Ryan_K

Ace =5 WAR or 3.00 era and 200 innings pitched or 25 Quality Starts QS Number 1= 4 WAR or 3.5 era and 200 innings pitched or 20 QS Number 2 = 3 WAR or 3.8 and 180 innings pitched or 16 QS Looking at Fangraphs for last season only 29 pitchers would be in one of these top three categories

Would love this for the Twins. 17 years old facing advanced competition and most reports indicate he is a third baseman, not a DH in disguise.

Lesko having TJ confirmed. Still says it's likely he'll be drafted. Not the worst pick since draft year we usually shut them down and Year 1 we do complex league, so he is not missing much inning building years. But I think Greene falls to us, so we can have a future Buxton Jo Dell type.

I say let Valimont start through April, if they don't see a change move him to the pen. Give him 5 weeks to try that out and cut him if the adjustments are not there.

Does anyone have an update on Misael Urbina? I can't find him.

Based on feedback, it seems both sides like it more than I thought they would.

I am thinking a Paddack and Gore for Larnach, Rogers may be in play.

Next home run is getting Brandon Woodruff from Brewers. Kiriloff, Martin Ober headline the return

In the wake, and literal waking of myself in this historic day in Twins Territory, I wanted to revisit an off-season blueprint that I think Mackey and Judd's "Write that down" session would have been proud of. Was it a perfect parlay in the quest for Correa, Gray, and Bassitt--no; however, I think this is an approach worth revisiting especially when two stretch predictions came true.

I think Royce is top, Mlb.com had him at 70 speed on the newest rankings. He might slow down, but he learned about mechanics in his recovery, so I could see him being a student of running like Buxton. Buxton works out with a track coach to keep him fast, I hope Royce is invited next year.

If we can get Tepara or McHugh on a one year deal for less than 8 million, I'd like our bullpen a lot more. Add in Pineada on a 1 year 10 million contract and we might sneak into the third WC spot.

We are also paying more IKF projected at 4.9 million and Garv only 3.1 according to mlbtr I didn't see any agreements in the quick Google search so I may be wrong.

Checking out IKF baseball savant page I am not impressed. I recall he won a GG at third in 2020, but looking at his metrics from 2021 in OAA, like why not just sign Niko Goodrum?

There have been definite in game mistakes, but I don't know if that's on him, the FO, or the quality control coach. How much discretion is he allowed to make vs being a facilitator of conversation and strategy coming from FO. I'm critical of relying on data above common sense as the trends don't always apply to the situation at hand; however, are we critiquing his interpretation of the data or what is provided as data because if incomplete it's tough for him to succeed.

I don't think it's attractive. A winning team plays April through October here. April till Mid May are not fun and mid September on is cold by evening. It has high taxes. While the summers are nice most weeks they are playing night games 6 days a weeks, so not a ton of time to enjoy a lake. I think the organization is fine to good, a big focus is on culture, but if you can get good culture, plus warm weather and low taxes it's an easy choice. My prediction within 5 years Miami will be a FA destination given the money moving into Florida

They should give Collin McHugh a 3 year 7 mm per year deal. Great numbers and statcast profile. And it gives us insurance if Duffy and Rogers leave next winter.

I think his defense numbers have fallen off a bit where he is above average, but concerns about his arm. If we can get him on a 1 year prove it contract say 27 million, then go for it, but I won't commit multiple years to him with his splits more so the RH LH than the home road ones.

Bold call, I'll say Elijah Green falls to us at 8 because of his swing and miss concerns similar to Jo Adell in 2017

I'd like to get like a number 8 through 12 prospect that is not rule 5 soon tossed if we take on the contract. I want to buy some prospect capital, so if we are looking good we can make a mid season addition.

While Balazovic is ranked in the 40s and it might not seem great, I counted and he is in the top 9 of all pitching prospects. He was listed as the top of the mid rotation or more guys with the potential to be more with refined command. Well, Gleeman noted that his control lagged because he was working on the new splitter vs change up, so I think we might have a number 2 guy i.e. Berries, Sonny Gray. Ideally in the 15 to 30 range for SP War. Last high point, since he is from Canada the cold April and late September starts should be more comfortable to him vs others.

Put him in high A or AA, but be sure to surround him with good hitters so we can get some good stats. He could be like Seth Beer so let's get some of that luster back, and trade at the deadline. The other concern is that I remember a report that different leagues in the minors switched out different baseballs during the season without informing teams, so it's hard to tell was a prospect good last year or not.

With several FA SP signing reasonable deals, I think the FO thought the prospects would be ready sometime this past year, so they brought in guys to eat innings until they came up. unfortunately injury appeared, so I think they will run it back with Bundy, Dobnak, Ryan, and Over plus probably Pineada in the hopes to eat innings until the prospects appear this year. 2023 will probably be when we swing big again as Donaldson would only have a year left and Sano would be gone or on a cheaper contract.

I say get Niko Goodrum for SS and if Royce ends up being ready, then we got a good utility guy with speed.

I think it shouldn't be viewed as two lost year. Rather two years spent differently. One of the biggest issues was his swing, instead of meaningless minor league games he got an entire season of coaching and training by the staff to sort it out without distractions. The ACL hurt, but that doesn't mean he didn't chat with Simmons about how he preps, maybe he learned Spanish to help communicate, and there is VR to help with pitch recognition out of the hand. What I am trying to say is, the kid didn't spend the last two years playing X Box, he had the opportunity to train in ways other players simply don't have the time for and that can make him a long term impact player. Good luck Royce

I'm a big fan of him, but his own words about how rare of an injury this is for baseball players makes me concerned. Teams can build models for TJ given the large sample size, but with this there are a lack of comparables.