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First, you feel for Buck. He’s worked tirelessly to rehab from labrum surgery in order to prepare himself for the 2020 season. The Athletic’s Dan Hayes quoted him last week as “having no limits.” Even if he is out there on opening day, he will likely have limits.
The response to Buxton’s latest injury was expected, but disappointing. Twins fans hit Twitter to drop the tiring lines “you can’t make this up” and “we should have traded him when we had the chance.” Buxton, a once top prospect, is not solely responsible for his injuries. There is an immeasurable amount of bad luck involved, too. He’s a super-athlete playing at the highest speed imaginable. Injuries happen. Still, he’s only 26 years old and will be in Minnesota through at least 2022. His best days remain ahead.
https://twitter.com/DanHayesMLB/status/1283163287757246465?s=20
Did you know that in 2019, Buxton had a higher average exit velocity (89.3 mph) than Gleyber Torres, Anthony Rizzo, and Carlos Correa? He did. Did you know that since 2017, Buxton has more bWAR (7.8) than Nationals star Juan Soto in 11 less games? He does. Did you know that on August 1, 2019, Buxton was tied for 39th in all of baseball in fWAR (2.7)? He was.
https://twitter.com/Nashwalker9/status/1240362024829321216?s=20
Buxton, on August 1, ranked 15th among outfielders in fWAR, above the likes of Bryce Harper, Austin Meadows, and Whit Merrifield.
Everyone is sick of the precursor “when Buxton is on the field…” because *when* feels like it never happens. We can’t pretend we know that he will stay healthy. But let’s go down this rabbit hole again.
When Buxton is on the field, the Twins are more prolific. When Buxton is on the field, he gets MVP votes. When Buxton is on the field, the Twins go from a really good team to a great team.
That should be enough to continue to dream on what could be.
His adjustments at the plate are good enough reasons, too.
Buxton played in 140 games in 2017 and hit a lukewarm .253/.314/.413 with only 36 extra-base hits.
Since then, his average exit velocity has increased by more than 4 mph. His launch angle has increased almost eight degrees. His hard-hit rate has jumped 6.4%. He’s a different, much more dangerous force at the plate these days. The kind of force that is almost unfair hitting ninth. Buxton slugged .513 in 2019, ranking 21st among outfielders who played at least 80 games.
Oh, and he’s *outstanding* on the grass.
https://twitter.com/benjpalmer/status/896393303830167552?s=20
His defense in centerfield is second-to-none. His Ultimate Zone Rating per 150 innings is 13.0, the highest of any centerfielder with at least 2,000 innings at the position since 2017. Buxton saved 23 runs in 2017, second to only Mookie Betts’ 30 among all outfielders.
The disappointment and discord Twins fans have with Buxton is rooted in impatience. Success at the highest level is almost never linear. Buxton is presumably entering his physical prime and should be producing, yes. That he hasn’t shouldn’t result in a fan base throwing in the towel. He’s an extremely special talent and has the sole ability to transform this club into one of the best in recent memory. He’s that influential.
We must continue to dream on Buck’s potential. He’s still a key piece of the Twins’ immediate and long-term future.
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