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  • Week in Review: Stumbling and Grumbling


    Nick Nelson

    The Twins lost two series, and their beloved closer. It wasn't a great week, and the messaging from the clubhouse wasn't great either.

    Your full recap lies ahead.

    Image courtesy of Rick Osentoski, USA Today

    Twins Video

    Weekly Snapshot: Mon, 8/6 through Sun, 8/12

    ***

    Record Last Week: 2-5 (Overall: 54-63)

    Run Differential Last Week: -16 (Overall: -33)

    Standing: 2nd Place in AL Central (12.0 GB)

    HIGHLIGHTS

    After going 3-for-28 through eight August games, dropping his average to .186, Logan Morrison finally succumbed to a hip impingement that's been bothering him for much of the season. He's set to undergo surgery that'll knock him out for the rest of the year.

    This is good news for a couple of reasons. We finally have some clarity around the root causes in a hugely disappointing season for Morrison, who can hopefully rehab and get his career back on track. Meanwhile, the Twins can now give his at-bats to others more likely to figure into their future plans.

    One such player is Tyler Austin, who's been called up to fill Morrison's roster spot and role. Making his Twins debut on Saturday, the Austin launched a two-run bomb against old friend Francisco Liriano.

    The thunderous smash plated Miguel Sano, whose encouraging week included his first home run since being recalled and four walks. Yeah, he's still striking out a ton, but that's just okay when he's notching hits and coaxing walks at respectable clips.

    LOWLIGHTS

    Look. I get that, to some extent, expressing dismay over a deadline talent dump is part of being a leader. We saw it from Brian Dozier last year and now we're seeing it from Ervin Santana.

    "We’re not giving up, but they did," Santana lamented of the Twins front office after Friday night's loss, on the heels of Fernando Rodney being dealt to Oakland.

    I'm sure he's channeling the mood in the clubhouse, and in essence, that's fine – you want your players to be fired up at times like this. I'd be disappointed if they weren't ticked off.

    But Santana is striking all the wrong notes, with this entirely unwarranted bitterness toward a baseball ops department that's only doing its job. For the right-hander to be proclaiming his team is "only 10 games out" in mid-August seems almost comically oblivious. They have the largest deficit for any second-place team in baseball, in the worst division.

    And the Twins have reached this point largely because of lifeless, underwhelming efforts like the one put forth in Friday's series-opening loss to Detroit. While it's convenient for Santana to insinuate that this lackluster showing against one of the AL's worst teams was due to shell-shock, or the absence of key pieces, we saw too many such performances in the first four months for that notion to hold water.

    I don't blame Santana for getting hurt, nor do I hold it against him, but the fact remains: he wasn't here for those first four months. And now that he's back, he looks terrible. He gave up five runs against an abysmal offense on Friday and hasn't contributed one quality start since returning. In four turns he has surrendered six home runs with an almost impossibly low 4.2% swinging strike rate. Out of 451 MLB pitchers to throw 20+ innings this season, his mark ranks dead-last.

    The Twins would surely love to dump Santana's remaining salary, and $1 million option buyout, and generally counterproductive attitude. But his play has turned even a modest return like Rodney's into wishful thinking. No one's going to give up so much as a Dakota Chalmers type lotto ticket on the hope that Santana suddenly finds his stuff as he approaches 36. The veteran's got nothing right now.

    And so he, like many others on the roster, slogs forth through these final weeks. Frankly if anyone has grounds for complaining, it's the potential future contributors being held back by the presence of Santana's depleted arm on the roster.

    The same night Erv was getting knocked around by Detroit, Stephen Gonsalves was delivering another quality start in Rochester with nine strikeouts over six innings. He has a 3.15 ERA in Triple-A but remains unable to crack the Minnesota rotation. Fernando Romero looked better at his worst than Santana has it his best this year, but continues to compile innings in the minors.

    At least Kohl Stewart got his chance on Sunday, starting against the Tigers and looking more or less as advertised. The 23-year-old former top draft pick flashed mid-90s heat on a fastball with good movement, but allowed tons of contact with only two swinging strikes on 74 pitches. He finessed enough grounders to make it work through four frames, but things fell apart in the fifth as Detroit strung together four straight hits and a walk to break through and knock him out of the game.

    On merit, Stewart certainly doesn't deserve to be promoted ahead of Romero or Gonsalves, but I suppose the Twins have a more urgent need to give him a look, given his status as a fringe 40-man roster hold this offseason. Presumably we'll see more of him going forward. Personally, I'd be curious to see if the pitches play up in relief at all.

    TRENDING STORYLINE

    With Rodney shipped out, the Twins can use these final weeks to evaluate internal closer options for 2019. Unfortunately, no one's exactly rising as a prime candidate.

    Ryan Pressly would've likely been first in line, but of course, he's gone. Trevor Hildenberger got the call on Saturday night and almost blew a three-run lead, coughing up a two-run homer and putting the tying run on base before closing out the win. The ugly outing extended a very poor stretch for Hildenberger, who hasn't looked like himself for weeks. Since the All-Star break, he has allowed 19 hits and five home runs in 11 innings of work. He had previously surrendered nine total homers in 88 MLB innings.

    A natural choice for the closer nod would be Addison Reed, if he were throwing well at all. He's not. It doesn't appear his three-week stint on the DL did much to repair his arm, which continues to produce jarringly low velocity readings. The stuff just isn't there for Reed, who has induced only one swinging strike on 39 pitches in three appearances since returning from the shelf.

    Who else might get a look in the ninth inning? Gabriel Moya? Taylor Rogers? Matt Magill?

    One reliever I'd like to see get a few chances is Tyler Duffey, who was a very successful collegiate closer at Rice. He was recalled alongside Austin last week after posting a 2.72 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 rate in Triple-A.

    DOWN ON THE FARM

    The ascent of Astros shortstop Carlos Correa was about as smooth and optimal as one could hope for from a No. 1 overall pick out of high school. He cruised through the minors, developed into an elite prospect by the end of his first full pro season, and reached the majors at age 20, becoming an instant superstar and Rookie of the Year.

    The pace that Royce Lewis is currently on makes Correa's look decidedly sluggish. The shortstop is crushing High-A and hurtling toward a 2019 Twins debut.

    He and Alex Kirilloff have taken the Florida State League by storm. Among players with 100 PA in the league, they rank seventh and eighth in OPS; at 19 and 20 they are the youngest members of the Top 25.

    Kirilloff snapped a 13-game hitting streak when he went 0-for-2 on the final day of July, but now has another going, pushed to 10 last week as he tallied at least one knock in each game. Among FSL players with 150+ PA, he has the highest average and the seventh-lowest walk rate. Kirilloff swings at everything and hits everything.

    On Saturday, Michael Pineda made his first rehab start at Fort Myers, and he looked excellent, tossing three scoreless innings with three strikeouts and no walks. The big righty induced seven swinging strikes on 33 pitches and reportedly touched 95 MPH. All signs are positive as he works his way back from 2017 Tommy John surgery.

    LOOKING AHEAD

    The Twins will get a look at Chris Archer in his new Pirates uniform on Wednesday. He hasn't looked great since coming over from Tampa at the deadline. On Saturday, the Tigers will get another look at Stewart as the 23-year-old makes his Target Field debut.

    TUESDAY, 8/14: PIRATES @ TWINS – RHP Jameson Taillon v. RHP Jake Odorizzi

    WEDNESDAY, 8/15: PIRATES @ TWINS – RHP Chris Archer v. RHP Jose Berrios

    THURSDAY, 8/16: TIGERS @ TWINS – LHP Francisco Liriano v. RHP Ervin Santana

    FRIDAY, 8/17: TIGERS @ TWINS – LHP Matthew Boyd v. RHP Kyle Gibson

    SATURDAY, 8/18: TIGERS @ TWINS – Undecided v. RHP Kohl Stewart

    SUNDAY, 8/19: TIGERS @ TWINS – LHP Blaine Hardy v. RHP Jake Odorizzi

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    So begins the hype for the Twins on there next wave of prospects of Lewis and Krilloff  to give Twins fans something else to think about than this current group of players. Just remember both these kids are in minors and Lewis is still in A ball there's long way to go until they reach the majors. Just remember Sano and Buxton they were taring up minor baseball too not so many years ago. If this current group doesn't turn it around were looking at another 4 to 5 years of rebuilding.

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    I know I responded to this on twitter, but I think it's an important point and one worth bringing up for discussion here.

     

    Kirilloff isn't walking a lot, but I don't think he "swings at everything" at all. He's got a real good approach at the plate. He knows the strike zone well, but he also knows where he can barrel the bat. As Steve Buhr pointed out in a subsequent tweet, he's able to take a pitch 2 inches off the outside corner and drive doubles and homers the other way. 

     

    Of course, if he was hitting .270 instead of .370, this would be a bigger deal...

    Seth, that is a great observation. If you want that outside pitch, you will get it...often.  And a step into the pitch but slightly towards the plate moves the sweet spot on the bat a few inches outside on your swing.  Then the "inside out" swing, or what I call the "push away" swing can drive the ball hard the other way because you have moved the sweet spot farther outside on the swing so that you hit it dead solid perfect. Kirilloff has that figured out already. 

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    Sano, is a real question mark.  Is he another Morrison?  He seems to be regressing instead of getting better.  When he first came up from AA, he was killing the ball and taking his walks but if the ball got in the strike zone he mashed.  Something is off and I don't like were this seems to be headed.

    Sano was out of shape after leg surgery. He tried to yank everything 500 feet to left field and lost discipline.   He went down, lost some weight and got back to basics hitting wise.  He is more selective now and not trying to pull everything. Don't get me wrong, he is still a dead pull hitter, but he is looking at more pitches now and leveling off his windmill swing. I think he will settle in and be better for the demotion. Give it time. 

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    It's hard for me to take Santana's comments seriously after his performance in the wild card game last year.

    He relies on his slider and with the middle finger injury he was unable to get it to bite. I appreciate his giving it a try, but maybe we should have started someone else instead of a guy with a hand injury. 

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    "The Twins lost their "beloved closer""? Beloved by whom?   Not by me and I may   qualify as the longest tenured Twins' fan who posts on TD. I have pulled for this franchise continuously since 1954. Fernamdo Rodney was one of my least favorite   Senators/Twins due to his   showboat arrow shooting. 

     

    He only does it at the end of the game, correct? Do you also consider it to be showboating when the three outfielders run to center field to jump together (or when Buxton was up, miming a fade away jump shot together)? I'm curious about when something crosses the showboat line for you. Or for anybody else.

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    What irritates me is that if Morrison is having hip problems that are affecting his game throughout this season, then why wait until the season is in the dumpster to shut him down? I just don't get that logic at all...Am I missing something here?

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    It’s baseball. Everyone knows, and has known for years, that teams with sub-.500 records and double digit deficits in the standings move players come the end of July and August. Players who don’t want that to happen to their team should ensure the team isn’t in that position.

    To be fair, we didn't have a double-digit deficit when the trades started -- we were 7 games back when the first trade went through. Still not that close, but you can perhaps see how a player like Ervin might think it wasn't as cut-and-dried of a decision as you suggest. (I think Ervin just threw out "10 games back" off the cuff because it was a nice round number, I wouldn't pick on it too much specifically.)

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    What irritates me is that if Morrison is having hip problems that are affecting his game throughout this season, then why wait until the season is in the dumpster to shut him down? I just don't get that logic at all...Am I missing something here?

    It's not clearcut like a broken femur. First you try therapy on an injury. Then you try rest (he was DL'ed mid-July, right?). Surgery's the last resort, and you prefer to put that to the off-season. With the team in sell-mode, that choice was finally faced, sooner than later for the benefit of the player.

     

    I give the player props for playing through, rather than making a public issue of it. That effort has to stop at some point, where management (at some level in the org) makes the call, on behalf of the player, for the good of the team. But until the manager is told by the player "I can't go", it remains a judgement call - are they better off with their first choice playing only at 85% (realize that such "percentages" result in a steeper than linear dropoff in actual production), or their backup plan at that position or role.

     

    We can quibble about when it became apparent "it can't get better on its own". I hope people will resist the urge to assume downright malfeasance. This outcome clarified, for me, why they stuck with him as long as they did, through what appeared to us fans to be just a terrible slump.

     

     

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    What irritates me is that if Morrison is having hip problems that are affecting his game throughout this season, then why wait until the season is in the dumpster to shut him down? I just don't get that logic at all...Am I missing something here?

    I guess the thinking was, there wasn't a better alternative earlier than to hope Morrison comes around. But I agree, I probably would have used it as an opportunity to shake things up no later than mid-June somehow.

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    I'm skeptical that Morrison was injured "all season" without any of us hearing about it at any time. Was there any point in the past six months that a journalist asked him how he was feeling? I'd love to know his response.

     

    If he was injured all year, the Twins gave up the opportunity cost of having someone in his place who would have almost certainly hit better... Vargas or any number of other guys at AAA. Seems like a strange choice for an organization to make for a guy who clearly can't play.

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    I'm skeptical that Morrison was injured "all season" without any of us hearing about it at any time. Was there any point in the past six months that a journalist asked him how he was feeling? I'd love to know his response.

    Well, he was placed on the DL for this back in July, at which time he said it was "kind of a chronic thing" (as diagnosed by the physician Dr. Dre, I am sure :) ).

     

    https://www.twincities.com/2018/07/12/minor-hip-injury-lands-twins-morrison-on-10-day-dl/

     

    “Pretty minor,” Morrison said before Minnesota opened a four-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays at Target Field. “Just aggravation … kind of a chronic thing that’s been going on. A little rest, some medicine, it should be fine.”

     

     

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    "The Twins lost their "beloved closer""? Beloved by whom?   Not by me and I may   qualify as the longest tenured Twins' fan who posts on TD. I have pulled for this franchise continuously since 1954. Fernamdo Rodney was one of my least favorite   Senators/Twins due to his   showboat arrow shooting.

     

     

     

     

     

    Tarheelstwinfan, you got me beat. I’ve been a faithful follower since 1960. I still remember 1st game at old Met. Also agree with you on F. Rodney.

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    Not sure. Erasmo Ramirez might be a better bet for Seattle right now? He just shut out Houston for 5 innings yesterday, on 79 pitches. (He's working his way back from injury himself.)

     

    But yeah, if another starter gets hurt for them, they could come calling. Or if Ervin finally shows some better stuff.

     

    And honestly, if it's just to plug a hole as a 5th starter somewhere, and they don't care about putting Ervin in their postseason rotation, the August 31st deadline wouldn't really matter either.

    Maybe I’m wrong, but I were Dipoto I’d make a trade for Santana, not only because of the name value, but the fact that Seattle needs all the help they can get (it’s called depth). Also, Erv’s health “issue” isn’t, and shouldn’t be, comparable to Erasmo Ramirez’s shoulder woes.

     

    Besides, Erv’s finger and performance should only get better with each and every start removed from surgery.

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    Maybe I’m wrong, but I were Dipoto I’d make a trade for Santana, not only because of the name value, but the fact that Seattle needs all the help they can get (it’s called depth).

    Maybe they're looking at Ervin, and Shields, and Estrada, etc. Acquiring one might preclude acquiring a different one, so they probably can take some time to evaluate. If it's just depth, and Erasmo Ramirez is capable of similar production at the moment, it's not exactly urgent to acquire one of the other guys.

     

    FWIW, they could probably use bullpen help too, especially if Ramirez is starting, and they apparently passed on claiming Rodney just a few days ago. So I am not quite sure what parameters they are working under.

     

     

    Besides, Erv’s finger and performance should only get better with each and every start removed from surgery.

    Is it? That's not what I've been reading here. Things aren't always so simple and linear.

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    Maybe they're looking at Ervin, and Shields, and Estrada, etc. Acquiring one might preclude acquiring a different one, so they probably can take some time to evaluate. If it's just depth, and Erasmo Ramirez is capable of similar production at the moment, it's not exactly urgent to acquire one of the other guys.

     

    FWIW, they could probably use bullpen help too, especially if Ramirez is starting, and they apparently passed on claiming Rodney just a few days ago. So I am not quite sure what parameters they are working under.

     

     

     

    Is it? That's not what I've been reading here. Things aren't always so simple and linear.

    Well, Ervin is playing for the Twins, so that could also explain his performance as of late...

     

    Also, maybe the M’s passed on Rodney because they’re looking for a middle reliever like Reed, as well as preparing to move Ramirez to the bullpen.

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    Beloved by apothecaries and dispensers of indigestion powders. 

    "The Twins lost their "beloved closer""? Beloved by whom?   Not by me and I may   qualify as the longest tenured Twins' fan who posts on TD. I have pulled for this franchise continuously since 1954. Fernamdo Rodney was one of my least favorite   Senators/Twins due to his   showboat arrow shooting. 

     

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    Also, maybe the M’s passed on Rodney because they’re looking for a middle reliever like Reed, as well as preparing to move Ramirez to the bullpen.

    FWIW, Oakland claimed Rodney for middle relief. The M's picked up Colome for middle relief earlier this year too.

     

    I am not an expert on their roster, of course -- it could certainly be that they just want a starter. But Ervin doesn't look particularly appealing yet.

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    I'm not sure if the motivation particularly matters. If an act is "flashy" and frequent enough, I think it can qualify as showboating, regardless of its motivation.

     

    Is it showboating when a player makes the sign of the cross, fist bumps his chest, kisses that fist, then points and looks skyward?

     

    Rhetorical question maybe, and I'm certainly not picking on you...

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    FWIW, Oakland claimed Rodney for middle relief. The M's picked up Colome for middle relief earlier this year too.

     

    I am not an expert on their roster, of course -- it could certainly be that they just want a starter. But Ervin doesn't look particularly appealing yet.

    Maybe they passed due to Rodney’s reputation as a pitcher.

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    Is it showboating when a player makes the sign of the cross, fist bumps his chest, kisses that fist, then points and looks skyward?

    Probably not on its own, no. (Keep in mind I have no problem with Rodney.)

     

    Although it would be refreshing to see a ballplayer point down to the ground for a change, acknowledging the contributions of Hades and the underworld.

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    I just made a post on one of yesterday's threads, which I'm sure is now lost to history, but I think it applies here as well so I'll paraphrase.

    I said earlier "the pieces weren't there" less in agreement with Santana's comment but to my own way of thinking and that is that even if the Twins had kept everybody they traded, or even if Santana and Castro had been healthy and Polanco available, they were still without Buxton and Sano at anywhere near optimal performance and as it turned out were 'stuck' with Lynn, Morrison and Reed. I don't know how anyone here could realistically consider that roster as potential contender--not even in the weak-teat AL Central where even a sub-performing Cleveland team was able to hold them off most of the season without any sort of a serious threat.

    The 2018 Twins as structured were not a playoff-caliber team, nor were they in 2017 (despite their sneaking in as a Wild Card), not when you compared them with the perennially few legitimate contenders, and in my opinion the "pieces" for that haven't been there, certainly not the right ones or enough of them, for most of the past 30 years.

    So, go ahead and beat me with a stick, preferably something less than a 34-oz. Slugger.

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    I know this has been discussed before, but I don’t consider honoring his grandfather as showboating. That said, he wasn’t my least favorite Twin, but I could barely watch when he came in to pitch.

     

    The whole idea of honoring his grandfather..... great. For a couple times. For a season, maybe, although even that is a bit excessive. But now, I believe, that is just his excuse to get in his trademark. He can say he is still honoring his grandfather, but that ship has sailed. Now it is only about his trademark, like the crooked hat, no matter what he spins he gives it. You don't do a 21 gun salute everyday, or every time you do your job instead of blowing the game. How many times does it take before the "honoring" becomes so redundant that it has no point?

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    It's not clearcut like a broken femur. First you try therapy on an injury. Then you try rest (he was DL'ed mid-July, right?). Surgery's the last resort, and you prefer to put that to the off-season. With the team in sell-mode, that choice was finally faced, sooner than later for the benefit of the player.

     

    I give the player props for playing through, rather than making a public issue of it. That effort has to stop at some point, where management (at some level in the org) makes the call, on behalf of the player, for the good of the team. But until the manager is told by the player "I can't go", it remains a judgement call - are they better off with their first choice playing only at 85% (realize that such "percentages" result in a steeper than linear dropoff in actual production), or their backup plan at that position or role.

     

    We can quibble about when it became apparent "it can't get better on its own". I hope people will resist the urge to assume downright malfeasance. This outcome clarified, for me, why they stuck with him as long as they did, through what appeared to us fans to be just a terrible slump.

     

    What has not be said yet is exactly when it started. It seems like he had it over the off season, and entered his contract with it at its beginnings. He says he has been dealing with it all year. I wonder if he would have made it through Baltimore's physical? It would be really nice to know the inception, and not just the standard spin that seems to be happening now. I am not doubting he has a problem, and has had a problem and it has affected his play, but I am really interested in knowing when it started, exactly, and if it was disclosed then, and if he carried it over from last season and the off season.

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    What has not be said yet is exactly when it started.

    You injure something, you nurse it along, it's some amount better, then you tweak it again. Lather rinse repeat. I don't know if it necessarily is something that even had an "exact" start, as far as having an effect on him goes. It could have been progressive, or something fluctuating. Athletes deal with this a lot - no press releases are usually issued.

     

    Treat LoMo's good weeks as evidence, lacking other info. (Not that many to look at. ;) )

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    What irritates me is that if Morrison is having hip problems that are affecting his game throughout this season, then why wait until the season is in the dumpster to shut him down? I just don't get that logic at all...Am I missing something here?

     

    Aerodeliria? By The Loud Family off the release, Plants and Birds and Rocks and Things?

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    Trying to figure out how Lewis' progress through the minors makes Carlos Correa's look sluggish.  Correa played A+ ball as a 19 year old in 2014, same level as Lewis at the same age.  

     

    But we will see if Lewis plays for the Twins as a 20 year old.  Correa jumped to AAA to start the 2015 season as a 20 year old, then was called up by Houston and had 432 plate appearances that season.

     

    Most likely, the Twins will continue their conservative approach, despite losing, and Lewis will go to AA next season, AAA perhaps the following with a 2020 debut during the season.  IF that happens, you can see the difference between the Twins approach and successful MLB team's approaches.

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    Is it showboating when a player makes the sign of the cross, fist bumps his chest, kisses that fist, then points and looks skyward?

     

    Rhetorical question maybe, and I'm certainly not picking on you...

    Ben, I always thought it was showboating when you disrespected someone or did a "look at me" gesture. 

    Yeah, the arrow qualifies in my book. But Batista's bat flip and Rickie Henderson picking up a base are clear examples.

     

    My favorite saying about Reggie:    "There ain't enough mustard in the world for that hot dog." 

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    I think Correa was much more ready with the glove. If Lewis is going to play SS it is going to take longer. If they want his bat sooner they might shift him to RF. I would keep trying to develop Lewis as a SS.

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