The Future Value of Luis Arraez

I think what he could provide - in one form or another - is an opportunity to upgrade the pitching staff.

I think it's still TBD whether that means including him in a package for pitching, or if it allows them to move Gordon or Rosario as pieces for something. 

If all of the big pieces stay put (and healthy), I see him as a super utility guy ... unless his glove improves at second, in which case I'd want him to have the job.

I think it's interesting that Terry Francona said he wouldn't be surprised to see Arraez win a batting title some day.

High praise from a guy who knows the game and didn't have to offer that at all.

I'm optimistic.

I think we'll see more power from Arraez in future seasons. He has the build for it and a great ability to put the big part of the bat on the ball. I had my doubts at times during the season about his long term potential, but I think he'll be a key part of the Twins lineup for many years to come.

He kind of reminds me of Jeff McNeil. 

McNeil came up for the Mets as a second basemen who they moved all around the field last year and just hit everything. He added some power and has become a legit star this year. 

Only response to this is...

The kid can flat out hit. Knows the strike zone very well. Puts the ball in play all over the field. He doesn’t have any other above average skill but can play multiple positions. I think he is our 2b next yr and we can go move nick Gordon

I'm all in on Arraez. The kid is a gamer. He will be our starting 2nd baseman next year. 

It will be fun to watch how he does during the playoffs. I think he'll eat the Yankees pathetic pitching staff for breakfast, lunch and dinner.

His plate discipline is currently best on the team at age 22. 

 

He's 22 so his power is still developing. 

 

I don't care what the defensive metrics say. I've watched almost every game... I can't recall any moment where he could be perceived as a defensive liability at any of the positions he has played. 

 

I'm buying stock. 

Exactly. If Arraez has any weakness as a defender, it's footwork, the exact same thing Polanco needed to work on last season. This season, Polanco looks good at SS. Next season, Arraez will have perfectly good footwork, at second base. 

Gotta keep a bat like that in the lineup. For the next decade. The future value of Arraez is going to be a solid 2B, with one of the league's highest average bats. He will set the plate for a thousand RBI, and knock in a thousand himself. 

Arraez is here to stay. Gordon has been reduced to trade bait. Arraez is simply clutch and has the "it" factor. To have the plate presence that he does at his age is incredible. He will prove to be a huge contributor for the Twins for years. He's nearly as loveable and fun to watch as Astudillo. 

Methinks this young man is a batter to conjure with. How did he put that spin on the ball that fooled the holy bejesus out of the Cleveland third baseman? Magic, my fellow rubes. Magic. I would argue against trading him unless his defense becomes an embarrassment. I would even argue that using him leadoff is worth thinking about. 

I don't understand why Rocco doesn't have him batting leadoff every game. He takes the best at-bats on the team. He gets on. He takes pitches allowing others to see pitches.

Starting every game with a 42% chance of immediately putting the opposing pitcher into the stretch seems like a good idea to me. I'd like to watch that for the next ten years or so.

I'm a fan. #29, my ass

I'm in on him as well. He seems to have earned the umpires respect as well, getting the calls to go his way on close pitches he's taken. And he's getting better the longer he's been up, so the pitchers haven't figured out a solid way to get him out.

I'd like to see him stick at second base and also spell Sano at 3rd on his off-days. He's much better there than in left field. The Twins have gotten lucky with him out there so far. Seems that when he plays out there, not may balls get hit his way. Stats look good, but he just doesn't get to a lot of balls in the outfield that a major league OF should and he doesn't have a strong OF arm. But he could work on that over the off-season, but infield would seem a better fit for now. But his bat is needed in the lineup.

I may have said it before Francona....this guy has batting champ potential. No WAY he is a utiltyman. He needs to get 600 AB's to develop his full ability.. Right now there isn't a more dangerous guy in the lineup when you need someone to put bat on the ball. He will make Schoop expendable and probably Gordon too, especially if Twins are shopping for pitching. Adrianza is the swing utilityman and he's a good one too.

Twins have a pretty potent infield array of players. I could even see them move Cron and make Gonzo their 1Bman.

I have always liked Arraez's bat but I am still not a big fan of his defense.  I think he can probably play close to average at 2nd base and that is where he should stay.  I really don't like his arm at third at all.  When he throws the ball over I swear it looks like it is going in slow motion. When Sano throws a ball over it gets to first in a hurry.  I really believe that on a close play the throw from Arraez would be just late instead of just in time.  I don't like him in left field either as he isn't real fast and again doesn't have a real strong arm.  Is he better than Josh Willingham, sure but you still lose defensive value when he is out there IMO.

I can see why fangraphs and other scouts are somewhat down on him as he lacks power and at his best is average at 2nd base defensively.  The hit tool is as good or better than most all the rookie prospects IMO it is an elite tool.  I keep expecting him to regress with the bat and he just keeps on hitting.  With the great approach at the plate he has I think Francona is right he looks like someone who will challenge for batting titles in the future.

Like many have already said I like him a lot as our future 2nd baseman.  I think he will grow into some power and round out the hit tool and make it to some All Star games.  I think his future is bright and am happy the Twins found an under rated player that has the best hit tool on the team.

#29 on the list is too low.

He appears to possess some of the same gifts at the plate as the player pictured in my member photo, so in that case #29 is good!

Where did Arraez rank as a prospect in TD off-season prospect list??

For questions like this, I turn to my handy copy of the Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook for 2019 (available every spring).  Here is where Arraez ranked:

Seth Stohs - 22

Cody Christie - 21

Tom Froemming - 25

Jeremy Nygaard - 14

I don't understand why Rocco doesn't have him batting leadoff every game. He takes the best at-bats on the team. He gets on. He takes pitches allowing others to see pitches.

Starting every game with a 42% chance of immediately putting the opposing pitcher into the stretch seems like a good idea to me. I'd like to watch that for the next ten years or so.

I'm a fan. #29, my ass

At #29 I'm pretty sure they were pointing out the similarities between Arraez and HOFer Rod Carew.....

Arraez has been outstanding since being called up. It was obvious early on that he made our team better. His knowledge of the strike zone and his bat control seems kinda Rod Carew to me...Keep it up Luis!

I became a believer in Arraez when he came in to pinch hit for Schoop with an 0-2 count and worked a walk.

One of the most unbelievable At Bats I have ever seen.

He has been amazing, but color me skeptical. If he can continue to hit .350, and draw some walks on top of that sure, he's really valuable.

But it's really hard to hit .350, and it's hard to continue to draw walks when you present no power threat.

He's also a weak armed, moderately slow infielder, so it's going to be hard to provide much value elsewhere.

Hope he can keep it up, but I'm going to need to see a couple years of this to fully buy in.

All that said, ride this wave right through the WS.

Arraez is only 22, so assuming he is able to add some muscle to his frame, he might be a guy who eventually can be a solid 3rd baseman. I don't think he will ever be quick enough or a good enough fielder to stay up the middle, but if he can add a little power to both his bat and his throws across the diamond, I think 3rd might be his best landing spot. He should look to model his game after Eduardo Escobar.

I think you nailed it with your assessment of Arraez. It is extremely challenging to maintain an OBP over .400 when you are not a threat to leave the ballpark.