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  • Who is Part of the Twins' Long-Term Core Four?


    Cody Christie

    Every team has to make long-term plans for the organization's direction. Which players compose Minnesota's core four for 2022 and beyond?

     

    Image courtesy of Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

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    For most of a decade, the Yankees were one of baseball's best teams as they relied on the services of players deemed their "Core Four." Derek Jeter, Jorge Posada, Andy Pettitte, and Mariano Rivera captured four World Series titles in five years. Minnesota relied on players like Kirby Puckett, Kent Hrbek, Greg Gagne, and Gene Larkin to win two championships in a five-year span. Other players fit into vital roles, but core pieces stayed the same on both of these rosters. 

    Few core groups can match the Yankees team's success, but every franchise is looking for the players to keep their winning window open. So, who is a current member of the Twins Core Four?

    Byron Buxton
    Contract Status: Signed thru 2028, 7 yrs/$100M (22-28)
    Earliest Free Agency: 2029

    Byron Buxton is the face of the franchise, and Minnesota made sure he would fulfill this role for much of the next decade. He certainly doesn't have the levels of playoff success associated with Jeter and Puckett, but Buxton has just six total playoff at-bats. Minnesota is in a position to make the playoffs this season, and the Twins are doing their best to ensure Buxton is healthy at the season's end. With Buxton in the line-up, Minnesota has a tremendous record throughout his professional career. Now the team and fans hope Buxton can end the franchise's postseason losing streak. 

    Luis Arraez
    Contract Status: 1st Year Arb Eligible (Super 2) 
    Earliest Free Agency: 2026

    Out of the players on this list, Luis Arraez is under team control for the fewest remaining years. He was awarded Super 2 status entering the 2022 season, so he qualifies for an extra year of arbitration. Minnesota may want to consider a long-term deal with Arraez, especially as other players like Jorge Polanco and Max Kepler see their deals coming closer to the end. Like Jorge Posada, Arraez may be considered somewhat unheralded, but he is key to the team's success. So far this season, Arraez has revamped his batting stance and his pre-game routine. The results speak for themselves, and now the Twins should find a way to keep him in Minnesota for the prime of his career. 

    Joe Ryan
    Contract Status: Pre-Arbitration Eligible
    Earliest Free Agency: 2028

    When the Twins traded for Joe Ryan, few could have imagined how good he would be during this early juncture of his career. He's also 26 years old, so the Twins have team control over him until his early 30s. He has a long way to go before getting close to the same category as Andy Pettitte. Over nearly two decades, Pettitte pitched over 275 innings in the playoffs. Ryan is also an unconventional starting pitcher who relies on his fastball nearly 60% of the time. Will he continue to succeed, or will the league start figuring him out? For now, the Twins always need pitching, and he looks like he is the most likely member of the rotation for most of the next decade. 

    Jhoan Duran
    Contract Status: Pre-Arbitration Eligible
    Earliest Free Agency: 2028

    During his rookie season, even Mariano Rivera didn't have as much success as Jhoan Duran. Rivera began his career as a starter but struggled before the team moved him to the bullpen. Rivera went on to a Hall of Fame career as he is widely considered the best reliever in baseball history. To reach the same level, Duran will need to continue to find success in the regular season and hope for postseason opportunities to prove his worth. After dealing with injuries in the minors, Duran also needs to prove he can have the same level of durability as Rivera. Relievers can be fickle, but Duran is already off to a tremendous start. 

    What do you think the ceiling is for Minnesota's Core Four? Would you put someone else in the group? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion. 

     

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    18 hours ago, old nurse said:

    Neither Kepler nor Polanco will be with the team long enough for them to be considered core players going forwards. They will hit the big 30 and the analytics say decline, they will be gone like Rosario. Lewis with an injury history may be hard to consider core. Great when he plays, but there is when he doesn’t play. Same for Buxton. A super utility player is really the only core player the team has until the others show they can sustain a level of play

    I agree. I think Kepler and Polanco are likely to be moved to make way for younger (cheaper) and maybe better people at their positions (Arraez, Larnach,  Celestino, Steer …).  

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    25 minutes ago, wsnydes said:

    Not one that doesn't have a position in the field and isn't a great defender anyway.  Sure, he can DH, but I don't really want to build a team around a DH.

    Half our non pitching roster doesn't have a set position in the field, and close to half, if not half, DH's at one time or another.  And I would submit half our roster aren't the best fielders the team has ever seen either.  I don't know that he is THE GUY you would build a roster around, but he is in the top 2 or 3 players here and now that we will need in the next few years to keep winning, at least in my extremely humble opinion.  

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    40 minutes ago, Schmoeman5 said:

    You can't build a team around a guy who gets on base 40% of the time? As General McAuliff said to the German surrender proposal during the Battle of the Bulge. NUTS!

    The only general who wouldn't have said something a bit earthier than that. :)

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    23 hours ago, Ex-Iowegian said:

    To me, something is out of whack with this premise. Searching for players on the current roster to comprise a "core 4" and then  comparing to the Evil Empire core players, and even to the '87 and '91 Twins seems like an oxymoron or something.

    Shouldn't a core group have some kind of history together longer than 4-1/2 months of a couple of seasons to qualify? Maybe some kind of mutual accomplishments consisting of more than leading the AL Central for a few months? These guys haven't done anything yet.

    Sorry, but my thoughts lead more to the core players of The Big Red Machine, or half the roster of the Orioles in the late 60's early 70's. That kind of magnitude.

    Or the Mathews, Spahn, Aaron, Adcock braves.

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    12 hours ago, Aichiman said:

    Sorry but I disconcur.  My core 4 would be Arraez, Kirilloff, Polanco, and Miranda.  Goodbye Byron.

    Thanks - I too have less reliance on Buxton.  Great power, great speed - just is not on the field enough, if he is DH his value diminishes.  Batting 218 his value diminishes.  I want Byron to be a top four, but he is not there now and has been only for a few stretches. 

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    33 minutes ago, Mark G said:

    Half our non pitching roster doesn't have a set position in the field, and close to half, if not half, DH's at one time or another.  And I would submit half our roster aren't the best fielders the team has ever seen either.  I don't know that he is THE GUY you would build a roster around, but he is in the top 2 or 3 players here and now that we will need in the next few years to keep winning, at least in my extremely humble opinion.  

    He may be a top 3 player now, but what about down the road?  That's where I'm looking.  I think Lewis will be the better player overall.  Which is why I chose him over Arraez.

    And half of the position player roster are corner types where none are demonstrably better than the other aside from Kirilloff.  You can maybe make a case for Larnach too, but I'm not going to yet.  You can't say that about Arraez.  Arraez's best positions are manned by guys that aren't going to be unseated.  Polanco is a better all around player, in my opinion, so he's not going anywhere.  Urshela is a much better glove and will be the every day 3B.  While Arraez is capable at 1B, that won't be his long term home.

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    If a core is to exist -   For the next 4 years  here is my guess and I am going to have 5 players

    1 of Correa/Lewis

    Arreaz

    Buxton

    Duran (as SP)  - I think they stretch him out

    Canterino (RP)   

     

    1. I am definitely doing some projection here.  However here is my rational.  I think the Twins will try to resign Correa, if they don't Lewis is the clear heir for the position.  That position will be a key cog in our future success.  

    2.  Arreaz has a bat that can play with any type of ball. I think his skills will continue to improve for the next year or two and will be this generations Tony Gwynn.  

    3.  Buxton -  He needs to remain healthy but he is a game changer when he is healthy,  He is still too much boom and bust with the bat, but his defense is a major game changer for the team.  

    4. Duran - as good as he has been as a reliever, if the org thinks he can be stretched out and be an elite SP I think they will.  He has the stuff to be the #1 pitcher we don't have. 

    5. Canterino - This is the biggest projection here.  He has the best stuff of any pitcher in the minors, but he continues to be one that struggles with health and any extended innings.  I think he will settle into a relief role and be a key COG down the future as primary fireman/closer.   

     

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    37 minutes ago, cHawk said:

    Now why would the Twins trade Buxton when he’s their best player?

    They wouldn't if he was their best player.  That is the debate, isn't it?  Some say yea, some say nay.  Personally, I think the jury is still out until he stays on the field long enough to earn that honor.  Kind of like Lewis; he has the potential to be the best player on the team for a decade, but he can't stay on the field.  There is being the best on paper, and there is being the best on the field, and you have to be on the field consistently to claim that status.  Si?  No?  

    Personally, I don't want to trade Buck; the years of control and the potential each and every game he stays healthy is worth the risk financially to me.  So is the financial risk to signing Correa to the long term deal he is going to get somewhere.  But I also don't let myself get too hopeful about either scenario; Buck staying on the field long enough to carry the team to a title or Correa staying for the long haul.  In the meantime, I want Arraez, Kirilloff, Miranda, and some of the other young guys to step up and take this team forward.  Right now, they lead my top 4.  If only they had set positions going forward.  

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    1 minute ago, ashbury said:

    Mays, McCovey, Marichal, Perry.   1962-1971.  Pretty good core to base an extended run upon.  We will struggle to find a core this good.

    As much as I hate to do it - Yankees - Mantle, Maris, Berra, Ford or stretching it out - Gehrig, Ruth, Hoyt, Lazzeri, Coombs, Pennock

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    12 hours ago, JustinTyner said:

    • Buxton

    • Kirilloff

    • Lewis

    • Arraez

    • Duran

    barring any moves at the deadline. 

    Ryan, Winder, Miranda, and Larnach all nice supporting pieces contributing now.

    Pretty solid group, especially when you consider this upcoming crop of pitching in Canterino, Povich, Festa, SWR, Hajjar, Varland, Adams, Raya, Laweryson, Paredes, Headrick, Gipson - Long, Balazovic

    Youll hit on a few of those guys. I like the shape we are in for the next 4-6 years.

    You consider a number 2/3 starting pitcher a supporting piece? Tough grader.

    Ryan is absolutely as likely to be important to the future of this team as Kiriloff or Lewis, and certainly Duran.

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    When I put Arreaz in the core 4 I'm not saying he's #1 on the list. I'm putting him in the leadoff spot and going down the lineup from there. He's 25. Buxton does need to be more consistent no doubt. Because even though he's got 22 homers, if you look at it after that dare I say his numbers are Sano like. But then you have to factor in that he's the best CF in baseball. So he still belongs. After that if Correa is here. No brainer. Then it would be nice if Ryan and Winder could develop into a nice 1 2 punch. Duran out of the pen. After that it's hopeful the Lewis Larnach Kirilloff Miranda Kepler Polanco etc can continue to grow and improve. I like where the Twins are. They just need another 2 or 3 guys out of the pen they can DEPEND on consistently.

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    1 hour ago, Mike Sixel said:

    You consider a number 2/3 starting pitcher a supporting piece? Tough grader.

    Ryan is absolutely as likely to be important to the future of this team as Kiriloff or Lewis, and certainly Duran.

    This is all a matter of opinion, but I sway your way.  I believe there are going to be two or three SPs that are #2/3 types that will be important for the next few years.  Ryan and Winder look like they could be really important pieces and there are a few other guys who could be similar.  Then, we have Jax and Alcala who have a chance to be the type of guys that are not spectacular but very effective and therefore important.   I guess it's a matter of if we define core players as the stars of the team or players who are around for several years and perform consistently.

    I am hoping they use the opportunity provided by all the young talent to add a core SP via free agency.  So, I am going to throw in a future core player in the form of Joe Musgrove or Carlos Rodon.   Yes, I know they have been reluctant to give out long contracts to SPs but they have never been in this position financially.  The only other place they need to spend is the BP.  So, let a guy dream.

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    2 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    You consider a number 2/3 starting pitcher a supporting piece? Tough grader.

    Ryan is absolutely as likely to be important to the future of this team as Kiriloff or Lewis, and certainly Duran.

    I picked what I believe to be the 4/5 most important pieces of our “core” for the next 4-6 years.

    Not a knock on Ryan or Winder, great players who look like they’ll be staples for years to come. 

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    51 minutes ago, chpettit19 said:

    Why? How would they spend his $15M a year better?

    Let me count the ways. 

    1. Pitching
    2. Pitching
    3. Pitching
    4. Catching
    5. A New Manager
    6. Replace the dynamic duo with an experienced, steady uno.
    7. Lower Ticket Prices
    8. Lower concession stand prices
    9. Focus on baseball; get rid of the PR department.
    10. And, uh, did i mention pitching?

     

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    7 minutes ago, Aichiman said:

    Let me count the ways. 

    1. Pitching
    2. Pitching
    3. Pitching
    4. Catching
    5. A New Manager
    6. Replace the dynamic duo with an experienced, steady uno.
    7. Lower Ticket Prices
    8. Lower concession stand prices
    9. Focus on baseball; get rid of the PR department.
    10. And, uh, did i mention pitching?

    Buxton playing for $15M/year is a steal, more valuable for the success of the Twins than any of the things you listed.

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    Kiriloff and Duran, MAYBE Ryan....this is no one else worthy of discussion.  Buxton is not unless he can stay healthy.  Buxton is not a steal unless he can prove he can stay healthy.

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    1 hour ago, Aichiman said:

    Let me count the ways. 

    1. Pitching
    2. Pitching
    3. Pitching
    4. Catching
    5. A New Manager
    6. Replace the dynamic duo with an experienced, steady uno.
    7. Lower Ticket Prices
    8. Lower concession stand prices
    9. Focus on baseball; get rid of the PR department.
    10. And, uh, did i mention pitching?

     

    Stick to the topic, please. 

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