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  • Trade Deadline: What if the Twins Do Nothing?


    Seth Stohs

    Happy Trade Deadline Day, Twins Fans! This should be a fun day as the Twins find themselves Buyers at the deadline for the first time in a decade. I fully expect the Twins to acquire at least one pitcher before today’s 3 p.m. (central time) deadline, but what if they don’t? What if they stand pat?

    Image courtesy of Mark J. Rebilas, USA Today

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    On Tuesday night, Cleveland finally traded All Star starting pitcher Trevor Bauer. Typically that move would be seen as the team selling, but in this case, I do believe that they got better. They have pitching, and seem to keep calling pitchers up who do well. Shane Bieber and Zach Plesac are two guys who fit into that mold. They also should be getting Corey Kluber back in the near future.

    Their need was offense, and they added two powerful outfielders in Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes in the three-team swap. They also added LHP Logan Allen, a Top 100 prospect, and two more minor leaguers.

    It was a very creative move for Cleveland. The Twins were very creative in their acquisition of Sergio Romo over the weekend. Not only did the Twins receive the veteran reliever, but they also received hard-throwing RHP Chris Vallimont and a Player to be Named Later for slugging first base prospect Lewin Diaz.

    On its own, the Twins made a really, creative, savvy move to improve their bullpen and improve the team. Twins fans have generally felt that the trade was good for the Twins, though that thought always comes with the “as long as it isn’t the only move they make by the deadline.”

    But what if it is? What if Sergio Romo is the only player that the Twins add? What will it mean? Here are my thoughts.

    DISAPPOINTMENT

    First and foremost, Twins fans will and rightfully should feel disappointment. On the basic level, it’s always fun to acquire talent. It doesn’t even have to be elite talent, but just make the team better. Let's just say, #TwinsTwitter will not handle it well, for sure!

    On another level, Derek Falvey and Thad Levine have consistently said that when the Twins window to compete for championships opens, they will pounce. Well, the window is wide open. This team has the talent to compete, not only for the American League Central title but also for a World Series. They have won two of six games against the Yankees this year, and probably should have won two more of those games. They won four of their seven matchups with the Astros this year. They currently have an edge on Cleveland this year too. Those are the top teams in the American League, and the team should absolutely feel like they can compete for an American League pennant. And hey, if you get to the World Series, you have a chance.

    So Twins fans will absolutely have every right to be disappointed and even upset if nothing is done.

    HOWEVER…

    This is a very good team as is, as shown by their performance so far this year against the top teams in the league. Their lineup can compete with anyone. They can slug with the best. Pitching has been the issue although even that hasn’t been as bad as we may think. The starters rank in the top the top third of the league in most statistics. Some of that is because their #4 (Perez) and #5 (Pineda) have been better than most 4s and 5s around the league. Jose Berrios is approaching Ace level. Jake Odorizzi was an All Star for his strong start, but he has been more inconsistent of late. Kyle Gibson’s been good at times but also a bit inconsistent. Not adding a starter would just mean that these guys would need to step it up down the stretch. But would the Twins have a top three or top four that you could feel good about going into the playoffs?

    And the bullpen has been better than expected, though a lot of that is because of Taylor Rogers. Sergio Romo stepped in as the 8th inning guy last night in his Twins debut. Tyler Duffey has returned to an intriguing bullpen option. Ryne Harper has been a big surprise. Trevor May was doing well until the 0-2 curveball in Cleveland, but he has the stuff to dominate and will need to find that again.

    And then some young guys. Cody Stashak had a moment in the Yankees series. Sean Poppen reeling off 96-97 mph fastballs with a strong slider could be great for the team down the stretch. And if Will Smith and Felipe Vasquez are unavailable, I don’t think there is an available left-handed reliever that I would feel better about than giving Lewis Thorpe an opportunity. And Devin Smeltzer is available as well. The concern with them is their lack of MLB experience, obviously.

    In addition, Fernando Romero has been much improved of late in Rochester. And as it appears the odds of Cody Allen helping the Twins down the stretch is waning, flamethrower Brusdar Graterol returned to the mound on Monday for his first rehab appearance. Maybe he and his 101-mph fastball can help. Jorge Alcala and his triple-digit fastball pitched out of the bullpen in his most-recent outing.

    SUMMARY

    So, while I still think it is very likely that the Twins make one or two moves before the trade deadline, and this article will be all for naught, it is important for Twins fans to stand by a team that has put themselves in this position. Absolutely, be disappointed that nothing was done, but hopefully you’ll be able to quickly shift your attention back to the fact that this team, as it is currently put together, can win the division. And, if you are under the opinion (as I mostly am) that the playoffs are mostly a crapshoot, then you should still believe that the Twins can win in the playoffs too.

    All that said… Come On, Twins… Make a Move!

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    Tom Burgmeier

    Thomas Henry (Tom) Burgmeier was born August 2, 1943 in St. Paul, MN, the fourth of eight children.  He grew up in St. Cloud, MN, and graduated from St. Cloud Cathedral High School in 1961, where he was a significant contributor to Cathedral's Cathol...

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    Right. There is no guarantee that the Twins will ever have a season, up until this point, like this one again. There is a reason why they are setting all sorts of team and baseball records with their offense. You don't punt until next season when you have nearly nothing set in stone as far as your pitching goes.

     

    This front office has said that when the window opened, they would pounce. Well, the window is open. Wide open. If they fail to do so, they will have fleeced all of us.

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    I expect some trades, not sure if anything major though.  If the asking price for any major players is Lewis and/or Kiraloff, as reported both Toronto and Mets were asking for both and Mets wanted Buxton too.  That is way to high of asking price in my opinion.  

     

    Many people were upset we did not get Stroman for what Mets did, but reports were Toronto was not dealing him to us for same level of prospects they did for Mets.  We will never know what other teams are asking for from Twins.  We assume some of the starters available are upgrades, but you never know if they will be or not.  

     

    I would love to see a big time bullpen guy and top end starter, but who knows what will be asked for them.  

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      On 7/31/2019 at 2:21 PM, DutchFarmer said:

    Probably an unpopular opinion but I'm totally cool if they do nothing. 

    I would be a bit disappointed.   I think Kennedy is kind of the baseline.   I would like Lynn but don't know how much it would cost.    Thing is, all these possible  acquisitions move the needle incrementally not monumentally.    Would Giles or Kennedy have avoided the Yankee loss?   Possibly., and maybe another game but maybe they implode a different game where the guy we had got out of it.   The net over time is maybe a game, maybe two, maybe -1.    Maybe that difference gives us a 5% better chance of making the playoffs.    Maybe that difference gains us 2% better chance in the playoffs.   Its possible not making a move is what gets us a World Series and its possible making three great moves gets us swept in the first round, but  Its all about percentages and if Kennedy moves the needle at all and money was the reason for not getting him, yes I will be disappointed.     

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      On 7/31/2019 at 2:43 PM, Brock Beauchamp said:

    If Romo is the best reliever traded, I hope the Twins go find another Romo and trade for him. Or go find a starter and move Perez to the bullpen.

     

    I won't fault them for not getting an elite arm if no elite arms are traded but I will fault them for sitting on their hands.

     

    Right, if I have to settle for Daniel Hudson and Roenis Elias I will, but ugh, if that's the best this team can do, whether it's anyone's fault or not, this deadline is going to be a big let down after the flurry of rumors that have been flying for the last month.

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    I will wait and see what happens. as I'm not privy to any ongoing discussions within the Twins organization.

     

    I'm quite sure the FO wants to improve the pitching staff, but, what they have to offer may not fit a need for teams that are selling and teams that are selling may want far more than the FO is willing to give up.

     

    I would like the FO to make a move, but, I also know sometimes not making a move is the hardest thing to do.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 1:59 PM, SpicyGarvSauce said:

    I don't get this part...

     

    "it is important for Twins fans to stand by a team that has put themselves in this position."

     

    What I hear Seth saying is that we still root for the players, other fans and community, regardless of what happens.
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      On 7/31/2019 at 2:21 PM, DutchFarmer said:

    Probably an unpopular opinion but I'm totally cool if they do nothing. 

     

    I hope they make at least 1 more Romo esque bullpen move and I would not be mad if we acquire a Ross or a Minor or a Lynn and give up a similar haul to the Stroman deal.  That's honestly my ideal situation in a world where Synyguard costs what he probably does.

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    At the very least, the Twins need to come away with at least 2 middle inning relievers who are major league average or better. There's lots of those guys around that wouldn't cost that much in return. And I mean 2 guys who can handle high leverage situations. Now, maybe they'll be grizzled vets who are on loan, I don't care, at least we'd have a shot in that scenario.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 2:55 PM, blindeke said:

    I trust them to evaluate well and not screw up this team's future.

    Trust but verify? We'll see. They opened up 3 spots on the 40 man for a reason. I think they are trying. Fall back plan will be some Pensacola flamethrowers maybe? I agree on a go big move here. Its likely we never see this good an offense again. Anyone in the minors we don't expect to help us next year on the 25 man roster should be made available to reinforce this team for a deep run this year. My opinion.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 2:23 PM, drbob524 said:

    If they dont do anything, I'm gonna really regret not getting tickets to the BP even at TF. Thad might want to bring a poncho or some old clothes for when he gets pelted with rotten produce.

     

    As long as it's not Pretzel Night at Target Field, Levine should be okay.

     

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      On 7/31/2019 at 2:20 PM, J_Dobs said:

    I would be extremely upset. You can claim all you want that the "price was too much", but I know for a fact you can get Ian Kennedy pretty reasonable and all you need to do is take on the salary, and if we don't end up with anyone you didn't try at all in my opinion.

     

    I didn't know Brett Veach posted on Twins Daily!  Thanks for taking time out of what I'm sure is a busy day for you Mr. Veach!

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      On 7/31/2019 at 2:35 PM, nicksaviking said:

    What if Sergio Romo ends up being the best reliever traded? Not just for the Twins, but the entire league.

    There have been Diekman, Wood, Phelps, and Martin dealt already... although I guess they're probably close to the Romo class...

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    Probably not, but the asking price may be proportionately as asinine.  A I said, we are not in the front office so we don't know.

      On 7/31/2019 at 2:24 PM, SpicyGarvSauce said:

    A guy like Ian Kennedy or Andrew Chafin or someone of that caliber, who would clearly improve the current Twins bullpen, would not cost those guys. So don't even go there.

     

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    They will make a move it just won't be as big of one as we all would like,  I am sure they talked about deals for all kinds of guys at various levels and will work the phones today to see what they can find.  If they don't find anything they can stomach I guess I would find that hard to believe.  We have a lot of talent that is rule V eligible and they might as well do something with those assets rather than let them go for nothing.  I still believe they will make at least one deal.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 3:09 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    I didn't know Brett Veach posted on Twins Daily!  Thanks for taking time out of what I'm sure is a busy day for you Mr. Veach!

    ... Brett Veach... google search....

     

    Oh, so you’re saying the Twins should trade for Tyreek Hill? :)

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      On 7/31/2019 at 3:10 PM, Cap'n Piranha said:

    How in the hell do you know this?  You assume, but you have absolutely zero evidence, other than your subjective belief, for what it would take to acquire any player.

    I think it's fair to guess that if we ate Kennedy's salary, we could get him for a modest prospect return:

     

    Royals Reportedly “Not Inclined” To Pay Down Salary In Trades

     

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/07/royals-trade-rumors-ian-kennedy-danny-duffy-salary.html

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    One of the problems with the Twins organization is they have zero consistency in their approach.

     

    When they were bad, instead of getting young players up quickly to evaluate and develop, they were very conservative in their approach and instead plugged in mediocre veteran after mediocre veteran.   You can argue all you want, but the Twins brought their prospects up 1-2 years later than most other teams when they should have been advancing them 1-2 years quicker for their internal rebuild.

     

    Now, by some sort of miracle, the Twins 2019 squad jumps out into the universe with what are already career years for many of their players.   If they add a couple of key players they could be truly competitive, and by that I mean not just win the weakest division in baseball but have a real chance of winning it all.

     

    So, for me if they sit pat that will be par for the course for this organization.  

     

    My approach:   go after MInor or Snydergaard and pay the market rate.  Give up one of Lewis or Kiriloff, any pitcher in the organization the other team wants, and a 3rd player plus any player in the organization that is essentially blocked like Nick GOrdon if that is what it takes to make the deal.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 3:14 PM, spycake said:

    There have been Diekman, Wood, Phelps, and Martin dealt already... although I guess they're probably close to the Romo class...

     

    At one point I had Vazquez, Giles, Yates, Smith, Diaz, Lugo, Iglesias and Garrett on my wish list but due to more recent rumors, their team's recent actions and injuries, I've felt I had to mentally cross most of them off.

     

    Though only in pencil, the sellers could just be gaming everyone, or have a change of heart.

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    Isn't it possible that the teams with pitching to trade are less than motivated to consummate a deal, or perhaps aren't interested in position player prospects, or more specifically aren't interested in our position player prospects, or are deliberately maintaining demands they know to be outrageous in the hopes that a theoretically young(ish) and inexperienced(ish) Twins FO will crack under the pressue?

     

    I'm sure we could have Syndergaard right now if we gave the Mets Buxton, Balazovic, and Graterol.  I'm sure Vazquez or Yates would be on their way if we gave up Kiriloff, Lewis, and Larnach.  But would either of those deals be smart?  No.

     

    This is a team that is set up to be good for a long time--every member of our record-breaking offense except Schoop is under team control for next year, and for every reason to think there might be regression, there are reasons to hope for progression.  Our pitching staff will need work next year, but you don't need to fix next year's staff today--you have an entire offseason.

     

    I hope this Front Office doesn't do something for the sake of doing something; there is a chance we're looking at a 5-7 year window of annual competitiveness. 

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    Like most, I will be disappointed if the Twins do nothing for the next 4 hours 51 minutes.  

     

    But I won't call for the drastic measures some are.  Is it possible the trades the Twins were close to making didn't happen because the players asked for was just too much to be reasonable?  Yes, that is possible.  Unfortunately, none of us will ever know what really is said in these discussions.

     

    My hope remains that they get at least someone comparable to Romo, preferably someone left handed.  In an ideal world, I would hope they get a stud reliever.  If nothing happens, on towards the play offs with the guys that got us here.

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      On 7/31/2019 at 3:21 PM, mlhouse said:

    One of the problems with the Twins organization is they have zero consistency in their approach.

     

    When they were bad, instead of getting young players up quickly to evaluate and develop, they were very conservative in their approach and instead plugged in mediocre veteran after mediocre veteran.   You can argue all you want, but the Twins brought their prospects up 1-2 years later than most other teams when they should have been advancing them 1-2 years quicker for their internal rebuild.

     

    Now, by some sort of miracle, the Twins 2019 squad jumps out into the universe with what are already career years for many of their players.   If they add a couple of key players they could be truly competitive, and by that I mean not just win the weakest division in baseball but have a real chance of winning it all.

     

    So, for me if they sit pat that will be par for the course for this organization.  

     

    My approach:   go after MInor or Snydergaard and pay the market rate.  Give up one of Lewis or Kiriloff, any pitcher in the organization the other team wants, and a 3rd player plus any player in the organization that is essentially blocked like Nick GOrdon if that is what it takes to make the deal.

     

    Different front offices.  You cannot compare. 

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      On 7/31/2019 at 1:54 PM, Dome Dogg said:

    While no moves being made would be frustrating for fans, I would imagine the players would be even more disappointed. How many former Twins (Hunter, Dozier, etc) have we heard grumble about the team never truly going for it? Even Berrios' recent tweet spoke to that. 

     

    The FO needs to send a message to the current (and heck, future) Twins that this team is committed to trying to bring home a World Series. 

     

    It's very easy for a player to demand trades when they know full well they will not be involved.  I imagine Berrios would feel very differently about the need to make a trade if he was the player in line to be shipped out.

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