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Tim

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Everything posted by Tim

  1. Tim
    Yeah I absolutely agree with you in that the current regime clearly has a strict blueprint for the 1st round. I could see teams following what the Pirates and Orioles did last year and "reaching" with a college bat in the top 10 well below slot value to take the gamble in later rounds. That hypothetically could cause one of the prep bats to fall. Though more highly regarded, I look at the Dylan Lesko situation much like JT Ginn's in 2019. Mets took him in the 2nd for about 3mil , TJ was the issue. I think taking Lesko or Rocker at #8 and offering something like 3.5 - 4 mil is an interesting concept. Even if they don't end up signing, you get the #9 pick next year, plus the opportunity to buy value in the following rounds.
  2. Tim
    I think this years draft presents a unique opportunity to really capitalize on elite pitching talent. So many guys are recovering from TJ or going under the knife soon. Taking a risk and signing below slot value to try and nab 2 elite pitching prospects within the first few rounds seems like a pretty sweet gamble. If you could walk away from the draft with 2 of Rocker, Lesko, Prielipp, Hughes, Pallette, Whisenhunt or Tidwell, it's a massive W.
  3. Tim
    Curious if the Twins have considered Kumar Rocker. His situation is interesting and I wonder if a discounted deal (Boars) could be struck .. Clearly they have a good relationship in some capacity (Correa)
  4. Tim
    1. Ryan 2. Gray 3. Paddack 4. Winder 5. Archer I'd anticipate a deadline move in some capacity when we get to that point. Montas or Eovaldi are guys that intrigue me the most. When the Angels collapse as they typically do, I'd be all over Syndergaard. I love Mahle as well. That's not even factoring in Maeda potentially being an asset come August or September! Oh, and ask the Sox about JD Martinez as well.
  5. Tim
    I get that long terms deals have a tendency to flame out, yes. The Pujols and Cabrera deals though are so different from the situation with Correa. Pujols and Miggy both signed those deals going into the season having turned 32. Both play the easiest position to replace, offensively and defensively in 1st, so not much value there as they age. I look at those contracts on what to avoid in a player. Correa, who's 27, is the best defensive shortstop in baseball and has a career wRC+ of about 130. That's not even considering that fact that he might actually somehow reach a higher ceiling at the plate. If he needs to move over to 3rd as his range diminishes in 5-6 years, fine. He's got plenty enough arm. You have a gold glove 3rd baseman. I understand your point with Larnach and Pena, they look great, but they've also played MLB for about 5 minutes.
  6. Tim
    Carlos Correa is 27 years old, plays elite defense at a premium position, can absolutely rake at the plate and is open to staying in a small market. People on this board are truly hesitant to pay him? Baffling Prospects are Prospects. Truly could careless about what Royce Lewis or Austin Martin are doing at this moment. You have a proven, elite player, that's the only argument that matters here.
  7. Tim
    What in the world is this take
  8. Tim
    Garrett Hawkins is who the Twins should be targeting
  9. Tim
    I love the concept of potentially working with the Padres on a deal. If the Twins were open to taking on salary in a deal that included one of / both Hosmer and Myers, the return would be massive. Kepler makes a lot of sense from a need standpoint for the Pads as well. The Hosmer contract after this season quite honestly isn't that bad if you look at how its broken down. 2022 - 20 mil 2023 - 13 mil 2024 - 13 mil 2025 - 13 mil If you really could get back a player like Abrams, I'm all over it. Adrian Morejon is also a player I really like and a nice buy low candidate.
  10. Tim
    There's no incentive for the Yankees to trade Severino at his lowest value, then compound that with the lack of pitching depth. Love Sevy though.
  11. Tim
    I don’t mean to call you out directly but I want to ask this question. Why is it that whenever we talk about trading a top player, everyone thinks it’s a rebuild, which would insinuate 4-5 years of losing. Just because your acquiring a prospect, doesn’t mean that they can’t contribute in the near future (Joe Ryan, Austin Martin, etc.) Not every single prospect is 5 years away. You can still build a contending team in a relatively short timeline, just have to target the right players.
  12. Tim
    I think its fairly evident that this comes down to the front office based on the comments made today. With that said, you've traded away one young piece in Berrios and now are likely to trade the other in Buxton. You better be damn sure that you can identify the right talent in these trades to build a contender while also signing the right pieces in the meantime to entice fans to buy tickets or else your in some serious trouble.
  13. Tim
    If the team is leaning toward dealing Buxton, why would Jorge Polanco not be available? Fit's the timeline of the next core and you would get an absolute haul. Marcus Semien on a 5/120 deal or have the younger option in Jorge Polanco, who's on a 4/35 deal. Mariners, Blue Jays, Red Sox, Dodgers, Giants all come to mind
  14. Tim
    I would make a call on Dansby Swanson
  15. Tim
    The Marlins have a lot of pitching that has either recently graduated from prospect status or is dealing with injury. I wouldn't worry too much about rankings all too much
  16. Tim
    Eury Perez should be target #1 for the Twins in any and all deals with the Marlins
  17. Tim
    5/135 for Seager, might need to add 3 years and 100 million to that
  18. Tim
    The idiots who designed WAR ultimately run every front office in baseball. I think there might be something to it. This is .. nvm. The initial debate of whether Arraez was a good hitter or not has nothing to do with Polanco, Sano, or whoever's OPS, so these comparisons don't really do much here. Right?
  19. Tim
    There's a stat for this called WAR that is essentially used for this exact simulation. Arraez team wins
  20. Tim
    It's not. How do you think a team constructed solely on OPS would do ?? a lineup of 9 Joey Gallo's or 9 MIguel Sano's ... Not really a recipe for success. Now what if you were to do that same exercise, but throw in 3 or 4 hitters like Luis Arraez ?? That's a lineup capable of scoring a lot more runs. You cant use one stat to look at a hitter's makeup and skillset.
  21. Tim
    what is the league average for .OBP and batting .AVG do the thing where you compared Arraez's OPS to league average for those categories too.
  22. Tim
    for the record, that's his entire career avg. Are his most recent numbers suggesting he's declining so much to the point that he isn't capable of that again? I am making the assumption you don't believe he is a "damn good hitter" because of his lack power, correct? can you explain to me why you don't believe he is?
  23. Tim
    Thank you dan .. I really have hard time understanding how his value is lost just because he doesn't hit for power. The man is an absolutely fantastic MLB hitter and there really isn't much debate for it.
  24. Tim
    a banjo hitter ? what the hell is that hahaha .. are guys that put the ball in play with a .313 / .374 all of a sudden players you don't want in the lineup?
  25. Tim
    I like the part where you completely ignored the .313. avg / .374 obp ... that was a nice touch.
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