Everything posted by arby58
- Twins 2023 Position Analysis: First Base
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This prospect's loud contact is turning heads - only he is no longer ours.
How is it 'a disaster for the Twins to this point?' CES wouldn't have contributed anything to the Twins last year, and anything he is doing now in spring training is irrelevant, unless he ends up on the major league roster this year - which is unlikely. I'd call it an incomplete grade for both teams. If Mahle is a contributing member of this year's starting rotation, it might end up being a reasonable trade for both teams.
- Caleb Thielbar, and Why Age Doesn't Equal Potential
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Reevaluating the Twins Designated Hitter Strategy for 2023
That's correct, based on last year. I think the hope is that the shift restrictions help Kepler (I think that is a sound assumption) and Gallo returns to prior form (we'll see). That said, if they aren't hitting particularly well but are great defensively, they'll see some time. That is certainly the best feature of Taylor's game (granted, he was far better offensively than either Gallo or Kepler last year).
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Reevaluating the Twins Designated Hitter Strategy for 2023
It's complicated. Nelson Cruz, Jim Thome, Chili Davis, etc. were not a 'wasted cog.' As has also been pointed out, if a player is a negative defensvely (as Arraez was, and Miranda probably will be), it'd be better to keep their bat in the lineup and put a better defender in the field. That's why my long-term bet (if he hits and doesn't improve defensively) is on Miranda as a semi-regular DH.
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Reevaluating the Twins Designated Hitter Strategy for 2023
I tend to agree, especially with Kepler and Gallo, as a big part of their value is as defensive outfielders.
- What Does Donovan Solano Mean for the Twins
- What Does Donovan Solano Mean for the Twins
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What Does Donovan Solano Mean for the Twins
Lee played a handful of games at AA last year, and that was also the level for Julien - neither of them has even played a game at AAA, so calling them 'ready' is a stretch. Meanwhile, using healthy in the same sentence as Lewis or Kiriloff remains to be seen, and in Lewis' case probably won't be known for several months. The move is solid - the Twins have more depth on this team than any in a long time.
- Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #1 Brooks Lee, SS
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Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #1 Brooks Lee, SS
If both Lewis and Lee 'make it' while Correa is slotted at SS, Polanco at 2B, and Miranda is at 3B, there's a bit of a log jam there. My guess is if this transpires, Miranda becomes primarily a DH. If Lewis' mobility is reduced but he can still rake, he could also become an option at 1B. Of course, if they both make it, it's a good problem to have (and makes a player like Farmer expendable).
- Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #3 Emmanuel Rodriguez, OF
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Twins Daily 2023 Top Prospects: #5 Edouard Julien, 2B
If you compare Julien's numbers at AA with Arraez, there really is no comparison - Julien's power and speed are far more impactful. Yes, he's older than Arraez was at AA, but if he hits anywhere near that at AAA, the Twins will find a place for him, and a DH who hits for average, power, and can steal bases is far better than anybody else they will trot out there.
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What will we get back from the likely impending trade of Kepler
I'm having a hard time understanding your definition of 'a good baseball player.' If being below average is 'good,' ok, I'd agree with you, but I'd expect more. Last year ,the league average OPS was .706; Kepler's was .666. Last year, the 15th best right fielder in terms of OPS came in a .694, meaning from a hitting standpoint, Kepler was below average. Sure, he plays a good right field and he can run a bit, but he is definitely below average as a hitter. You can justify that for a catcher or shortstop or centerfielder, much harder to do for a corner outfielder.
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The Twins cannot trade Arraez
The Twins traded Carew in 1979.
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Why in the World Are the Twins Thinking of Trading Luis Arraez?
I don't understand/agree with the claim they have managed Arraez very poorly. Last year, he appeared in 147 games and had 603 plate appearances. For a player who is primarily a hitter, what is very poor about that? In fact, I think they have managed him pretty well, considering that he doesn't have a natural defensive position and isn't particularly fast on the bases (which is what you would expect from a hitter with his high OBP and not-so-high slugging percentage). The Twins have actually maximized his potential, but he has real shortcomings.
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Looking Ahead to Joe Mauer's First Hall Of Fame Ballot
Simmons never won a gold glove - Mauer won three. Simmons had never won an MVP - he finished 6th, 9th, and 10th in his best years - Mauer finished 1st, 4th, and 6th in his best years. Simmons won one silver slugger award, Mauer won five. In terms of peak performance, they are not similar.
- Looking Ahead to Joe Mauer's First Hall Of Fame Ballot
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Looking Ahead to Joe Mauer's First Hall Of Fame Ballot
I think he'll get in, but I wouldn't bet the farm on it being on the first ballot. I've yet to see a baseball writer pen a scathing story/column about Joe Mauer the person. Given the stats are strong, my guess is they'd rather vote for him than some other worthy player who was more jerky toward their profession.
- Twins Add Four to their 40-Man Roster
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Twins Add Four to their 40-Man Roster
Right - they have to stay on the MLB roster for the entire season. Do we really think there are 5 unprotected Twins minor leaguers that teams are itching to get and keep on their roster for the entirety of the 2023 season? If so, the various rankings of minor league systems (where the Twins are more in the middle or toward the bottom) are missing something.
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Can We Rely on Trevor Larnach?
He's shown promise - there are very few players that show up in the majors and immediately start hammering pitching. There have been very productive months-at-at-time stretches, and the cratered months can/might be attributable to the injury issues. Look at his history - he put up very strong stats in college (perhaps the best player on the team that won the College World Series), strong stats at each stop in the minors. The pedigree is there. Then there is the defense - he's got a tremendous arm. That alone is worthy of 'the look' and part of why in less than a third of a season, he had a 1.1 WAR this year.
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Minnesota's Top 3 Most Underappreciated Players
Agree with adding Bundy to the list. My third pick (along with Thielbar and Urshela) originally was Garlick - when he was out, they missed him against left handed pitching. Still, Bundy has been more impactful, and many Twins fans wanted to DFA him after the first couple months of the season.
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3 Disappointing Seasons from Twins' Top Prospects
Baseball is probably the toughest sport to gauge how talent will translate into results - and these are excellent examples. A side note - Chase Petty, the 100 mph pitcher the Twins traded for Sonny Gray, is 0-6 with a 3.77 ERA for the high-A Dayton Dragons. Granted, he is still younger than most of the competition and may well turn into a great major league pitcher, but where would the Twins be this year without Gray (7-4, 3.04 ERA in 20 starts)? Answer: third place in the Division.
- Can Simeon Woods Richardson Be Better Than Jose Berrios?