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How PECOTA Projections Could Miss on the Twins (Part One)
- Dear MLB: Blow the Schedule Up
32 teams... yes. The rest... umm. I’d like: 32 teams, 2 leagues, 4 divisions, 156 game season Interleague 3 x 8 = 24 Intraleague 6 x 8 = 48 Division 12 x 7 = 84 12 team playoff with top 3 of 8 from each division. Division WC - 5 game playoff for 2 and 3 seed hosted by 2 seed, bye for 1 seed Division champ - 5 game playoff hosted by 1 seed League champ - 3/2/2 World Series - 3/2/2- Front Page: Assessing Eddie Rosario's Trade Market
- Article: Trade Deadline Thread: Who Are Your Favorite Bullpen Targets?
No way the Twins are taking on all that salary AND giving up a 40-man worthy prospect. https://www.royalsreview.com/2019/7/17/20696903/ian-kennedys-trade-value-contract
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Article: Upcoming Rule Changes Greatly Benefit Tyler Austin’s Future
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Article: Upcoming Rule Changes Greatly Benefit Tyler Austin’s Future
- Article: Upcoming Rule Changes Greatly Benefit Tyler Austin’s Future
Baseball diehards aren’t going anywhere. Have to look at these changes from the perspective of the casual fan, who I presume actually represent a bigger share of the revenue and are more critical to long-term league success. In that lens (and even in general), I don’t see much negative here.
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Article: Upcoming Rule Changes Greatly Benefit Tyler Austin’s Future
- Article: Still Free: LHP Dallas Keuchel
Keuchel is an elite groundball pitcher. More than twice as many GBs as Odorizzi last year. The infield defense not being a great fit is worth mentioning.- Article: Possible MLB Rule Changes: Universal DH? Roster size? Anti-tanking?
- Article: Who's the Fourth Outfielder?
Granite and Wade will start in AAA. If Cave doesn’t get rolling in ST, I don’t think they’ll hesitate to go with Austin or Reed out of the gate to balance the roster better and keep a no options guy.- Article: How the Twins Are Preparing for the Impact of Injuries
- Article: By the Numbers: The Twins’ Biggest Missed Opportunity
Enjoyed reading. Would love to see a next step of trade analysis. I haven’t quite concluded the FO has been “bad” at trading, but the data seems clear that immediate roster impact has been low — largely by design.- Article: Twins Need to Cruz Above the Line
Here’s a great tool to illustrate that: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/a-new-way-to-look-at-sample-size/ If it’s too mathy, just check the boxes for OBP and SLG then check the boxes for K% and BB%. You’ll notice a huge difference in their curves illustrating which stats are more reliable than others for the sample size.- Article: Toolshed: The Best Tools In the Minor Leagues
Does Bechtold give pitching a try if the bat doesn’t come to life any better in 2019?- Article: The Top 20 Minnesota Twins Assets of 2019: Part 1 (16-20)
- Article: The Twins Should Extend Odorizzi, Not Gibson
- Article: What's the Plan with Tyler Austin?
Look at Cave’s L / R splits: 58 (really bad) vs 123 (very good) wRC+. Similar trends in the minors. Cave plays vs R and DH spot rotates with PH ABs too. Austin plays vs L primarily as DH and PHs for Cave, Kepler or Castro late. Austin + Cave as one lineup spot at their career 123 wRC+ with the platoon advantage is equivalent to a top 50 bat. Obviously uses roster space, but that sounds like a productive lineup spot. - Dear MLB: Blow the Schedule Up