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  • Is Minnesota's Refreshed Coaching Staff... Too Fresh?


    Nick Nelson

    While toiling in obscurity for eight years since their most recent division title, the Minnesota Twins have had their share of issues, covering all sizes, shapes and forms. But the one persistent flaw plaguing these teams is poor pitching.

    Minnesota's new hires at pitching coach and bullpen coach, which came to light on Thursday, illustrate just how creative – and daring – they are becoming in the quest to finally overcome their perennial run-prevention problems

    Image courtesy of Brad Rempel, USA Today

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    In 2010, Minnesota had the fifth-best ERA in the American League, and allowed the third-fewest runs. Twins pitchers bounced back after a down spell, putting forth their best post-Johan season and seemingly vindicating the staff-building approach of Terry Ryan, Ron Gardenhire and Rick Anderson.

    Maybe that's why the trio received so much leeway as things went totally awry.

    In 2011 the Twins allowed the league's second-most runs. Then, they did it again in 2012 and 2013. In 2014 they finally took the AL crown for runs allowed, as an obscenely poor pitching staff doomed what was actually a pretty solid offense.

    That was it for Gardy and Anderson. Ryan hired Paul Molitor as manager, and sought to offset the new skipper's lack of arms expertise by pairing him with Neil Allen, a minor-league pitching coach snagged out of Tampa's organization.

    All-out disaster ensued in 2016, leading to Terry Ryan's dismissal. Allen survived the regime change. And in 2017, his Ervin-led staff actually did show considerable improvement, but he was sent packing afterward anyway.

    The Twins turned to Galvin Alston, another guy with lots of experience instructing pitchers in the minors, and a bit in the majors too. He lasted one year before being ousted in yet another shakeup, which also claimed four-year bullpen coach Eddie Guardado.

    On Thursday, we found out who will be filling these new vacancies for an organization suddenly characterized by churn. And this time, the Twins are really coloring outside the lines.

    Wes Johnson, who will be named Minnesota's new pitching coach, becomes the first collegiate coach to jump straight to the majors in nearly four decades. Johnson is a forward thinker who speaks frequently of concepts like spin access and hand tilt, and is a TrackMan evangelist.

    So, the analytical creds are there, but Johnson's total lack of familiarity with the pro level makes him a wild card, especially when paired with the game's youngest and greenest manager in Rocco Baldelli.

    With these two in place, you'd think Minnesota's front office might seek out some seasoning at bullpen coach, but... nope. It sounds like they'll be going with Jeremy Hefner for that gig. The 31-year-old, who played in the majors as recently as 2013, will join an on-field MLB coaching staff for the first time after serving in the analytics office for the last two years. His role with the team was described by La Velle E. Neal III as such:

    "Jeremy Hefner was hired as an advance scout, but not the kind that goes to the opposing team’s games the week before they face the Twins. Hefner travels with the Twins and scouts opponents by video. The combination of what Hefner sees on his screen and statistical analysis provides players with quality intelligence."

    You might've heard that the Twins are being sued by a former scout for age discrimination. And while that legal action may or may not have merit, it's plain to see that this front office is heavily favoring freshness and youth at almost every turn. Derek Falvey is acting in line with the very mindset that got him hired, which only makes sense I suppose.

    While this shift has been refreshing, one does wonder if the Twins have veered too far in the other direction. The team's three newest coaching hires carry essentially zero practical experience between them.

    The Twins organization as a whole is now shockingly short on experience. The ousting of Molitor, a franchise institution and Hall of Famer, symbolize a much larger overhaul. With Joe Mauer announcing his retirement and Brian Dozier unlikely to return, there's no real tenure anywhere in the clubhouse, no reverered figures with storied histories to draw from.

    Does that matter? We're about to find out.

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    Well, the final two hires for the Twins field staff are in, and.... not much more in the way of experience.

     

     

    3B coach Tony Diaz never played affiliated pro ball, and has only two years experience as an MLB coach. 1B coach Tommy Watkins is 38, and his only experience in the majors was a cup of coffee as a player in 2007.

     

    That said, I like these hires. Both appear to bring something very valuable to the table.

     

    Diaz, who spent the last two seasons as Colorado's 1B coach, is said to be a great bilingual conduit; Parker notes he "wrote 'Practical English' for Spanish-speaking players to help them adapt to US."

     

    Watkins adds some organizational tenure and continuity to a staff that has very little. He's a beloved franchise fixture who's more or less been around continually since the Twins drafted him in 1998. As I wrote a couple weeks ago when mentioning him as a candidate, it seems to say a lot while the vast majority of institutional holdovers have been ushered out under new leadership, Watkins has not only stuck around but kept rising.

     

     

     

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    I'm really excited to see if a guy like Johnson can replicate the results from college with guys who've "fully developed". I'm sure some of his results (particularly an uptick in velocity) are because of college kids literally just growing.

    Most excited about two current players in particular: the resurgence of Addison Reed and the full development of Trevor May. Worst year of Reed's career last year and the best of May's. A bounce back from Reed and the full potential of May is a really good place to start for a back end of a really good bullpen.

     

    However, it doesn't matter if we hire the best, most innovative, and superior analytical coaches in baseball, the current roster just flat out isn't good enough to legitimately compete. I'm pretty tired of mediocre results and there's no good enough reason in my book not to open up the checkbook and fill out the roster now.

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    1B coach Tommy Watkins is 38, and his only experience in the majors was a cup of coffee as a player in 2007.

    Hey Tommy! I'm the guy you said hi to. You know, in Surprise AZ? The guy in the Saints t-shirt? Yeah, me. Bet you thought I'd moved on and forgot all about you. I'm not like that. Congrats on your promotion!

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    I’m just fine with all the various degrees of lack of experience from the coaches. It’s not like these guys are new to the sport, just new to the old boys club. I think a, “Hey, we’re going to try some different things, this is kind of unprecedented, want to get in on the ground floor?” approach is going to appeal to young players. Might it not work? Yes. Has what they’ve been doing for a decade not worked? Yes.

     

    It might turn off stodgy, set-in-their-ways vets. The types I already have no interest in.

     

    I’ll trust math and science over tradition, gut-instincts and conventional wisdom. That’s not a new school philosophy, Copernicus, Galileo and Di Vinci had these same arguments during The Renaissance.

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    Copernicus, Galileo and Di Vinci had these same arguments during The Renaissance.

    So did L Ron Hubbard, more recently. :)

     

    I'm pretty far on the analytics spectrum by nature, but I don't discount "tradition, gut-instincts and conventional wisdom". If my "math" goes contrary to these, my first reaction should be to wonder, "what have I overlooked?" If I can't find anything, that may only mean that it will be discovered after I have put my math into action.

     

    Analysis should be followed by synthesis. The pieces have to fit together.

     

    And I don't believe that any of these new hires fall into that trap, particularly. Wes Johnson wasn't constructing theories in some darkened research lab, he was out there running pitching staffs in college. Some of his early ideas have already been weeded out, presumably. I've stated some qualms, but I'm also intrigued.

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    http://www.wholehogsports.com/news/2018/nov/15/sources-wes-johnson-leave-arkansas-twins/

     

    “If you get into biomechanics, you find out really fast that a pitcher cannot repeat his delivery," Johnson told WholeHogSports in 2017. "You’ve got over 600 muscles in the body. To think that the roughly 240 that we use in pitching are going to fire at the same time - you’ve got a better chance at winning the lottery. TrackMan gives me a chance to show guys a consistent release height and some things we can repeat."

     

    Johnson has spent the past two seasons with the Razorbacks and has been credited with the development of several high-round draft picks and prospects, including Blaine Knight, Trevor Stephan, Kacey Murphy, Isaiah Campbell and Matt Cronin.

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    So did L Ron Hubbard, more recently. :)

     

    I'm pretty far on the analytics spectrum by nature, but I don't discount "tradition, gut-instincts and conventional wisdom". If my "math" goes contrary to these, my first reaction should be to wonder, "what have I overlooked?" If I can't find anything, that may only mean that it will be discovered after I have put my math into action.

    I’m all about the discovery; I’ll accept the associated trial and error laboratory fires that come with it. This franchise has for too long relied on letting other clubs do all the experiments while the Twins suffered the consequences of looking over the front runners shoulder for the answer without knowing the process of getting there.

     

    Also, perhaps I’m wrong, but I thought Hubbard was light on the science and heavy on the fiction?

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    I think some of the Twins media/fans are a bit too afraid of change. I mean, why not go young and give it a shot? We've stunk for years now, why not try something new? Having an experienced coaching staff sure hasn't done much for us the past 8 years or so, and other teams are setting trends with new-age coaching and strategies. We'd best not fall behind the curve.

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    OK everyone, go back to 2016. Do you remember the three words that described the franchise that season? Total system failure. So Jim Pohlad and various consultants tore the old system down (which needed to be done) and decided to hand the rebuild to Falvey. And now Falvey and Levine have gotten to the point where their vision of a new system is starting to be implemented. And at this point it's still just a start. Of course, as expected, there are some detractors, mainly old school and impatient types. But keep in mind that this is baseball. It takes longer than 24 1/2 months for a new system to be put into operation, much less come to fruition. As for me, I choose to be optimistic about the new staff. I look at these hires as the cutting edge of the future of the game.

     

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    One of my biggest pet peeves is when people ask what the definition of "insanity" is to make a point. And, of course, public vonacular is "repeating the same action hoping for a different result." Now, believe it or not, I'm a pretty smart individual. I have studied English and journalism, worked with both, and am a bit of a writer, both fiction and poetry. And maybe I've just never looked in enough dictionaries in my day, but I've never seen that definition listed under insanity anywhere I've looked.

     

    That being said, I certainly don't think anything the Twins have previously done in regards to development or coaching has been "insane", but there have been various disappointments with development. There have also been successes, and we too often overlook them due to the frustration of the past several years.

     

    Like it or not, the game of baseball is changing in many facets. Small ball, stolen bases, 35 starts and 200 UP by a starter are being replaced by launch angle, defensive shifts, emphasis on bullpens and now, designated starters. And there are reasons for this, though we don't have to get in to it here at this time. All sports have changed over time. The football and basketball I watch now is not what I watched in the 70's, 80's and even early 90's. Not bad, just different.

     

    Like it or not, this FO is forward thinking. Out of the box thinking. The game is still, largely, played the same. But the nuances are changing. These coaching hires have the chance to "blow up" in either direction. The hires are not "non-baseball" guys, but rather, baseball guys from a different angle.

     

    As I posted in another thread, the Arkansas baseball coach, Dave VanHorn, is well respected and has had a great career at both Nebraska and now at his almamatter Arkansas. And be has had some great pitching coaches, and seen several pitchers drafted. I don't know, or remember, much about Hefner. But like Rocco, he has MLB service time to help relate to the ballplayers under his watch.

     

    I haven't read about Diaz yet. I'm pleased and surprised about Watkins though. I am pleased as he knows a lot of the pkayers first hand, and those coming up. He brings a sense of continuity. He seems to be a real "baseball guy" and a great communicator from everything I have ever heard or read. I'm surprised because I felt he would be kept in the system to be "groomed" more as a manager before seeing a ML promotion.

     

    Like all of us, I will reserve judgement until I see how 2019 unfolds. Roster construction and development of the talent on hand is still paramount. But in regard to the on-field staff, the onus still falls on Rocco. Does he have a feel for his staff? How does he build a lineup and use his available talent?

     

    I am NOT advocating a return to Monitor's penchant for hunting and playing "old school" too much. But one thing I'm hoping he will embrace, in a league obsessed with the HR ball, seemingly acceptable with high SO numbers, is that he will stress defense and fundamentals, and embrace a "new way" of thinking by being old school enough to utilize the athletes he has available for stolen bases, (looking at you in particular Buxton), and hit and run and other situations to put pressure on the other team.

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    Sean McVay is coaching the LA Rams to the top dog status in the NFL. He's what, 32? The fundamentals are the fundamentals. If a young alpha dog can teach players to put aside their narcissism and learn how to hit, field, pitch, and not sit on their butts fuming in the dugout because they're not celebrated 24/7, there's no reason the Twins can't compete with teenyboppers in charge. I for one was glad to see the NBA Wolves finally  get rid of Jimmy "I can't get over myself" Butler, who though a veteran was a drain (with his solipsism) on the team and its talent. The same goes for the Twins. Now that Mauer and Molitor are gone, the Millennial and the Boomer, one in the HOF and the other a sure bet in five years, two men mature and considered in their games and their lives, why not put the unsettled, insecure tykes in charge, give them algorithms, and hope they can teach the other tykes, the ones on the field, enough about the fundamentals to succeed? After all, over 50% of average baseball fans are 55 or older. We Boomers like four hour games, because it gives us time to drink beer while we have philosophical conversations, but younger fans need lots of nerdy video game speed to keep their short attention spans interested while they vape and spit out post-literate acronyms. In 2018, MLB was less interesting for many reasons, many of them having to do with analytics, so my position is that the less experience MLB coaches have, the better off the players and the game will be, at least when it comes to younger fans. As for me and mine, the Twin Cities have so many cultural and entertainment possibilities, like tomorrow night's amazing poetry reading at St. Paul's University Club to celebrate a new book full of poems inspired by the life and work of Minnesota's own Bob Dylan, that baseball in 2019 will have to earn a place in our hearts and minds all over again. I'm hoping it does that this year, but not holding my breath. 

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    With Joe Mauer announcing his retirement and Brian Dozier unlikely to return, there's no real tenure anywhere in the clubhouse, no reverered figures with storied histories to draw from.
     

    Revered figures with storied histories?

     

    Mauer may have been revered by a lot of folks, but there was very little about his game in a long time that was special.  His primary skill for the last five seasons was to draw walks.  He was an effective table setter. We don't need anyone averaging a .740 OPS  over the last five seasons being treated like royalty.  That's over.  Maybe bring in a two veterans with some postseason success who can put up better numbers than Mauer and cost less.

     

    Dozier?  Come on, man.  He was the classic garbage time player.  Shine the spotlight on him and he falls to pieces.  I think it is good for this team to hit the reset button.  Time for a new flavor.

     

    While we are at it, let's stop being so concerned about where guys were drafted.  Buxton does not deserve a limitless amount of time in the majors to find himself--and, no....his defense doesn't make up for his putrid offense.  Hold him to a standard.

     

    As soon as the coaching staff can apply accountability evenly the culture will turn around.  That has not happened in a long, long time

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    Revered figures with storied histories?

     

    Mauer may have been revered by a lot of folks, but there was very little about his game in a long time that was special.  His primary skill for the last five seasons was to draw walks.  He was an effective table setter. We don't need anyone averaging a .740 OPS  over the last five seasons being treated like royalty.  That's over.  Maybe bring in a two veterans with some postseason success who can put up better numbers than Mauer and cost less.

     

    Dozier?  Come on, man.  He was the classic garbage time player.  Shine the spotlight on him and he falls to pieces.  I think it is good for this team to hit the reset button.  Time for a new flavor.

     

    While we are at it, let's stop being so concerned about where guys were drafted.  Buxton does not deserve a limitless amount of time in the majors to find himself--and, no....his defense doesn't make up for his putrid offense.  Hold him to a standard.

     

    As soon as the coaching staff can apply accountability evenly the culture will turn around.  That has not happened in a long, long time

     

    Not many have commented on the fact that Mauer, even in his post-concussion "second" career, had one of the best BA's with RISP in the league. He's a first-ballot HOF, that's for sure, given what he did as a catcher. Many complained about the lack of a fire in the belly, but if there's one thing that makes me laugh, it's locker room pep talks, which are cliche following cliche. He was a consummate pro and he gave every colleague his respect. We won't have Joe to kick around anymore, and he'll never wear a WS ring, but his history is indeed "storied," I'd say. Reverence might be too strong a word, but as sports culture loses its integrity and becomes only about winning, fantasy teams, and gambling odds, Joe will be a bright, shining light by which we can judge his successors and all of MLB. He's a yardstick and I'll measure next year's Twins by standing them beside that very tall totem pole with that TC cap on his head: backwards, probably, in recognition of his glory days.

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     Many complained about the lack of a fire in the belly, but if there's one thing that makes me laugh, it's locker room pep talks, which are cliche following cliche.

    I never comment about "fire in his belly", but since you bring it up, for me it has nothing to do with being a motormouth.  It has to do with what a guy does on the field.  You mention his wonderful average with RISP, but he was a .277 hitter for his lifetime in close and late situations.  He went nearly 12 seasons without getting a walkoff hit.  So many of his at bats with RISP in big spots in the game featured him spitting on perfectly hittable strikes.  This speaks to "fire in the belly" and his reluctance to step up in big spots.

     

    "Fire in the belly" also has to do with what a guy is willing to do during the offseason.  I never saw Joe as being one of those guys who trained hard during the offseason to build strength and stamina for the regular season.  That clearly was not his thing, while a fair number of elite players are noted for this kind of thing.  Torii Hunter did more for his team by being physically in phenomenal shape than the did with his mouth.  His offseason workout routine was totally on point and something for young players to pay attention to.  Joe did not provide that example and I often wondered why.  He could have worked to make himself a bit stronger and get those quick twitch muscle fibers in gear.  He did not see that as being so important and he became a slap hitter who looked for walks.

     

    We can go back and forth on this, but I have my opinion on this and I don't think he evolved very much.  Joe had all the talent in the world and yet he didn't make adjustments.  That opposite field shift was utterly insane.  That should have fired him up to find hittable pitches in his happy zone and turn on them. Nope, not his thing......

     

    Joe was a fabulous player for the first half of his career and then 2011 happened.  From there forward I never thought I was watching greatness.  I did feel that way in the years before that.  I am just calling it like I see it and nothing I mentioned above is far-fetched or out of line.  Call me a heretic.  Sorry

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     Call me a heretic.  Sorry

    I wouldn't call you a heretic. 

    I just find comments like this to be something less than insightful.

    I thought I was watching greatness. Those who played the game with him thought they were watching greatness. I value their opinion.

    As Big Al says, we won't have Joe to kick around anymore; but apparently we'll have to endure that kicking for a while before it finally fades into the background.

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    I wouldn't call you a heretic. 

    I just find comments like this to be something less than insightful.

    I thought I was watching greatness. Those who played the game with him thought they were watching greatness. I value their opinion.

    As Big Al says, we won't have Joe to kick around anymore; but apparently we'll have to endure that kicking for a while before it finally fades into the background.

     

    The comments are not terribly insightful because the things I mentioned were so blatantly obvious to any fan who watched him day-in-day-out for the last seven or eight seasons.

     

    He hit into an oppositte field shift and refused to adapt.  Blyleven made it clear that Joe needed to make adjustments.  For him to say that is significant.  Most other players just play nice.  Bert was honest.

     

    The .277 in close and late situations, the pedestrian performance in the post season, the lack of a walk off hit for almost a dozen seasonss, his looking at hittable pitches with runners on base when he was supposedly the best hitter in the lineup....etc...that is factual.

     

    Not kicking him around.  I am just not of the belief that I was watching greatness these last eight seasons.  I don't pick that out of the sky, nor do I say it because I have a vendetta against the guy.  People get mad when I point out his flaws and weaknesses.  I've learned it's offensive to some when I  list facts to support an opinion that diminishes Joe's God-like status with our fanbase.

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    Nonsense. He homered in the All Star game, and he homered in his first post-season at bat, in the wild card game. 

    He fell to pieces in 2015 during the playoff push.  Then in 2016 he came out of the gate like a dog when he was expected to lead.  When the season was safely gone he exhaled and starting mashing.  When he needed to play well this year early on because we were supposed to contend AND he had a contract to play for he was AWOL.  When he had a chance to erase that in LA during a playoff race he hit .180 something.  He had a horrible post season.

     

    But hey.  He hit a home run in an ASG.

     

    Come on, man.  Falvey and Levine did well to move on from Dozier.  Extending him would have be a terrible move.  And this isn't hindsight coming from me.  I was against it from jump street.

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    He fell to pieces in 2015 during the playoff push.  Then in 2016 he came out of the gate like a dog when he was expected to lead.  When the season was safely gone he exhaled and starting mashing.  When he needed to play well this year early on because we were supposed to contend AND he had a contract to play for he was AWOL.  When he had a chance to erase that in LA during a playoff race he hit .180 something.  He had a horrible post season.

     

    But hey.  He hit a home run in an ASG.

     

    Come on, man.  Falvey and Levine did well to move on from Dozier.  Extending him would have be a terrible move.  And this isn't hindsight coming from me.  I was against it from jump street.

    Actually, his World Series at bats weren't that bad overall, despite not getting a hit. He's past his peak and by the end was a role player for the Dodgers. Yes, he was streaky with the Twins, but actually played his best ball after signing an extension.

     

    Anyway, this is not the thread for that and I was responding to a comment of yours that required a response. I was playing by your rules: "Shine the spotlight on him and he falls to pieces." So I used the high viewership examples of the All Star game and playoffs.

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