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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. Dozier was an all star and got votes 3 years in a row for MVP. Middle infielders tend to be done at age 32. There will be a few exceptions at the all star level, back up level, but for some reason that is a trend. Outfield and the corners go longer., but it tends to be the corner positions. Age for prospects as far as a team goes, if the pipeline brings you 5 good. To great years out df a player teams will gladly take that. Those are the cheap years Arraez was also unbanked as a prospect and an all star
  2. Including DSL there are about 180 players in a system. They all start as prospects
  3. https://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/2/24/2821479/minor-league-ball-baseball-top-120-prospects-for-2012 2012 minor league ball top 120. Nowhere on that list do you see Brian Dozier’s name. He debuted that year for the Twins. Put up 20 some bwar. Somewhere in the 30s is Sano. I think he is still in the single digits. Just a reminder of rankings don’t always mean much. On that list you will also find Lindor’s name pretty high up there at the time of the ranking he had 20PA and a .666 OPS. Just a reminder the guess on talent are actually right
  4. I think someone has complained in evert thread. That is what a lot of people do
  5. Outside of the top 20 rankings are a guess. The players will be ifs. A successful team is not going to have the number of high end draft picks these ranking system loves. Thus a system will be lower. That does not mean a system that is low in talent. The Arraez types do not show up on these lists.
  6. It certainly looks like clickbait. The ebbs and flows is your predicting how the season will go within the story and comments
  7. I do not remember if Vargas would come up hot the get as cold as Frostbite Falls on a winter’s day. The stat line looks good. The lack of signing by other teams raises questions. Maybe he passed the aged to be considered prospect status. Sano has to prove he is healthy to be signed by anyone. He might only get a minimal contract as baseball is trying to move from the 3 outcome baseball. Sano exemplifies the 3 outcomes. He might not be appreciative of low offers
  8. I do not know what happened to observable articles, but pure negativity seems to have taken over much of the writing. Speculation on a guy’s weight is a story. Never mind there was mainstream reporting last summer that Correa was telling Miranda he has to eat better and work out more. If Miranda looks less pudgy than he used to it would appear he followed the advice given. The answer is not in this blog
  9. The post says the remaining relievers are marginal but solid relievers. I would guess that is also why they are not signed anywhere, When it gets to the point that they will sign for the minimum for any team there will be signings
  10. If a starter predictably needs a long reliever there needs to be a different starter. Any reliever is only going to throw so many innings, with an upper limit of 80. Better to have flexibility than not.
  11. By batted ball type according to fangraphs Keplers fly ball and infield fly ball percentages are slightly below league average. His contact percentages are about league average. Slightly below on soft slightly higher on medium. Yet there is below league average results. Don’t know an explanation for this
  12. Castillo cost Seattle 2 top 100 prospects and 2 high ceiling prospects. I don’t think the Twins want to give up that kind of prospect capital unless they were moving a starter and another position player for most of that capital
  13. If they trade the a prospect from a perennial contender there would be a chance he was a late first round pick. If the season is such a disaster early enough in the year the Mariners or Brewers might give up a competitive balance pick as part of the package if they were in contention.
  14. The difference between Balazovic and the others is the circumstance into when they went to the bullpen. Trevor May and Griffin Jax failed as starters at the major league level. Duran was coming off injury and never really built into starter innings. Balazovic appears to have lost command with a walk rate of over 10% at the minor league level. That may be due to the mentioned knee issue. Spring training and the early season will see if health is the fix for the issues
  15. There is a month or more for trades to happen. it would be better before spring training started, but bettter to not make a bad deal. Perhaps the Terry Ryan analytic that walks are bad wasn’t wrong
  16. In 6 years 2 contracts do not make a pattern One year, contract year large free agent signings almost never turn out well. Gasman in Toronto may be the exception. It seems like pitchers have become more likely to break or strain something now more often than hops in the senior’s high rise. Investing in quantity seems like the analytic thing to do.
  17. The times we live in. "No one is perfect," Darvish wrote. "That includes both you and I. What he had done today isn't right, but I believe we should put our effort into learning rather than to accuse him. If we can take something for this, this is a giant step for mankind. Since we are living in such a wonderful world, let's stay positive and move forward instead of focusing on anger. I'm counting on everyone's big love."
  18. There seems to be a lack of supply from one of the pipelines. No international free agents listed. The first 2 years of international signings by this FO and none developed enough to be protected. Nor selected in rule V
  19. The FO thought so highly O’Day Wisler they let him go. The Rays dud the same thing.
  20. Trade Values are an opinion. Projection models on individuals is inaccurate, defensive measures are inaccurate. Bat for an arm is always a good trade as year to year statistics will show that good arms are tougher to find 14 and 16 different starting pitchers used the last two years shows the need for quantity. In any given year there are only about 50-60 pitchers that accumulate 2.5 fWAR. Quality is a premium.
  21. Trading Kepler, or Gordon is to get a lottery ticket or two or maybe a middle reliever. The only reason to move any of them is that the team has a prospect that is unquestionably ready. Well, there would be a hope by many here that hope for a trade of Pagan. That would need a sweetener
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