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On Wednesday, Hayes shared an update on the Cruz situation stating that talks “may not speed up any time soon” as Cruz is looking for a two-year deal on top of a raise from the last two years where he averaged $13 million each year. Understandably, the Twins are hesitant to give the aging slugger a multi-year deal as he’s also coming off three consecutive seasons dealing with various ailments. It was his ankle in 2018, his wrist in 2019, his knee in 2020, and as he is entering his 16th full major league season those should be some red flags for the Twins. As previously noted, there are younger options that the Twins can consider for the role of DH.
Without a doubt Schwarber and Duvall would each be a downgrade at the position, and they are both coming off the worst seasons of their respective careers. On the other hand, Brantley is arguably a more valuable piece than Cruz as he is younger and more versatile with the ability to play a solid left field. MLB Trade Rumors (MLBTR) has Brantley as the 13th-best free agent this offseason and predicts him signing a two-year, $28MM deal with the Atlanta Braves, but he is undoubtedly a really nice fit for the Twins now that Eddie Rosario is gone. That said, if the Twins are okay settling with more of a DH-only, they should kick the tires on a player that is four years younger than Brantley.
Following Hayes’ article on Wednesday, Eno Sarris posted another article “Find the Best Fits for the Top Ten MLB Free Agents”. In that article he points that 31-year-old LF/DH Marcell Ozuna would be a good fit for the Twins but ultimately predicts him signing with the Chicago White Sox on a four-year, $80MM contract. At MLBTR, they have him as the fourth best free agent and signing with the Nationals for four years, $72MM. It’s worth noting that before Sarris, Twins Daily own Cody Christie had Ozuna part of his 2021 Blueprint and Nash Walker mentioned it on his podcast not long before that. And for good reason. Between Ozuna, Brantley, and Cruz, Ozuna is coming off the best season slashing .338/.431/.636 while hitting 18 home runs and posting a WRC+ of 179.
Ozuna’s biggest knock, specifically when compared to Brantley, will be his strikeout and rates although his numbers do fall pretty closely to those of Cruz. Defensively, Brantley is definitely the superior player as Ozuna was almost exclusively used as a DH in Atlanta and Brantley became Houston’s primary DH partially due to Yordan Alvarez’s injury. That said, overall Ozuna is the better hitter, the younger player, and doesn’t have the spotty injury history that Brantley has although he has remained healthy for each of the last three seasons.
As Sarris and MLBTR predict, Ozuna will likely be looking for a multi-year deal longer than the two-year deal that Cruz wants and Brantley is predicted for. Looking long term, this could be something the Twins aren’t interested in as Josh Donaldson may need to slide into that role to remain healthy and productive as he gets older. If the Twins don’t want a drop in productivity then Duvall and Schwarber aren’t serious options, but Brantley, Cruz, and Ozuna are all kind of a toss up. They could go with the best player in Ozuna, the best fit and value in Brantley, or stick with the veteran in Cruz who has provided invaluable leadership in his two years as a Twin.
Of the names mentioned in this article, who do you want the Twins to go after? Is there a name not listed here you’d consider?
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