The Wise One

Owners do not lose money on the sports in in the higher level of sports. The arena football leagues folded because of lack of money, The spring football leagues and others have folded for a lack of money. How many soccer teams have folded? The sports team may be a hobby, but they they do follow one rule, do not spend more than you make. Find a baseball club that spent more than they made. Tigers had a huge payroll when they signed Zimmerman and Upton. Payroll was still 100 million less than revenue. The first clue they run a lean scouting department is all of their successful drafts. Billionaires did not become billionaires by having 100 million dollar hobbies.

Ground balls to left field. What is the percent that are outs? The problem in left field would be the flyballs that are not outs.

Way back in the day I do believe they called it "creative writing".

Do defensive metrics matter? Look at a spray chart of Keuchel and Gonzales of where the balls go. Look at DRS of 3b, ss, and left field for the White Sox. . They all average -9 DRS. Keuchel and Gonzales are below average strikeout pitchers. That should skew their projections down. Yet I don't think they projection systems take into account the changes in a team's defense. So either the projection can be of limited use or the defensive metrics are of little use

It does seem like the claim was either by an over exuberant Sox fan or a writer being sarcastic but since it was on the internet the sarcasm intended was lost.

Yes on Walker if there are other moves for a competent starting pitcher. The team will need at least 3-4 mlb capable starting pitchers in Rochester.

It is. Ryu’s last shot at a big contract. All it takes is one team to bite on the 4th year. The Angel might be that team. Pujohls and Upton will be off the roster by then.

The rule v draft set Javier's prospect ranking. It should be a lot further down on a list. If any one of 29 teams thought he was a top 20 talent he would have been drafted.

What about the draft pick. My God with that draft pick and the genius of the front office they could be drafting the next Walter Johnson. link provided for proper reference of his greatness

Health is the issue. The team that knows his health the best essentially released him. That should be the big red flag. Bouncing back this year from shoulder and back issues may not be that easy

That would be about half of what it needed. The other half would be two high ceiling prospects that the flaws are not yet known to the outside Twins world. Both would be pitchers of the future starting types like Canterino and Sands. It would be the potential of the last two rather than the first two that would get the deal done. Rooker would need to be replaced by another near ready prospect as there is some stiff named Alonso at 1B for the Mets and 2 outfielders are one too many

They have done it before with Donaldson. The year they traded Donaldson they also lost like half of their pitching staff to free agency so I think they expected a lot of losing.

If so he would likely be claimed in the rule v draft and stick with that team

could be, would be, but Perez has not been for a whole season anything to write home about. He was great for a month. The analytics savants can likely tell you what went wrong.

One can never have enough good relievers. The relievers they have are all fairly cheap in price. I hope they have better luck than the last 2 year contract they handed out to a reliever

They gave up a younger version of Nick Gordon. Good for the Reds. They gave up a rental player in Puig and a future LOGY

Rosario and Gordon Is that Major league Duensing and minor league Duensing ? Every trade starts there because the Minnesota fans are down on them yet every one else should be excited about these players or lack any knowledge or insight into the players?

Rosario struck out at a 14% rate. How is that creating outs at an unparalleled rates. BABIP .273, BABIP was luck hence unlucky Eddie. In terms of defense, when do the numbers on defense normalize? Clearly the year Gordon was leading in WAR based on defense showed what the populace thought of defensive WAR. How do they account for baserunners not taking an extra base or tagging up? People remember bat flips stick in peoples heads? This bit of generalization from the person arguing statistics should be the only guide. Unscientifically I would say that the people here are more likely to remember the misses and failures more than any player's success.. Both of us now have a stated opinion on what people remember, neither has a fact.

for a back end starter Javier or Servino or Celestino and a couple of prospects out of Elizabethton or the GCL would be a better loose framework. Alcantar would have to improve a lot to be league average in K%

It is interesting that both Gallen and Alcantara were both in the Cardinal system. If either were going to be front of rotation pitchers, the Cards would not have traded both for Ozuna.. They may have traded the prospects at peak value. History has shown the Cardinals to be a much better judge of pitching talent than most. There are people who think that not getting a back of the rotation starter when they come available is a bad thing. It does promote discussion

When players come off the books there has to be a player to take their place. Optimism that the 7.4 bwar is easily replaced is nice.

That is all fine and dandy that you can rattle off statistics, MVP is an opinion on what is valuable as defined by each person who has a ballot. Those people are baseball writers. If you think it should be based on WAR just remember that WAR is based on someone's opinion on how much each element is valuable

When they called them the Minnesota Lumber Company back when Bando was playing, it wasn't for anything they were doing with their bats. Some gave a new meaning to lead foot. Nick Punto on a bad day could throw them out.

I don't get the poo pooing of his skills for Berrios on this board. Berrios was 16th WAR, 24th era. fip 25 WPA 22.. I don't know but it would look like there are very few pitchers that pitched better than Berrios last year Berrios's position relative to the other pitchers was lightly lower in 2018. You can't say it is a one year flukey sort of thing. The dude has shown he can pitch. Is there some measure on than a Deus scit omnia type of reasoning that says he is not an Ace? So he is not an Ace, there are about 20-25 pitchers better than Berrios. Not many of them would be Aces either. what the heck is out there that is obtainable? Yes Cole, Strasburg and Ryu are better than Berrios. One of the 3 will be on a winning World Series team to add to their pedigree. Even if 1/2 the teams are are not bidding that leaves 14 others teams to bid against, Are they obtainable? Ryu with Boras as his agent and the twitter buzz goes like this Ugh.....Boras trying to spin Ryu as having “an arm of a 27 year old” is just so hokey and cheesy. Every Dodger fan wants Ryu back, but they’re not gonna empty the bank for a 33 yr old pitcher who been on the IL almost as much as he’s pitched in his entire MLB career. Nice try tho. Speaking of Boras, Strasburg is his client. Other than a June contract do the Twins really want any these players on a Boras contract? So kindly enlighten with some logical method who is available and better than Berrios and what is the methodology of that proclamation.

Every year the Twins start with 5 starters. 2004 was the last time there were 4 starters who started 30+ games. Whoever you thought the 5th starter should be will get a chance if they are the first or second man up