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  • The Reclamation Starters for Twins Need to End


    Ted Schwerzler

    Prior to the 2022 Major League Baseball season the Minnesota Twins owned a rotation in desperate need of an overhaul. A bad 2021 team used 16 different starting pitchers, more than three rotations worth, and the year ahead had to be a drastic change. The front office immediately opted for more of the same.

     

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    Going into 2021, manager Rocco Baldelli was strapped with ineffective veterans Matt Shoemaker and J.A. Happ. The latter posted mediocre numbers with the New York Yankees in a truncated 2020, and hadn’t truly been good since 2018. The former wouldn’t know a clean bill of health if a doctor prescribed it, and while decent when healthy, was nothing short of a trainwreck for the Twins.

    In total, Derek Falvey and Thad Levine’s constructed roster saw a record 35 pitchers brought to the mound. Short starts were a constant due to ineffectiveness, and team mascot Willians Astudillo made four different appearances on the bump.

    Fast forward to free agency 2022 and Dylan Bundy was the first acquisition made by Minnesota. Bundy’s lone good season came during the 2020 debacle, and despite being a former 4th overall pick, he’s never looked the part of a legit starting arm. It was a fine back-of-the-rotation edition, but ultimately he made 29 starts and far too often in big spots.

    Doubling down on more of the same, the Twins opted for Chris Archer who had recently had Thoracic Outlet surgery and repaired a hip labrum. His 19 1/3 innings dating back to 2019 should’ve never had him beginning 2022 in anyone’s starting rotation. Falvey told reporters recently Minnesota wanted to ease him along, but things never got better.

    The Twins President of Baseball Operations said, “Our hope was that if we started a little slow with him … to be able to unleash that a little more through the course of the year,” Falvey said. “And we were just never able to get there. Then when we had other injuries, as a result of the other guys going down … we then ultimately had to continue to lean on Chris at that stage to make those starts.”

    Despite using a club record 38 pitchers in 2022, again because of poor performances both in the rotation and bullpen, a positive caveat was discovered depth. Louie Varland followed up a 2021 Minor League Pitcher of the Year award by making it to the big leagues and grabbing his first game on the final day of the season. Simeon Woods Richardson, a piece acquired with Austin Martin from the Blue Jays when Minnesota sent out Jose Berrios, also took a turn in the majors. Add in the continued growth for Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober, and Josh Winder and you’ve got a solid set of depth starters.

    We won’t see Devin Smeltzer back in the organization next season as he opted to pursue opportunities elsewhere, but Cole Sands could continue to develop. There’s hope that Jordan Balazovic will return to form, and another big jump from Marco Raya, David Festa, or Blayne Enlow could put them in the conversation as well. In short, there are plenty of options to fill out the group.

    That puts pressure on Falvey and Levine to adequately allocate pitching funds this offseason. Whether on the open market or in trade, the time to bargain shop has come and gone. Kenta Maeda, Sonny Gray, and Tyler Mahle are all capable top-half rotation pieces. Chris Paddack could be that too, assuming he comes back well mid-summer. No one else brought in can even flirt with the notion of slotting in behind that group.

    Aces are few and far between in baseball. Rarely do they hit the open market, and it’s always a bit of a dice roll as to which will thrive in a new situation. Minnesota isn’t an ideal market, but money talks and it’s time for the front office to speak with it. Another throw-in starter being signed to anything but a camp invite deal should be cause for significant ire. It’s time to add big or stop asking to be taken seriously.

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    Agree 100%.  Pay for quality, get quality results.  A gamble here and there to me is acceptable.  To build an entire strategy around hitting it big on the Happ, Shoemaker, Archer and Bundy types just wreaks of a half-hearted effort.  Pay for quality.  Get quality results.  Pick your spots.  I would say that even though the Twins did not make the playoffs, the Correa move justifies this philosopy:  Pay for quality.  Get quality results.  

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    "Opted for more of the same" doesn't acknowledge that they did something different than most prior years in offering a significant asset (Petty) to get a significant starter (Gray) via trade, which isn't mentioned in the article. They also took a risk in offering another asset (Rogers) for the potential of a significant asset (Paddack).

    Also, this will get called "making excuses for the front office," but losing two months of offseason last year didn't help their ability to zig rather than zag. 

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    Agree 100% her with you Ted. With Gray, Maeda, Mahle, Ryan, and Ober, plus the depth behind them with Winder, SWR, and Varland, the Twins absolutely should not sign another back-end starter. Front end starter or bust for me right now.

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    On 10/26/2022 at 8:04 AM, DuluthRoots said:

    Reading this at age 72, having been through it all since 1960, I slowly come to the realization that the Twins will not win another World Series in my lifetime.?

    Please don't say that. I'm age 77. 

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    Yes this needs to end.

    With that in mind. I've seen a lot of complaining (in the past) about Mahle and Paddock with their injuries. If not for those trades there is a good change we'd have a Shoemaker type in the 5th starter spot in 2023. Paddock probably won't be starting games till 2024. So in 2023 you want Mahle or a Shoemaker type? In 2024 Paddock or a J.A. Happ type? The FO gambled on Mahle and Paddocks health and lost in 2022. But if those trades keep a reclamation project off the roster in 2023-2024 that's likely a win all by itself.   

    Just me 2 cents worth. 

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    We might as well get used to the young arms. 40 Man roster limitations will make the veteran reclamation project harder to roster as the farm keeps producing more lettuce. This is why I remain optimistic about the direction of the organization.   

    You have 40 spots on the 40 man to work with.

    At minimum 13 of those spots need to be position players because 13 are required on the 26 man.

    That leaves 27 spots for potential pitching. Make it 22-23 or 24 spots available because you need young talent that can be called up to perform at IF and OF when injuries occur and we all know they occur. 

    The 40 man is tight and the 26 man roster will most likely not have the space for veteran innings eater types because there are 9 potential starters for consideration on opening day as the roster stands now.  

     

     

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    “……..if you want to be taken seriously” This is the key ending statement of the article. We CAN DO a bunch of differing things.

    If we are serious, we need a front end starter, period! Aces are few & far between & not necessarily perfect going forward but at least we’ll be trying.

    Correa has to be freed, according to his contract.

    Take these $ and use on front end starter & solid back end guy ($35 million goes a long way for filling these 2 spots!!).

     

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