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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    exactly
  2. jimmer
    How did I use WAR to explain away a fragile health record? I showed that despite the fragile health record, he's continued to be highly valuable. Do you want to say having a guy who can produce an average of 4.5 war in 120 games with others filling in the other 42 games is less valuable than a player who produces a 2 WAR (if we are lucky with our choices) over 155 games because that guy who produced a 2 WAR was on the field more? Is that the argument? Even last year, he only played 90 something games, STILL had 5.3 WAR.
  3. jimmer
    except May isn't even in the rotation now so why would it be Gibson, Hughes, May?
  4. jimmer
    Speaking only for myself, I have't ignored Tulo's health issues one bit. But that fragile player posted 10.6 combined WAR in 2013 and 2014 during the most frequent two of those four fragile years and 4.3 WAR average over all four of those fragile 4 years (2011-2014). 120 games of him and 42 from another combo is still awesome production from the shortstop position.
  5. jimmer
    While I applaud Santana being such a team player and going out there to CF and giving his all, he was horrible out there. His offense, with a BABIP over .400, was predictably unsustainable and he came back down to earth.
  6. jimmer
    May had the best FIP and WAR of any starter in the rotation when he got moved to the pen and still has more WAR than any starter on the team even though he's been out of the rotation for a month. And he's two years younger than Gibson.
  7. jimmer
    So the real Gibson is the one that's the good Gibson. Use that time frame only? What about last night? Should we look at that one? Until Gibson shows he can sustain any kind of quality, you're just grabbing at the good and discarding the bad. I'm not sure anyone is saying he's bad, BTW, just not some awesome pitcher that should be, in any way, untouchable for a player of Tulo's quality.
  8. jimmer
    Gibson is a 3 WAR player? Which WAR are you using? Fangraphs says he climbed from 1.1 to 1.3 even after last night's disaster. Nowhere near 3. Tulo has a HISTORY of being great (5.3 WAR each of the previous 2 seasons). He's shown he's a top quality player.
  9. jimmer
    I agree with this post completely.
  10. jimmer
    The guy was a 1.1 WAR pitcher going into last night. I hadn't even seen the results of the game when I wrote that. He is not impressive. His peripherals are nothing special. His FIP is in the 4s, he doesn't K people. He's an average starter at best, yet some around here talk as if he's awesome. He'll be 28 before the calendar flips 2016. He is what he is right now and it certainly isn't anything jaw-dropping. There are people on this site saying they wouldn't trade him for TULO! Oh please, indeed.
  11. jimmer
    Plenty of shortstops have played the position well past 33. I'm not going to assume he moves off shortstop in his early 30s. That's a bad bet I wouldn't be willing to take.
  12. jimmer
    In any event, all of this is moot. No chance at all we'd get Tulo.
  13. jimmer
    They already hurt their short term goals by shoving May in the bullpen.
  14. jimmer
    I'll be shocked if he ever shows the skills to be a true #2.
  15. jimmer
    Tulo is an actual proven top notch player, and has been for a decade, The 'young' Gibson (who will be 28 going into the offseason) hasn't shown himself to be anything more than average at best.
  16. jimmer
    When we start talking about Tulo being an older player, does it matter that Tulo is only three years older than Gibson? And that he's actually a proven top notch player for a decade as opposed to a pitcher who hasn't shown himself to be anything more than average at best?
  17. jimmer
    I see absolutely nothing special about Gibson at all. He turns 28 this year, not 22 or 23. He is what he is at this point and it's nothing special at all. If HE is going to be the centerpiece of this rotation for year to come, we are boned.
  18. jimmer
    people seem thrilled with Gibson too. some things make no sense.
  19. jimmer
    How has Hanley looked this year? Tulo has an AWAY OPS over .819 this year, and Tulo's away OPS has been heavily affected by NL West parks, as I've shown. Additionally, he can still play shortstop, which Ramirez can't. Ramirez can't play anywhere and to say he was a below average shortstop when he did play there would be generous. It would give him too much credit. So we'd still need a shortstop. Career wRC+ of 125 for Tulo and 131 for Hanley. One has been a quality defender most of his career, they other, yeah, not so much. Tulo has been and is still a much better player.
  20. jimmer
    I don't know any Escobar Tulowitzki who plays for the Rockies so I don't think we should trade for him :-)
  21. jimmer
    Almost half of Tulo's away games have been played in NL West parks (247 of his 521 away games played) and he has, roughly, a .765 OPS combined in those parks. His overall Away OPS is .819. That makes his OPS at those four parks almost 55 points lower than his overall AWAY OPS. That means away from the four NL West parks he plays away games in, he's roughly 55 points higher than his overall AWAY OPS...around .870. Or, to look at it another way, around 100 point swing in OPS. Tulo's AWAY OPS is greatly affected by the amount of away games played in the NL West because almost half of his away games have been played in those parks, and in those parks he has a combined OPS in the .760s. It seriously drags down the overall AWAY OPS to .819. BTW, career wRC+ Home 131, Away 119. Not such a huge difference. Most players do better at home.
  22. jimmer
    Was there anywhere in my posts to suggest Coors didn't have an effect?
  23. jimmer
    If the Twins offered just Gibson for Tulo, the laughing from the Rockies front office (and around baseball if others found out), could be heard to the far reaches of the world.
  24. jimmer
    Yeah, you're mixing the very few star type players the Rockies have had with the plethora of scrubs they've had mixed in with the few stars. Tulo's away numbers as a shortstop are top of the line. And he's had to play a bunch of his away games in decidedly pitcher's parks. He would have seen a drop of his career slashline if he played somewhere else, for sure, but he still would have been the best hitting shortstop in baseball over that time.
  25. jimmer
    I'm not worried about the BA stat, so yeah, Coors inflates that. That's good. I'm saying if we think Tulo would have been some average overall hitting shortstop if he didn't play half his games at Coors, which the post I was responding to seemed to suggest, then I think that's very untrue.
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