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d-mac

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Everything posted by d-mac

  1. d-mac
    I think number two is the most likely scenario. Whoops.
  2. d-mac
    Leach? The hell? Holy reach batman.
  3. d-mac
    Seems that way, unless Tampa or Milwaukee takes him.
  4. d-mac
    Luckily, the Twins play in the AL.
  5. d-mac
    I was having problems too. Seems like BA went down for a bit. Kept getting a server error. Reload MLB. Draft tracker seems to be working now.
  6. d-mac
    *badum tss*
  7. d-mac
    Lol interesting with the Lewis pick. I'm not opposed to some deal making in this draft. So let's see what they do with their next two picks today.
  8. d-mac
    Don't worry everyone. I'm here. Got back from a ten day vacation last week, so I've been busy at work catching up and not had much time to be on here. But I wouldn't miss the draft!
  9. d-mac
    Sadly, no.
  10. d-mac
    eggonface.gif glasshouse.gif
  11. d-mac
    I hate to be Debbie downer, but the Twins pitching is still really, really bad. Of the 19 pitchers to throw a pitch for the Twins this year, just 5 have an xFIP of under 4. To put that in context, 9 Major League teams (4 AL) have a team xFIP below 4. That is nearly a 3rd of all teams. The Twins have 12 pitchers that have a xFIP over 5, including all but one starter (Santana, his was 4.52 but that'll be near 5 after today's game). The Twins are dead last in xFIP in all of baseball and nearly a third of a run worse than the next worst American league team.
  12. d-mac
    Parker, I hope you didn't write that text at the top of those pictures you shared. Some of the worst grammar I've ever seen. 20 on the on the scouting scale.
  13. d-mac
    I love me some LaMonte.
  14. d-mac
    He was a bust. Really bad pick. That's why I'm not a fan of drafting high school pitchers in the top ten picks. There's just so little data on them and they aren't physically mature yet. Also, TINSTAAPP.
  15. d-mac
    Over his last 50 PA Mauer is hitting .267/.340/.422. I wouldn't stick a fork in him yet, but he is still along ways off from his heyday. Much of that I think is related to the shifts.
  16. d-mac
    I think Duffey can be a #3 starter, which is more valuable than pitching out of the bullpen in any role. For his career as a MLB starter he's put up a xFIP of 3.82 and a SIERA of 3.98. The only reason he struggled last year was his redonkulous HR/FB% of 19.5%. For even the most homer prone starter that is unsustainably high. Comparing his (very SSS) underlying peripheral stats as a reliever to his starting career there is no difference in K%, a slight decrease in his already solid BB%, but career high hard hit% and career low soft hit%. Literally, the only reason he looks so much better in the bullpen than in the rotation is going from a 19.5% HR/FB last year to 0% this year.
  17. d-mac
    We'll see. He's got a 4.76 xFIP and according to xStats he's 10th out the 13 Twins pitchers in average exit velocity (Rogers, Hughes, and Breslow have higher exit velocities) with an expected BABIP of .311. Not to mention he's sitting at a career low K% so far this season.
  18. d-mac
    The lowest BABIP last year by a qualified starter was .234 by Marco Estrada and the lowest HR/FB% was 8.4 by Johnny Cueto. So even if he matches those numbers that's more three times as many hits and almost twice as many home runs. League average BABIP was .298 last year. And how much longer do you expect that outfield to stay intact with Buxton and Rosario having sub .400 OPS's?
  19. d-mac
    Let's revisit this when his .074 BABIP and 4.8% HR/FB rate normalize.
  20. d-mac
    Definitely. And I'm certainly enjoying the run they've had. There is a lot of good. But Sano, Castro, Polanco. and Escobar are not going to hit at double the league average production for the rest of the season. And while the Twins' bullpen is 6th in MLB in xFIP (3.08), once the starting staff regresses I don't know how the bullpen will keep that production up.
  21. d-mac
    I know early wins are exciting, but let's not get ahead of ourselves here folks! The great pitching won't continue, the Twins' starters are second to last in xFIP (5.04). They have had some crazy BABIP luck (.198) and near the top in LOB% and bottom on HR/FB%. While the defense is outstanding the OF has contributed -0.6 fWAR so far. They are dead last in MLB with a combined .151/.205/.192 which is good for a wRC+ of 6(!). The next lowest OF is the Giants at 30 wRC+. Not to mention they have the highest K% of any MLB outfield at 35.4%. Buxton, Kepler, and Rosario all had really poor batted ball profiles last year. So I'm not sure they're ever going to hit much this year. And no, no amount of outstanding defense can make up for a .151/.205/.192 hitting line.
  22. d-mac
    Not everyone's wife is high maintenance.
  23. d-mac
    The wife and I went to Green Mill last night. Got leftover pizza for tonight. I know you're totally jelly.
  24. d-mac
    Personally I think of this: http://img.memecdn.com/steriotypical-chicago_o_2952959.jpg OR this: http://www.kappit.com/img/pics/201701_0640_dfhih_sm.jpg
  25. d-mac
    LOL. 5 K's in 7 PA's now? I'm sure glad I didn't board the hype train after a month of freak HR/FB% splits.
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