Everything posted by 4twinsJA
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Bailey Ober needs to be a Primary Starter!!
The complicating factor is Maeda's contract has incentives for games started. He may look at a move to relief as a way to keep his salary down. Maeda should be ready for the season, maybe not 6-7 innings for first few starts. It is an unusual position for the Twins to have the 6th starter, a legitimate MLB starting pitcher. I look for Ober to get plenty of starts for the Twins next year, then to be in top 5 of rotation in 2024.
- Edouard Julien is Set to Make an Impact for the 2023 Season
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Souhan: Gordon is stronger and still smiling
I would not say Twins added players to reduce Gordon's role, more that they acknowledge Twin's need better depth than they have had. Hard to be competitive running out- Cave, Beckham, Contreras, Billy Hamilton to play on a consistent basis due to injuries. Now Twins have Buxton, Kepler, Gallo, Kirilloff, Taylor, Gordon, Larnach, with Wallner and Celestino at AAA in case of multiple injuries. I am sure we will see plenty of Gordon this year.
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Is it happening? MLB forming an economic reform committee.
Bally going bankrupt is too good of an opportunity for MLB to pass up. Although, Bally is going bankrupt, is it that great an opportunity. Maybe MLB needs to really look at the product they are producing, to make it more attractive to more people.
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Is a Deal with Chaska’s Brad Hand in the Cards?
I look for Twins to add Hand after putting players on 60 day IL. Should be a good addition, experienced, LH pitcher. Will be plenty of opportunity for Megill and others that don't make opening day roster, likely to need another 8 bullpen arms through the year. Great to have depth, playing time will work its way out on the field over the year.
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Are Twins' Third Base Plans for Jose Miranda a Misstep?
I am not in the Urshela camp. He had a good year and by all accounts was a good teammate, but expendable. Miranda will be much more comfortable at 3B than 1B, Urshela's defensive metrics were nothing to get excited about. I agree in future may see Correa, Lewis, Lee in some combination at 3B, SS, 2B. I am a little pessimistic about Kirilloff and maybe Miranda's long term position in 1B but for this year like him at 3B.
- Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #10 Austin Martin, SS
- Devin Smeltzer Takes His Left Arm, Story to South Beach
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Twins Daily 2023 Prospect Rankings (Part 2: Prospects 21-30)
Baseball America had an article a few years ago about minor leagues and how many players make it to MLB. The average team's minor league system had 33 players that would make an appearance in the MLBs. Only 14 on average would go on to have at least 3 years in MLB. So, yes many of these prospects are not going to make a major impact at the MLB level. I still love reading about them, and seeing the ranking and projections. Hope them the best and that they can contribute to the Twins at some point. Like Seth has stated, some of these players at lower end of rankings or honorable mention are just an adjustment or two away from breaking out. My top 3 from these 10 are: Nowlin- great K rate, Enlow- I look for him to regain his stuff this year, and Severino- watched some of his games last year, if he can stay healthy could really impress.
- Three Areas the Twins Need Change During 2023
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Would Another Marlins Pitcher Be a Better Trade Candidate than Pablo López?
Miami has Alcantara, Rogers, Luzardo, Cabrera, and Lopez, with Eury Perez and Max Meyer(post elbow surg) on the way up in the future. They also signed Cueto this offseason. Miami has plenty of starting pitching options, can afford to trade at least one good SP. They need hitters. To get a pitcher with years of control yet, may need to offer same in position player with some MLB experience. No one has mentioned Miranda, maybe a package of Miranda and Kepler and as Nashvilletwin suggested throw in one of former first round picks Sabato or Cavaco-maybe both.
- Jovani Moran Deserves Respect
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Gleeman’s Top 40 Twins Prospects
Enjoyed Gleeman's article in Athletic. Interesting that 11 of last year's top 25 are off list-5 graduated from prospect list and contributed to Twins last year, 5 traded, and 1 released. A lot of new names on the list this year. A good mix of near MLB ready players and low level prospects. I am anxious to see how pitching develops- Varland, SWR, Balazovic, Headrick, Festa, and younger prospects Raya, Prielipp,
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Garlick DFA'd
I liked Garlick, but couldn't stay healthy.
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Our Rotation (Peak value or less?
Twins starting pitching is in better condition that going into the season this year. This year opening rotation was Gray, Ryan, Ober, Bundy, and Archer, with Paddock, Smeltzer, Winder, Balazovic, Dobnak as depth. Opening rotation had Gray, 2 unproven pitchers, and 2 pitchers off scrap heap. Next year possibly, Gray, Mahle, Ryan, Maeda, and Ober with Winder, Varland, SWR, Balazovic, Paddock as depth maybe even Sands, Henriquez, Headrick. Still some questions marks, but hard to say not improved from this year.
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What Would a Twins Rebuild Look Like?
Rebuild to me means getting rid of experienced players and moving to young players. Twins only have 3 players with contracts past next year-Buxton, recently signed Vasquez, Dobnak and 2 more with team options after next year-Kepler and Polanco. Gray, Meada, and Gallo are in last year of contract. Twins have 2 entering last year of arbitration will be FAs after next year-Pagan and Mahle and 4 with 2 years of arbitration Theilbar, Farmer, Lopez, and Paddock. Agree, out of that bunch-Polanco, Kepler, Maeda, Gray, and Mahle have the most trade value, besides Buxton- hopefully Twins not trading him. Has the rebuild already begun?
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Rumor: Contreras out
Hope Contreras signs minor league FA deal with Twins, good depth at AAA.
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MLB doesn't care about most of its teams
I am for a hard max. cap and a hard minimum floor for payroll. Would increase overall money to players.. Increased revenue sharing-looks like BallySports may be going bankrupt, I think they broadcast 16 MLB teams, would be a good start for MLB to buy them out and work to acquire other teams broadcasting rights. Free agency sooner, hard to believe someone can be drafted and controlled by that team for 8-9 years. Theilbar is 36 y.o. and won't reach FA for another 2 years. Now there are a handful of quality free agents, then it is a bunch of players 32-36+ y.o. past their prime. The top spending teams pick off the quality FAs and everyone else is left dumpster diving.
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The Twins Skimping on Correa Presents More Questions Than Answers
Time will tell how good an investment Correa is for the Mets. If he performs well the next 3-4 years is that enough, 6-7 years of high level performance, don't like the odds of Correa being anything more than an average player the last 3-4 years of the contract. Mets probably can afford that, but Twins cannot.
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Correa to Mets
Hope Mets win 120 games this year and sweep playoffs and WS. Maybe that would motivate MLB to make some meaningful changes.
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So far, and now what?
At this point, don't see alot of options that move the needle much. There may be a few players/pitchers to add to provide some depth and add ability to manage injuries. I would rather see Twins young players get opportunity-Larnach, Kirilloff, Wallner, Julien, eventually Lewis, Martin, Varland, SWR, Winder, Sands, Henriquez, Balazovic, others I am forgetting.
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This Off-Season Slowly Turning Horrible
Twins FO does not getting in bidding war for FA, hate overpaying FA. FO general plan is to wait until frenzy over then try to pick up underrated bargains. Occasionally effective, but always frustrating for fanbase.
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Minnesota's Recent Rule 5 Draft History is Mixed
I really like the purpose of the Rule 5 draft, to give a player a chance that is buried in a team's minor league system to be on a MLB team. I feel Baddoo would not have even made the Twins MLB level 2 years ago, most likely would have spent the season in the minors. Good for him, he got an opportunity and had some success. Twins are not out much, have plenty of OFs, Baddoo not going to be an allstar.
- Why Haven't The Twins Signed Omar Narváez Yet?
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Can the Twins Count On Starter’s Health?
Not sure what Twins did differently in 2019, Rocco's first year, but there were only a few injuries to SP and only short IL stints. SP of Berrios, Odorizzi, Pineda, Gibson, and Perez had few injuries, Pineada had fewest starts at 26 and IP at 146. Berries had 32 starts and 200 IP, other 3 had 29-30 starts and 159-165 IP.