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  • MIN 4, MIL 3: Kenta Maeda Carries No-No Into 9th Inning; Twins Win In Extras


    Andrew Thares

    Kenta Maeda nearly pitched the sixth no-hitter in Twins history, carrying a no-no into the ninth inning Tuesday night. He set a new franchise record by striking out eight consecutive batters at one point. Taylor Rogers blew the save, but the Twins pulled out the win in the 12th inning.

    Image courtesy of © Marilyn Indahl-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score

    Maeda: 8.0 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 12 K

    Home Runs: None

    Win Probability Chart (via Baseball Savant):

    ccs-8747-0-42482000-1597812318_thumb.png

    https://twitter.com/SethTweets/status/1295951501517627392

    There have been five no-hitters in Minnesota Twins history, and seven in franchise history if you count the two by the Washington Senators, which includes one by the great Walter Johnson in 1920. Kenta Maeda gave himself a great shot at becoming the sixth pitcher to throw a no-hitter in Twins history, taking the no-no into the ninth.. Unfortunately, that wasn’t meant to be, as it was broken up by an Eric Sogard base-hit into centerfield, that was just out of the reach of Jorge Polance, to leadoff the ninth.

    The new Twins record streak of eight consecutive strikeouts for Kenta Maeda began with the second out in the third inning, when Maeda got Eric Sogard on a changeup. He then polished off Avisial Garcia with three straight fastballs to end the third. Maeda then work his most impressive inning with the Twins, striking out the heart of the Brewers order, that includes Christian Yelich, Keston Hiura and Justin Smoak. In the fifth, Maeda tied the previously held Twins record of seven consecutive strikeouts by getting Omar Narvaez on a changeup for the second out of the inning. The table was then set for Maeda to break the record, which he did with ease, taking care of Ben Gamel on three pitches for his eighth consecutive strikeout.

    https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1295903242740801536

    Overall, it was an excellent outing for Kenta Maeda, beyond just not allowing a hit until the ninth. He struck out 12 batters for just the fourth time in his MLB career, allowed just one run on one hit and two walks. So far, Maeda is looking like an excellent offseason acquisition for the Twins, and is up there with Nelson Cruz and Randy Dobnak for the early team MVP.

    Brewers pitcher Corbin Burnes was matching Maeda pitch for pitch through the first four innings of the ballgame, having retired 13 of the 14 batters that he faced. Yes, he retired 13 batters in just four innings of work, as Max Kepler reached first base on a dropped third strike, which remains the dumbest “written” rule in baseball in this writer’s opinion.

    The Twins were finally able to break through in the bottom of the fifth, when Luis Arraez leadoff the inning with a double, for the first hit of the ballgame. He was immediately brought in, as Miguel Sano delivered a double of his own. The Twins were able to load the bases with two outs for Nelson Cruz, which has seemed like a guaranteed run scoring situation of late. However, Cruz showed that he is indeed human, as he struck out to end the inning.

    Jorge Polanco was able to tack on an insurance run in the seventh, with a clutch two-out base hit past the first basemen. The inning got started with yet another Miguel Sano double, his third in the last two games. Ehire Adrianza then came in to pinch-run for Sano, and replace him in the field. He would later come around to score on the RBI single from Polanco.

    The offense helped make the decision to send Maeda back out for the ninth by tacking on another insurance run in the eighth. Eddie Rosario drew a four pitch walk to leadoff the inning. He then stole second on what was originally ruled a strike’em out throw’em out double play. However, after a Twins challenge, the call was overturned, and Rosario was ruled safe. Rosario advance to third during the next plate appearance on a Angel Perdomo balk. After Luis Arraez walked, Ehire Adrianza brought in Rosario on a perfectly placed squeez bunt. The bunt was so well placed, the Adrianza actually got a hit. The inning came to an end the next batter on a very rare Byron Buxton double play.

    The top of the ninth was brutal to watch as a Twins fan, and quite frankly I don’t really want to write about it, and I’m sure none of you guys want to read about it, so here is the gist, 2020 sucks.

    After they failed to score in the bottom of the ninth, the Twins went to extra innings for the first time this season. That means this was the first look for the Twins with the new runner starting on second base rule. Caleb Thielbar came in to pitch in the top of the inning for the Twins, and did an excellent job, as he sent the Brewers down 1-2-3, without even allowing the runner to advance from second. Josh Hader came in to pitch for the Brewers in the bottom of the inning and was able to match Thielbar’s performance.

    The 11th inning was more of the same, as both teams were still unable to advance the runner on second over to third. Jorge Alcala pitched a gem of an inning, as he allowed a one out walk to Christian Yelich, but kept the runner at second from getting to third. Then the Twins set a new franchise record in this game, by having just two hitters come to the plate in the bottom of the 11th. Ehire Adrianza hit a chopper to first, and Ildemaro Vargas was thrown out trying to advance from second. Byron Buxton then ended the inning on the very next pitch, as he grounded into yet another shocking double play.

    The 12th inning was anything but a replica of the first two extra innings of this ballgame. With Alcala still pitching for the Twins, Ryan Braun leadoff the inning with a single to left, finally advancing the lead runner to third. Then after a Manny Pina popout, Max Kepler made this incredible diving catch on what looked like a sure fire go-ahead base hit by Orlando Arcia.

    https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1295947858219237376

    Fortunately for the Twins, Jedd Gyorko was not tagging up on the play, and did not score. Jorge Alcala then picked up the biggest strikeout of his life, getting Luis Urias to end the inning.

    With Byron Buxton making the last out in the 11th, the Twins were able to start the bottom of the 12th with his speed on second, and did that ever come in handy. Alex Avila advance Buxton over to third with a swinging bunt to the first basemen to leadoff the inning. This led the Brewers to bring Ryan Braun in from the outfield to be the Brewers fifth infielder. After Max Kepler was hit by a pitch, Jorge Polanco came up big again, as he hit a weak groundball to second base, and Byron Buxton was able to slide in head first just ahead of the tag to secure the 4-3 win for the Minnesota Twins. Polanco’s groundball measured at just 45.6 MPH off the bat, and was the second slowest hit ball all game, behind only Ehire Adrianza’s squeeze bunt in the seventh inning.

    https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1295945639201832962

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

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    Postgame Pint

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    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XXg1oASFb08&feature=youtu.be

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    I didn't think Vargas' relay throw from 2B was that bad, Marwin should have caught it. A lot of 4-letter words at my house in the 9th. Kudos to "Meatlocker" in the 10th. When the heck are we gonna pound somebody with a barrage of runs? How used to winning have we become . . . as we pick apart a victory. It was awesome to pick up the win, but then my Black Hawks lost to Las Vegas to get eliminated. It was a late night here on the east coast.

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    I believe it is time for Romo to become our closer, at least until Rogers comes around--if he ever does.

    Concur. Romo looks comfortable closing out games this year, and should remain in that role. I like Duffey in the fireman role who can come in anytime to shut down a rally. Rogers should spend a couple of weeks in low/mid leverage outings to get his swagger back. 

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    Looks like HIll/Thorpe combo tonight. What I thought interesting last night was Rogers has pitched 8 innings coming into last night. Meada pitched 8 last night. Relievers have become one inning, every other day pitchers. What happened to multiple inning relievers. Teams are benefitting from expanded rosters this year but will need to make adjustments next year.

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    I agree with a couple of previous posters. Rogers' stuff looks completely hittable. His fastball doesn't seem to be moving very much and his slider/curve selections are just laying there. He was fortunate to escape the inning with only three runs despite the misplay in the field. 

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    Wouldn't it have been nice to have Kiriloff, Rooker, or Larnach on the bench?  It's time to call someone up - we almost ran out of position players.

    Totally concur here. We were in a fix for hitting by using those pinch runners and substitutions in the field.

     

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    Because the batter swings and misses at a nasty pitch and already struck out! HE IS OUT! HE STRUCK OUT! If the batter is fooled by a pitch so badly, that he swings at something that isn't even close, he should not get a second chance. And for the pitcher to get charged a wild pitch on a strikeout is ridiculous. I don't mind the runners advancing, but I too have always thought this is a most horrible rule. What other play in baseball can a player that has made an out advance to the nearest base. There is none. How and why did this ever become a rule?

    Once the batter has swung and missed, he is already out. Runners can chose to advance at their own risk at anytime. But the batter is out. Or should be.

    That being said.... because it is a rule, it really pisses me off when a batter is not paying attention and feeling sorry for themselves and just stands there and gets tagged out.

    Should they get rid of the rule of foul tips caught is an out on third strike?  I mean they hit the ball foul why should it matter that the catcher managed to hold onto it?  How about when there is a ball inside and the hitter is diving out the way and the ball hits the bat should it be considered that it hit the bat or because the hitter clearly had no intention of hitting it and no where close to the strike zone it should be ball, even if it goes in play?  What about the rule that if you swing at a pitch but hit hit by the pitch it is a strike because you swung? 

     

    The rule you are against is in, my guess, is to make the catcher do his job when no one is on first base or with 2 outs, as it only applies in those cases.  If not the catcher could let every ball go past, maybe even intentionally sit on opposite side of plate of the intended target.  If the rule is not in place I could see catchers doing all kinds of things to toy with hitters. I understand the hitter swung at a pitch out of the zone, but they catcher still has a job to do. 

     

    To answer you question of when a player is out but then is not, it happens when there is ruled runner interference, many times instigated by the runner.  KC runner tried to get it earlier this year when they ran out of the baseline to run into Sano claiming Sano blocked his path.  Lucky the umps decided it was not interference, but if the runner was tagged out, the ump could over rule the out and say nope interference.  The sliding rule is another one, with sliding to home the catcher needs to give a lane to slide, if they are out but no lane given, provided the catcher did not have the ball prior to the slide, the runner is called safe and not out.  So there a few examples where a guy would have been out, but gets called safe.

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    It looks to me like a lot of TDers are being too quick to throw Rogers under the bus and demanding Duffey or Romo be named the new closer. On one hand, given how good the bullpen has been, it's not totally preposterous to suggest this. Also, Rogers has now blown two saves, his ERA is up from 2.61 last year to 4.82 this year, and his WHIP is up from 1.00 last year to 1.39 this year.

     

    BUT, looking at his underlying numbers, I propose that Rogers has been getting very unlucky so far this season, and Rocco should stick with him in the closer role for now.

     

    Guess how many balls were hit hard off of Rogers last night? 0. Even that double down the line was only hit at 90mph, and it had an expected batting average of .100, according to statcast. The other two batters who didn't K against Rogers last night hit a soft bloop single and a soft ground ball that should've been a GIDP.

     

    Looking at some more numbers for the season, Rogers's FIP and xFIP are actually about half a run lower this season than last, and the main reason we're not seeing that reflected in his ERA is his gaudy .423 BABIP (compared to .307 last year). Although Romo has had better results so far this season, I have less confidence in him going forward considering his miniscule .077 BABIP and a xFIP a full run higher than Rogers. The velocity of his pitches hasn't gone down since last year, and he's not walking a bunch of guys either.

     

    I hope Rocco isn't as reactionary as 90% of TDers (in fact, I know he's not) and keeps putting Rogers out there in the biggest spots.

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    It looks to me like a lot of TDers are being too quick to throw Rogers under the bus and demanding Duffey or Romo be named the new closer. On one hand, given how good the bullpen has been, it's not totally preposterous to suggest this. Also, Rogers has now blown two saves, his ERA is up from 2.61 last year to 4.82 this year, and his WHIP is up from 1.00 last year to 1.39 this year.

     

    BUT, looking at his underlying numbers, I propose that Rogers has been getting very unlucky so far this season, and Rocco should stick with him in the closer role for now.

     

    Guess how many balls were hit hard off of Rogers last night? 0. Even that double down the line was only hit at 90mph, and it had an expected batting average of .100, according to statcast. The other two batters who didn't K against Rogers last night hit a soft bloop single and a soft ground ball that should've been a GIDP.

     

    Looking at some more numbers for the season, Rogers's FIP and xFIP are actually about half a run lower this season than last, and the main reason we're not seeing that reflected in his ERA is his gaudy .423 BABIP (compared to .307 last year). Although Romo has had better results so far this season, I have less confidence in him going forward considering his miniscule .077 BABIP and a xFIP a full run higher than Rogers. The velocity of his pitches hasn't gone down since last year, and he's not walking a bunch of guys either.

     

    I hope Rocco isn't as reactionary as 90% of TDers (in fact, I know he's not) and keeps putting Rogers out there in the biggest spots.

     

    Finally, a voice of reason.  Rogers is going to be fine.

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    I also want to give props to Thielbar's and Alcala's pitching performances. On the night after a bullpen game, when your closer blows the save, it's huge to have two back-end guys like that come in and have three shutdown innings with a runner starting on second. I'd also like to thank the boneheaded baserunning of Jed Gyorko and the generally anemic Brewers offense.

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    I don’t get this — it was likely the 2nd most interesting/important half inning of the game, next to the game-winner. Of course I want to read about it! If you don’t want to dwell on it, that’s one thing, but to ignore it completely, dismissed with a meme? I had to miss much of this game and came first to TD to read the recap because I like this community and thought it would offer the best perspective, but I wound up recapping the rest of the game elsewhere. All of baseball, even the bad half-innings for the Twins, are part of my escape from actual bad stuff happening in 2020.

    This. Maeda has a no-hitter through eight and the Twins are up by 3. Fast forward to the bottom of the ninth. Wait? What? Lol.

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    It looks to me like a lot of TDers are being too quick to throw Rogers under the bus and demanding Duffey or Romo be named the new closer. On one hand, given how good the bullpen has been, it's not totally preposterous to suggest this. Also, Rogers has now blown two saves, his ERA is up from 2.61 last year to 4.82 this year, and his WHIP is up from 1.00 last year to 1.39 this year.

     

    BUT, looking at his underlying numbers, I propose that Rogers has been getting very unlucky so far this season, and Rocco should stick with him in the closer role for now.

     

    Guess how many balls were hit hard off of Rogers last night? 0. Even that double down the line was only hit at 90mph, and it had an expected batting average of .100, according to statcast. The other two batters who didn't K against Rogers last night hit a soft bloop single and a soft ground ball that should've been a GIDP.

     

    Looking at some more numbers for the season, Rogers's FIP and xFIP are actually about half a run lower this season than last, and the main reason we're not seeing that reflected in his ERA is his gaudy .423 BABIP (compared to .307 last year). Although Romo has had better results so far this season, I have less confidence in him going forward considering his miniscule .077 BABIP and a xFIP a full run higher than Rogers. The velocity of his pitches hasn't gone down since last year, and he's not walking a bunch of guys either.

     

    I hope Rocco isn't as reactionary as 90% of TDers (in fact, I know he's not) and keeps putting Rogers out there in the biggest spots.

    That double was almost a HR and it had an expected batting average of .100? That wasn't bad luck, that was Garcia crushing a ball for an extra base hit... and then Rogers immediately lost the next guy and walked him. Only bad luck came on the double-play ball. 

     

    I'm not giving up on Rogers, but you also didn't mention the game he lost to the Brewers last week when he gave up the 2 run HR to Gyorko. His stuff doesn't look as lethal as it was the first week this year / most of last year. I think it's a really foolish idea to throw him out there the next time we have a 1 run lead in the 9th, have Rogers get some work in the earlier innings to see if he can get his sharpness back.

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    Finally, a voice of reason.  Rogers is going to be fine.

    I think he will be all right, but the breaking balls were up in the zone where it is much easier to lob over an infielder's head. Rogers has been far from overworked, and never really has had arm trouble. I suspect he'll be all right, but he really hasn't been sharp.

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    Garcia's double wasn't tremendously well hit, but it wasn't a pop fly either. Rogers allowed a bloop single and walked Yelich. With better luck, he gets an easy save, but he left a lot of breaking balls up.

     

    I think Taylor Rogers should have been a All-Star last year. He was that good and worked many multiple innings in the first half of the season. He hasn't been as sharp this year and everything is magnified by the truncated season. The Twins have the luxury of being nearly certain to make the expanded playoffs, so I think they can get Rogers extra rope to find sharpness or make adjustments. 

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    That double was almost a HR and it had an expected batting average of .100? That wasn't bad luck, that was Garcia crushing a ball for an extra base hit... and then Rogers immediately lost the next guy and walked him. Only bad luck came on the double-play ball. 

     

    I'm not giving up on Rogers, but you also didn't mention the game he lost to the Brewers last week when he gave up the 2 run HR to Gyorko. His stuff doesn't look as lethal as it was the first week this year / most of last year. I think it's a really foolish idea to throw him out there the next time we have a 1 run lead in the 9th, have Rogers get some work in the earlier innings to see if he can get his sharpness back.

    Hey, if you want to argue with Statcast, be my guest. That double was not a hard it ball (90mph), and the only reason it was a hit was because it was well-placed. Same with the bloop single that fell in front of Buxton. It happens. I also have a feeling that your "eye test" is based mostly on results, and if one or two more bounces had gone Rogers's way this season, you'd be raving about how he looks just as good as he looked last year. It's easy to see a bad result and just claim that Rogers's "stuff doesn't look as lethal" without having any evidence besides unlucky results to back up your claim.

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    I didn't think Vargas' relay throw from 2B was that bad, Marwin should have caught it. A lot of 4-letter words at my house in the 9th. Kudos to "Meatlocker" in the 10th. When the heck are we gonna pound somebody with a barrage of runs? How used to winning have we become . . . as we pick apart a victory. It was awesome to pick up the win, but then my Black Hawks lost to Las Vegas to get eliminated. It was a late night here on the east coast.

    You must have missed all the posts that 1B defense isn’t important? :)

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    We should automatically count it as an "out" if a batter hits a can of corn fly ball, too, amiright?

    I didn't think I'd come to TD and read about the dropped third strike rule. Am I on the STrib game recap?

    It never would have occurred to me that the dropped third strike was so controversial. But shows what I know. For that matter I don’t think that’s the most important or beneficial rules change for catchers as far as Twins Territory is concerned. I think that runners shouldn’t be allowed to advance on balls to the backstop. Nor leave the base till the pitch crosses the plate. Like they do in little league. Then we could finally transition to catchers whose only claim to talent is to hit. No glove responsibilities at all. :) That would then make them similar to the criteria for middle IF that we now employ! 

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    Should they get rid of the rule of foul tips caught is an out on third strike?  I mean they hit the ball foul why should it matter that the catcher managed to hold onto it? 

     

    Ah.... the Connie Mack rule. The rules' predecessor was any ball tipped and caught was an out. Foul tip at any point. First or second strike, too. No, I don't advocate changing the current rule in place, at all.

     

    https://peoplepill.com/people/connie-mack/

     

    In addition to verbally needling batters to distract them, he developed skills such as blocking the plate to prevent base runners from scoring and faking the sound of a foul tip. (He was probably responsible for the 1891 rule change requiring that a batter must have two strikes against him in order to be called out if the catcher caught a foul tip.)

     

     

    It would be nice to see Duffey get some shots in the ninth. He seems to be the most on his game of those in the pen. But I think Baldelli is trying some things, and still winning 2 out of 3 games. It really is pretty amazing to me. I mean, I certainly would not have picked Theilbar to come in at that stage of this game.

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    Roger's first few outings were totally dominant and efficient. I remember one he only need 5 pitches. So he did start out sharp, very sharp. I lean towards some bad luck and i would keep rotating roles and get him some good matchups in the near future then go from there.

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