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Willihammer

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Everything posted by Willihammer

  1. Yeah Red Sox in Blue, Twins in red. I was confused all night by that.
  2. Yeah the competition for superest superfan was settled a long time ago anyways. http://crossfitsweatshop.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/06/tumblr_lnb6ekldHW1qe2fnco1_5001.gif
  3. Back up. Is there corroboration that he even did this? I'm a little dubious because it says his friend lost 45 pounds in 2 weeks.
  4. I doubt any diet with the word "cleanse" in it can be a healthy, sustainable way to stay in shape. JMO
  5. .275/.340/.480, 25+ bombs. The undisputed best DH in the division by year's end.
  6. Yeah, wanna laugh? Go back and look at the opening day DH / starter for that 2008 team. Maybe a winning season for the 2015 club isn't that far fetched after all.
  7. I think the Hunter signing was a little bit of all things for everyone. He could sell tickets, still swing a bat, and maybe help out the new manager. Defense, well... Torii Hunter!
  8. His lousy spring training aside, I am hopeful for a breakout year for Arcia. .240/.290/.510 and 30+ bombs.
  9. Arcia did have the 3rd highest ISO in the 2nd half last year (.278), trailing only Stanton and Kemp.
  10. I agree we should let the results dictate. Part of that is getting over the expectations that: if you pay Mauer 23m he will be worth 23m if you put Mauer at 1B he will have 100+ RBI if you bat Mauer 3rd he will be your best hitter Mauer lead the team in OBP but there were 4 others within 25 points of him. He finished 5th in OPS. I'd probably keep him in the top half for now but by no means consider him a lock there.
  11. I don't know what it is about Mauer that everyone judges him differently than other ballplayers. Is it the contract? That is what it is. He got paid at the absolute best possible moment. Good for him. You can't make a player in to superman just by paying him a bunch of money. I usually find myself defending Mauer by default but we've reached a point where we have to be realistic about the mileage on his body, changes in the game, the strikezone, outfield defense, and Mauer's own limitations. I'm not even sure he belongs in the top half of the lineup at this point.
  12. I am fearful that Mauer will continue to suffer from: age/health, better outfield shifting, a bigger strikezone, and adjusting his approach at this point in his career. .265/.345/.395 in 425 PAs.
  13. So when Pelfrey came in to relieve Nolasco yesterday, what did the gun say? Halsey? edit: Just read in the Sunday Notes thread he was sitting 92. Maybe he needs more time for the Wade Davis effect to kick in.
  14. The Twins now have what, six pitchers age 25 or older slated for AAA (Oliveros, Tonkin, Hamburger, Achter, Pressly, Meyer) - seven if May is optioned? I mean, Terry Ryan likes the mantra "you can never have too much pitching." Yes you can! Do the Twins know what a velocity aging curve looks like? Do they understand that velocity is critical for strikeouts? Do they appreciate the strikeout YET? I mean come on. This really gets at the two worst perceptions about the Twins - that they are behind the curve with respect to strikeouts (which is reinforced by fact) and the perception that they prefer veteran mediocrity to more talented, younger players. What are we doing here. Are we just trying to complete the games. Eat the innings. Go through the motions. Or are we trying to win? Get Burdi up. Get whoever else throws strikes at 97+ up. Show Stauffer and Duensing the door. Flip a coin and send one of Pelfrey or Milone packing. There is too much pitching!
  15. Man, did anyone see Monday's game? Nunez was 0/3 in his first 3 opportunities at SS. 1st chance - 3 hopper up the middle, Nunez ranged to his left, ball bounced off top of his glove into CF 2nd chance - (2nd inning IIRC). slow grounder, sailed throw, batter reaches 3rd chance - eaten up by a hard short-hop. Hit. I know its an extremely SSS but he really seemed out of place in that game.
  16. Finally got a chance to watch some of Monday's game. Pelfrey's throwing a changeup now? And it looks like a decent pitch.
  17. Gibson's velo is impressive this spring. Will be interesting to watch if he can keep up 94-95 all season.
  18. I mean, Morneau signed his 6/80 extension prior to the 2008 season. That was a huge extension in its day. By the time Arcia reaches that point in his service clock (2017, for argument's sake), accounting for 10% inflation, you're looking at a price tag of 156 million. Obviously Arcia probably won't win the MVP as Morneau did, but there is a cost to waiting for concrete answers to these questions. A huge one, potentially.
  19. I'm not in love with OPS because it doesn't account for the changes in run and stadium environment that's occured in the last 10 years. There's also the fact that 250 PAs is not a reliably large sample to conclude much about a player's splits against same sided pitching. As I said, that won't become reliable until around the 600 PA mark. Having said that, I'll go ahead anyway wRC+ Morneau vs. LHP 2003 (age 22): -7 (27 PA) 2004 (age 23): 81 (229 PA Arcia vs LHP, ages 22-23 seasons 2013-2014: 69 (259 PAs) Looks like a wash to me.
  20. Platoon splits won't stabilize for another 350 PAs or so, which again, waiting til that point reduce the unkowns and therefore the upside for the team. And maybe the Twins are happy to pay the cost of waiting, I don't know. On the other hand, if their talent evaluators feel they have a firm grasp on Arcia's true talent, his weaknesses and his strengths, then the sooner they extend him the better. edit: Unless that evaluation is: Arcia is playing over his head.
  21. Pretty much every player is going to show a weak side in a platoon. Since there are more RH pitchers than LH pitchers, and since there is more RH power leaguewide and in the Twins system, its preferable the batter be LH and stronger against RHPs. That combination makes a player less likely to get pigeonholed as a part time player, not more likely, and doesn't preclude him getting an extension (eg. Justin Morneau). Arcia's floor as a LH hitting DH is no lower than a field-only up the middle player IMO. The Twins have found those types on the waiver wire or in small trades easily, eg. Florimon, Fuld. Risk is a necessary component for the team to have upside. The best extensions ever signed were extremely risky. Reducing the risk moves the price closer to FA amounts, eg. the Mauer extension.
  22. Well, they could include a 2.5m salary in year one, or a signing bonus, or some other incentive. Super 2 status might change the shape of an extension but I doubt that makes or breaks a deal or alters the size/scope of it more than a little. As with any extension, it depends on the player and how he values financial security versus the upside of going year to year. If Arcia's agent is like Dozier's, he'll want to secure a deal while leaving open the possiblility of a big pay day entering free agency around age 30-31. Best of both worlds really.
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