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Jeremy Nygaard

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  1. Perfect Game is purely speculative. I asked a scout about the PG mock and he said something along the lines of, "I've never seen anyone from Perfect Game at a game I've scouted, nor has anyone from there ever contacted me." I promise you that Law, Manuel and Callis are talking to everyone that they can. They obviously have people they talk to in all the organizations, and I have no desire to do that. Manning pitches today again and the Twins will have multiple scouts in attendance.
  2. With only three weeks remaining until the MLB Draft kicks off, there is plenty of information floating around. Though trying to pinpoint the direction the Twins are going to go at #15 remains somewhat of a mystery.*Consensus (at least as far as I can reach) suggests all of A.J. Puk (1), Riley Pint (2), Jason Groome (3), Kyle Lewis (4), Nick Senzel (5), Corey Ray (6), Delvin Perez (7) and Mickey Moniak (8) will be gone before the Twins pick at #15. Those rankings are according to Baseball America and the list was compiled before I checked their rankings… so it might be safe to consider those players in their own tier. *If you’re interested in what is going on locally, Nick Hanson, a big right-handed pitcher from Prior Lake, is the prep player in the state garnering the most attention. Hanson, who isn’t listed among Baseball America’s Top 200 prospects, but checks in at #44 on Perfect Game, is committed to Kentucky. *Dalton Sawyer (LHP, Sr) leads the charge for the surprising Gophers. Sawyer passed up signing with the Twins after being drafted in the 27th round last year. He had a tough junior season but he’s definitely taken a step back in the right direction with a bounce-back year. Senior-signs are hot commodities in the first 10 rounds, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Sawyer go before the end of Day 2. *Other Gophers to keep an eye on are C Austin Athmann and P/OF Matt Fiedler. It’s unclear at which position the Twins prefer Fiedler. *Zack Collins (15) can be a "catcher", though it’s doubtful he’ll ever be an average defender. The Twins do like Collins, “an offensive force,” but appear to targeting a different batch of players. *Speaking of catchers - and everybody and their brother has an issue with their catching depth - the Twins will take a catcher in the Top 10 rounds. They always do. But they won’t take one in the first round just because they don’t have a high-profile prospect. They won’t take one that high because no one is deserving. There is plenty of depth and it’s not beyond the realm of possibility to see the Twins take a high-ceiling, long-term project like Mario Feliciano in round 3 or 4 and then take a lower-ceiling, college catcher like Jeremy Martinez later on Day 2. Regardless of the who or when, though, this draft isn’t producing an answer at Target Field before 2021… or later. *Nolan Jones (18) has been skyrocketing up draft charts this spring, but doesn’t seem to be of any interest to the Twins. Or vice versa. *In Baseball America’s most recent mock draft, Hudson Belinsky has the Twins taking Dakota Hudson, a right-hander from Mississippi State. *Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com released his first full mock draft of May 12th, a day before BA, and also had the Twins taking Hudson. *The Twins have been connected to Matt Manning, a prep power right-hander from Sacramento and in Keith Law’s first mock, released Tuesday, he paired the two. Manning is committed to Loyola Marymount and though you may seen some questions about his signability, you’re reading here that there isn’t. Interestingly, Belinsky has Matt Manning going before the Twins, while Mayo has him dropping to #21. *Perfect Game released their first mock draft on May 11 and guessed the Twins would take Connor Jones, RHP, Virginia, passing on Hudson and Manning. They will be releasing their next - and hopefully better - guesses in a week. Perfect Game, in my opinion, has taken a big step down after losing some of their best assets and doesn’t get ringing endorsements in the scouting world either, for what’s it worth. *A third name to add into the mix of Hudson and Manning is Alabama prep lefty Braxton Garrett. Though he’s been projected to be off the board on all four of the mentioned mocks, he’s a Vanderbilt commit (tricky) and a Boras client (tricky). But if it comes down to best available and Hudson and Manning aren’t, Garrett should be next in line. *While this is my sense as of today, I’ve had more than a couple people tell me that someone good is going to slide to the Twins. Not “the Twins are going to get someone good”, the word “slide” has been used. It could be a coincidence, sure. It could be an emphasis on how weird this draft is expected to be, yes. But it could be something else too… maybe? Click here to view the article
  3. *Consensus (at least as far as I can reach) suggests all of A.J. Puk (1), Riley Pint (2), Jason Groome (3), Kyle Lewis (4), Nick Senzel (5), Corey Ray (6), Delvin Perez (7) and Mickey Moniak (8) will be gone before the Twins pick at #15. Those rankings are according to Baseball America and the list was compiled before I checked their rankings… so it might be safe to consider those players in their own tier. *If you’re interested in what is going on locally, Nick Hanson, a big right-handed pitcher from Prior Lake, is the prep player in the state garnering the most attention. Hanson, who isn’t listed among Baseball America’s Top 200 prospects, but checks in at #44 on Perfect Game, is committed to Kentucky. *Dalton Sawyer (LHP, Sr) leads the charge for the surprising Gophers. Sawyer passed up signing with the Twins after being drafted in the 27th round last year. He had a tough junior season but he’s definitely taken a step back in the right direction with a bounce-back year. Senior-signs are hot commodities in the first 10 rounds, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Sawyer go before the end of Day 2. *Other Gophers to keep an eye on are C Austin Athmann and P/OF Matt Fiedler. It’s unclear at which position the Twins prefer Fiedler. *Zack Collins (15) can be a "catcher", though it’s doubtful he’ll ever be an average defender. The Twins do like Collins, “an offensive force,” but appear to targeting a different batch of players. *Speaking of catchers - and everybody and their brother has an issue with their catching depth - the Twins will take a catcher in the Top 10 rounds. They always do. But they won’t take one in the first round just because they don’t have a high-profile prospect. They won’t take one that high because no one is deserving. There is plenty of depth and it’s not beyond the realm of possibility to see the Twins take a high-ceiling, long-term project like Mario Feliciano in round 3 or 4 and then take a lower-ceiling, college catcher like Jeremy Martinez later on Day 2. Regardless of the who or when, though, this draft isn’t producing an answer at Target Field before 2021… or later. *Nolan Jones (18) has been skyrocketing up draft charts this spring, but doesn’t seem to be of any interest to the Twins. Or vice versa. *In Baseball America’s most recent mock draft, Hudson Belinsky has the Twins taking Dakota Hudson, a right-hander from Mississippi State. *Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com released his first full mock draft of May 12th, a day before BA, and also had the Twins taking Hudson. *The Twins have been connected to Matt Manning, a prep power right-hander from Sacramento and in Keith Law’s first mock, released Tuesday, he paired the two. Manning is committed to Loyola Marymount and though you may seen some questions about his signability, you’re reading here that there isn’t. Interestingly, Belinsky has Matt Manning going before the Twins, while Mayo has him dropping to #21. *Perfect Game released their first mock draft on May 11 and guessed the Twins would take Connor Jones, RHP, Virginia, passing on Hudson and Manning. They will be releasing their next - and hopefully better - guesses in a week. Perfect Game, in my opinion, has taken a big step down after losing some of their best assets and doesn’t get ringing endorsements in the scouting world either, for what’s it worth. *A third name to add into the mix of Hudson and Manning is Alabama prep lefty Braxton Garrett. Though he’s been projected to be off the board on all four of the mentioned mocks, he’s a Vanderbilt commit (tricky) and a Boras client (tricky). But if it comes down to best available and Hudson and Manning aren’t, Garrett should be next in line. *While this is my sense as of today, I’ve had more than a couple people tell me that someone good is going to slide to the Twins. Not “the Twins are going to get someone good”, the word “slide” has been used. It could be a coincidence, sure. It could be an emphasis on how weird this draft is expected to be, yes. But it could be something else too… maybe?
  4. Starting off on a positive note, Andrew Albers was named International League Pitcher of the Week and A.J. Murray was named Midwest League Player of the Week. Staying on that positive note, the affiliates won more games than they lost on Monday night. On a less positive note, Jose Berrios had the roughest start of his career. Let’s check out the action on the field.RED WINGS REPORT Rochester 2, Charlotte 3 (11 innings) Box Score After watching the end of the Twins game and settling in to write this report, I figured, “Why not watch the end of the Red Wings game?” I got logged in to milb.tv just in time to watch Charlotte outfielder Leury Garcia slide across home plate to score the game-winning run, sending Rochester to defeat and dropping their record to 20-18. The 11-inning affair lasted just over three hours, as over 6,700 people witnessed a well-pitched game. Tommy Milone allowed two runs - both solo home runs - over seven innings. He struck out four and walked none. Alex Wimmers recorded four outs, Ryan O’Rourke recorded one and the game was turned over to Marcus Walden to end the ninth. Not only did Walden get out of the ninth, he also pitched the 10th and started the 11th. Unfortunately, Walden allowed a single, then unleashed a wild pitch, allowing Garcia to enter scoring position and score he did on a game-ending single by Daniel Fields. Kennys Vargas homered in the second to start the game’s scoring. Later, in the seventh inning, with the score in favor of Charlotte 2-1, both Adam Brett Walker and Carlos Paulino drew walks. Stephen Wickens doubled, driving in Walker. Paulino was thrown out to end the inning. Vargas, Wickens and Wilfredo Tovar all contributed two hits. Max Kepler hit his fifth triple of the season. Byron Buxton did not play after being removed for precautionary reasons on Saturday. He left Saturday’s game because of back spasms. Rochester will continue this series on Tuesday. CHATTANOOGA CHATTER Chattanooga 1, Biloxi 0 (10 innings) Box Score In a season - which is still early - that we’ve seen a number of dominant starts by numerous pitchers, David Hurlbut’s performance on Monday was arguably the best so far. Nine innings. No runs. Two hits allowed. Complete game, two-hit shutout, you say? Not exactly. Not even a decision for Hurlbut as the Lookouts needed extra innings to seal the win. Hurlbut faced 28 batters, erasing one hit with a caught stealing, and struck out seven. He was lifted after throwing 94 pitches. (I would have let him go back for the 10th because, why not?!) The Lookouts had a few opportunities to score earlier in the game, but those threats ended more than once with Daniel Palka striking out. So in the 10th, after Stuart Turner singled to lead off the inning and he was moved over by a Levi Michael sacrifice bunt, Biloxi intentionally walked Leo Reginatto to get to Palka, who - along with batting nearly .300 - had four strikeouts on the evening. No wise. A wild pitch left first base open… but Biloxi elected to pitch to Palka and he ended the game with a ground ball to third base that scored Turner for a walk-off win. Jake Reed was credited with the win for working a scoreless 10th. Turner and Joe Maloney both had two-hit games. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 5, Dunedin 2 Box Score Different night, mostly same idea: When is this pitcher going to get promoted? Tonight’s edition was Kohl Stewart. While fighting his command, Stewart still dominated for six shutout innings, walking three and allowing three hits. He struck out four. Stewart dropped his ERA to 1.77 and is nipping on Gonsalves’s heals to hopefully earn this promotion. Brandon Peterson did his part to preserve the shutout, striking out three in two innings. Raul Fernandez, however, did not. He allowed a two-run home run in the ninth inning. The top of the order: Logan Wade (double, triple, 2 RBI, run), Chris Paul (two doubles, RBI, run) and Nick Gordon (three hits, home run, RBI, run) combined to go 7-for-15 with five extra-base hits, three runs and four runs batted in. Gordon, now batting .331, also stole his sixth base. Fort Myers improves to 22-16. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids - DAY OFF TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Pitcher of the Day – David Hurlbut. Chattanooga Hitter of the Day – Nick Gordon, Fort Myers TUESDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester @ Charlotte (6:05PM CST) – LHP Andrew Albers Biloxi @ Chattanooga (6:15PM CST) - RHP Aaron Slegers Fort Myers @ Dunedin (10:00AM CST) – LHP Tyler Jay (3-2, 3.03 ERA) Beloit @ Cedar Rapids (6:35PM CST) – RHP Cody Stashak (2-2, 1.95 ERA) Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss Monday’s games. Click here to view the article
  5. RED WINGS REPORT Rochester 2, Charlotte 3 (11 innings) Box Score After watching the end of the Twins game and settling in to write this report, I figured, “Why not watch the end of the Red Wings game?” I got logged in to milb.tv just in time to watch Charlotte outfielder Leury Garcia slide across home plate to score the game-winning run, sending Rochester to defeat and dropping their record to 20-18. The 11-inning affair lasted just over three hours, as over 6,700 people witnessed a well-pitched game. Tommy Milone allowed two runs - both solo home runs - over seven innings. He struck out four and walked none. Alex Wimmers recorded four outs, Ryan O’Rourke recorded one and the game was turned over to Marcus Walden to end the ninth. Not only did Walden get out of the ninth, he also pitched the 10th and started the 11th. Unfortunately, Walden allowed a single, then unleashed a wild pitch, allowing Garcia to enter scoring position and score he did on a game-ending single by Daniel Fields. Kennys Vargas homered in the second to start the game’s scoring. Later, in the seventh inning, with the score in favor of Charlotte 2-1, both Adam Brett Walker and Carlos Paulino drew walks. Stephen Wickens doubled, driving in Walker. Paulino was thrown out to end the inning. Vargas, Wickens and Wilfredo Tovar all contributed two hits. Max Kepler hit his fifth triple of the season. Byron Buxton did not play after being removed for precautionary reasons on Saturday. He left Saturday’s game because of back spasms. Rochester will continue this series on Tuesday. CHATTANOOGA CHATTER Chattanooga 1, Biloxi 0 (10 innings) Box Score In a season - which is still early - that we’ve seen a number of dominant starts by numerous pitchers, David Hurlbut’s performance on Monday was arguably the best so far. Nine innings. No runs. Two hits allowed. Complete game, two-hit shutout, you say? Not exactly. Not even a decision for Hurlbut as the Lookouts needed extra innings to seal the win. Hurlbut faced 28 batters, erasing one hit with a caught stealing, and struck out seven. He was lifted after throwing 94 pitches. (I would have let him go back for the 10th because, why not?!) The Lookouts had a few opportunities to score earlier in the game, but those threats ended more than once with Daniel Palka striking out. So in the 10th, after Stuart Turner singled to lead off the inning and he was moved over by a Levi Michael sacrifice bunt, Biloxi intentionally walked Leo Reginatto to get to Palka, who - along with batting nearly .300 - had four strikeouts on the evening. No wise. A wild pitch left first base open… but Biloxi elected to pitch to Palka and he ended the game with a ground ball to third base that scored Turner for a walk-off win. Jake Reed was credited with the win for working a scoreless 10th. Turner and Joe Maloney both had two-hit games. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 5, Dunedin 2 Box Score Different night, mostly same idea: When is this pitcher going to get promoted? Tonight’s edition was Kohl Stewart. While fighting his command, Stewart still dominated for six shutout innings, walking three and allowing three hits. He struck out four. Stewart dropped his ERA to 1.77 and is nipping on Gonsalves’s heals to hopefully earn this promotion. Brandon Peterson did his part to preserve the shutout, striking out three in two innings. Raul Fernandez, however, did not. He allowed a two-run home run in the ninth inning. The top of the order: Logan Wade (double, triple, 2 RBI, run), Chris Paul (two doubles, RBI, run) and Nick Gordon (three hits, home run, RBI, run) combined to go 7-for-15 with five extra-base hits, three runs and four runs batted in. Gordon, now batting .331, also stole his sixth base. Fort Myers improves to 22-16. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids - DAY OFF TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Pitcher of the Day – David Hurlbut. Chattanooga Hitter of the Day – Nick Gordon, Fort Myers TUESDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Rochester @ Charlotte (6:05PM CST) – LHP Andrew Albers Biloxi @ Chattanooga (6:15PM CST) - RHP Aaron Slegers Fort Myers @ Dunedin (10:00AM CST) – LHP Tyler Jay (3-2, 3.03 ERA) Beloit @ Cedar Rapids (6:35PM CST) – RHP Cody Stashak (2-2, 1.95 ERA) Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss Monday’s games.
  6. Yeah. It's JJ Schwarz. Hence my #Suck4Schwarz campaign on Twitter.
  7. Molina signed for $300k. Comparing the bonuses to the draft pool isn't exactly apples and oranges, but I'll agree with your point that the team hasn't made a significant investment in the position in along time. I just don't think this draft is the place to start.
  8. I've been digging on Thaiss. Doesn't sound like he's in the mix at #15 as of now. But that could change.
  9. 2015: Took Jay at #6. Next catcher to be taken: Tyler Stephenson at #11, batting .130 with a .400 OPS in low-A ball. 2014; Took Gordon at #5. Next catcher to be taken: Max Pentecost at #11, had shoulder surgery, missed 2015, had another shoulder surgery, might play first base this year after he returns for another shoulder surgery. 2013: Took Stewart at #4. Next catcher to be taken: Reese McGuire at #14. At one point there was a rumor that the Twins were going to cut a deal with McGuire and people were uberp*ssed on these boards. Anyway, he's batting .227 at AA and has dropped out of Top 100s. 2012: Took Buxton at #2. Next catcher to be taken: Mike Zunino at #3. Zunino, a sure thing, has a sub-.200 average in over 1000 big league plate appearances. 2011: Took Michael at #30. Next catcher to be taken: Brett Austin at #45. Didn't sign, went to NC State... became a 4th round pick three years later. He's a .215 lifetime hitter in the minors. 2010: Took Wimmers at #21. Next catcher to be taken: Kellin Deglan, who's batting .172 in AA. Next catcher taken after that: Justin O'Connor, who I preferred to Deglan, at #31. O'Connor is batting .231 at AA. Wouldn't you take Turner and Garver over any of those guys? The Twins have invested a first-round pick in a catcher, when they traded Aaron Hicks for John Ryan Murphy, who was a 2nd round pick himself. In the history of the draft, there are only a dozen or so first-round catchers (who remained at catcher for any extended period of time) who produced a career bWAR over 10. So, please, don't do it... especially when no one merits being picked that high. The Twins invested decent-sized bonuses in a few international guys within the last few years: Rainis Silva, Robert Molina and Darling Cuesto... of course they'll take a while to pan out. They also draft Brian Navarreto, who was a Top 100 prospect but fell because of some makeup issues (starting a bench-clearing brawl). Of course, that all happened post-Mauer move and not having a backup plan is indefensible. So it's not that they haven't made investments, they just haven't made wise investments - which you don't like - but now you're wanting them to compound that by reaching for a guy that - statistics show - isn't likely to pan out. I had a solution to this two years ago... 7/27/14 @jeremynygaard: Has Francisco Cervelli even played enough to know if he could be a starting catcher full-time? 7/31/14 @jeremynygaard: @tlschwerz I'll trade Hammer and a low-level prospect for Cervelli. That would make this all easier wouldn't it.
  10. I talked to one scout yesterday that suggested that a really good pitcher could fall to #15 simply because there are so few hitters in this class that teams could start reaching for them early. I would bet a large chunk of money that the best player available - the way the Twins usually draft - will be a pitcher and likely a prep one.
  11. All which is fine, but far from taking "best catcher available" at 15. Both of those guys and others mentioned are second round talents.
  12. You don't take best catcher available because it would be a huge reach. Collins isn't a catcher. He could catch, but not something you want him to do regularly. I had two scouts yesterday tell me he's not a catcher, one saying best case is Vogt. Go down the list and you're not guaranteed to get a guy that sticks until you get to Cooper Johnson... and he's a repeat of Stuart Turner. You can't do that at 15. Later? Sure. Considering how bad the team is now, you can have your pick of the lot in 2017. JJ Schwarz is the guy. Stick behind the plate and be an able average hitter. Team will have their choices of Murphy, Turner, Garver, Centeno next year. It ain't pretty but it's not so bad that you reach at 15.
  13. Whitley isn't without warts. There was some talk earlier that he was going to skip out on this year's draft.
  14. Haven't heard too much on him and haven't dug either. I don't think the Twins draft a catcher early and Okey should go in round 2.
  15. All of this, but I don't worry that the Twins wouldn't know the price tag. Cody's not signing came down to a disagreement about his shoulder, not that the Twins hadn't done their work.
  16. Wentz should have been included in the batch that falls on pre-draft deals. While it may not be those particular guys, that's the pattern I think we see. I do like Lowe and I'd take him, but I'm getting some sense that bats are gonna go because there aren't many and pitchers could fall. I haven't really lined up my preference behind Garrett, but there are a decent number of prep arms that all fit in that range.
  17. Garrett would be my pick of the litter, but being a Boras guy might not bode well for the Twins at 15.
  18. I had Manning and Wentz both under consideration at 8. My scribble must have confused me. Manning at 8. Wentz at 24.
  19. Senzel is repped by Boras, so that's where the Scott came in, since, you know, Boras makes the call. I'll get to the other ones later tonight.
  20. The draft is less than a month away and, at this point, nothing is very clear. There have been a number of injuries to significant players and fringe first-rounders alike - both major injuries and little nagging injuries that make it hard for teams to get a read on players. So what’s it going to boil down to? Sometimes it’s the last impression that’s the strongest. Other times it’s a player meeting a team’s offer in the days leading up to the draft. Obviously neither of those things have happened yet.There is some feeling around the league that this year’s draft sees an unprecedented number of pre-draft deals. But that’s something I hear every year. Some teams - like the Astros - have gotten really good at playing the draft. You don’t think Daz Cameron dropped to them at 37 by pure happenstance do you? They had it worked out before. They offered him $4 million and he (and his advisor) knew that if he went to anyone else in the first round, that he wasn’t getting $4 million. So they threw out an absurd demand and no one touched him. Expect more of the same this year with the Phillies, Reds, Braves and Padres in a great position to throw their weight around. What those teams, and possibly a couple of others, can do is offer money to players expected to go in the mid- to late-teens that they wouldn’t get if they went in the mid- to late-teens. History suggests the most volatile group of draft-eligible players are high school pitchers, so it’s likely we see some of those guys drop. Here’s my first shot at a mock draft: PHILLIES - Jason Groome, LHP, New Jersey HS. Groome’s stock took a slight hit when he was ruled ineligible after transferring back home from IMG Academy in Florida. For now, I have Groome as the guy taking the Phillies offer of $6 million and banking another $3 million. My gut tells me that by the time the draft rolls around, it’s going to be Kyle Lewis hearing his name called first and the Phillies spending their savings on a high school pitcher at 42. (NOTE: Jayson Stark tweeted yesterday afternoon that there are rumblings that the Phillies may be turning their attention to Kyle Lewis. Since I had already completed my mock, I didn’t think I should change it.)REDS - Kyle Lewis, OF, Mercer. I don’t have any doubt that the Reds would take Lewis at this point if he’s available. But sometimes arms stare you in the face and you can’t pass on them. The Reds have picks 35 and 43 as well, so they’ll have an opportunity to cut a deal and replenish their system.BRAVES - Riley Pint, RHP, Kansas HS. I don’t love this pick for the Braves, but they’ve been stockpiling arms over the last couple of years and Pint would add another dynamic arm to the system.ROCKIES - A.J. Puk, LHP, Florida. Puk could be the first name off the board, but if teams are looking to make deals, all bets are off.BREWERS - Dakota Hudson, RHP, Mississippi State. The Brewers have had some very strong drafts in the last few years and add the best arm available to kick off their picks this year.A’S - Mickey Moniak, OF, California HS. There’s been some steam that there could be a deal here. I’d be surprised if there was one in place already, but it makes sense.MARLINS - Delvin Perez, SS, Puerto Rico HS. Unfairly compared to Carlos Correa, Perez was one of the first players I heard about as a first-rounder in this draft (probably about 16 months ago). The Marlins, who should have taken Carlos Rodon instead of Tyler Kolek for various reasons, have plenty of reasons to make Perez their guy.PADRES - Matt Manning, RHP, California HS. Whoever goes here, he will be the first of three solid picks. Look for the Padres to skim here to assure getting three really good players in the first round.TIGERS - Scott Senzel, 3B, Tennessee. Not a perfect fit, but the Tigers lineup isn’t getting any younger.WHITE SOX - Corey Ray, OF, Louisville. This would fit their recent trend of drafting more developed players.MARINERS - Zack Collins, C, Miami. Nothing more than a hunch really. (And hoping he’ll be gone before the Twins have a chance to draft a future first baseman.)RED SOX - Blake Rutherford, OF, California HS. Though the Red Sox have an abundance of outfield depth, Rutherford provides value as the best player available.RAYS - Braxton Garrett, LHP, Alabama HS. A Vandy commit with Boras as his rep, Garrett could be a player who drops due to signability (to a team that makes extra room). For now I have him going here. If the Twins have a shot at him - and believe they can sign him - they would pull the trigger.INDIANS - Josh Lowe, 3B, Georgia HS. Lowe would look great in the Twins system, but the Indians have taken a number of players that I’ve had that same feeling about it. So I project they’ll do the same.TWINS - Forrest Whitley, RHP, Texas HS. There were no up-the-middle prospects worth taking at fifteen, so it mostly came down to high-ceiling prep pitchers. The Twins had always been known for taking safe college arms, but with the exception of Kyle Gibson, that strategy hasn’t really panned out. The prep pitchers, however, have made some progress, led by the filthiness of Jose Berrios, the emergence of Stephen Gonsalves and the rejuvenation of Kohl Stewart. (I don’t think the Twins would “do-over” the Tyler Jay pick, but I think they got caught up in their own success and took a player who had the potential to make a big impact.) Whitley is a big-bodied prep with room to grow and has the ceiling to be an impactful front-of-the-rotation starter.​One name that I wouldn’t sleep on here is Zack Burdi. It has nothing to do with big brother Nick. There’s some belief that Zack has the tools to make the transition into a successful starter with a fastball/slider/changeup mix. The Twins have made that transition successfully with Tyler Duffey and have recently been adding power arms as well. Little Burdi fits the mold. There are some names that probably should be included, but are not. For example, Ian Anderson, Matt Manning and Alex Kirilloff are all legitimate Top 15 talents. But as I mentioned in the intro, teams are going to have money to throw around. If I were to continue this particular mock, I would have Manning dropping to the Padres at 24, Anderson dropping to the Reds at 35 and Kirilloff sliding to the Phillies at 42. Each of these three players would be in line to make significantly more than if they were drafted by the Twins at 15 (or another team in that vicinity.) There’s still a lot of time for things to change and even the most plugged-in people in the country would tell you - at this point - it’s a crapshoot. Hope you enjoyed, fire away! Click here to view the article
  21. There is some feeling around the league that this year’s draft sees an unprecedented number of pre-draft deals. But that’s something I hear every year. Some teams - like the Astros - have gotten really good at playing the draft. You don’t think Daz Cameron dropped to them at 37 by pure happenstance do you? They had it worked out before. They offered him $4 million and he (and his advisor) knew that if he went to anyone else in the first round, that he wasn’t getting $4 million. So they threw out an absurd demand and no one touched him. Expect more of the same this year with the Phillies, Reds, Braves and Padres in a great position to throw their weight around. What those teams, and possibly a couple of others, can do is offer money to players expected to go in the mid- to late-teens that they wouldn’t get if they went in the mid- to late-teens. History suggests the most volatile group of draft-eligible players are high school pitchers, so it’s likely we see some of those guys drop. Here’s my first shot at a mock draft: PHILLIES - Jason Groome, LHP, New Jersey HS. Groome’s stock took a slight hit when he was ruled ineligible after transferring back home from IMG Academy in Florida. For now, I have Groome as the guy taking the Phillies offer of $6 million and banking another $3 million. My gut tells me that by the time the draft rolls around, it’s going to be Kyle Lewis hearing his name called first and the Phillies spending their savings on a high school pitcher at 42. (NOTE: Jayson Stark tweeted yesterday afternoon that there are rumblings that the Phillies may be turning their attention to Kyle Lewis. Since I had already completed my mock, I didn’t think I should change it.) REDS - Kyle Lewis, OF, Mercer. I don’t have any doubt that the Reds would take Lewis at this point if he’s available. But sometimes arms stare you in the face and you can’t pass on them. The Reds have picks 35 and 43 as well, so they’ll have an opportunity to cut a deal and replenish their system. BRAVES - Riley Pint, RHP, Kansas HS. I don’t love this pick for the Braves, but they’ve been stockpiling arms over the last couple of years and Pint would add another dynamic arm to the system. ROCKIES - A.J. Puk, LHP, Florida. Puk could be the first name off the board, but if teams are looking to make deals, all bets are off. BREWERS - Dakota Hudson, RHP, Mississippi State. The Brewers have had some very strong drafts in the last few years and add the best arm available to kick off their picks this year. A’S - Mickey Moniak, OF, California HS. There’s been some steam that there could be a deal here. I’d be surprised if there was one in place already, but it makes sense. MARLINS - Delvin Perez, SS, Puerto Rico HS. Unfairly compared to Carlos Correa, Perez was one of the first players I heard about as a first-rounder in this draft (probably about 16 months ago). The Marlins, who should have taken Carlos Rodon instead of Tyler Kolek for various reasons, have plenty of reasons to make Perez their guy. PADRES - Matt Manning, RHP, California HS. Whoever goes here, he will be the first of three solid picks. Look for the Padres to skim here to assure getting three really good players in the first round. TIGERS - Scott Senzel, 3B, Tennessee. Not a perfect fit, but the Tigers lineup isn’t getting any younger. WHITE SOX - Corey Ray, OF, Louisville. This would fit their recent trend of drafting more developed players. MARINERS - Zack Collins, C, Miami. Nothing more than a hunch really. (And hoping he’ll be gone before the Twins have a chance to draft a future first baseman.) RED SOX - Blake Rutherford, OF, California HS. Though the Red Sox have an abundance of outfield depth, Rutherford provides value as the best player available. RAYS - Braxton Garrett, LHP, Alabama HS. A Vandy commit with Boras as his rep, Garrett could be a player who drops due to signability (to a team that makes extra room). For now I have him going here. If the Twins have a shot at him - and believe they can sign him - they would pull the trigger. INDIANS - Josh Lowe, 3B, Georgia HS. Lowe would look great in the Twins system, but the Indians have taken a number of players that I’ve had that same feeling about it. So I project they’ll do the same. TWINS - Forrest Whitley, RHP, Texas HS. There were no up-the-middle prospects worth taking at fifteen, so it mostly came down to high-ceiling prep pitchers. The Twins had always been known for taking safe college arms, but with the exception of Kyle Gibson, that strategy hasn’t really panned out. The prep pitchers, however, have made some progress, led by the filthiness of Jose Berrios, the emergence of Stephen Gonsalves and the rejuvenation of Kohl Stewart. (I don’t think the Twins would “do-over” the Tyler Jay pick, but I think they got caught up in their own success and took a player who had the potential to make a big impact.) Whitley is a big-bodied prep with room to grow and has the ceiling to be an impactful front-of-the-rotation starter. ​One name that I wouldn’t sleep on here is Zack Burdi. It has nothing to do with big brother Nick. There’s some belief that Zack has the tools to make the transition into a successful starter with a fastball/slider/changeup mix. The Twins have made that transition successfully with Tyler Duffey and have recently been adding power arms as well. Little Burdi fits the mold. There are some names that probably should be included, but are not. For example, Ian Anderson, Matt Manning and Alex Kirilloff are all legitimate Top 15 talents. But as I mentioned in the intro, teams are going to have money to throw around. If I were to continue this particular mock, I would have Manning dropping to the Padres at 24, Anderson dropping to the Reds at 35 and Kirilloff sliding to the Phillies at 42. Each of these three players would be in line to make significantly more than if they were drafted by the Twins at 15 (or another team in that vicinity.) There’s still a lot of time for things to change and even the most plugged-in people in the country would tell you - at this point - it’s a crapshoot. Hope you enjoyed, fire away!
  22. The answer to "who's next in line" seems clear to me. From a USA Today article last year: Torii Hunter. "Hunter, you see, wants to be a GM one day. If he retires after this season, he hopes to work in the Twins' front office, learning under Ryan, while also working in TV." A "Twins guy", but not the way they typically roll. Mientkiewicz replaces Molitor. Jones replaces Bruno. Pierzynski replaces Vavra. ESPN shoots a new cover, "The Team That Saved the Twins."
  23. There's been so much happening with the Twins and in the minors - there have only been 7 days since the minor season started that there haven't been transactions - that it seems like the dust hasn't settled enough to make some moves. The short list of guys that deserve promotions, in my opinion: Daniel Palka to play a cOF spot in Rochester. Stephen Gonsalves can replace Bencomo in Chattanooga's rotation. LaMonte Wade should go to Fort Myers (and maybe Corcino should go to Rochester). Maybe bring Minier up from EST or an organizational-type outfielder. You can always shuffle the bullpens around, so I'm not going to get into that. I like Rogers in the rotation. Sure he probably fits best in the bullpen, but this suits him just fine. Develop your best pitchers by letting them pitch the most.
  24. You can be in DFA limbo for ten days. But the waiver period is 48 hours, so you'd have to place them on waivers if nothing happened the first eight days. I think there is a fairly decent chance that Graham gets claimed, so timing is important.
  25. ...but not for the Twins! The affiliates went 3-for-3 on Monday night. Monday weather in the Midwest wreaked havoc on both the Twins and Kernels games, but there was still plenty of action within the organization off the field, on the field and on the transaction page. The Florida State League named OF Edgar Corcino Player of the Week. Corcino batted 12-for-23 over the last six games, hitting two home runs for the Miracle. The Twins announced that Ryan O’Rourke cleared waivers and will join the Rochester Red Wings. The Kernels also made a bevy of moves, activating P Michael Cederoth and OF Daniel Kihle, swapping catchers Brian Olson (from extended) with Bryant Heyman (to extended), and placing P Logan Lombana on the restricted list. Manager Jake Mauer later confirmed with the media that Lombana was indeed facing a PED suspension. Seth also posted Monday evening that spring training non-roster invitee and current Fort Myers C Alex Swim is retiring. Good luck to Alex in whatever step is next after baseball. Now let’s check out the action on the field.RED WINGS REPORT Rochester 6, Gwinnett 3 Box Score The Red Wings got back to .500 (18-18) with a victory Monday night. Buck Britton drove in Byron Buxton and Max Kepler in the first inning to start the scoring. Gwinnett tied the score in the fourth inning, but a Britton triple followed by a John Ryan Murphy sacrifice fly gave the Red Wings a 3-2 lead in the bottom half of the inning. Gwinnett scored again in the top half of the fifth to even the score at three apiece. Rochester pulled away with a three-run seventh. With one-out, Wilfredo Tovar drew a walk and advanced to third on a Stephen Wickens single. Byron Buxton singled Tovar in. After a ground out advanced both runners into scoring position, Max Kepler drove them in with the third single of the inning. Buxton and Britton both had two hits to lead the offense. Taylor Rogers is transitioning back into the rotation. Extending to 66 pitches, Rogers went five innings allowing five hits and three runs. He struck out two and walked none. With all the moves so far this season, it will be nice for Rochester to have their most consistent starter from last year back in the rotation long-term. Dan Runzler and Buddy Boshers both pitched two scoreless innings to get the win and save, respectively. The revolving door that is the Twins bullpen could see either or both of these guys entering at some point this summer. Rochester announced Monday night that Tommy Milone would be making his Rochester debut on Tuesday against Gwinnett. CHATTANOOGA CHATTER Chattanooga 12, Pensacola 3 Box Score Pensacola scored the first run of the game, but you’re not going to lose many games if you put up crooked numbers in four different innings and that is exactly what Chattanooga did on Monday night. After the third inning started with T.J. White reaching base on an error, both Ryan Walker and Shannon Wilkerson singled to load the bases. Zach Granite struck out for the first out of the inning, but Travis Harrison was able to knock White in with a single and keep the bases loaded. D.J. Hicks had a two-run single of his own and the Lookouts had a 3-1 lead. Chattanooga wasn’t done, though. Mitch Garver doubled to score both Harrison and Hicks and the lead was pushed to 5-1. The Lookouts added two more runs in the fourth inning. Walked tripled to score White, who singled and Wilkerson knocked Walker in and expanded the lead to 7-1. Pensacola got two runs back in the sixth to make it 7-3. But Chattanooga answered with three runs in the seventh and two runs in the eighth. Ryan Walker plated Hicks and Garver with run-producing single and Wilkerson drove White in. In the eighth, Mitch Garver hit a two-run home run. The offense came to play, led by Mitch Garver who drove in four and was a triple short of the cycle. Wilkerson had three hits and drove in two. Ryan Walker went 4-for-4 with a triple and three RBI in his AA home debut. Only Granite failed to get a hit. D.J. Baxendale earned his second win of the season. He allowed three runs on five hits and three walks. He struck out five. Mason Melotakis and Luke Westphal each pitched a scoreless frame. MIRACLE MATTERS Fort Myers 10, Bradenton 6 Box Score The Miracled scored the first ten runs of the game... and did we witness the final start of Stephen Gonsalves’s Miracle career? Newly-added spark plug Tanner Witt walked and stole second to open the game. Edgar Corcino, mentioned in the lead, doubled him in and later scored on a Trey Vavra double-play ball. Fort Myers came back with another pair in the fourth. Logan Wade singled and stole second before scoring on a Kevin Garcia RBI groundout. Max Murphy, who also singled, scored on a throwing error. With a 4-0 lead, the Miracle put their foot on the gas and scored five more in the fifth. Corcino singles. Chris Paul singles. Vavra singles. Logan Wade hits a two-run double. After finally recording an out, both Max Murphy and Garcia are hit by pitches, driving in Vavra. Chad Christensen drove Wade in with a single and Tanner Witt, the 9th batter of 11 in the inning, drove in Murphy with a walk. Vavra homered in the sixth. Stephen Gonsalves was masterful (again). In 6 1/3 innings, he gave up no runs on two hits. He did walk four, but also struck out eight and lowered his ERA to 1.21. An ERA that’s inflated by a three-run home run he gave up in his first inning of the year. It's definitely time for Gonsalves to move on, but if you look at the course of his career, it seems every promotion has come weeks (or longer) after he's completely deserving of it. Why would this time be any different? The bullpen of Todd Van Steensel (four runs) and Brian Gilbert (two unearned runs) gave back six runs in less than three innings. Vavra and Wade had three-hit nights for an offense that was clicking on all cylinders. Only Witt, who batted leadoff, didn’t get a hit, but he drew two walks. Fort Myers improves to 18-13. KERNELS NUGGETS Cedar Rapids vs Kane County Postponed. Doubleheader on Tuesday. TWINS DAILY PLAYERS OF THE DAY Pitcher of the Day – Stephen Gonsalves, Fort Myers Hitter of the Day – Mitch Garver, Chattanooga TUESDAY’S PROBABLE STARTERS Gwinnett @ Rochester (6:05PM CST) – LHP Tommy Milone (2016 AAA Debut) Pensacola @ Chattanooga (6:15PM CST) - LHP David Hurlbut (2-1, 6.59 ERA) Bradenton @ Fort Myers (6:05PM CST) – RHP Kohl Stewart (2-0, 1.91 ERA) Kane County @ Cedar Rapids (5:35PM CST, Game 1) – RHP Cody Stashak (2-1, 1.66 ERA) Kane County @ Cedar Rapids (Game 2) – RHP Randy LeBlanc (3-2, 1.16) Please feel free to ask any questions and discuss Monday’s games. Click here to view the article
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