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  • Official Twins Daily July Trade Deadline Day Thread


    Seth Stohs

    Happy July 31st Trade Deadline Day!!

    This article will be updated throughout Monday with any rumors associated with the Minnesota Twins. Be sure to check back frequently for discussion of rumors. Obviously any Twins transactions will get a new article for deeper discussion on it.

    The Twins gave us fans a great run of some really exciting baseball for the season's first 100 games. It's clear that they need to be sellers at this time, and they have several players that teams should be interested in. Derek Falvey and Thad Levine's phones (and they may have multiple phones each) will be busy. Hopefully they remember to bring their chargers to work!

    More important for fans to remember, the Twins have a core of players on their roster, and some younger players who should get opportunities the rest of the way. This team should be fun to watch the rest of this season as we look toward a 2018 in which we will have hope. Hope is a good thing!

    Image courtesy of Sergio Estrada, USA Today

    Twins Video

    Update 2:00 p.m. - Jerry Crasnick says the Twins may be nearing a trade of Brandon Kintzler... well, yeah, there's under one hour to go until the deadline!

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    Update 11:11 a.m. - In response to Feinsand, Mike Berardino tweeted that the Twins expect a Kintzler deal to go "down to the wire."

    Darren Wolfson tweeted that the Nationals, Rays and Rockies have shown a lot of interest in Kintzler.

    Wolfson added the idea that Kintzler could be brought back in the offseason, even if he is traded.

    https://twitter.com/DWolfsonKSTP/status/892054929610866688

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    Update 10:30 a.m. - Mark Feinsand from MLB.com notes that as Justin Wilson and Addison Reed have come off the board, the Twins are getting more interest in Kintzler...

    https://twitter.com/Feinsand/status/892045429466116096

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    Update (9:30 a.m.) - It's been remarkably quiet on the Twins Trade rumor front so far this morning. Addison Reed was just traded from the Mets to the Red Sox.

    https://twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/892029770443231232

    Does this remove the Red Sox as a potential landing spot for Brandon Kintzler? There are likely still many other teams involved in discussions as well, but having the Red Sox involved can't hurt.

    https://twitter.com/ChrisCotillo/status/892034185426325504

    The Red Sox gave up three prospects for him, but none higher than their 18th ranked prospect. So, this, like the Neshek deal last week, sets an expectation that the Twins might be able to get quantity, but they probably won't get high-ranking prospects for Kintzler.

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    We all woke up on Sunday morning and soon learned that the Twins and Yankees had agreed to a trade that sent LHP Jaime Garcia to New York in exchange for RHP Zack Littell and LHP Dietrich Enns.

    The Twins went on to lose to the Oakland A's for the second straight game in walk-off fashion. While the front office had essentially acknowledged a day earlier that they were now in sell mode, the two losses in the Bay Area should have made it official.

    We tried to keep up with Twins rumors the rest of Sunday. There were some rumors on the likely trade candidates, and we know that many times there is a trade of an unlikely player. Who will that player be for the Twins tomorrow, if there is one?

    I think we can all agree that Brandon Kintzler is the player most likely to be traded tomorrow. Because he can fill so many roles for a team, from seventh inning reliever to closer (if needed), any playoff contender could find a role for him. Also, he is an impending free agent.

    https://twitter.com/NickNelsonMN/status/891848263451783168

    It's hard to disagree with Nick's tweet from Sunday night. Because he can be a free agent, it seems wise for the Twins to get whatever they can for him as opposed to getting nothing for him at the end of the season. I can't imagine the Twins would make him a qualifying offer at approximately $18 million for 2018.

    Yu Darvish and Sonny Gray have yet to be traded. Maybe they won't be. Either way, it would seem that Ervin Santana is more of a fall-back plan for those teams like the Dodgers or Astros.

    There doesn't seem to be a lot of rumors swirling around Brian Dozier. A home run in his first at-bat on Sunday was followed by five strikeouts, which probably isn't what a potential trade suitor would want to see. Then again, Dozier's got five years worth of data points that teams are fully aware of.

    Matt Belisle is currently the Twins most reliable reliever. He also is a free agent at the end of the season. He is another guy that teams will consider as a sixth or seventh inning guy since they know that he won't buckle under the pressure of big-game situations. The return would certainly be small, but since he's a free agent, getting anything back would be good.

    And again, there will be plenty of rumors throughout the day, and this article will be updated as we hear them. Updates will happen at the top of the body of the article, so be sure to check back often and discuss.

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    I would be extremely happy if the ended up with one player that ranked C+ or higher.

     

    I'd imagine that is what you'd get. I did some checking, and a lot of the C+ guys that I would want aren't doing too hot this year.

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    I think you're the only person who would take Rosario over Kepler.

     

    Kepler's extreme struggles against lefties are confusing, but he's still got more upside than Rosario, and he is already a better player anyway.

    I'm not sure I'd keep Rosario over Kepler, but I really like Rosario,

    Eddie has been improving this year while Max is posting stats this year that are a modest increase from last year.

    The chants to trade, or even DFA (yes, they've been posted here on TD), Rosario are difficult for me to understand. For some reason the improvements he makes don't seem to count.

    He's like the Mitch Garver of the MLB Twins.

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    The Astros already have too many starters, probably moving Peacock back to the pen.

     

    That may be so, but they've been linked to Gray and Darvish as well.  Wonder if the Twins would do a Paulino (as a PTBNL) for Santana swap.

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    I think you're the only person who would take Rosario over Kepler.

     

    Kepler's extreme struggles against lefties are confusing, but he's still got more upside than Rosario, and he is already a better player anyway.

    I dunno. This is sort of talk that makes me consider trading Kepler. What is your opinion based on? Rosario has a higher BA, OB, Slg. And is probably a better defender.

     

    They rose at similar rates and similar time frames. They each were perennially ranked on team prospect lists, but the 5 seasons the 2 overlapped, Rosario was ranked higher every year. They both peaked at no. 3. Granted Kepler rated highest most recently.

     

    I may be the only one who takes Rosario over Kepler. You are indicating a disparity in valuation vs production. Taking advantage of disparity in value is how you win trades. Eddie is considered by some to be a 4th outfielder. When do we begin to question whether Kepler is a platoon guy himself? Once his trade value diminishes?

     

    Eddie once out-homered Sano for a season. Yet his upside is below Kepler? Where's the floor for a prospect who can't hit lefties?

     

    In my opinion, upside is closer than people think. But the 2 are viewed like there's a huge chasm in talent. I'd like to take advantage of that if I can.

     

    BTW, I'm only trading him for controlled pitching with ace potential.

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    Well for fun, here is Sickle's top 20 on them.

     

    Would Cole be too much to ask for? If so that Tyler Watson might be a good get if paired with one other prospect. Watson seems to be a few years out though. With A.J. Cole you get a kid that should get an audition with the Twins this year and add him to the Top 8-10 SP options for next year.

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    Are you suggesting trading Kepler? Why? He's probably the second best all around hitter on the roster. Yes, he needs to improve vs LHP. But he's young enough to believe he can.

    Because he should fetch a great return compared to other options. Kepler changed his swing and hitting profile to gain more power. There is a risk that the added HRs came at a significant price. You can't call a dead pull hitter who can't hit lefties an all around hitter. He's also not hitting for much average or power right now. Is he Jacque Jones or Justin Morneau?

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    I dunno. This is sort of talk that makes me consider trading Kepler. What is your opinion based on? Rosario has a higher BA, OB, Slg. And is probably a better defender.

    They rose at similar rates and similar time frames. They each were perennially ranked on team prospect lists, but the 5 seasons the 2 overlapped, Rosario was ranked higher every year. They both peaked at no. 3. Granted Kepler rated highest most recently.

    I may be the only one who takes Rosario over Kepler. You are indicating a disparity in valuation vs production. Taking advantage of disparity in value is how you win trades. Eddie is considered by some to be a 4th outfielder. When do we begin to question whether Kepler is a platoon guy himself? Once his trade value diminishes?

    Eddie once out-homered Sano for a season. Yet his upside is below Kepler? Where's the floor for a prospect who can't hit lefties?

    In my opinion, upside is closer than people think. But the 2 are viewed like there's a huge chasm in talent. I'd like to take advantage of that if I can.

    BTW, I'm only trading him for controlled pitching with ace potential.

    Kepler is easily the better defender at this point, based on every stat I've looked at, in addition to just watching them. Plus, Kepler has about 1 less season of MLB experience, and they're putting up similar stats.

     

    I'm not a hater on Rosario by any means, I'm just really high on Kepler.

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    Tyler Watson from the Nationals makes a lot of sense even though he's a little further away.  As someone else mentioned somewhere, the Twins are going to have to make some difficult 40 man decisions this off-season.  Plus part of building the pitching pipeline means adding guys for 2020.  Watson looks to be trending up.  

     

    How about Kintzler for LHP Tyler Watson (#17 mlb) and OF Rafael Bautista (#13 mlb; RH hitting MLB-ready 4th outfielder)?

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    Tyler Watson from the Nationals makes a lot of sense even though he's a little further away.  As someone else mentioned somewhere, the Twins are going to have to make some difficult 40 man decisions this off-season.  Plus part of building the pitching pipeline means adding guys for 2020.  Watson looks to be trending up.  

     

    How about Kintzler for LHP Tyler Watson (#17 mlb) and OF Rafael Bautista (#13 mlb; RH hitting MLB-ready 4th outfielder)?

     

    I was just checking out their top 30 and Watson looks intriguing. 

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    The Astros already have too many starters, probably moving Peacock back to the pen.

     

    Geez, what a tough problem to have.

     

    I'd like the Twins to be in that position soon. Of the Astros starters all but McCullers and Musgrove were of the "Hey, look at what I found here!" variety.

     

    There's definitely a knack to finding diamonds in the rough, or at the very least seeing their flaws and turning them into diamonds. I have to think there's a way to quantify and identify.

     

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    I was just checking out their top 30 and Watson looks intriguing. 

     

    He's 24 in the MWL (2 years older than league) with a high walk rate and high K rate. They have other C+ guys I'd be a bit more interested in for the record.

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    I bet Santana gets moved but for a return most folks here are underwhelmed by. The front office surely sees his peripheral stats indicate he's much closer to being a liability than he is a front of the rotation guy. If he pitches to his stats the 2nd half, this is likely the last chance to deal him.

     

    Starting to look like I'll have to walk back from this one. It's probably going to be hard to trade Santana if Gray and Darvish are going to go down to the wire. Damn A's, just make a deal already!

     

    I wonder if it's possible that Santana can be moved in August.

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    Kepler is easily the better defender at this point, based on every stat I've looked at, in addition to just watching them. Plus, Kepler has about 1 less season of MLB experience, and they're putting up similar stats.

     

    I'm not a hater on Rosario by any means, I'm just really high on Kepler.

     

    I like both players, but I think Kepler has the easier corner spot at Target Field. 39-year-old Torii Hunter went from being the worst corner outfielder in the game with Detroit to above average at TF.

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    I would guess the Nationals offer A.J. Cole and the Twins decline.

    His WHIP is too high and he has to be on the 40-man.

    I expect that many teams, like the Yankees did with Enns and Littell, will use a trade opportunity to clear 40-man space along with getting a player they want.

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    If an established, above average, and cost controlled pitcher was the prize, I'd have no problems moving either Kep or Rosario. Finding OF help short term isn't that hard, even if you don't like Grossman. Plus there's some depth in the minors at those positions. But I would have to be bringing back a very good starting pitcher in that swap.

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    Pure speculation: 

    Kintzler to Washington for Tyler Watson

     

     

    He's 24 in the MWL (2 years older than league) with a high walk rate and high K rate. They have other C+ guys I'd be a bit more interested in for the record.

     

    OK, there are just way too many Tyler Watson's in the minors right now. I vote the younger guy has to change his name to Bubba to stop the confusion.

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