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amjgt

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Everything posted by amjgt

  1. amjgt
    Well, heck, if Chris on the TD forum is confident there were better options for Graterol, then it surely must be true
  2. amjgt
    Maybe this has been mentioned already. Maybe is hasn’t... I’m a little surprised the Twins weren’t also in on Joc Peterson, with the cost being Eddie (to the Sox) and a prospect (to the Dodgers)
  3. amjgt
    It's unrealistic to expect him to repeat last season, but for him to enter the HOF debate I feel like he would need 3 more seasons approaching his 2019 season. That would push him over 500 HR and approaching 1500 RBI, plus have the "can you believe what he's doing in his 40s" angle that everyone loves. Not likely, but also not impossible. Winning a World Series in MN wouldn't hurt either
  4. amjgt
    "Need" can be whatever you want it to be in this thread. My frustration with the "we need impact pitching" crowd is that they presume that success in the postseason is impossible without it.. It's not. Having an ace makes success more likely, but definitely not assured. What about thinking about it in terms of percentage success? I'll use my preferred Ace-ish target, who is Jon Gray, but it can be anyone of that caliber. If the Twins trade for Jon Gray right now. Our chances of winning the central go up, but really, probably not all that much. Say 65% to 75%? What about winning in the first round of the playoffs? 40% to 60%? World Series 35% to 50%? I want an ace just like almost everyone else does, but I get tired of the same old boring "we can't go anywhere in the playoffs without better pitching" take. It's just not true. Odds will go up, but it's not a binary either/or. Now go get Jon Gray! Pay what it takes. But if you don't, I've got other reasons to believe the Twins can win the WS without him.... he just makes it a little more likely.
  5. amjgt
    Even worse.... it's their competitive balance round B pick
  6. amjgt
    I have to assume this is 4/92 + 1/18 team option, with 8m buyout
  7. amjgt
    If you listen to the Patreon version of the Gleeman and the Geek podcast, their last show they talked with Glen Perkins and spin rate came up. Specifically that he would mess with grips and stuff to get higher spin rates. Also that it's so much more real time that it was for him, just a decade ago. Back then he'd throw a session, then check the data. Now they can check it after every pitch.
  8. amjgt
    History is riddled with pitchers who had confidence in themselves but blew out their arm and were never the same.
  9. amjgt
    If odds were offered for such a thing I have to think it would pay like 25-1
  10. amjgt
    I'm going to set the number at 10 and then take the over. This gambling thing is easy!
  11. amjgt
    Nick, If, let's say, the Twins signed Josh Donaldson today for 4/100, where would you put him on this list? Now, how about Gray and Arenado under their existing deals?
  12. amjgt
    That's who I was coming here to mention
  13. amjgt
    Twins were 32-37 against 500 teams. Interestingly, the Indians were 25-39. Woof.
  14. amjgt
    I’m not here to say it’s been a successful offseason, but to lead the analysis of EVERY transaction with “that’s not impact pitching” is getting extremely annoying.
  15. amjgt
    Yeah. We all know. It’s been beaten to death.
  16. amjgt
    Normally, I might agree with you here, but with the uniqueness of this offseason (4 rotation spots to fill) I think it WAS very important to establish a rotation floor for a team coming off of 101 wins. Do I wish that floor included Cole, Strasburg, Wheeler, or Ryu? Yes. But, while the Bailey signing certainly isn't sexy, it's the type of signing that was almost certainly going to happen to fill one of the 4 open spots.
  17. amjgt
    Can the moderators please start banning the use of the phrase “impact pitching.” Its such a weak crutch for people to fall back on when they don’t want to critically think about why moves were made. Stop. It’s tired.
  18. amjgt
    The floor gets higher yet!
  19. amjgt
    Oooooooorrrrrr.... They could look at a 101 win team that likely overachieved a little and think "holy crap, that was fun. Let's do that again"... then look at their payroll situation and think "wow! we actually have the money to do that!"
  20. amjgt
    I can't wait to tell my grandkids about how incredibly high the floor was for these Minnesota Twins.
  21. amjgt
    Oh wait... Sano would be 1b. Still if they felt they needed more room for something, Rosario makes sense
  22. amjgt
    This was exactly my thought when I saw Rosenthal’s tweet about entering the Donaldson sweepstakes. Combined, those two would be 45-50M per season, which puts payroll in the 145M range, which SHOULD be fine, but if they felt they needed to clear some payroll so they could sign a 1b, then Rosario is the most likely target
  23. amjgt
    Something I've been thinking about but just officially confirmed.... I think mentally, one of the benefits for Asian players playing on the West Coast is the amount of flights that can get them directly to their home country. Makes sense. I thought I remembered a new route from MSP to ICN (Seoul, South Korea) being talked about, and sure enough, in April of 2019 Delta started a new direct daily flight between the two cities. That might seem like a small thing, but I bet it's actually something that may significantly help sway Ryu off of the west coast. Also, it would help with getting Korean Ryu fans to and from some of the games they may want to see in person. We also shouldn't completely neglect the little increase in marketing opportunities by having one of the few active South Korean players. I'm in for 3/72
  24. amjgt
    Everyone once in a while, when a player retires, you hear something like "That officially closes out the 1965 Bert Blyleven trade tree" Those are fun
  25. amjgt
    Re: "There's no chance Dobnak explodes into some new Strata" I guess it depends on what Strata you have him in currently. For some people him turning into a 4th starter is a new strata. I'm guessing you were talking about a true #1 or #2 starter, which I agree is extremely unlikely, but "no chance" ignores the history of a Randy Dobnak like player doing just that every few years. And with how you very effectively laid out how tough some of his pitches are to face, I think ending the article with a "no chance" closing statement does the rest of the article a disservice.
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