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Darius

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Everything posted by Darius

  1. I’m really trying to feel good about it. But, when is the last time to Twins FO has made a decision that has worked out? 2006? Also, the team needs good players otherwise it’s meaningless. They could have the best manager ever to walk the Earth...but if Buxton can’t hit, Sano can’t stay healthy/out of trouble, Berrios can’t put together a complete season, and the bullpen can resemble something competent, Baldelli will look just as bad as Molly did.
  2. I’d reluctantly concede a Core 3 at this point: Berrios, Gibson, Rosario. I’m not sure you can even call that “a core.” I’m not sure any of them are at an elite level, or ever will be. Berrios may be eventually, but there are still plenty of inconsistencies there. They’re really just the “Pretty Good 3.” Sano might be out of the league by this time next year. There are risks there in regards to behavior, health, conditioning, and performance. Frankly, he can’t be counted on for anything st this point. It doesn’t really look like Buxton will ever figure things out offensively. It doesn’t really look like he’ll ever be to stay healthy, either. Banking on him for anything outside of half a season of great defense from the 9-hole is a prayer. Certainly not anything you want to build around long-term. Kepler appears to be a solid role, unspectacular role player, and there’s nothing wrong with that. Time is starting to run out to prove that he’ll fulfill the expectations created by his minor league career. Good guy to have around, but hardly a franchise cornerstone. Polanco is a black market Dominican supplement away from his second offense....and isn’t really that great of a defensive shortstop to begin with. If we’re considering Mitch Garver a “core” player, we’re in trouble. Who knows it Romero will ever pitch 100+ innings effectively in a major league season. He seems to fade hard every year, even in the minor leagues. How many more years does a guy need to ramp up? There is nobody else worth mentioning that had stepped foot on a major league diamond. It’s probably time to start thinking about the next “core.”
  3. I don’t really feel sorry for Buxton, like everyone seems to. He hasn’t really earned anything, and he’s been given ample opportunity. Should he have been called up? Probably. Will this light a fire under his butt? Is he has a pulse, it sure should. Something tells me he’ll have a good spring.
  4. The previous regim's problem was sitting on their hands. They put a few decent clubs together, but would never take the initiative to supplement the roster via trade and/or free agency. It felt like they never made a serious run at anything, even when they had a roster with multiple Cy Young awards and multiple MVPs within 5-6 years. It was a terribly botched situation that, by the grace of a higher power, fell out of the sky and flopped into Ryan's lap (Santana in the rule 5, cheaping out with Mauer at #1 and having it work out). Not only would they not make a run when the talent was there, but they would never be aggressive sellers, either. The new guys seem to be aggressive, and commit to a plan beyond the bottom line, and I like that.
  5. Nick Gordon's OPS over the last 28 days is significantly lower than Kirilloff's batting average. Kind of unbelievable on multiple levels (Gordon so bad, Kirilloff so good).
  6. I don't think the extra year matters if he doesn't improve at the plate. At that point, his speed, and thus his defensive range, will likely have degraded somewhat. So, would it really be that expensive, or even be worth keeping around, if he slides back towards the mean defensively, but doesn't approach it offensively? If there is even a minute chance that some September playing time gets him back on track going into next year, you have to take it. I don't see how sending him home would help anything in any way.
  7. I'm all for this. It seems to make total sense. Even as young kid, I remember wondering about the current paradigm. When playing the Angels, for example, in any one given game, how are you most likely to win? Contain Mike Trout. How are you most likely to keep Trout hitless? Throw your 3-4 best pitchers available at him, don't let him face the same guy twice, change the location from which the call leaves the pitchers hand as much as possible. Same for nearly any other good team. If you hold Francisco Lindor hitless in a series against Cleveland, you'll probably win it (or at least make it much more likely). They'd definitely need to figure out a way to not slow the game down any more, but I think we'll see this.
  8. Do we really have to feel sorry for these guys because their co-worker got traded to a contender? Just something I've wondered a lot lately. People leaving, people arriving, getting put in a different 3rd grade class than your BFF, running out of room at a lunch table, etc, is a normal part of everyone's lives. Is it really so emotionally debilitating? As a CPA, I don't think a client or Board of Accountancy would say, "we'll let this one slide, your co-worker left for a rival firm so it must have been a tough week." I should also point out the obvious that us schmuks are making exponentially less money for longer hours and higher day-to-day stress. It's another interesting double standard applied to professional athletes for reasons unknown.
  9. I think we need to keep perspective on the Lewis pick. It appears as though they didn't draft him because he was the best player. By many accounts, it was a decision based on the slot system, and wanting to allocate some funds later in the draft. It could be argued that they got lucky. It's sort of similar to the Mauer scenario. Passing on Prior due to monetary concerns turned out well....but it wasn't because the FO identified some flaw in Prior or some superiority in Mauer (relative to Prior). We should also keep in mind that Lewis is only at High A. He is by no means a done-deal. The knee issue is enough to be cautious. It's certainly possible the he's not the best player out of that top 5 group. It's just a little early to call that a great move. Buxton looked like a future HOFer all the way up through AA/AAA as roughly a 21 year old. He drew Mike Trout comparisons. Same with Sano and Miguel Cabrera comparisons.
  10. This team is mentally weak. That alone is a reason for an overhaul. The kind of culture necessary to be successful just isn't there.
  11. It think it would be irresponsible to not actively shop guys like Dozier, Escobar, Rodney, Duke, etc. You have to maximize value, not emotion. The Twins have a 1.5% chance of making the playoffs (per Fangraphs) as it stands. Unless they make up 3-4 games before the deadline, it's kind of a no brainer. That isn't to say give them away for nothing. But leaving a reasonable offer on the table would be a poor decision 98.5% of the time.
  12. "How much longer the Twins can stick with Matt Belisle," could be quantified with negative numbers.
  13. The Belisle thing is turning into one of the greatest mysteries in American history. Who really killed JFK, and why? Did we really land on the moon? What really happened in Roswell, New Mexico? Why did the Twins sign and repeatedly use Matt Belisle in the summer of 2018? Science and logic still cannot conclusively answer any of these questions.
  14. I have a feeling we'll see a reinvigorated Sano, who will look a lot closer to last year's first half.
  15. Hottest team in baseball. Sweep KC and win the series against TB, and they just may be close enough to dash any hopes of selling off pieces that should be sold. Could potentially be a bad time for a winning streak if the FO then refuses to sell.
  16. Nobody on the current active 25 man should be left off of this list, aside from Berrios. Some I'd pull the trigger in faster than others. Dozier, Morrison, Lynn, Rodney, Duke, and Reed I'd take just about anything for. Guys like Gibson and Escobar I'd need to get a nice return. I'm still hoping Dozier, Morrison, and Lynn go a bit of a streak over the next couple weeks to entice some palatable offers. Reed could potentially fetch a nice piece. Santana could be a waiver guy in August if e comes back. They could potentially turn in a pretty nice haul. They won't be getting any top 50 prospects, but they could add some nice peices to the system.
  17. They'll never get a requisite return, IMO, in relation to what he could do for the team next year. A pitcher of his current caliber will also be expensive on the free agent market. If this team can figure the offense out this offseason, which is by no means out of the question, having a rotation consisting of Berrios, Romero, Gibson, Gonsalves, and some filler, could potentially compete for the division. That said, I've always been higher on Gibson's stuff than most and was an advocate of keeping him around when nearly everyone else wanted to dump him. I'm still of the opinion that what we're seeing is for real, and sustainable for the foreseeable future. Unless they're going full-blown rebuild on this thing, trading him is highly counterproductive. I'd definitely raise an eyebrow if they deal a guy like Gibson while hanging onto guys like Santana and Dozier to the bitter end.
  18. Wjat exactly had Belisle earned that Duffey and Buzenitz have not? All were decent to good pitchers for this team at one point. Buzenitz was arguably just as valuable as Belisle last year down the stretch. The thing that sets them apart is that Belisle's career is over, Duffey and Buzenitz still may have a future. I really wish a reporter would flat out ask Falvine why Belisle is bullet proof in terms of a 25 man spot right now. Everyone and their mother is thinking it. Are reporters that scared of wiping some of the brown off of their nose?
  19. Keeping Belisle because of a trade or two still doesn't make sense. Why not give guys like Buzenitz, Duffey, Curtis, etc, some run? I can't think of a scenario in which it makes sense to keep Belisle. Maybe if there were a reliever conference in Vegas, Belisle couldn't attend because he was sick, and the conference got struck by a meteor leaving him the only reliever left on earth.
  20. The Twins organization made a bad decision. Shocking.
  21. Is this where we start hearing again about how we're still in this thing and how stupid it would be to sell at the deadline?
  22. Odiorizzi is really killing any possible trade value. I don't disagree with with the Romero move. The season is over. What's the point in pushing the envelope with him? Just let him further refine things, keep his workload relatively light, and bring him back up after you deal Odiorizzi/Lynn at the deadline. At this point, it would be reasonable to just leave him down until the start of next year.
  23. I just really hope Sano was wise with his large signing bonus as a teenager. Some people's bodies just can't hold up, despite immense physical talent. It's possible that's what we'll find with Sano. And, no, I don't think the cause is arbitrary weight of 300 pounds. Didn't everyone and their mother destroy Souhan for that article when Sano's outlook was much better? Now that he's a little more down and out, people are taking that's and running with it. Not a great look.
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