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  • Twins 2, White Sox 1: Twins Catch Break, Win Thriller


    Thiéres Rabelo

    On yet another terrible game by the Twins offense, Bailey Ober and the bullpen kept chances alive until the end. The White Sox made a horrific defensive blunder and allowed Minnesota to steal the game in the eighth.

    Image courtesy of Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher: Bailey Ober, 5.0 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K (79 pitches, 56 strikes, 70.8%)
    Home Runs: none
    Top 3 WPA: Carlos Correa (.462), Emilio Pagán (.152), Bailey Ober (.104)
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
    1950233641_chart(1).png.c4c3c95ded3edd3d0d24bb0aae49b426.png

    Ober pitches solid five innings, but gets no help from the offense
    Earlier today, the Twins official Twitter account sent out the tweet below, which could’ve somehow put a little pressure on young starter Bailey Ober:

    But that’s exactly what didn't happen. The sophomore had a solid start to this game, dominating the White Sox lineup. With solid command, he threw over 72% strikes in the first three innings allowing only two hits.

    Unfortunately for the Twins, Chicago’s starter Michael Kopech also feasted off recently weakened Minnesota’s offense through the first portion of the game. Luis Arráez opened up the first inning with a leadoff single, but Carlos Correa grounded into a double play immediately afterward. In that same inning, Jorge Polanco reached on a walk but was caught trying to steal second, ending the threat.

    The first man in scoring position of the game was a Twin. Trevor Larnach hit a two-out double in the second, but Kopech followed that up by retiring the next eight batters, including four strikeouts.

    Ober pitched a clean fourth inning, but the White Sox got to him in the fifth, with Andrew Vaughn smashing a leadoff home run to center to make it 1-0 Chicago. Ober got into a bad spot when Reese McGuire followed that homer with a double, prompting an immediate mound visit by Wes Johnson. That helped him get back on track and he retired the next three batters to limit the damage to just the one run.

    Ober’s night was done after that inning, with Griffin Jax coming in to pitch the sixth. With tonight’s outing, Ober lowered his season ERA to 2.81 and the Twins rotation continues to be one of the best in the majors. You know, as we all have predicted a month ago, right?

    Jax, Bullpen perform brilliantly; wild defense from Chicago gives Twins the lead
    Griffin Jax came in trying to keep this a one-run game and he couldn’t have done a better job. He threw two scoreless and hitless frames on 29 pitches – 24 sliders (83%). He pitched around a leadoff walk in the sixth and went on to retire the next six batters, causing them to swing and miss 46% of the time.

    After a rough outing in Kansas City on Tuesday that cost the Twins a win, Tyler Duffey got a much-needed clean inning in the eighth. He retired the top of Chicago’s lineup in order on 13 pitches, including two strikeouts, giving the offense a chance to redeem itself in the bottom of the inning. Could they do it?

    Well, yes and no. The inning started out atrociously for Minnesota, with Miguel Sanó and Nick Gordon quickly retired on ten pitches. Ryan Jeffers stepped up to the plate and, also quickly, was down 0-2 in the count. Suddenly, things started to change in a wild way.

    In the third pitch of the at-bat, Jeffers crushed a ground-rule double to left-center, bringing Arráez to the plate. Luis worked a nice six-pitch walk to keep the inning alive and bring Correa to the plate. Slumping really hard on the season so far, “C4” swung on the second pitch and grounded to the hole in deep shortstop, enough to score Jeffers. But to make things better, Tim Anderson and José Abreu made a couple of awful throws that allowed Arráez to also score and Correa to make second. (Just watch this...)

    Emilio Pagán was brought in to pitch the ninth and try to earn the save, but things didn’t start well for him. He gave up a leadoff double to Eloy Jiménez and loaded the bases with only one out. After a hard-fought, nine-pitch at-bat, he got McGuire to pop out. Then, he almost lost Jake Burger for the last out but managed to strike him out on a full count.

    What’s Next? 
    Game two of the series is tomorrow at 3:05 pm CDT, when Dylan Bundy (2-0, 0.87 ERA) tries to keep his hot start going facing righty Vince Velasquez (0-1, 4.15 ERA). Byron Buxton is expected to be back in the lineup.

    Postgame Interviews

     

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

      MON TUE WED THU FRI TOT
                 
    Jax 47 0 0 0 29 76
    Pagán 0 0 0 9 34 43
    Duran 23 0 0 15 0 38
    Romero 0 30 0 0 0 30
    Duffey 0 15 0 0 13 28
    Smith 6 2 0 16 0 24
    Stashak 0 0 21 0 0 21
    Thielbar 0 0 15 0 0 15
    Winder 0 0 0 0 0 0
    Coulombe 0 0 0 0 0 0

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    I'll throw out an unpopular opinion, that after the leadoff double, Pagan really pitched.  Strategically he didn't let the better hitters beat him, and went basically after the #8 and #9 guys when the guys before those didn't get themselves out.  He's not good enough to blow them away, as witnessed by the sequence of foul balls, but he went with a plan.  It was bend but not break territory, and of course it could have come out much differently, but I want to give Pagan credit.  He didn't simply luck into the result he got.  He worked hard and smart for it.  He had just enough.

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    14 minutes ago, ashbury said:

    I'll throw out an unpopular opinion, that after the leadoff double, Pagan really pitched.  Strategically he didn't let the better hitters beat him, and went basically after the #8 and #9 guys when the guys before those didn't get themselves out.  He's not good enough to blow them away, as witnessed by the sequence of foul balls, but he went with a plan.  It was bend but not break territory, and of course it could have come out much differently, but I want to give Pagan credit.  He didn't simply luck into the result he got.  He worked hard and smart for it.  He had just enough.

    I hear ya.  I looked at who was coming up after that double and was like...uh oh, this isn't good. Doesn't lighten up until the 8th spot.  I would say that it didn't make it easy to watch though with how far off some of those pitches were.

    Also - we don't win unless Jeffers dominates like he did in the 9th behind the plate.  Between arguably stealing some close pitches as strikes (including the last one) and blocking that ball in the dirt, that was impressive. 

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    18 minutes ago, ashbury said:

    I'll throw out an unpopular opinion, that after the leadoff double, Pagan really pitched.  Strategically he didn't let the better hitters beat him, and went basically after the #8 and #9 guys when the guys before those didn't get themselves out.  He's not good enough to blow them away, as witnessed by the sequence of foul balls, but he went with a plan.  It was bend but not break territory, and of course it could have come out much differently, but I want to give Pagan credit.  He didn't simply luck into the result he got.  He worked hard and smart for it.  He had just enough.

    The umpire helped him out too. 

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    20 minutes ago, ashbury said:

    I'll throw out an unpopular opinion, that after the leadoff double, Pagan really pitched.  Strategically he didn't let the better hitters beat him, and went basically after the #8 and #9 guys when the guys before those didn't get themselves out.  He's not good enough to blow them away, as witnessed by the sequence of foul balls, but he went with a plan.  It was bend but not break territory, and of course it could have come out much differently, but I want to give Pagan credit.  He didn't simply luck into the result he got.  He worked hard and smart for it.  He had just enough.

    I think strategically is a bit of a stretch. He pitched carefully (probably a bit overly so) to Pollock and Vaughn. He then had no choice but to go after the 8 and 9 hitters. I do think his control wasn't as bad as it might have seemed since he was able to throw strikes once he had no margin for error.

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    Really only Abreu's throw was egregious.

    Anderson made an offline throw from very deep in the hole.  It would have been close enough with an online throw that Correa was rightfully credited with a single.

    Abreu just threw wildly to home without any thought while the runners were just standing on 1st and 3rd.

    Overall their defense made me appreciate what the Twins have this year though.

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    I have kind of a dumb question:  I missed that part of the game, so I watched the clip here.  Jeffers got a ground rule double and Arraez worked a walk.  Correa hits the ball into the hole and Jeffers scores from................3rd?  It never explains how he got to 3rd.  :)  How did he get to 3rd?  

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    Only 1.5 behind Cleveland and .5 behind Chi with a week of home games. The Twins could be in first place by Sunday and certainly not getting buried, despite really cold hitting. Pitching has been very good, particularly the starters.

    Chicago has an Achilles Heel--defense. They have also had more than their fair share of injuries. It's tough to repeat.

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    9 minutes ago, Mark G said:

    I have kind of a dumb question:  I missed that part of the game, so I watched the clip here.  Jeffers got a ground rule double and Arraez worked a walk.  Correa hits the ball into the hole and Jeffers scores from................3rd?  It never explains how he got to 3rd.  :)  How did he get to 3rd?  

     

    7 minutes ago, stringer bell said:

     

    Wild pitch, in which Jeffers, amusingly, almost did a face plant before making it to third base.

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    I mean....we'll take it. Twins need every win they can get this year, by hook or by crook. The Sox completely gave it away, and the Twins almost gave it back. Two teams that are struggling horribly offensively right now and are pressing on defense. If the Sox are hitting, Anderson just puts that ball in his pocket and right now we'd be tied 1-1 in the 35th inning.

    Pagan got it done, but good closers go 1-2-3 and we go home without the drama. That kind of effort isn't really going to get it done most of the time.

    Twins can't score at all this year, Royals and Sox can't score either, is scoring wayyyy down in baseball right now? Or is this just happening to AL Central teams that play outdoors? 

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    7 hours ago, 2wins87 said:

    Really only Abreu's throw was egregious.

    Anderson made an offline throw from very deep in the hole.  It would have been close enough with an online throw that Correa was rightfully credited with a single.

    Abreu just threw wildly to home without any thought while the runners were just standing on 1st and 3rd.

    Great point — that play was really all on Abreu. I think he could have done a better job blocking Anderson’s offline throw in the first place (or at least managed to keep his glove on :) ), but Abreu’s throw home after that was simply pointless.

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    2 minutes ago, Otto von Ballpark said:

    Great point — that play was really all on Abreu. I think he could have done a better job blocking Anderson’s offline throw in the first place (or at least managed to keep his glove on :) ), but Abreu’s throw home after that was simply pointless.

    Yup. And that was the winning run. He doesn’t throw home, and who knows how the game would’ve ended

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    Nice win!  I won't call it a great win just a nice one.  The following games is what is going to determine if the offense is really turning it around.  The fact that the White Sox gave away the game doesn't mean we broke a slump.  The offense scored 2 basically free runs.  Twins only had 5 hits and the offense was very anemic again!  I'm very happy that all the central division clubs, including the Twins, are hovering around .500.   I think that bodes well for the Twins if they can get their offense to play in sinc with the great starting pitching we have gotten.  If that happens soon the rest of the central had better watch out for the Twins.  The last three games the Twins have lost 2-0, won 1-0 and won 2-1.  The fact they won two of those games is amazing and a tribute to the starting pitching.  If we can continue to get consistent solid starting pitching, and if the bats ever wake up, it could really be fun.  Today is a big game in Twins trying to turn the corner.  A solid win would help!

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    Let's just say the Twins got lucky. Rocco was proud of the way his team played. Despite his efforts to blow the game, yes they managed to take the win due to the Sox handing it to them yet almost taking it back in the 9th. Why was Larnach lifted for Garlick when he is one of the few actually hitting the ball? Why do you trust Duffey to pitch in a game this close after his last performances when you had at least 3 other options? Where was the next pitcher in the 9th to relieve Pagan if he got in trouble? Rocco was going to stick with him no matter how it turned out. There was no Plan B in the 9th or we would have seen it or can't Rocco make a pitching change anymore in the middle of an inning? I'll give credit to Pagan for not giving in and to the Ump for making the correct call on a close pitch for strike 3 to end the game. But overall it was another dismal performance by the offense. How many games is this team going to win 1-0 or 2-1? Not many.

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    1 hour ago, bighat said:
    1 hour ago, bighat said:

    Twins can't score at all this year, Royals and Sox can't score either, is scoring wayyyy down in baseball right now? Or is this just happening to AL Central teams that play outdoors? 

    Yep, all over baseball. Observers like Gleeman here and at the Athletic speculate about reasons: dead ball? Humidor now used at every park? Weather? Shortened spring training? Fans of most teams are feeling the same pain.

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    8 hours ago, ashbury said:

    I'll throw out an unpopular opinion, that after the leadoff double, Pagan really pitched.  Strategically he didn't let the better hitters beat him, and went basically after the #8 and #9 guys when the guys before those didn't get themselves out.  He's not good enough to blow them away, as witnessed by the sequence of foul balls, but he went with a plan.  It was bend but not break territory, and of course it could have come out much differently, but I want to give Pagan credit.  He didn't simply luck into the result he got.  He worked hard and smart for it.  He had just enough.

    He didn’t give in but I do wonder if you write the same comment if that last pitch is called a ball and the batter walks.

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    8 hours ago, adorduan said:

    The umpire helped him out too. 

    This ump had a pretty big zone all night. I wouldn't say he had an ideal game behind the plate, but he was pretty consistent both ways.

    Series like this you don't care how you get the win, just that you get it. That infield single from Correa might be what gets him on track. Jeffers got a big hit in a tight situation, which was great to see, and he caught a nice game. Interesting to see Jax pumping so many sliders: if he's getting a good feel for that pitch it should help him as an option out there and might help his fastball play up a little.

    Ober pitched pretty well, I thought. Got punished for a mistake, but didn't let it rattle him. Thought his command was pretty good out there. 

    Kopech is a really good pitcher. Wish he wasn't playing for the damn ChiSox, because he looks like a rotation stud.

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    2 hours ago, big dog said:

    The offense looked bad, but Kopech looked like what he's been sold as, and it was his third exceptional start in a row. It isn't all on the offense (this time).

    His fastball is obviously very tough to hit.

    I think he was somewhere around 75% fastballs. I don't think too many were located in good places to hit, and the Twins didn't really have any success on the few that were. Credit goes to Kopech there.

    But the Twins should get familiar with him this year. I would hope they can find a way to hit his fastball if he continues such a fastball heavy approach.

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    1 hour ago, rv78 said:

    Let's just say the Twins got lucky. Rocco was proud of the way his team played. Despite his efforts to blow the game, yes they managed to take the win due to the Sox handing it to them yet almost taking it back in the 9th. Why was Larnach lifted for Garlick when he is one of the few actually hitting the ball? Why do you trust Duffey to pitch in a game this close after his last performances when you had at least 3 other options? Where was the next pitcher in the 9th to relieve Pagan if he got in trouble? Rocco was going to stick with him no matter how it turned out. There was no Plan B in the 9th or we would have seen it or can't Rocco make a pitching change anymore in the middle of an inning? I'll give credit to Pagan for not giving in and to the Ump for making the correct call on a close pitch for strike 3 to end the game. But overall it was another dismal performance by the offense. How many games is this team going to win 1-0 or 2-1? Not many.

    Larnach was lifted because of the pitching match up. I think it was the right call. And then he was substituted with Celestino at the top of the next inning, also the right call. I’ve said it a few times, I think Duffey is a good reliever, but not as a closer, ever. I have no issues bringing in Duffey when Baldelli did, and it paid off. Had Duffey been called to pitch the 9th, we’d be having a very different conversation. Wasn’t someone warming up when Pagan finally got the last out? Can’t remember who, but I thought someone had started to warm up, so I think there was a plan B. But on that, I could be mistaken. Then again, maybe we have an 'Everyday Eddie' part 2 on our hands. :) Yep, I think the ump made the right call on that pitch, but maybe the right call was putting Jeffers into the lineup at the start, instead of Sanchez. Not sure the reason, but Sanchez has been catching Ober, so we saw Jeffers instead. Not only did Jeffers get a timely hit, and scored the tying run, he made a good block in the 9th, and his set up and framing allowed the ump to actually see the ball to make the correct call. Kudos to Rocco for putting Jeffers in for the game.

    Just offering a different perspective. Maybe Baldelli gets some credit here instead of the Twins winning in spite of him.

     

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