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  • Twins Daily 2019 Top Prospects: #2 Alex Kirilloff


    Cody Christie

    Roughly a year ago, Alex Kirilloff had to be feeling a little trepidation. Spring training was starting, and the former first round pick had missed all of 2017. Few knew the kind of season Kirilloff was about to embark on.

    During last off-season, none of baseball’s national prospect rankings had him in their top 100 lists. Now he is a consensus top-40 prospect. MLB and ESPN’s Keith Law have Kirilloff in their top-12 prospects. This is quite the jump for the former first round pick. What could that mean for the 2019 campaign?

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    Age: 21 (DOB: 11/9/1997)

    2018 Stats (Low-A/High-A): .348/.392/.578, 44 2B, 20 HR, 7 3B, 4-for-7 in stolen base attempts

    ETA: 2020

    2018 Ranking: 5

    National Top 100 Rankings

    BA: 31 |MLB: 9 | ESPN: 11 |BP: 39

    What’s To Like

    Kirilloff can hit. That might be the understatement of the century. He might be the best hitting prospect in the minor leagues not named Vladimir Guerrero Jr. He’s been hitting for his entire life, as his dad runs baseball camps and clinics. He could have shown some rust last season, but he quickly made it known that he would be a force to be reckoned with.

    He started the season in Cedar Rapids and hit .333/.391/.607 with 38 extra-base hits in 65 games. Among Midwest League hitters with at least 280 at-bats, his .999 OPS was the highest. Once he was promoted Fort Myers, he continued to hit. In 65 games in the Florida State League, he hit .362/.393/.550 with 33 extra-base hits. He led the Twins system in hits, doubles, and RBI. His 71 total extra-base hits and 296 total bases each led the minor leagues.

    At season’s end, the accolades came rolling in. The Twins named him the Twins Minor League Player of the Year and Twins Daily named him the Minor League Hitter of the Year. MiLB.com named him as the Breakout Prospect of the Year. He represented the Twins in MLB’s Futures Game during All-Star Weekend. He was also a midseason and post-season All-Star in the Midwest League.

    Kirilloff can spray the ball all over the field. His spray chart from last season is a thing of beauty (see below). Even with a left-handed swing, he has power to the opposite field. In fact, he had more doubles and more home runs to the opposite field than from pulling the ball.

    https://twitter.com/MLBPipeline/status/1092798484443480070

    What’s Left To Work On

    Kirilloff destroyed the ball last season so there was really no reason for him to try to draw a ton of walks. He is very aggressive at the plate and so his OBP was only slightly higher than his batting average. As he gets closer to the big leagues, hitting against more advanced pitchers could mean that he will need to be more patient. He knows the strike zone well and he will need to continue to prove that at Double- and Triple-A.

    His year off following Tommy John surgery might have been a blessing in disguise. For months, he wasn’t able to work on his swing, so he was able to develop his core and the lower half of his body. “It was total body strength,” he told MiLB.com. “I wanted to get all-around stronger. When they make you come in and work out every day, you don’t really have much choice. You’re going to get stronger. Everything happens for a reason, and maybe that was what I needed.”

    On the defensive side of the ball, he played some center field in high school, so he has plenty of athletic ability. As he has bulked up in the minors, he has moved to a corner outfield spot. At some point, he might need to move to first base, but he has a good arm and should be able to stick in right field.

    What’s Next

    Target Field…

    OK, that might be a stretch, but his bat could carry him to Minnesota by season’s end. Minnesota could decide to keep him at Fort Myers to start the year, but it wouldn’t be much of a surprise if he started the year in Pensacola. Prospects of his caliber don’t necessarily need time at Triple-A so he could be called up directly from Double-A.

    Minnesota’s outfield is full at the moment with Byron Buxton, Max Kepler, and Eddie Rosario. However, an injury or poor play by one of these players could expedite Kirilloff’s timeline. Right now, I think his bat could hold its own at the big league level.

    Twins Daily 2019 Top 20 Prospects

    Honorable Mentions

    20. Jose Miranda, 2B/3B

    19. Jorge Alcala, RHP

    18. LaMonte Wade, OF

    17. Zack Littell, RHP

    16. Gilberto Celestino, OF

    15. Yunior Severino, 2B

    14. Ben Rortvedt, C

    13. Ryan Jeffers, C

    12. Stephen Gonsalves, LHP

    11. Nick Gordon, SS

    10. Akil Baddoo, OF

    9. Blayne Enlow, RHP

    8. Lewis Thorpe, LHP

    7. Jhoan Duran, RHP

    6. Brent Rooker, 1B/LF

    5. Wander Javier, SS

    4. Trevor Larnach, OF

    3. Brusdar Graterol, RHP

    2. Alex Kirilloff, OF

    TD Top Prospects: #1- COMING TOMORROW

    Get to know more about Larnach and many more minor league players in the 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook.

    ORDER NOW: 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (paperback, $17.99)

    ORDER NOW: 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook (eBook, $12.99)

    The 2019 Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook goes in-depth and provides player bios, scouting reports, statistics and much more on almost 160 Twins minor leaguers.

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    Kirilloff doesn't have to be added to the 40-man roster yet after the 2019 season. My thought is that if the Twins are in contention in July, and Kirilloff is playing well, he comes up directly from AA. If they are out of contention, there is no reason to call him up in 2019, and they can call him up 3 weeks into the 2020 season.

     

    And I think the performances of Kepler and especially Bux will be factors as well.

     

    But let’s not put the cart before the horse. Even thought, as nater 79a pointed out, his numbers were insane in the pitcher friendly FSL, the jump to AA is usually the most difficult.

     

    Finally, close inspection of the spray chart shows a number of doubles that weren’t gapers but fell close to the wall. I’m guessing these were in the larger FSL parks. Perhaps some of the will become homers in Pensacola.

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    Well, there won't be much drama as to who the #1 TwinsDaily prospect will be.

    I guess the only intrigue is who will get to write up the story....Tom, Cody, Seth or Nick?

    It’s got to be Willie Joe (Garry) for the name alone!

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    Thinking back to 2015 we had a few top prospects that got yanked from double A and slammed into he daily lineup. Most of these guys unfortunately we are still waiting on. Having them learn at the big league level hasn't worked out too well.

     

    For the Twins sake (and mine as a fan) I hope we don't drag the next crop out of the field too early. I would prefer to see a ready to go Kiriloff in 2020 then watch him come up in 2019 and flounder for 2-3 years. The same applies to others.

     

    Most guys struggle coming out to AAA too. They're going to have to learn at the MLB level no matter what route they take to get there.

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    Most guys struggle coming out to AAA too. They're going to have to learn at the MLB level no matter what route they take to get there.

     

    Absolutely! Why I still preach patience at times.

     

    I believe in promotions for top talent. And I think thjs FO has been, and will be aggressive. But you also have to knkw when jts prudent to pull the reigns back a bit. For example, they were aggressive with Romero. But he's still a work in progress, especially for his 3rd pitch. But he's also one of the best arms we have. Can we be smart enough to utilize him properly in 2019 and still develop him?

     

    Khirilloff is a NATURAL. That doesn't mean he doesn't have things to learn and adjustments to be made. But I think he's ready right now for AA. To rake like he did in a pitcher friendly league tells me he is ready for the next level. Personally, despite his talent and potential, I wouldn't care if he didn't debut until 2020 for various reasons.

     

    But I wouldn't be surprised if he forces the issue this year.

     

    What a wonderful conundrum it would be to place Khirilloff, Rosario, Buxton, Kepler, Cron, Cruz all in the same lineup with Cave saying....wait a minute, what about me?

     

    But I'm OK with stacking talent, end of 2019 and beyond.

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    Absolutely! Why I still preach patience at times.I believe in promotions for top talent. And I think thjs FO has been, and will be aggressive. But you also have to knkw when jts prudent to pull the reigns back a bit. For example, they were aggressive with Romero. But he's still a work in progress, especially for his 3rd pitch. But he's also one of the best arms we have. Can we be smart enough to utilize him properly in 2019 and still develop him? Khirilloff is a NATURAL. That doesn't mean he doesn't have things to learn and adjustments to be made. But I think he's ready right now for AA. To rake like he did in a pitcher friendly league tells me he is ready for the next level. Personally, despite his talent and potential, I wouldn't care if he didn't debut until 2020 for various reasons. But I wouldn't be surprised if he forces the issue this year.What a wonderful conundrum it would be to place Khirilloff, Rosario, Buxton, Kepler, Cron, Cruz all in the same lineup with Cave saying....wait a minute, what about me? But I'm OK with stacking talent, end of 2019 and beyond.

    Ok, I’ll bite. Why do you insist on the “h” in Kiriloff?

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    And to bring the conversation back to Kiriloff, as this is in the Kiriloff forum, let me point out the glaringly obvious fact that Kiriloff went from last year being unranked nationally but “he’s a great pure hitter” to this year, after an amazing statistical season, ranked in the top 20 nationally.

    To me, it looks like it was his stats over the past year that made up 95% of those ranking changes. (94.8%, to be exact.) 

     

    If he had hit .280/.330/.420, the stats would be part of the puzzle. If he puts up another .348/.392/.578 when he moves up to AA, I'm not sure how significant the other pieces will be.

     

     

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