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  • Yankees 10, Twins 4: Duffey Clobbered Again as Twins Drop Game One


    Jamie Cameron

    The Yankees beat the Twins 10-4 on Tuesday. The Twins kept an enthralling game close, until the Yankees teed off on Tyler Duffey in the seventh inning, securing the first game of the series.

    Image courtesy of Jordan Johnson, USA Today

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher: Cole Sands 3.2 IP, 8 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 3 SO
    Homeruns: Jorge Polanco (7)
    Bottom 3 WPA: Cole Sands -.283, Tyler Duffey -.234, Gary Sanchez -.153
    Bottom Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
    1685758928_chart(12).png.4bbf86b88905bf6b2a0da25352f1669c.png
    On Tuesday night, the Twins were out to try and make a dent in one of the most frustrating and dominant narratives in sports; the Yankees beating up on Minnesota. Bailey Ober was placed on the IL Monday, resulting in Dylan Bundy, Chris Archer, and Devin Smeltzer being the only healthy starting pitchers for the Twins. Here’s the lineup they put out against the Yankees.

    Early on, it looked like it could be an incredibly long night for Twins rookie pitcher Cole Sands. Thrust into an extremely challenging situation, he gave up long home runs to Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton to give the Yankees a lightning fast 3-0 lead. The Twins trimmed the lead to 3-1 on a Max Kepler sacrifice fly in the bottom of the inning, off Yankees starter Jamieson Taillon.

    Sands settled somewhat in his middle innings, pitching a scoreless second and third with minimal traffic on the bases. Meanwhile, the Twins trimmed the lead to 3-2 in the third inning with a Jorge Polanco double scoring Luis Arraez from first on a good, aggressive send from Tommy Watkins at third base.

    An Aaron Judge single in the top of the fourth inning extended the Yankees lead to 4-2. Sands was relieved with two out by Juan Minaya, who got Giancarlo Stanton to strike out swinging to end the inning. In the bottom of the fourth, the Twins scored on a Jermaine Palacios sacrifice fly after back to back singles from Gio Urshela and Gilberto Celestino. A Luis Arraez single put runners at first and second, but a poor at bat from Buxton ended the Twins opportunity to level the game.

    In the fifth, the Yankees extended their lead again. Juan Minaya struck out two Yankees, either side of an Aaron Hicks single, then he lost command. He walked the next three Yankees, walking in a run and leaving the bases loaded for Aaron Judge. Minaya was relieved by Yennier Cano, who struck out Aaron Judge to keep the lead 5-3.

    In the bottom of the fifth inning, the Twins cut the lead to a single run for the third time, on a Jorge Polanco solo home run. A Max Kepler single forced Taillon from the game. Despite Sands struggles, he kept the Twins in the game. The offense put on another strong showing in the early innings to stay within touching distance. With Carlos Correa expected back on Wednesday and Joe Ryan close behind, Twins fans have to be encouraged at the gritty performances of their shorthanded team in recent games.

    Lucas Luetge relieved Taillon and tried to pick off Kepler at first. A lazy Anthony Rizzo effort allowed the ball to bounce away and Kepler was in scoring position with no outs. The Twins, as has been a recent theme, could not cash the runner and the Yankees led 5-4 heading to the sixth inning.

    Yennier Cano looked to be heading towards his most impressive relief out for the Twins after recording two quick outs. He too, subsequently lost the strike zone, walking Josh Donaldson and Aaron Hicks (albeit barely missing a called strike three to each hitter). Cano wriggled out of trouble when former Twin Isiah Kiner Falefa flew out softly to Jorge Polanco to end the threat.

    Jermaine Palacios hit a ground ball to short in the bottom of the sixth inning that ate up Kiner Falefa, who, committed the Yankees third error of the game. The Twins were unable to make anything of it. Byron Buxton struck out in a poor at bat to end the inning. Through six innings, the Yankees had committed three errors, and Twins pitchers had walked seven hitters. It was a sloppy but engrossing game. The Twins however, were always one big hit short of tying the game or taking the lead, and trailed 5-4 heading to the seventh.

    Tyler Duffey took the ball in the seventh inning, off the back of a dreadful outing in Toronto. Duffey retired the first two hitters he faced, before a weak ground ball from DJ LaMahieu snuck through the infield for a single. Duffey then walked Aaron Judge, the Twins eight free pass of the game. Duffey then fell behind Anthony Rizzo 3-1, before leaving a middle-middle curve ball that Rizzo deposited for a three-run home run, to stretch the lead to 8-4. While Twins pitchers were living incredibly dangerously throughout the game, it was again Duffey, perhaps on borrowed time, whose execution was poorest. It's also worth questioning why Tyler Duffey was the choice to pitch late in a one run game. The Twins bullpen had a day off on Monday, so everyone was well rested. Duffey's second consecutive meltdown put any opportunity to win out of reach.

    After a Jorge Polanco single, Rocco Baldelli was ejected for arguing a pitch inexplicably called a foul ball on Max Kepler (who promptly grounded into a double play), a manifestation of the frustration felt by many after keeping the game close for so long. Again, it’s fair to question if Duffey can keep his roster spot with the Twins. He has been almost unusable in recent appearances, and Jharel Cotton has pitched excellently for the Twins when given the opportunity.

    Trevor Megill gave up a walk and three consecutive singles in the eighth inning to increase the lead to 10-4. The bottom of the eighth and he ninth inning came and went with little to note (except Megill almost decapitating Josh Donaldson with a high and tight fastball), and just like that, the Twins dropped the opening game of the series. The loss moved the Twins to 38-110 against the Yankees since 2002. In other words, what did you expect?

    Bullpen Usage Chart

      THURS FRI SAT SUN TUE TOT
                 
    Cano 0 0 39 0 33 72
    Duffey 0 20 0 28 19 67
    Minaya 0 0 24 0 40 64
    Megill 0 RL RL RL 38 38
    Duran 28 0 0 8 0 36
    Smith 0 15 0 13 0 28
    Moran 0 27 0 0 0 27
    Jax 0 14 0 9 0 23
    Pagán 15 RL RL RL 0 15
    Thielbar 0 RL RL RL 0 0

    Next Up

    On Wednesday, the Twins will continue their series against the Yankees. Chris Archer starts for Minnesota, against Nestor Cortes of the Yankees. First pitch is 6:40 CT.

    Postgame Interviews 

     

     

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    It would have been the shock of all time had this turned out any differently considering the starting pitcher situation.

    If arraez is out, I’m afraid there might be a full on tailspin. You just can’t have all these injuries and guys missing time without it catching up to you. Byron should really be IL’d.

    Things aren’t great, sports fans.

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    4 minutes ago, Aggies7 said:

    It would have been the shock of all time had this turned out any differently considering the starting pitcher situation.

    If arraez is out, I’m afraid there might be a full on tailspin. You just can’t have all these injuries and guys missing time without it catching up to you. Byron should really be IL’d.

    Things aren’t great, sports fans.

    Arraez is day to day, don't think it's anything major. Shoulder tightness I believe.

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    Meanwhile, the White Sox shut out the Dodgers.

    Look, this Twins team is better than I expected. I like 'em. But there will be no broad-based excitement for this team through the summer if they can't at least win a few games from the top dogs in baseball. It's okay to lose a good share of games to the league titans, but it's not okay to lose them all, especially not while rolling over like well-heeled puppies in the process.

    Nothing about these losses is surprising, which is really the most sad thing about them, series after series after series.

    If you want fans in the stands, boys, you better do more to earn an audience.

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    14 minutes ago, BH67 said:

    38 and 110 over the last twenty years...

    The Twins have won THAT many?

    i'm betting, without looking that many of those 38 wins came towards the beginning of those 20 years. Twins haven't earned many wins against NY lately, thats for darned sure.

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    The Twins are basically smoke and mirrors at this point. 

    It's not the FO fault. There has been absolute roster carnage this year so far.

    No team could survive this volume of injury.

    It could get ugly, but I'm holding out hope that they can limp for a month or so until people get healthy and the trade deadline happens.

    But, alas.... Hope is indeed not a plan

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    4 minutes ago, D.C Twins said:

    The Twins are basically smoke and mirrors at this point. 

    It's not the FO fault. There has been absolute roster carnage this year so far.

    No team could survive this volume of injury.

    It could get ugly, but I'm holding out hope that they can limp for a month or so until people get healthy and the trade deadline happens.

    But, alas.... Hope is indeed not a plan

    They had a golden opportunity to build some cushion when they had two weeks of Detroit and KC. But they dropped the ball. If Cleveland or the white Sox ever get it together, they’ll surpass us. You can’t absorb this much time lost. 

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    First, this Yankees team is literally historically great. The stats are unreal. Pitching and hitting.

    Second, I'm done with Duffey. He's not worth keeping around. He's a morale killer at this point, not to mention just bad at his job. I'm bummed. Always kind of liked him.

    Third. Meh. One game.  On the plus side, they scored 4 runs against this staff, which is hard to do.

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    47 minutes ago, insagt1 said:

    i'm betting, without looking that many of those 38 wins came towards the beginning of those 20 years. Twins haven't earned many wins against NY lately, thats for darned sure.

    Going by decade:

    (Yankees Wins - Twins Wins)

    2020s: 7-1 (.875)

    2010s: 53-21 (.716)

    2000s: 57-25 (.695)

    Interesting that there isn't much difference between the 2000s and 2010s, despite the 5-6 year stretch of bad Twins baseball in the 2010s.

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    In case Rocco was wondering, the 7th would have been a great time to throw Duran out there for two innings, given he’s only thrown 8 pitches in the last 4 days before today.  Get through the 8-5 hitters (assumes one base runner), and see what you can do to get a couple more runs.  After that, you just have to piece together the 9th against hitters 6-8/9.

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    A WHIP of 1.00 without including any hits...the Yankees will keep taking the walks as long as the Twins pitchers are AFRAID to throw strikes. Besides those who walked on fewer than seven pitches, was every other hitter at 3 balls and 2 strikes? It sure seemed that way.

    The Yankees weren't even playing well. Who wins when committing three errors? I just want to play them like we play every other team. If we lose, so be it, but nine walks? That is par for the course when the Twins play the Yankees.

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    It's also worth questioning why Tyler Duffey was the choice to pitch late in a one run game.

    This is because this was one of Rocco's "forfeit games" where he refuses to use any of his best players because he's saving them for later in the series. Basically the Twins weren't playing to win last night - they were playing for a win on Wednesday/Thursday.

    The problem with this strategy is that all too often, the rest of the series goes sideways and the best guys never have a chance to pitch in a meaningful game. The Twins may very well lose the next two games by double-digits, and therefore the best chance they had to win was during that 1-run contest last night*.

    As a fan, I want my guys to play to win TODAY - and worry about tomorrow when we get there. Rocco's approach to the MLB season has always been way too far sighted for my taste.

    *In fairness, a team should have a bullpen full of major leaguers that can get batters out, regardless of how good the team they are facing is. The Twins have some serious holes in the 'pen and need to make changes.

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    5 hours ago, Jamie Cameron said:

    Arraez is day to day, don't think it's anything major. Shoulder tightness I believe.

    I can't imagine he'll play the remainder of this series though, as we've seen the Twins are very cautious with these type of things. If a guy winces, he's on bed rest for a week.

    Seriously though hope Luis is OK. Definitely the bright spot on this team in 2022.

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    6 hours ago, Aggies7 said:

    They had a golden opportunity to build some cushion when they had two weeks of Detroit and KC. But they dropped the ball. If Cleveland or the white Sox ever get it together, they’ll surpass us. You can’t absorb this much time lost. 

    Cleveland & Chicago are within 4 games right now. Another bad week and they'll pass us. 

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    29 minutes ago, Brazilian Twins Fan said:

    Looks like Rocco is trying to get himself in the same path Joe Maddon.

    Poor choices on the bullpen usage in a winnable game. I have never been a Rocco hater, but he's trying to prove me wrong every night.

    Sad, just sad...

    Yep, the dude can't manage a bullpen if his life depended on it. Well, his life doesn't depend on it, but his job may. 

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    8 hours ago, Monticore said:

    Rocco deliberately sabotaged the team's chances just to spite the fans, their strong sentiment that Duffey should be released or put on the IL. There's really no excuse for that. Everyone not living on the moon knew that Duffey was gonna get rocked. And, yet Rocco brought him out anyway to turn a close winnable game into a blowout. The fact that it was against the dreaded Stanks makes it worse. Mgmt/Ownership need to make a move.

    I am not sure he deliberately did this. My take is Baldelli has no idea that he is doing these things. I maintain, (and have since about 2 months into his first year), that this fearless dugout leader cannot make a decision without a spreadsheet. I would guess he has a sheet that projects his meals too! While he did get tossed, which requires the him to actually speak, the damage had been done. The Duff had struck like a rattlesnake. Boom and the game was lost. 

    On the bright side....it was fun watching the Yanks try to catch balls and seeing Polanco and Arraez continue to make meaningful contact. Max (I cannot go to Canada) actually looked pretty good.

    GO TWINS!

     

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    The starting rotation is depleted. The Twins are using starters #5, #6 and #8 against a good Yankee offense. They are facing three very good pitchers. It is a near certainty that the Twins will need to empty their bullpen in the three games, unlikely to get as many as 15 innings from their starters, probably much less. I think it is folly to say that Duran should have been used for two innings in a game where the Twins never caught up, as well as any other higher leverage arms.

    The problem is that there aren't enough high leverage arms in the bullpen. Using Cano, Minaya, Megill and Duffey wasn't great, but pitching when your team is behind is where they should be used. 

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