 2010 Joe Mauer Twins 5.00 262 2012 Joe Mauer Twins 4.50 356 2005 Joe Mauer Twins 3.40 651 2014 Joe Mauer Twins 1.70 1279 2015 Joe Mauer Twins 0.30 1627 http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2016&month=0&season1=2004&ind=1&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&page=1_30
  16. KGB
    I think the difference in opinion on Mauer is easy to see when you see he has a 7 year period of hitting .330 with a .900 OPS and a 6 year (probably 8 when his career ends) with a .280 average and a .750 OPS. You really have to be a Mauer fan to see just the productive 7 years and put him in the HOF. Probably not a 75% national fan base in the HOF votes to make that happen. I admit I'm not a believer in the decline based on a concussion injury, but that discussion has been beaten to death. So I don't believe people have a dislike of Mauer, just a disappointment that a HOF talent isn't going to has a HOF career.
  17. KGB
    Defense metrics seem to be very strange. Last year's top two AL first baseman were Mike Napoli and Albert Pujols. Neither would be consider a gold glove candidate.
  18. KGB
    That is not true - from the link in my prior post: "But that difference doesn’t mean that OBP>SLG is an iron rule. Take 2015, for example. The correlation coefficient between on-base percentage and runs per game for the 30 teams last year was just 0.644, compared to 0.875 for slugging percentage. Slugging won in 2014 too, 0.857-0.797. And 2013, 0.896-0.894. And 2012, and 2011, and 2010, and 2009, and every single year starting in the Moneyball season of 2002. Slugging percentage, not on-base percentage, is on a 14-year run as the best predictor of offense."
  19. KGB
    During Mauer's entire career, slugging percentage has been move valuable than OBP. Along with playing a position where you look for slugging and a team that should be building for the future, it's time to see less playing time for Mauer. http://www.fangraphs.com/community/when-slugging-percentage-beats-on-base-percentage/
  20. KGB
    No one is stupid, but when was the owners "vote of confidence" ever a guarantee they will not make a change. What benefit do you get for hanging out your Manager and having him now have to answer that question for the rest of the year. It probably smart not to believe everything said at a press conference.
  21. KGB
    Unless you were firing Molitor today, you have to say he coming back. Two months ago, they said Ryan's job was safe. If a new GM wants to make a change, I'm sure they will be allowed to make a change.
  22. KGB
    Let's give Ryan some credit, at least he learned not to give Jepsen a Suzuki/Hughes type extension after last year. Relief pitchers seem to be up one year and down another. That why I was okay with not signing a FA relief pitcher. Of the big dollar signing this offseason of relief pitchers, it's about 50/50 on success. The Twins minor league signing have been just as good as many of the FA signing. But I hope they plan on giving some of the minor league relief pitchers a shot for the remaining of the season. With the bullpen, I a fan of going young and 1 year contracts.
  23. KGB
    The all star game isn't a career achievement award and if you have the 6th best league average, you have earned a spot. Nunez is deserving of the all star selection. If Mauer was hitting .320, we would be upset that he wasn't voted in.
  24. KGB
    Meanwhile, Joe Mauer's reduced distance and exit velocity are due to...? Age, player decline?
  25. KGB
    Agree, Kepler had just the one breakout year in 2015 where Rosario had just the one bad year in 2014. But Kepler is out of options this year, so I think giving him a long look this year will be beneficial. Let Rosario continue to do well in AAA, hopefully they open some roster spots around the trade deadline. Next year hopefully Buxton is an solid option and you can have Grossman, Rosario and Kepler battle it out for the other 2 spots and the 4th outfield position.
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