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Everything posted by Possumlad
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Carlos Correa Saved the Twins Offseason
Possumlad replied to Ted Schwerzler's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This is an odd take. How many "superstars" do you think there are in the MLB? If it's more than 5-10, Correa is one of them. He had the 23rd highest WAR in baseball among position players - essentially the same WAR as Juan Soto, Lindor, Carlos Rodon, and Altuve. Are those players superstars? He's not Judge or Ohtani, but he's right there in that next group and plays a super-premium position.- 37 replies
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- carlos correa
- kyle farmer
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It's temping to see a correlation here, but the best evidence indicates there likely isn't one. Injuries are way up among pitchers, but it's likely due to the fact that pitchers are throwing (on average) quite a bit harder than they used to. Almost hard to believe, but as recently as the 1980s the AVG fastball velocity was somewhere between 84 & 87MPH. 200 innings with a 92-96 mph fastball is a LOT more stress on the arm & elbow than 200 innings sitting 84-87mph. Huge amounts of torque in the delivery nowadays, more than ever.
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NEW TRADE RUMOR FEATURE, please read and comment
Possumlad replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
100% awesome and useful if that's what it is. And agree with the previous poster: it's useless if it's any version of user generated speculation. Thanks all for everything you do on this site - incredible content. -
Week in Review: Wearing Thin
Possumlad replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not really much to talk about; is what it is. I think we've all collectively had our fair share of COVID and Vax conversations over the past 2+ years. Not worth more energy or ink at this point. -
I'm always surprised at how much sentiment shifts, even subtly, based on one or two games. Twins offense has been fine this year; they're 11 in MLB in OPS. Keep in mind that scoring & offense in general is way down in the MLB this year; it's all compared to what. Pitching has been great; 6th lowest ERA in MLB.
- 21 replies
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- dylan bundy
- trevor larnach
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Twins 4, A's 3: Bullpen Completes Sweep of Oakland
Possumlad replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Not to be nitpicky, but Royce Lewis isn't 20. He's 22, turning 23 in June.- 40 replies
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- chris paddack
- gilberto celestino
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Lol. Editors, please make a note to never call start "impressive" until the pitcher clicks from 4 2/3 innings to 5. TwinsDr you've made this bizarre point like 7 times in the thread now; it makes no sense, and no one cares.
- 42 replies
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- joe ryan
- carlos correa
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Lotta angsty energy on this board after one of the more fun & interesting victories of the year. Not everything always goes according to plan in baseball. While they're seemingly yet to hit a real stride, the Twins are winning games and I'm having fun. If this thread is what we get after a almost no-hit, walk-off W, I'll take it as a reminder not to be hang around after a loss
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- kenta maeda
- twins win
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It's not really a "problem," as no one in the thread or article is suggesting we should pay him like an ace, or that he'd demand it. 5/60 is middle of the rotation money, and probably right around what Berrios deserves at this point. Maybe a bit more if you're willing to be on his age & remaining upside.
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In Win-Now Mode, Twins Keeping Graterol in Bullpen
Possumlad replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes I did. The second (in particular) indicates that usage/volume is a contributing factor to injuy in pitchers. Of course injuries can happen for other reasons, but it's both logical--and proveable--that more usage increases the likelihood of injury. And this would make particular sense for someone without a ton of usage in recent seasons. -
In Win-Now Mode, Twins Keeping Graterol in Bullpen
Possumlad replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
This isn't really an "in my opinion" question - given his lack of extended work, he's far more likely to to have arm issues starting & racking up innings over the course of the year. There have been actual studies to this end, and luckily the Twins don't need to rely on your apparently un-researched opinion. Two examples of recent studies: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6350667/ and http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/2016/01/predicting-pitcher-injuries/ -
Your best overall hitters should be at the top of the line-up - on base percentage is one component of "best," but not the only one. Being at the top of the line-up means you get substantially more at-bats over the course of the season than someone further down. And the goal should be to get the most possible at bats for your best overall hitters over the course of the season. Blindly plugging the player w/ the highest OBP in to the #1 slot--regardless of other factors--makes no sense at all, and would almost certainly produce fewer total runs over the course of the season than a more optimal line-up.
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I'm not sure of corroboration, but Beltran's supposed niece tweeted about the buzzer scheme today, saying that Altuve & Bregman had buzzers on their right shoulders tipping them to pitches. This would make a lot more sense of Altuve's very odd behavior after his walk-off HR against Chapman in the ALCS. On his way to home-plate, he instructs teammates not to rip his shirt off & holds his jersey closed. And then he runs straight in to the dugout and changes in to a tshirt. Here's some of the video: https://twitter.com/MarcFarzetta/status/1217897217584963584 and to the dugout: https://twitter.com/RealShelfy/status/1217908818190962693 Trevor Bauer chimed in today as well, saying he heard from "multiple sources" the Astros players wore buzzers in 2017: https://www.wkyc.com/article/sports/mlb/trevor-bauer-says-he-heard-astros-players-wore-buzzers-to-tip-off-pitches/95-1cddd342-5cdb-42d9-b311-493bccaa47d6
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Post-Donaldson signing, the Twins are in the envious position of knowing exactly where the roster needs work. For the next 2-3 years (at least), they can basically just ignore the offense & focus all their front office efforts on the rotation & bullpen. That's a great spot to be.
- 134 replies
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- randy dobnak
- lewis thorpe
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Front Page: Josh Donaldson, Bringer of Rings
Possumlad replied to Matthew Trueblood's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Absolutely! And there's no reason at all the payroll can't (or shouldn't) go above 50% of revenues during potential championship windows. -
Agreed, I love this as well! I have to admit I mostly scan the longer stories for the names of top prospects. Obviously incredible work either way, but nothing wrong with this truncated/summary format in my opinion. As AZTwin says, you could always add commentary where warranted.
- 11 replies
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- bailey ober
- lamonte wade
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Article: MIN 7, STL 1: Five Alive
Possumlad replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Incredible post. Reusse himself couldn't produce such a harmonious blend of old-school MN cynicism, parade raining, "real ball players" mumbo jumbo, and hyperbolic early-season doom & gloom. Hopefully they get back to losing so Number3 cheers up a little bit!- 42 replies
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- jake odorizzi
- eddie rosario
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Agree, and I don't think it will be long..
- 17 replies
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- brent rooker
- ariel montesino
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Article: Breaking Byron Buxton
Possumlad replied to Parker Hageman's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Your second assertion is flat-out false. Buxton would net a significant return if the Twins decided to trade him (they won't). -
Article: Twins Daily Official MLB Draft Day 1
Possumlad replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Well I assume he'll focus on whichever looks most promising early in his MiLB career (assuming he does both out of the gates). Given that, 50% on each seems about right given only the information we have today. Of course if he fails at one the probability that he later suceeds at it falls a bunch, but I'm not sure how we'd know that today.- 720 replies
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- hunter greene
- brendan mckay
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