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whosafraidofluigirussolo

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Everything posted by whosafraidofluigirussolo

  1. Exactly - was just thinking, this is a nice deal to see, but only the second-most-desirable López
  2. 4 players seems like kind of a lot to give up for a reliever, although Canó may be in the deal more for an immediate fill-in for López' spot than for expected future value. But the quantity of players given up isn't a reason to knock the move. Acquiring López clearly fills a need and I'm glad to see it.
  3. Jake Odorizzi and Will Smith swap between Houston and Atlanta: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/08/braves-astros-to-swap-will-smith-for-jake-odorizzi.html
  4. I thought Contreras was already up? Do the rules around the paternity list require the team to demote him (nominally) for Urshela's return and then recall him immediately to take Celestino's place?
  5. I expect at least one move. If there's only one move, I would guess it'll be for a reliever. If 2 moves, maybe one for a reliever and one for a starter. I'm curious whether the Twins FO is in on "rental" starting pitching—it would seem to make a lot of sense, with their pitching staff needing serious patches and seemingly fewer available, healthy young players as trade assets than they had at the beginning of the year. But trading for rentals has not seemed to be this front office's MO. If they were amenable to this, it seems like Rodón could be a big splash (who would still cost less than Castillo and other guys under contract past '22) and Eovaldi could be the modest, incremental alternative. But hard to predict whether they're open to that kind of trade.
  6. Damn, I would have let San Diego have Pagán for that
  7. If a one-for-one swap were on the table, they should do it. How much it would set the team back this year depends a bit on Larnach's injury recovery—if they realistically expect him to be healthy for the stretch run, he kind of replaces Kirilloff's lefty bat, and if not, maybe they need to look for a rental bat elsewhere. But even if Kirilloff has loads of potential and a number of years under contractual control, a corner bat for 2+ years of a #2-ish starter is a good deal IMO.
  8. MLBTR says Marlins are "open to offers" on Pablo López and are looking for left-handed power hitting: link I know the Baseball Trade Values simulator sometimes values certain players weirdly and maybe shouldn't be trusted, but for what it's worth, it views trading Larnach, Steer, and Canterino for López and Anthony Bass as almost a dead-even match. In the real world, 2 out of 3 players on the Twins side of that deal are hurt or rehabbing, which probably will affect the value assessment somewhat. But this kind of framework for a trade, at least, looks realistic.
  9. Yeah, I'm wondering why they're using Duran here. Megill wasn't sharp at the end of the 8th, but I'd think that they could trust him to start an inning clean with a 4-run lead. Who knows how close tomorrow's game will be.
  10. The Marlins drafted Meyer 2 years ago and have just called him up to MLB. His progress through the minors underlines that it would take a big haul to get them to trade him, but I'd bet that it also points to them being less willing to deal him than they were a year ago.
  11. Huh. Maybe that's what the "verbal commitment" to Oregon referenced above means, that he can't commit more formally if he's going to JuCo?
  12. Good name, too. But a great name in a similar vein: Noticed a Zebulon Vermillion drafted by the Mets.
  13. I'm keeping in mind the common wisdom that teams' boards start to diverge significantly after the first round or two, so MLB's rankings may look very different than teams' rankings once they get into the 100s. But having discovered that you can sort the MLB.com draft tracker by position, it looks like several teams have taken catchers ranked in the 150-250 range while catchers in the 50-150 range remain undrafted. Those are all high school kids - seems like one can speculate that the riskiness of high school catchers may be making teams gun-shy about some of those guys, to the point where the players might rather go to school than take the bonuses they're offered. And/or maybe the Twins just aren't so high on these players. This is all just speculation. But they certainly are not the only team passing on catching prospects.
  14. Lee and Parada both there for the Twins. Hope one of them is the pick.
  15. That wouldn't be allowed during the same season when he was drafted. It could be a "player to be named later" thing, but Rocker seems riskier for both teams making a would-be trade than the typical PTBNL. Pretty sure the idea of the original post is that Rocker would remain in the Twins system and supplement the MLB bullpen by the end of the year.
  16. I know nothing about these players beyond what what I've read and sort of "aggregated" from various public sources. But the draft rankings that Fangraphs just updated are interesting: link FG, similar to Keith Law, seem willing to stick with their own evaluations of players and to give those more weight when they differ from consensus opinions or rankings. These are not huge differences, but I'm noting that they're lower on Green and Cross and higher on Neto and Lesko than many other rankings (although the scouting reports on the "lower" guys are still quite positive overall.) If anything, this gives more reason to think that one of the consensus top 7 realistically could slide down - and also that Lesko could a be viable pick at 8...?! While this draft is said to be weak on pitching, the flip side is that there isn't a lot of consistency in how the mid- to late-first round guys are rated between different mocks and rankings. It gives me hope that someone intriguing could fall to the Twins' second pick. Should be an interesting draft in any case!
  17. "Bat-first corner position player" definitely isn't an exciting profile to me, but the information available about Cross suggests that he's a high-end version of that profile (relative to the uncertainty of any draft prospect, at least.) And the limitations of guys like Sabato and Rooker are one reason some Twins fans are tired of this player type, but you're likely to get a better version of that type at pick 8 than at a pick in the high 20s or 30s. The "draft with a clear top [x] and the Twins draft [x+1]" made me think of the draft when the Twins drafted Kohl Stewart 4th after Mark Appel, Kris Bryant, and Jon Gray went 1-2-3... Which says something about variance in outcomes for even the highest-rated players. Gray seemed to be perceived as a step away from putting it together for several years, and now is having a nice season to begin his first free-agent deal; Bryant seems like he may have peaked early; Appel just debuted.
  18. I tend to respect the current Twins front office's body of work overall, and to give their ideas of how to construct a team the benefit of the doubt, but if this series isn't an impetus to seek help for the bullpen ASAP, I don't know what will be. It would be great to add a high-end reliever to shift everyone (or maybe everyone except Durán) down a notch in the pecking order, but if they can find someone sooner and more easily to be the new 4th-best arm in the pen, do that too. Anything that will shake up the mix has to have some benefit at this point.
  19. This was certainly a dominant start for Smeltzer overall—but does 12 swing-and-misses seem like not a lot, considering that he had 9 strikeouts?
  20. Heh, I like that in a paragraph that also mentions Josh Donaldson and Aaron Hicks, you reserve the description "former Twin" for Isiah Kiner-Falefa.
  21. Can the players who replace those who are restricted from traveling be added to the 40-man and then removed without waivers, just as if they were replacing guys on the COVID-IL? There could be some interesting short-term additions to navigate the roster shortage if there were no 40-man implications.
  22. Bottom of the 9th, tie game. Opposing team brings in a lefty reliever and the Twins have 3 lefty hitters due up. This situation seems...avoidable, somehow?
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