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  • Who Makes Up the Twins Bench?


    Ted Schwerzler

    More than any season in recent memory, this one strikes me as the most unpredictable when it comes to the Opening Day roster. That’s partly because another pitching move should be coming, and the rosters have expanded, but the suitors for bench roles remain up in the air.

    Image courtesy of Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

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    In most seasons, we have a general consensus of one or two players that will make the final bench role for the big-league roster. This year Major League Baseball announced that rosters would start at 28 players, at least through April. That’s two additional spots beyond what has become recent custom. 
     
    Let’s assume Minnesota uses additional openings on pitchers, given the likelihood that starters aren’t entirely stretched out, and we’ve got a 13 position player configuration. Knowing that the lineup will have nine starters and that Carlos Correa’s spring training debut looks like a pretty good glimpse of what it may look like on Opening Day, we have four bench spots to work with.
     
    Here’s how I see that shaking out:
     
    The Given (1): Luis Arraez
    As of this moment, I think only Arraez is marked in pen to start the season on the Twins bench. He’s a second baseman that’s below-average defensively virtually everywhere he plays but has shown positional flexibility. Arraez’s greatest asset is his eye and the batting average it generates. Despite being routinely shifted, he can spray the ball all over the diamond and is a lineup asset when healthy. If he’s not traded for pitching to a team looking at him as a starter, having this type of talent on the bench for Rocco Baldelli is a great commodity.

    The Assumed (1): Jose Godoy
    Claimed off waivers last week, Jose Godoy is a good bet to make the Opening Day roster because managers love third catchers. If Baldelli is going to use Gary Sanchez as his designated hitter in any given lineup, that means there’s no one to back up starter Ryan Jeffers. With Ben Rortvedt traded to the New York Yankees, Godoy is the lone option left on the 40 man roster. He’s a career minor leaguer with just a .723 OPS in over 2,000 plate appearances. That said, he’s only 27-years-old, and clearly, Minnesota thought something of him to file the waiver claim. Unless another option emerges at catcher through waivers in the next two weeks, this is probably who fills the spot.

    The Uncertains (4): Nick Gordon, Brent Rooker, Trevor Larnach, Gilberto Celestino
    Quite possibly the most challenging group to peg because you could go either way on a number of these guys. Larnach is easily the most talented of the group with the highest ceiling, but being a left-handed corner outfielder, he fills the same profile as both Alex Kirilloff and Max Kepler. Among this foursome, Larnach is the guy needing consistent at-bats most. He makes the club only if there’s an avenue for that to happen. Minnesota won’t include him to sit.

    Next in line would be Gordon, and for good reason. He filled a utility role admirably last year, even if the bat doesn’t really play. Gordon can take over in all three outfield spots, though his speed masks his arm strength. It’s a nice addition to a bench that hasn’t had wheels in some time, but that really comes down to how aggressive the Twins want to be on the base paths.
     
    For Rooker and Celestino, the situation couldn’t be more opposite. The former saw quick success but has basically become a swing and miss power hitter that struggles defensively. The latter struggled mightily in a premature promotion but has the chops to be an above-average defender in the outfield. Celestino’s impressive return to Triple-A could make him an enticing option for the fourth outfielder, but more seasoning on the farm makes sense too.

    The Doubtful (1): Jose Miranda
    It’s not as though talent suggests Miranda won’t make the club, as he dominated both Double and Triple-A last season. The problem is that there’s no straightforward avenue to playing time, and he needs to be more than a utilityman if the Twins want to start him on the big club. Miranda can play second, third, and first base. I wouldn’t be shocked if he’s the first man up, but barring a trade, it seems unlikely he’d unseat a guy more able to ride the pine.

    The Dark Horses (2): Tim Beckham, Daniel Robertson
    Two non-roster invitees have continued to generate at-bats this spring, and both have substantial big league track records. Beckham is a former first overall pick, while Robertson has done a good job filling in anywhere on the diamond in short stints. There’s probably more to like about Robertson’s game than Beckham’s, and despite the notoriety of the former Rays top pick, I wrote about the other guy being a dark horse to watch this winter. Either of these two would need a 40 man addition should they be chosen, which is, of course, another scenario working against them.
     
    Assuming Luis Arraez is among them, who are your three favorites to fill out the Minnesota Twins bench on Opening Day?

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    If Sanchez, Jeffers and Sano are all in the same lineup then

    1) Obviously a lefthanded pitcher. Urshela and Garlick are also probably in the lineup.

    2) I want Gary Sanchez playing 1B instead of Sano.

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    2 hours ago, Tibs said:

    Is Gary Sanchez a better DH option than Luis Arraez? I have expressed concerns regarding Arraez's power, but Sanchez has simply not made enough contact with the baseball 3 of the last 4 seasons to fill a role whose sole purpose is to hit a baseball.

    If he turns it around then sure absolutely. I don't think he should be penciled in anywhere though.

    I don't understand the assumption that Sanchez, a league average hitter, will get the majority of DH starts. 

    Arraez is projected to have a better OPS by just about every projection system on the planet.

    Sanchez should probably DH against LHP, sliding Sano to 1B where his defense is tolerable for the tradeoff against LHP, , but that's about it. 

    Arraez seem like a better candidate to be the strong-side of a platoon at 3B on most days, with Sano at DH.

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    Arraez will DH and play 3B.  Sano will play 1B and DH.  My guess is that Sano and Sanchez will sit against tough rightes on righties.  You will need a RH hitting outfielder to play when the opposition starts a leftie (Kepler should not be an option, unless the Lefty does better against righties.  Rooker and Laurach should be in St. Paul.  To start the season I am expecting 15 pitchers because of the short spring training.  Gordon should give you a lot of coverage for a short term.  We will be fine.

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    Just wanted to concur with the idea there is no need for a 3rd catcher. Carrying dead weight just on the off chance you MIGHT lose a DH AB is foolish. Why are we DHing Sanchez anyway?

    What we REALLY need is a SECOND catcher, BTW. Actually, scratch that...we need a first catcher. 

    Also like the idea of an Urshela/Arraez platoon.

    I'd also carry Rooker and sit one LH hitting OFer against most lefties.

    I'd imagine 14 pitchers to start the season, until the 28 man roster goes away.

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    37 minutes ago, Riverbrian said:

    I don't believe in a bench. 

    Buxton, Correa and Polanco should be in the lineup close to every day.  

    Everybody else on the roster needs to compete for the most playing time at the available positions. 

     

     

     

    I think all of us can agree with line #2.  After that, it would be an interesting debate.  In your scenario I can only draw the conclusion that you believe we have 3 everyday players and 10 role players, all of whom would be juggled in and out of the lineup throughout the year competing, as you say, for the other 6 positions in the lineup.  Personally, I believe you put your best 9 players in the lineup every day and have bench players who come in as needed for injuries, or just tough pitching match ups where they bench player may have a better look.   Earl Weaver would have agreed with me; I have a hunch Rocco is going to agree with you.   :)  

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    7 minutes ago, Mark G said:

    I think all of us can agree with line #2.  After that, it would be an interesting debate.  In your scenario I can only draw the conclusion that you believe we have 3 everyday players and 10 role players, all of whom would be juggled in and out of the lineup throughout the year competing, as you say, for the other 6 positions in the lineup.  Personally, I believe you put your best 9 players in the lineup every day and have bench players who come in as needed for injuries, or just tough pitching match ups where they bench player may have a better look.   Earl Weaver would have agreed with me; I have a hunch Rocco is going to agree with you.   :)  

    Who are the best 9 is the question that no one knows the answer to and how big of a difference is there between number 4 and number 13 is also an important question to be asked? 

    The answer to that question can only be determined on the field. 

    Sing for your supper... let the best man win. 

     

     

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    3 minutes ago, Riverbrian said:

    Who are the best 9 is the question that no one knows the answer to and how big of a difference is there between number 4 and number 13 is also an important question to be asked? 

    The answer to that question can only be determined on the field. 

    Sing for your supper... let the best man win. 

     

     

    Agreed.  I would only lament that on this club the winners are never declared.  They spend multiple seasons "competing" for the different positions, but no one is ever declared the winner and, therefore, starter.  

    Having said that, I know that Kepler, Sano, and before this year Donaldson played the majority of the time at right, 1st, and 3rd. Even Simmons played a lot of SS.  But how many games?  We treat our position starters like we treat our pitching starters, and our role players like like our relief pitchers.  Can't work anyone too hard; we might hurt them.  We had one pitcher with more than 125 innings (counting JB's time with Toronto), and one player with more than 500 at bats (3 if you go all the way to total plate appearances).   One was Donaldson, so hopefully Buck will take on that total, the other 2 were Polanco and Sano.  With a healthy Kirilloff (hopefully), will Sano still get his at bats?  Will Kirilloff get them?  If so, where?  OF or 1st base?  Where does Arraez get his?  We know Correa will get his, and Polanco will get his.  Buck if he is healthy.  Who else, and where will they play?  Or will we just shuffle the other 10 around the field and the batting order as we have in the past?  My long winded way of saying I long for the days when you knew who would play and who would sub, or in some cases who would platoon.  I didn't use to need a scorecard, and I used to recognize the box scores.  Ah, the good old days.   :)  

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    1 hour ago, Mark G said:

    Agreed.  I would only lament that on this club the winners are never declared.  They spend multiple seasons "competing" for the different positions, but no one is ever declared the winner and, therefore, starter.  

    Having said that, I know that Kepler, Sano, and before this year Donaldson played the majority of the time at right, 1st, and 3rd. Even Simmons played a lot of SS.  But how many games?  We treat our position starters like we treat our pitching starters, and our role players like like our relief pitchers.  Can't work anyone too hard; we might hurt them.  We had one pitcher with more than 125 innings (counting JB's time with Toronto), and one player with more than 500 at bats (3 if you go all the way to total plate appearances).   One was Donaldson, so hopefully Buck will take on that total, the other 2 were Polanco and Sano.  With a healthy Kirilloff (hopefully), will Sano still get his at bats?  Will Kirilloff get them?  If so, where?  OF or 1st base?  Where does Arraez get his?  We know Correa will get his, and Polanco will get his.  Buck if he is healthy.  Who else, and where will they play?  Or will we just shuffle the other 10 around the field and the batting order as we have in the past?  My long winded way of saying I long for the days when you knew who would play and who would sub, or in some cases who would platoon.  I didn't use to need a scorecard, and I used to recognize the box scores.  Ah, the good old days.   :)  

    Options to choose from and utilize is a terrific problem to have.  

    Back when I was programming rock radio stations. 

    Radio Stations all over the country were using test scores to determine playlists. Listen to the Music by the Doobie Brothers tested at a 75 so I could play it without a consultant crawling up my... China Grove tested at a 74 so I couldn't play it or the consultant would crawl up my...

    75 was the line. The end result: Listen to the Music was the only Doobie Brothers song that played in a playlist of 200 songs spanning the 60's, 70's and 80's and China Grove is gone to fade into oblivion. 

    That's a small difference and a hard line that produces a needless tight play list and eventually Listen to the Music stops working for ya. 

    Urshela and Kepler are Listen to the Music

    Arraez and Larnach are China Grove  ?

     

     

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    1 hour ago, Riverbrian said:

    Options to choose from and utilize is a terrific problem to have.  

    Back when I was programming rock radio stations. 

    Radio Stations all over the country were using test scores to determine playlists. Listen to the Music by the Doobie Brothers tested at a 75 so I could play it without a consultant crawling up my... China Grove tested at a 74 so I couldn't play it or the consultant would crawl up my...

    75 was the line. The end result: Listen to the Music was the only Doobie Brothers song that played in a playlist of 200 songs spanning the 60's, 70's and 80's and China Grove is gone to fade into oblivion. 

    That's a small difference and a hard line that produces a needless tight play list and eventually Listen to the Music stops working for ya. 

    Urshela and Kepler are Listen to the Music

    Arraez and Larnach are China Grove  ?

     

     

    I understood every word you said all the way through problem to have.   :)   Just kidding...............sort of.  

    Understood; not convinced.  Especially if Kepler tests higher than Arraez.   :(  

    In the end, options to choose from, to me at least, comes in the off season and spring training.  Yea, yea, spring training was short this year, so let's extend it into April and let the teams have 28 players, then reduce it.  But by May, I want to have chosen.  And utilized.  For better or worse, we will know our players by then.  Play the best where they play the best..............oh, you know what I mean.   :)  

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    Rooker bats right handed but he hasn’t really hit left handed pitching very well. He has reverse splits.

    Combining his majors and minors his OPS against left handed pitching the last three years are 714, 762 and 738.

    The Twins don’t need a right handed bat. They need a hitter that can hit lefties. Rooker does not check that box.

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    18 minutes ago, jorgenswest said:

    Rooker bats right handed but he hasn’t really hit left handed pitching very well. He has reverse splits.

    Combining his majors and minors his OPS against left handed pitching the last three years are 714, 762 and 738.

    The Twins don’t need a right handed bat. They need a hitter that can hit lefties. Rooker does not check that box.

    Reverse splits are a temporary illusion. Always.

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    6 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

    Reverse splits are a temporary illusion. Always.

    This is often true for a season because of the sample size. It could be a four year temporary illusion or it could be that he sees right handed pitchers better. His string of OPS against mostly minor league left handed pitchers doesn’t suggest to me he would be a good platoon option. I would have more confidence in Garlick.

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    13 hours ago, Mark G said:

    I understood every word you said all the way through problem to have.   :)   Just kidding...............sort of.  

    Understood; not convinced.  Especially if Kepler tests higher than Arraez.   :(  

    In the end, options to choose from, to me at least, comes in the off season and spring training.  Yea, yea, spring training was short this year, so let's extend it into April and let the teams have 28 players, then reduce it.  But by May, I want to have chosen.  And utilized.  For better or worse, we will know our players by then.  Play the best where they play the best..............oh, you know what I mean.   :)  

    There are a lot of people who feel the way you feel. 

    However, if you are willing to dedicate exclusive playing time to a selected few based on very very very small margins. You have to be right... I mean you haaaavvvvve to be right...  because the wrong will keep being wrong like a church bell while you have been injecting pentobarbital into the right player,   

    When that happens... we never really know what we lost but that's ok because the continued playing time of the failed chosen player is always justified with the standard "Well... there is nobody else to play anyway". ?

     

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    My biggest complaint here is that we would DH Sanchez because of the amount of his paycheck.  We already have a right handed strikeout master to play DH in Sano.  Let Sanchez catch twice a week to give Jeffers a break and stash him away in a closet the rest of the week.

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    5 hours ago, Riverbrian said:

    There are a lot of people who feel the way you feel. 

    However, if you are willing to dedicate exclusive playing time to a selected few based on very very very small margins. You have to be right... I mean you haaaavvvvve to be right...  because the wrong will keep being wrong like a church bell while you have been injecting pentobarbital into the right player,   

    When that happens... we never really know what we lost but that's ok because the continued playing time of the failed chosen player is always justified with the standard "Well... there is nobody else to play anyway". ?

     

    While I would love to jump on the bandwagon, so to speak, it scares me to think we have 3 or 4 players who are clear stars, and 9 or 10 who we can't choose between because there is very little discernable difference in overall ability. (which is what we are starting our BP with)  I know it is impossible to prove a negative, but in the same way we would be playing the wrong player if we judge him overly strong, we won't play him enough if we judge him weaker than he may turn out to be.  I guess I may be one of those folks who would rather be wrong and own it, than play it safe and never know.  But, then, my job doesn't depend on it, does it?  I will just face a lot of I told you so's on TD.  :)  

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    14 minutes ago, Mark G said:

    While I would love to jump on the bandwagon, so to speak, it scares me to think we have 3 or 4 players who are clear stars, and 9 or 10 who we can't choose between because there is very little discernable difference in overall ability. (which is what we are starting our BP with)  I know it is impossible to prove a negative, but in the same way we would be playing the wrong player if we judge him overly strong, we won't play him enough if we judge him weaker than he may turn out to be.  I guess I may be one of those folks who would rather be wrong and own it, than play it safe and never know.  But, then, my job doesn't depend on it, does it?  I will just face a lot of I told you so's on TD.  :)  

    I'm already saying I told you so... just not publicly. ?

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