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  • Running Down the Hall (of Fame Ballot): 2019 Edition


    Cody Christie

    Debating the resumes of Hall candidates has become contentious in recent years. The steroid era clouded the results of this hallowed ground. Two players, Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens, might have been the all-time best hitter and pitcher. Neither has gotten the call from Cooperstown.

    This year’s class is shaping up to be one of the biggest in history. Two players, Lee Smith and Harold Baines, have already been elected by the 16-member electorate of the Today’s Game Era ballot.

    If I was lucky enough to have a ballot, this is how I would vote.

    Image courtesy of Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

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    Class of 2019

    Roy Halladay: Tragically, Halladay won’t be in Cooperstown to give an acceptance speech. He crashed his plane into the Gulf of Mexico in November 2017. Halladay might be the last pitcher of a former era. He compiled 67 complete games in his career and he needed fewer than 100 pitches in 14 of those complete games. Halladay won two Cy Young awards (2003, 2010) and he finished in the top-five another five times. There may not be another pitcher like Halladay.

    Edgar Martinez: With the recent election of Baines, it makes no sense to keep Martinez out of the hall. He is one of the best designated hitters of all-time and he is in his final year on the ballot. Paul Molitor spend 44% of his career playing DH and Frank Thomas spend 57% of his career at DH. Both have been elected to the Hall. He received over 70% of the vote in 2018 so he should easily break the 75% threshold in the current election cycle.

    Mariano Rivera: Rivera utilized one of the best pitches, a cut fastball, in baseball history to become one of the best pitchers in baseball history. He set the all-time record for saves (652) but he might be most remembered for his dominance during postseason play. He was part of five World Series winners and he collected the final outs in four of those championship seasons. Rivera was also a great influence off the field and he could end up with one of the highest voting percentages in Hall of Fame history.

    Future Inductions

    Mike Mussina: Mussina’s long career stacks up well, especially when compared to the era that he pitched in. Other pitchers from the era have garnered more recognition but Mussina was strong throughout his career. In one 10-year stretch, he received Cy Young votes in eight different seasons. After finishing at 63.5% in 2018, he’s going to be borderline this year to get in. I think he has to wait one more year and he will be part of the Class of 2020.

    Omar Vizquel: Vizquel follows the mold of Ozzie Smith in the fact that nearly all of his value came on the defensive side of the ball. Think of him as the anti-Edgar Martinez, whose value came completely on the offensive side. His 11 Gold Gloves at shortstop are second most all-time behind Smith. Smith was a first ballot Hall of Famer. Every shortstop ahead of him on the all-time hits lists is enshrined in Cooperstown or on their way. He should get in, but he will need to gain more support in the years to come.

    May Never Get In (But Still On My Ballot)

    Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Larry Walker, Andrew Jones, Todd Helton

    Bonds and Clemens are two of the greatest players of all time but their connection to the steroid era has kept them out of Cooperstown. Walker continues to gain ground, but recent crowded ballots have kept him from getting elected. He is in his ninth year of eligibility, which means 2020 will be his last opportunity on the writer’s ballot. Jones is a long way from being elected in his second year on the ballot. He is one of the best defensive players of all-time and I think he will can some traction in the years ahead. Helton gets little support due to playing his entire career in Colorado. Still his offensive accolades put him on the borderline for enshrinement.

    To be transparent, some things have changed on my ballot from last year to this year. I correctly predicted the four players who would be elected last year (Vladimir Guerrero, Trevor Hoffman, Chipper Jones, and Jim Thome). I have replaced those four players on this year’s ballot with two first time candidates (Halladay, Rivera), while adding three new candidates (Walker, Jones, and Helton).

    Johan Santana fell off the ballot in his first year of eligibility, but I tried to make his case in a series of posts last year. If you missed any of the series on Johan Santana’s Cooperstown Case, there were three parts to the series. The first post looked at the Kirby Puckett Clause and how it can be applied to Santana. The second article touched on the similarities in careers between Santana and the great Sandy Koufax. The third and final piece touched on his missing third Cy Young.

    Here is the official list of players available to be voted for by the BBWAA. Who makes your list? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    I understand the idea of a HOF, and don't disagree with reserving the highest honor for the very best of the best, but it does leave a lot of players who contributed a lot to the game out.

     

    I've wondered whether the binary HOFer/non-HOFer distinction is too simplistic, and maybe there should be other categories that can be used to honor guys who aren't worthy of induction to the HOF, but are still worthy of recognition.

     

    The defensive wizards.  The super sluggers.  The scrappy, speedy lead-off hitters.

     

    The guys who excelled for short stretches and were on HOF trajectories until injuries derailed their careers.

     

    The iron men who had productive 20+ year careers.

     

    The current HOF process results in these guys getting critiqued and put down for everything they weren't.  Wouldn't it be better if there were some way to celebrate and honor what they were?

    Tony Oliva, HOF!!!!

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    I'm all in on Bonds getting in. Players used all kinds of drugs before him, and after him they still do. But then, I don't really care about the Hall debates. But if there is a Hall, he should be there, no question.

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    I'm all in on Bonds getting in. Players used all kinds of drugs before him, and after him they still do. But then, I don't really care about the Hall debates. But if there is a Hall, he should be there, no question.

    He is in the hall. He just doesn't have a plaque. Huge difference. The museum tells the story of baseball and it tells that story with exhibits that include Bonds and Rose and Shoeless Joe. It includes the bash brothers. They just aren't honored in the plaque room. 

     

    I think this years class was pretty good but Rivera getting 100% was stupid. 

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    He is in the hall. He just doesn't have a plaque. Huge difference. The museum tells the story of baseball and it tells that story with exhibits that include Bonds and Rose and Shoeless Joe. It includes the bash brothers. They just aren't honored in the plaque room. 

     

    I think this years class was pretty good but Rivera getting 100% was stupid. 

     

    It should be 100% clear that we are talking about getting a plaque......if not, that's 100% what I meant. He is one of the 3 best players ever. 

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    I think the Hall of Fame can be interesting and even a little bit funny. I consider it the Hall of the most famous, not necessarily the Hall of the very best players. There are all sort of inequities all over the place, in part because of the rather vague requirements and in part because of who does the selecting.

     

    One interesting example is Brooks Robinson and Ken Boyer. Brooks was a 1st ballot, Boyer has been snubbed for decades. They were contemporaries with their peaks years at the same time. Boyer played in the tougher league, was by far the better hitter ( Brooks had one year where his OPS was as good Boyer' s career ops), and was much more versatile, playing over a 100 games in cf one year. Defensively, Boyer was very good. I think he won 6 gold gloves.

     

    Brooks was a good hitter, considered maybe the best defensive 3b of all time, and played well in a number of post seasons. He deserves to be in the Hall of Fame. I don't know if Boyer deserves to be in the Hall, but the stats say He was the better player.

     

    This is part why I don't worry about who's in the Hall. There are many other ways to celebrate the many great players in the game.

    Edited by Jim Hahn
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