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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    We had very advantageous sequencing last year. Nobody on offense really exceeded expectations but the sequencing helped us be 8th in the AL in runs scored even though we were last in OBP, 13th in OPS, 14th in wRC+ and 14th in WAR (position players). That kind of luck should never be expected to repeat.
  2. jimmer
    shoot me now.
  3. jimmer
    Since Santana mostly plays CF, he should be compared to CFs. Santana has an okay arm for an OF. Nothing special. And, really, his speed being an argument for him is over-stated. Just like Revere's speed in CF didn't make him a good CF, Santana's speed doesn't make him a good CF. And on the offensive side of the ball, his speed isn't doing anything for him as far as stealing bases go, and it sure doesn't help when he can't get on base at a decent clip. When speed is your only tool, that's a problem.
  4. jimmer
    Ok, so, Santana doesn't just play CF. He's plays corners too. If Santana was gone instead of Arcia, all that would mean is that Buxton and Kepler would be 1-2 for CF with Arcia taking a corner spot when he played (or LH DH). So, instead of Buxton, Santana, Kepler and Grossman, it'd be Buxton, Arcia, Kepler and Grossman. Leaves two people who can play CF and 4 OF who can play corner (with Rosario eventually, who can also play all 3 spots) It's not that hard to figure out why people are asking why are we keeping Santana over Arcia.
  5. jimmer
    Fangraphs has Buxton at +2 DRS (I don't know what DFS is). And Grossman looks horrible on D. Slow, bad arm, bad routes. To answer your question about Grossman, his poor range (-5) is the real kicker, and that's what is contributing the most to his -7. Additionally, none of these numbers surprise me. The numbers are relative to position. For example, one couldn't look at a RF and a CF having the same DRS and conclude they were equals on defense.
  6. jimmer
    Or was the real problem getting Park because, goodness forbid, Sano stay a DH since he's likely a defensive detriment no matter what position he plays. In any event, Our RF situation was a easily predictably bad decision. It was never going to end up being a smart or truly defensible decision (no matter how hard some tried).
  7. jimmer
    I agree a ton with this.
  8. jimmer
    I'm a fan of Kepler, think he'll be a good MLB player, but before last night's game his OPS was about 100 points lower than how it finished last night. With such SSS it's hard to really do anything other than say he had a good game and hope he keeps it up.
  9. jimmer
    So I was coming out of my slumber yesterday in time to see Kepler stroke a ball to the OF. The stroke, along with him running, I thought they were showing a Morneau flashback.
  10. jimmer
    we'll see....
  11. jimmer
    In Arcia's 'Flukey' good season he had a BABIP below league average and during Santana's flukey season he had a BABIP more than 100 points higher than league average.
  12. jimmer
    Not to mention the speed leading to only 10 SB in 17 SB attempts. Pretty bad ratio. He is pretty fast from home to dugout, though.
  13. jimmer
    Good Arcia (2014) had a BABIP in the high 200s (below league average). Good Santana (2014) had a BABIP in the .400s (more than 100 points higher than league average).
  14. jimmer
    Santana was arguably the worst player in the majors last year amongst players who got any kind of regular time. And he'll likely get even more PAs this year. He already leads the league in caught stealing even though he's only attempted 17 steals. And he's not a good defender. The rope he's allotted because of numbers heavily boosted by a .400 BABIP in 2014 is incredible. Then again, look what the Twins did after Hughes and Suzuki had their 2014 season.
  15. jimmer
    good stuff. right up there with too many quality MLB starters to put May in the rotation :-) At what point do the Twins just do this: Trade Plouffe and Dozier. Rosario in LF, Buxton in CF, Kepler in RF, Sano at 3B and Polanco at 2B.
  16. jimmer
    If someone thinks 179 PAs in the last 231 games isn't enough to say he was given a chance, I don't know what to tell them :-) And, come on, a season like this isn't the kind of season where you see what you got in a player, especially one with an OPS in the mid .700s (unaided by BABIP) just two seasons ago. These games matter! :-)
  17. jimmer
    it hasn't been worth much at all.
  18. jimmer
    It all stems from poor roster construction that started with signing a 30 year old with no MLB experience and a current K rate over 33% to be our DH.
  19. jimmer
    He's only been in the league 4 years and his 2nd year was better than his first. Hard to say he's regressed three years in a row. In the two years he was really given time, his first two, he was young and hit fairly well. He actually improved off his rookie season during his second season. Then he was given 65 PA in 2015 after getting more than 400 in 2014. It's also hard to gauge how much he has declined since 2014 when he's only had 179 PAs since then. But that's the kind of chance one would expect a young player to get after having an OPS in the .750s his sophomore year.
  20. jimmer
    what was amazing was how Rosario managed an OBP under .290 last year while having a BABIP about 35 points higher than league average :-) Getting on base is so over-rated. Rosario will likely be a 4th OF for us in the future, since he can play CF.
  21. jimmer
    because of the unsustainable amount of triples making his OPS look decent.
  22. jimmer
    I think the biggest problem with Santana is he can't field any position well, nor can he hit. I have faith that Arcia, if given he chance somewhere, can at least DH against righties and be productive. A team's backup CF shouldn't be an IF who can't hold down an IF job.
  23. jimmer
    My favorite part is when it's pointed out that even if Arcia goes somewhere, figures it out, and does well, it still won't make the decision the wrong one. Like the Hughes and Suzuki extensions were the right moves at the time, and even though they didn't work out (predictable as could be), neither of those moves showed the FO to be wrong either. This team has been very bad for a long time, both in performance and construction, yet it always amazes me how so many of their moves are the right ones. How can a team that makes so many correct moves be bad for so long? Worst team in baseball right now, in case anyone forgot.
  24. jimmer
    I'd argue that the learning part should be in the minors, but yeah. In any event, the epitome of this is Rosario, who, somehow, is apparently is 'more deserving' than Arcia, even though he takes horrendous at bats, can't get on base, and makes bonehead decision after bonehead decision.. BTW, Santana was, arguably, the worst player in baseball last year and isn't worth anything on this roster, unless you count being able to play poor defense at several positions while being a black hole on offense. Also, this article seems redundant. Seth already wrote an article defending this decision in his article announcing the move, though this one has the added chastising of fans who have a problem with it, which is fun. I can't imagine the comments being much different. An unneeded redundancy.
  25. jimmer
    But he's also 5 years younger than Park and if used as a DH versus RHP (as opposed to Park under .720), he carries an OPS near .800. Most pitchers are righties. I've never been sold on Park, thought it was a bad move to get him based on how our roster was constructed. Not one thing has changed my mind. In fact, this season has re-enforced every reason why I had an issue with his signing all along.
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