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  • Part 3: Seth's Midseason Top 40 Prospects (16-20)


    Seth Stohs

    Last week, I began a review of my updated, midseason Top 40 Minnesota Twins prospects. In Part 1, we reviewed prospects 31-40. In Part 2, we looked at prospects 21-30. As we jump into the Top 20, we will briefly profile five players at a time.

    Today’s grouping of five is rather interesting. Two upper-level relief pitcher prospects. Two very young, but immensely talented arms. A former top prospect who has really struggled yet still profiles well by several reports. This group illustrates so much about pitching prospects. There are lots of young arms with huge upsides, but there is a reason that TINSTAAPP (There Is No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect) is a thing in baseball circles. Some take off and become MLB starters. Some struggle with control, adding secondary pitches or injury and never reach their perceived potential. Some become relievers. Some relievers who throw really hard get hurt.

    Image courtesy of Seth Stohs, Twins Daily (L to R: Huascar Ynoa, Nick Burdi, Kohl Stewart, JT Chargois, Brusdar Graterol)

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    Today’s group of prospects also illustrates why prospect rankings are so difficult. There is such a large range of talent, age, and potential. Some players are very young and have a lot of development to do. Others have pitched at the highest level. With that, I present Part 3 of my midseason Top 40 Prospect Rankings, prospects 16-20.

    20. Huascar Ynoa, RHP, 19

    Ynoa turned 19 years old on Memorial Day. He signed with the Twins in July of 2014 out of the Dominican Republic. His brother Michael is a reliever for the Chicago White Sox. After spending 2015 in the Dominican Summer League, he came to the States in 2016. He was the Twins Daily short-season minor league pitcher of the year. For the GCL Twins, he went 3-5 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 starts and 51 innings. He walked 12 and struck out 51. Ynoa throws hard, sitting 91-93 and touching 95. He’s got the makings of really good secondary pitches. He’ll likely pitch at Elizabethton this season.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zujYwEsJmFs

    19. Nick Burdi, RH RP, 24

    After a long 2016 season in which he missed most of the season with a bone bruise in his elbow, things were looking good for Nick Burdi in 2017… at least until last week. Burdi had pitched 17 innings in 14 outings for Chattanooga. He had four walks and 20 strikeouts. He had given up just one run, on a solo homer. His ERA was 0.53 ,and his WHIP was 0.77. There was talk of him being ready for a promotion to Rochester, if not even directly to the Twins. He was hitting 100 with regularly. And then news came late last week that he has a torn UCL and will need Tommy John surgery which will put him out for the rest of the season. The Twins second-round pick in 2014 out of Louisville.

    18. JT Chargois, RH RP, 25

    The Twins second-round pick in 2012 out of Rice University, Chargois missed the 2013 and 2014 seasons with an elbow injury and Tommy John surgery. He returned in 2015 and stayed healthy. Last year, he dominated the minor leagues and got a chance to pitch for the Twins. Early results were not good but he was terrific in September. His velocity (normally 95-98 on the fastball) was a little down this spring and he struggled, so he went down to Rochester. Unfortunately, he has pitched in just two games this year due to elbow concerns. Frankly, we haven’t heard anything on him in quite some time. But as we’ve seen, when he’s healthy, his fastball-slurvy thing-change up can be a late-inning threat for the Twins.

    17. Kohl Stewart, RHP, 22

    It’s been a difficult start to the 2017 season for Stewart, the Twins first-round pick in the 2013 draft. While he’s never been a big strikeout pitcher, he’s always done a good job of not giving up too many hits and not walking batters. He’s maintained low ERAs. However, he went 0-4 with a 5.62 ERA in six starts to begin the season. In just 24 innings, he walked 22 and struck out 14. He was placed on the disabled list with a ‘knee’ injury. Still just 22, there is no reason to give up on Stewart. He has great talent. He throws into the mid-90s. He’s got a good slider. He can have a good changeup. Let’s hope that he gets healthy and starts throwing strikes again, because if he’s got those things, he can still be a solid starter.

    16. Brusdar Graterol, RHP, 18

    When I posted a previous Top 40, I had Graterol ranked in the low-20s. I felt that might have been too low, but most readers told me I had him too high. I’m sticking to my thinking and have moved him up. While he hasn’t pitched in nearly two years, and that was just 11 innings over four starts in the DSL (also 1 walk, 17 strikeouts), Graterol is intriguing. The right-hander signed with the Twins in 2014, but after those 11 innings in 2015, he came to the States and had Tommy John. He missed all of 2016. but he was pitching (and hitting 100 mph) in Instructional League. Unfortunately, before spring training, he broke his hand and had to sit most of camp. But he’s back, and he’s often sitting 97-98 with his fastball. He’s also got some solid secondary pitches. Now he just needs to be healthy and start working some innings.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NitwR1NtDVw

    So there you have my selections for Twins Prospects 16-20. Feel free to discuss, ask questions, debate, etc.

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    Hadn't heard of Graterol before.  Thanks for the video.  Unless he's going at much less than 100%, that's one of the shortest pitching strides I've seen.  That could lead to ongoing injury issues.

     

    Too bad for the Twins farm that there's so many injuries on this portion of the list!

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    This list is really disappointing. Ranking 16 - 20 and three arms that are not even throwing pitches, one so young we really have no idea what he will be and one highly drafted pitcher in Stewart that looks like a #5 rotation talent at best.  I would slide all of these to the end of your 40.  I am looking forward to the next five and hope that they are not in hospital beds or recovery units.  

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    At some point these inflated projections of Stewart seem like wishful thinking. I just don't see it. Albeit I don't follow THAT closely, but I don't think I'm alone in this sentiment

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    The current ranking of Stewart looks fair. I thought he was the right pick at the time, and won't fault the organization for choosing a raw player with a ton of upside. Some work out, some flame out.  

    Edited by Vanimal46
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    The current ranking of Stewart looks fair. I thought he was the right pick at the time, and won't fault the organization for choosing a raw player with a ton of upside. Some work out, some flame out.  

     

    Agreed... It'd be like the Twins taking Hunter Greene and he doesn't become an Ace, maybe not even an MLB pitcher. That's how the draft works, especially with high school pitchers.

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    Agreed... It'd be like the Twins taking Hunter Greene and he doesn't become an Ace, maybe not even an MLB pitcher. That's how the draft works, especially with high school pitchers.

    The difference to me is that the draft after Stewart really hasn't been that good. It was a worthwhile risk.

     

    I think with Greene there is a great option in Wright that they would pass on.

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    Agree with JLease, the injuries are just so disappointing! Not saying they would immediately fix things, but Burdi, Chargois, Reed and Jay all hurt to begin the season or mow out. What a difference just a couple of these could make the second half with Melotakis, Rosario and Hilgenberger potentially.

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    Wish I knew more about Graterol. Crazy to be so intrigued by someone this young who hasn't even really played yet! But with that kind of FB, and Bob talking about his slider, it's hard not to be excited even though his years away.

    What do you want to know about him? I have unfettered access to him and thanks to the team's English Teacher, Grace, conversing with him is a breeze. 

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    What do you want to know about him? I have unfettered access to him and thanks to the team's English Teacher, Grace, conversing with him is a breeze.

     

    Could you offer up just sort of an overview of his stuff, mechanics, what he's working hardest on, etc.

     

    I confess, I haven't picked up this year's handbook yet. Embarrassed to admit so, but there it is.

     

    I know this kid has to be at least 3 if not 4 or 5 years away, but I am sure curious about the various reports we hear from time to time.

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