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biggentleben

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Everything posted by biggentleben

  1. biggentleben
    I don't think there are any elite guys. There are maybe 3 guys who would be guys at the back end of a top 10 most years, then 30 guys who would usually be eligible around 15ish, so 30ish guys total, not 30 from pick 15 forward. 30 guys, many of whom will end up before 15 due to the lack of higher end talent in the draft.
  2. biggentleben
    The draft is deep in second or third tier guys, but doesn't have those elite talents that fit at the top. I could see 30 guys or so that would make sense as a pick in the 15-30 range of an average draft. Hence, you're seeing a lot of $2-3M price tags
  3. biggentleben
    See the Cubs in 2013. Bryant still holds the record for a bonus paid in the current system, and the Cubs punted the rest of the top 10 rounds to get him. If he flopped, that whole draft is toast.
  4. biggentleben
    I'm not talking Twins only. Throughout the draft, that will start in round four with more and more teams joining in the next round. I was just stating that rarely is a team going chalk to 7.
  5. biggentleben
    Starting about round 4, people start with senior signs. Any team making it to round 7 still signing guys at slot is going to be left out in the cold after the 11th round.
  6. biggentleben
    You do realize that drafted players are not part of the MLBPA, right? The players gave that up last negotiation when they removed major league contracts from the draft, so the draft is of minimal consequence to the MLBPA.
  7. biggentleben
    This is my article on how I believed the draft should be addressed in the CBA. I have some background stuff in there that could be good info as well.
  8. biggentleben
    Exactly. Mike Soroka was looked at as a "reach" according to draft boards, but the Braves front office knew they wanted him and had good info that he wouldn't make it to their pick at #41. Of course, that "reach" would now probably be one of the first high school righties off the board if the draft was re-done a year later.
  9. biggentleben
    I'm wondering where the idea of college player = under slot has come from. Especially lately, a college bat putting up big numbers is going to get paid very well, and they usually get drafted far beyond their actual ability. Craig is probably only the 35th-50th best player in the draft, depending on your evaluations, but there's every possibility he could go top 10.
  10. biggentleben
    That's pretty much what I said in my article on Call To The Pen a couple weeks ago when I looked at what should be changed.
  11. biggentleben
    Sure, that's the players' union side of the draft discussion. The owners' side will want to consider an international draft, curb draft manipulation, and consider the idea of post-draft college eligibility for college juniors that come into the draft, which is unique to baseball among the "big 3" sports in that baseball players retain their college eligibility if they participate in the draft rather than losing it by "declaring" for the draft. However, there are ways that these things get accomplished that could affect compensation picks, as they did in the 2011 CBA, which drastically changed the compensation teams were going to get for players they had entering free agency after 2012.
  12. biggentleben
    That is true only if they keep the same system when they renegotiate the CBA this offseason, and the draft is absolutely going to be a major discussion point in the upcoming CBA.
  13. biggentleben
    I'd just be very, very surprised to hear Ray come out of Atlanta. Same thing with Senzel. The word I got all spring until their org guys were instructed to "go dark" in mid-May was that the hitter list for #3 was Lewis or a high school hitter, no other college hitter was in play at the pick.
  14. biggentleben
    I'm not sure what you're saying on that at all. The Braves are not trying to sell anyone. They're trying to trade for picks by acquiring a bad contract in exchange for the CBP picks.
  15. biggentleben
    And I think the Braves might rather have Pint.
  16. biggentleben
    The Braves have been trying this for over two months to no avail. They made calls starting all the way back in spring training, and they're not getting anyone at all to take a bite.
  17. biggentleben
    Yup. I have a lot of really good connections that I use that are team scouts and independent scouts throughout the country along with other team employees, and you've suddenly heard a ton of weird things in the last week...so it's "draft speak" season, where lots of crap will be tossed out, and you need to know your source to know what is real and what isn't. The issue is when someone blindly trusts all sources and prints the draft speak as fact.
  18. biggentleben
    Round doesn't really seem to make a difference. Look at Mike Zunino versus JT Realmuto. Realmuto was a HS catcher from the 3rd round, and he was up starting full-time 4 years after his draft season, and he's been progressively better since. Zunino was up within a year as a #3 pick overall, but he has obviously struggled. And even once they reach the majors, many catchers take time learning the game at that level before their bats are worthwhile. Yadi Molina was flat out putrid for 3-4 seasons offensively.
  19. biggentleben
    Catchers take significant time to develop, even college catchers.
  20. biggentleben
    I think this is accurate. Leidner has raw talent that would be desirable at the highest level, but he hasn't translated that on that on the field, and a pro team may watch the tape and believe that's more due to system than Leidner performing poorly. Who knows...
  21. biggentleben
    In his defense, one of the only games he saw of Minnesota this last year was the bowl game, and Leidner played fairly well there.
  22. biggentleben
    Cook had some odd personality stuff that apparently scared off teams. I had no inkling of this and his coach came out strongly against it a few weeks ahead of the draft, but it stuck with teams, perhaps from interviews.
  23. biggentleben
    Basically, this is why people ever thought the Tampa Bay Rays were good at developing players. Once they were no longer picking in the top half of the draft, their ability to draft and develop future major leaguers has been absolutely putrid.
  24. biggentleben
    I would have to search for it, and I'm still at work, so that's not going on at the moment, but a study was done that showed that a surprisingly small number of those international signees appeared on team top 10 rankings or moved very quickly in the system.
  25. biggentleben
    I like Tyler White in Houston as a dark horse AL ROY candidate.
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