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  • Ranking the 2023 Free Agent Shortstop Class


    Cody Christie

    The Twins expect Carlos Correa to opt out of his contract, which leaves the team searching for a replacement. Here are the top available shortstops expected to be on the free-agent market. 

     

    Image courtesy of Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

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    Minnesota is in an interesting situation looking at the 2023 roster. How should the team approach the shortstop position? The Twins expect Royce Lewis to return in the middle of next season, and there’s hope he can be the team’s long-term answer at shortstop. Lewis’ presence leaves the Twins with two options. The team can sign one of the top available shortstops or look for a stop-gap player until Lewis is ready. 

    5. Elvis Andrus, SS
    Age: 34
    2022 Stats: .249/.303/.404 (.707), 103 OPS+, 32 2B, 17 HR, 18 SB, 3.0 WAR

    Andrus has a $15 million option that he can exercise since he had more than 550 plate appearances this season, so there is no guarantee that he will hit the open market. He seems like a solid stop-gap option for the Twins if he is available. His OPS improved by 100 points after leaving Oakland last season, and he finished with an above-average OPS+. He may have lost a step defensively, but that’s expected as someone heads into their mid-30s. SABR’s Defensive Index had Andrus ranked as the ninth-best shortstop in the American League. Andrus and his representatives need to gauge the market to decide if he can get more than $15 million in guaranteed money. 

    4. Dansby Swanson, SS
    Age: 29 
    2022 Stats: .277/.329/.447 (.776), 115 OPS+, 32 2B, 25 HR, 18 SB, 5.7 WAR

    Swanson is hitting the free-agent market at the perfect time. He was a first-time All-Star in 2022 and has a World Series title on his resume. Some of the other players on this list will get more significant deals, but Swanson will be able to cash in on a tremendous 2022 season. Even with his breakout season, Swanson has a career OPS+ (95) that is below average. He makes up for his offensive flaws with tremendous defense, with only two NL shortstops ranking higher than him in SDI. Teams need to decide if the 2022 version of Swanson is real before handing him a blank check. 

    3. Xander Bogaerts, SS
    Age: 30
    2022 Stats: .307/.377/.456 (.833), 131 OPS+, 38 2B, 15 HR, 8 SB, 5.7 WAR

    Bogaerts has the resume every team wants from a free agent. He plays a premium position, is a four-time All-Star, has two World Series titles, and has four Silver Sluggers. He does have three years remaining on his current contract, but many expect him to opt-out. The one knock against Bogaerts is that he is older than the other top players on this list. Only two AL shortstops ranked higher than him, according to SDI. He will get paid like a top-tier player by one of the teams in the free-agent shortstop market

    2. Carlos Correa, SS
    Age: 28
    2022 Stats: .291/.366/.467 (.834), 140 OPS+, 24 2B, 22 HR, 0 SB, 5.4 WAR

    Correa made his opt-out decision clear as the season ended. He is heading back to the free agent market for the second straight offseason in an attempt to sign a long-term deal. Last winter, Corey Seager received the largest free agent shortstop contract at ten years and $325 million. Correa is likely searching for a similar amount. Twins fans may feel underwhelmed by Correa’s performance this season with the Twins, but his season totals were similar to other years in his career. He was a tremendous hitter with plus defense. However, he failed to produce in some clutch situations and his best offensive months were near the season’s end when the team fell out of the race. Minnesota has payroll flexibility to sign Correa, but it would be out of character for the front office to make that type of commitment. 

    1. Trea Turner, SS
    Age: 29
    2022 Stats: .298/.343/.466 (.809), 121 OPS+, 39 2B, 21 HR, 27 SB, 4.9 WAR

    Outside of Aaron Judge, Turner is likely to get the biggest free-agent contract. He is a true five-tool talent with skills on both sides of the ball and elite speed. He’s stolen 30 or more bases in five seasons, even in an era when teams are less inclined to run. Plenty of front offices will be willing to throw piles of money at Turner to a top-of-the-order hitter that takes their team to the next level. He’s won a batting title, he’s won a World Series, and he’s a multi-time All-Star. Minnesota isn’t going to sign Turner, but his contract will likely point to how much it will cost to sign Correa long-term. 

    Do you see any of these shortstops as fits for the Twins? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    Twins Top Prospects

    Jose Rodriguez

    GCL Twins - Rookie, OF
    Jose Rodriguez was the Twins Daily short-season minor-league hitter of the year. He is at the Dominican facilities for spring training now but will likely join Extended Spring Training in Fort Myers.

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      On 10/12/2022 at 5:13 PM, DJL44 said:

    3B is a more difficult defensive position than 2B, especially with all the shifting.

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    Shift is gone after this year. But I would also disagree on 3B being harder to play. 2B has much more ground to cover, has to handle cuts, double plays, etc. 

    Catcher, SS, 2B, CF that is where I want all of my athletes if possible. 

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      On 10/12/2022 at 5:16 PM, Battle ur tail off said:

    Shift is gone after this year. But I would also disagree on 3B being harder to play. 2B has much more ground to cover, has to handle cuts, double plays, etc. 

    Catcher, SS, 2B, CF that is where I want all of my athletes if possible. 

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    Not true about the shift being gone. The SS can slide all the way to 2B, they just can't cross over the center line. 2B can play all the way to the edge of the OF grass. Teams will still be shifting and 3B will need to have range to cover the left side.

    2B has to turn the pivot but their throws are easy. They can play a lot deeper than 3B which gives them more time to react.

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    Lots of question marks going into next year. Shortstop may be the biggest one but isn't the only one. 4 infielders with their primary positions being the same, Urshela and Miranda at 3B and Arraez and Polanco at 2B to me means at least 1 has to go. Unless you're going to continue to play a pair of them at 1B as well, which I don't think is the answer to the problem. You don't trade the AL Batting Champion do you? He's shown he's a better hitter when he's on the field verses playing DH. Do you continue to let Miranda play 1B or trade Urshela and move Miranda to his normal position. Polanco goes where if you put Arraez at 2B? Does fielding take a hit with Miranda at 3B and Arraez at 2B? Will Kirilloff make a comeback and be able to play 1B? Maybe the Twins should look at moving Wallner to 1B and have him play there in AAA for a season to hone his skills defensively or is that completely out of the question? I guess if they think Sano can play RF then anything is possible. Gordon has to stay as a utility guy, he's shown he can play at an average level in the outfield or at 2b and SS. Do the Twins live with another season of Kepler hitting .220 in the middle of the lineup? Hope not. Will Larnach finally become the LFer to replace Eddie? Who backs up Jeffers? The FO will decide if the Twins are actually going to be "Contenders" or just be "Competitive" like they said last year.

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      On 10/12/2022 at 5:08 PM, mnfireman said:

    So if they upgrade the OF and 1B/DH to all-star types, who of Kirlloff, Larnach, Kepler, Arraez, Miranda and maybe even Polanco and Urshela do you trade? All have showed that they have big upside, but have ???'s attached to them.

     

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    Well as of right now I am not counting on AK for anything, Larnach would be starting, Kepler a back up outfielder (or traded for anything if Wallner proves his worth). Arraez at 2nd, Polanco at SS, Miranda at 1B/DH, and Gio the third basemen. If Lewis or Lee comes up to play SS, Polanco moves to 2nd, Gio stays at third, Miranda to back up 1B/3B/DH and Arraez super utility playing 1B/2B/3B/DH/LF there would be plenty of at bats to go around. Again not my first choice but the improvements in the other spots would make up for things.

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      On 10/12/2022 at 5:01 PM, Battle ur tail off said:

    I would prefer a guy with that kind of athletic ability and defensive prowess to play a middle of the diamond position though, wouldn't you?

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    Problem is he’s had 2 ACL injuries and expecting him to hold up at SS for any length of time is blue sky…….may happen, but not much certainty there. If they can sign a SS they’ll fit Lewis in at 2nd, 3rd or OF going forward. Polanco may be washed? Only makes sense to pay Urshella one more year. Need a right handed batting outfielder……Lewis fits all 3. Sure, try him at short but sign one if can make a solid deal.

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      On 10/12/2022 at 6:05 PM, rv78 said:

    Lots of question marks going into next year. Shortstop may be the biggest one but isn't the only one. 4 infielders with their primary positions being the same, Urshela and Miranda at 3B and Arraez and Polanco at 2B to me means at least 1 has to go. Unless you're going to continue to play a pair of them at 1B as well, which I don't think is the answer to the problem. You don't trade the AL Batting Champion do you? He's shown he's a better hitter when he's on the field verses playing DH. Do you continue to let Miranda play 1B or trade Urshela and move Miranda to his normal position. Polanco goes where if you put Arraez at 2B? Does fielding take a hit with Miranda at 3B and Arraez at 2B? Will Kirilloff make a comeback and be able to play 1B? Maybe the Twins should look at moving Wallner to 1B and have him play there in AAA for a season to hone his skills defensively or is that completely out of the question? I guess if they think Sano can play RF then anything is possible. Gordon has to stay as a utility guy, he's shown he can play at an average level in the outfield or at 2b and SS. Do the Twins live with another season of Kepler hitting .220 in the middle of the lineup? Hope not. Will Larnach finally become the LFer to replace Eddie? Who backs up Jeffers? The FO will decide if the Twins are actually going to be "Contenders" or just be "Competitive" like they said last year.

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      On 10/12/2022 at 6:05 PM, rv78 said:

    Lots of question marks going into next year. Shortstop may be the biggest one but isn't the only one. 4 infielders with their primary positions being the same, Urshela and Miranda at 3B and Arraez and Polanco at 2B to me means at least 1 has to go. Unless you're going to continue to play a pair of them at 1B as well, which I don't think is the answer to the problem. You don't trade the AL Batting Champion do you? He's shown he's a better hitter when he's on the field verses playing DH. Do you continue to let Miranda play 1B or trade Urshela and move Miranda to his normal position. Polanco goes where if you put Arraez at 2B? Does fielding take a hit with Miranda at 3B and Arraez at 2B? Will Kirilloff make a comeback and be able to play 1B? Maybe the Twins should look at moving Wallner to 1B and have him play there in AAA for a season to hone his skills defensively or is that completely out of the question? I guess if they think Sano can play RF then anything is possible. Gordon has to stay as a utility guy, he's shown he can play at an average level in the outfield or at 2b and SS. Do the Twins live with another season of Kepler hitting .220 in the middle of the lineup? Hope not. Will Larnach finally become the LFer to replace Eddie? Who backs up Jeffers? The FO will decide if the Twins are actually going to be "Contenders" or just be "Competitive" like they said last year.

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    Not sure why this wouldn’t work - Urshella at 3B 80% of time……Miranda 20%…….Miranda DH 30% of the time & 1B 30%……..Arraez 20% at 2B & 1B 50% & DH 25%………Kiriloff DH 20% & 1B 20% & 40% LF.

    Arraez needs days off (DH) for his legs. Same with Polanco, so Arraez plays some 2nd along with Gordon. Arraez was hurting in 2nd half and had hit .360 in first half so his average being down when DH in 2nd half at bats has a little more behind the reasoning than just not hitting at DH.

    Polanco plays 2B 7 of 10 games and DH’s 1 or 2 times every 10 games. Buxton will need to DH at times as well!

    Right handed hitting outfielder - maybe R. Lewis? That along with pitching is our need! Kepler, Walner, Larnach, Gordon, & Kiriloff have the corner OF & CF covered when facing RH pitching………need a right handed bat!!!

     

     

     

     

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      On 10/12/2022 at 7:04 PM, JD-TWINS said:

     

    Not sure why this wouldn’t work - Urshella at 3B 80% of time……Miranda 20%…….Miranda DH 30% of the time & 1B 30%……..Arraez 20% at 2B & 1B 50% & DH 25%………Kiriloff DH 20% & 1B 20% & 40% LF.

    Arraez needs days off (DH) for his legs. Same with Polanco, so Arraez plays some 2nd along with Gordon. Arraez was hurting in 2nd half and had hit .360 in first half so his average being down when DH in 2nd half at bats has a little more behind the reasoning than just not hitting at DH.

    Polanco plays 2B 7 of 10 games and DH’s 1 or 2 times every 10 games. Buxton will need to DH at times as well!

    Right handed hitting outfielder - maybe R. Lewis? That along with pitching is our need! Kepler, Walner, Larnach, Gordon, & Kiriloff have the corner OF & CF covered when facing RH pitching………need a right handed bat!!!

     

     

     

     

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    This could work, but don't expect anything from Kiriloff. My gut feel, he is done. As is done for good. 

    I also HATE Arraez at any position besides 1B. He is flat out not a good fielder anywhere else. 

    I literally love the guy as a player, but I think shopping Polanco for pitching is probably not a bad idea this offseason. That said, I don't want to move him for peanuts or for guys way down the line, Would love to be able to use him to get major league ready/ML pitching, stud relief help, etc.

    Not sure this is feasible, and this would likely lead to more Aaraez at 2nd, but I would at least put some feelers out there to see what his value in across the league. 

     

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    I want to try Urshela and Gordon at SS until we see what we have in Lewis and his recovery. I don't want to dump money in that position unless it is for an elite player, e.g., Correa.  Otherwise, use that money for a right-handed hitting OF and a Catcher, plus whatever pitching you can find that doesn't break.

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      On 10/11/2022 at 4:59 PM, Battle ur tail off said:

    I'm not sure this list does us any good as there is a pretty good chance that half or more of these guys resign with the club they are currently playing on...

     

     

     

     

     

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    How about Correa being one of that half? 

    How about 8/$234.4M? 

    Spread out as $35.1M for the first four years (see what I did there?), followed by two years at at $32M and two years at $30M, with opt outs after four and six years. For the Twins, the price trickles down a little when he hits age 32 and then again at 34. At those points, if he thinks he can beat $124M over 4 seasons or $60 over 2 seasons, he can do it.

    Yeah, there's Lewis, but I'm willing to let him bang his way into the lineup at another position. And in several years, maybe he takes over at short and Correa moves to third like A-Rod did.

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      On 10/12/2022 at 4:45 PM, mnfireman said:

    So you want to win next year but you also want to start Polanco at SS and Arraez at 2B? Sorry, can't do both. It weakens the defense up the middle, especially with no shifts next year. They also both wore down this year as the season progressed and I don't see that changing next year. 

    I don't know the teams plans for SS next year, but Polanco should not be it. Maybe we'll get surprised by an off-seaon trade....

     

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    Who were the primary starting SS and 2B the last two years the Twins made the play-offs again?

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      On 10/12/2022 at 8:39 PM, howeda7 said:

    Who were the primary starting SS and 2sB the last two years the Twins made the play-offs again?

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    They might have done better with a talented SS, Polanco's 22 errors has to be near a Twins record ; Schoop was very good at 2nd base for some bone-headed reason they pulled him for Arraez in 2019.

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    Right now I think our best option is to sign Correa, we need him. If something down the line happens, we can always trade him. Farther down the line he can be worth more & further removed from HOU, a trade could be benificial once Lewis is ready. 

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    Maybe the FO should focus on finding players that can hit AND play defense. The Twins seem to have too many players that are good at one but not the other. To make matters worse, guys that can like Correa are 1 and done, or like Buxton who can't stay on the field. The team is a shadow of being good overall and they expect the fans to support them. Yeah, right!

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      On 10/12/2022 at 5:08 PM, mnfireman said:

    So if they upgrade the OF and 1B/DH to all-star types, who of Kirlloff, Larnach, Kepler, Arraez, Miranda and maybe even Polanco and Urshela do you trade? All have showed that they have big upside, but have ???'s attached to them.

     

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    Field calls on: Kepler, Polanco & Urshela.

    Larnach = LF, Wallner = RF, Miranda = 3B, Kirilloff = 1B

    Plug in Gordon or Martin or a Free Agent till Lewis is ready, then flip the Free Agent at the deadline.

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      On 10/13/2022 at 7:00 AM, Jacksson said:

    Field calls on: Kepler, Polanco & Urshela.

    Larnach = LF, Wallner = RF, Miranda = 3B, Kirilloff = 1B

    Plug in Gordon or Martin or a Free Agent till Lewis is ready, then flip the Free Agent at the deadline.

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    As Bill the Cat used to say, ACHH - ACHH!

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    I mean, the real answer, if you sign any of these dudes long term, is Carlos.

    He is the youngest, so it lessens the long term risk, of all the "top" SS.

    Plus, he LIKES it here.  They literally just have to offer the most.  Instead of the most, plus plus, like they normally do.  Sign the man

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