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  • How Can Rocco Baldelli Regain Twins Fans Favor?


    Ted Schwerzler

    Over the course of the past few seasons, plenty has been made of the struggles plaguing the Minnesota Twins. While the product on the field has failed, there’s also been plenty of finger-pointing at those that control it. When it comes to the manager, what do fans need to see?

    Image courtesy of Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

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    Rocco Baldelli took over as manager for the Minnesota Twins prior to the 2019 season. He replaced Hall of Fame player, Paul Molitor. Although Molitor was seen favorably in his time on the field, he was more of a figurehead manager, celebrated for his own accolades, than those accomplished from the dugout. Molitor seemed to be on the hot seat following a 103-loss campaign in 2016, but the 85-win season brought him Manager of the Year honors and spared him another season under Derek Falvey and Thad Levine.

    Wanting to bring in their own manager and distance themselves from the Terry Ryan regime, Falvey and Levine cast a wide net and ultimately landed on Baldelli. A former top prospect with a solid career, this is Baldelli’s first managing gig. He came highly respected from the forward-thinking, and analytically driven, Tampa Bay Rays organization.

    In year one (2019), Baldelli was praised mightily as he orchestrated one of the most successful regular seasons in franchise history. The Bomba Squad invigorated the fanbase, and a club led by Nelson Cruz launched the most home runs by any team over a single season in Major League Baseball history.

    2020 is hard to quantify given the truncated nature of the pandemic-influenced season, and we know how the past two years have gone. After what can be categorized as a wildly successful beginning, Baldelli’s allure with fans has hit the skids. Is that largely due to a reflection of what his team has done lately, more of a response to what he’s brought to the table as a whole, or something in between?

    If there are two chief complaints for the Twins manager, I’d likely boil them down to pitching management and lack of ultimate success.

    Pitching Management
    The first relates directly to starting pitchers and bullpen usage. Over the course of recent seasons, it’s become a major complaint from the fanbase that Baldelli pulls his starters too soon. To date in 2022, the Twins 4.8 innings per start is tied for 28th across Major League Baseball. That average is higher than only the Washington Nationals and Tampa Bay Rays. That’s notable as the former is doing so by circumstance, while the latter is doing so by choice.

    The league average innings per start is 5.2, which is just above Minnesota’s tally. As discussed earlier this year, short starts aren’t simply a Twins thing, and they really aren’t a Baldelli thing either. Baseball has trended toward pulling pitchers earlier as hitters have become so much more advanced, and there are so few truly elite arms. A team like Tampa Bay has supplemented that reality with strong tactics and bullpen help, while the teams who rely most on their starters such as the Astros, Guardians, and Phillies have arms like Justin Verlander, Shane Bieber, and Aaron Nola.

    Across baseball in 2022, there was an average of 32.2 pitchers used in 2023. That’s the second highest number in the history of the sport, trailing only the 34.4 used last season. What has to happen for Baldelli to allow starters a longer leash is two-fold. Minnesota must produce more runs than they did in 2022, and the starting pitchers have to be better. Expecting the likes of Chris Archer and Dylan Bundy to give five or more innings on a routine basis isn’t logical. While Baldelli has a say in player acquisition, he’s also at the mercy of the team provided to him. Implore the front office to better when it comes to acquisitions on the front end (or the bullpen if following the Rays model) and the results should follow.

    Win When it Counts
    While it’s not the fault of this current Twins club that the franchise totes an 0-18 record in the postseason currently, it is at the forefront of fans’ minds. The reality is that no matter how many division titles the Twins have won, and they’ve gone .500 in that regard under Baldelli, they’ve also bowed out without even a playoff victory while he’s been in charge.

    It’s certainly not easy to win in October, especially if you’re getting paired up against a juggernaut like New York or Houston. However, there’s no reason why a team winning 101 games should bow out with a whimper, or why you can’t grab a victory at home in a short series.

    Twins fans want to see the regular season translate into playoff success. With 30 teams, and only one winning their final tilt, it’s hard to suggest World Series or bust as an expectation, but doing something of note beyond the 162-game calendar would go a long way.

    Knowing 2023 is an integral point for Minnesota and Baldelli, what are you hoping for in a change of pace? If you support what Rocco has brought to the table, why? If you need to see better, what could change your opinion?

     

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    For those that deride Baldelli in every or nearly every post they make there is nothing he could do to gain their favor. If the Twins won a playoff series or had a level of success not seen around here for decades, my guess is they would just go silent on the subject. I'm still sort of astounded while reading a post where at the end, even if it doesn't seem to fit the subject, they will finish with something along the lines of the manager must go. Almost like an email signature. I've never witnessed this much disdain for anybody in a lifetime of reading about sports. I, personally, don't get it. 

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    7 hours ago, Richie the Rally Goat said:

    This post typifies, what I see in anti-Rocco posts. Attributing things to Rocco, that the fan doesn’t like about the front office. Rocco doesn’t get to choose the scouting or medical staffs. He doesn’t sign free agents, or set the roster.

    I thought the managers job was to set the line-ups?  So what does “manager” mean in baseball?  He should be managing everything including the medical staff, conditioning and their rehab.  I agree he doesn’t have the final say in who the FO signs but he should be giving input.

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    6 minutes ago, wabene said:

    For those that deride Baldelli in every or nearly every post they make there is nothing he could do to gain their favor. If the Twins won a playoff series or had a level of success not seen around here for decades, my guess is they would just go silent on the subject. I'm still sort of astounded while reading a post where at the end, even if it doesn't seem to fit the subject, they will finish with something along the lines of the manager must go. Almost like an email signature. I've never witnessed this much disdain for anybody in a lifetime of reading about sports. I, personally, don't get it. 

    And that's different than those who vigorously attack anyone questioning a baseball manager...how?

    Not only is there seemingly nothing Baldelli can do to make them even question a single decision, It's like they take it personally when someone else does.

     

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    My serious answer is that Rocco can only regain fans' favor with wins. Whether or not he pulls starters early, plays bad relievers in high-leverage situations, rests good players, changes up the lineups every day, refers to "spreadsheets," emphasizes fundamentals, lets players bunt or steal bases, tells guys to swing for the fences at every plate appearance, holds players accountable for bad play, operates in lockstep with the front office, shows emotion when the team loses, or accidentally makes two mound visits in one inning, if the team wins enough, he'll be fine. If he changes some or all of those behaviors and the team wins spectacularly, he'll be generally liked. If he changes none of them and manages exactly the same way next year and the team wins spectacularly, he will be liked. If he can't get the Twins to start winning, he will be disliked. Being the lightning rod for fan frustration is part of the job.

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    6 hours ago, Mike Sixel said:

    This. So many fans here just hate on him (those fans probably loved him the first two years). The kinds of things people say are just mean spirited.....especially on this site.

    For what it is worth (not much, I concede) I didn’t like Quilici, Molitor, or Baldelli as managers.  What did they have in common?  Lack of managing experience as high as the minor league level.  And in Baldelli’s case, we seem agreed that he hasn’t learned a whole lot by managing a major league team.  

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    7 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

    And that's different than those who vigorously attack anyone questioning a baseball manager...how?

    Not only is there seemingly nothing Baldelli can do to make them even question a single decision, It's like they take it personally when someone else does.

     

    Well I don't think someone vigorously attacking another for posting negatively about Baldelli is the right approach. For example my answer to the OP that you are quoting doesn't attack anyone. I do get very weary of the repetitive negativity. I even have my own complaints about Baldelli and the front office. I have not felt it was wise to add them to this site that is overrun with complaint. 

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    I'm not (ever) a fan of the overuse of analytics. Its not baseball. Its video gaming. I wish starters could go longer. I wish that when Twins struggle to score runs, they WOULD try something different, like stealing a base, laying one down, or going the other way when half the field has no one defending. I wish Buxton would steal bases again. He may be the fastest player in the AL. (problem is he is so fragile that may never happen again, but it should)

    Twins were fundamentally un-sound most the season. How much of this was on the manager, and how much was on all the injuries. One thing for sure, the 'talent' on the field in September was hardly major league calibre. And the true major leaguers didn't get the job done. (maybe Correa did)

    I agree with many of the posters who said there probably isn't anything wrong with Rocco that winning wouldn't fix. It was a real tough year. And the way its finishing is simply awful.

     

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    36 minutes ago, USAFChief said:

    And that's different than those who vigorously attack anyone questioning a baseball manager...how?

    Not only is there seemingly nothing Baldelli can do to make them even question a single decision, It's like they take it personally when someone else does.

     

    Name one poster that does that. No one defends him like the haters post mean spirited things. No one. 

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    1 hour ago, sorney said:

    Rocco, to me, is such a small part of the problem.

    The problem is with roster construction, ability to develop consistently, and deviate from a plan if it isn't working.

    You could say Rocco has a hand in all of them...but it feels like it's an org philosophy, not just a manager's

     

    Agreed

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    4 minutes ago, wabene said:

    I do get very weary of the repetitive negativity. I even have my own complaints about Baldelli and the front office. I have not felt it was wise to add them to this site that is overrun with complaint. 

    Same. I feel like I can't actually critique Rocco without inviting another pile-on, so I avoid saying anything at all about him.

    I do think that some people defend Rocco a bit too aggressively and personally, and I think what's going on under the hood is that they believe in the analytical style of baseball that Rocco and the front office represent, and they feel like the Twins are going to lose even more if they're replaced by a more go-with-your-gut regime. I definitely feel a lot more inclined to leap to Rocco's defense when someone suggests that his problem is that he won't turn back the clock and ignore the last 20 years of baseball knowledge.

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    10 hours ago, dex8425 said:

    Bunts don't create runs. They create outs. 

    And they move runners up, putting them in scoring position or even better scoring position, they eliminate the force play and reduce the odds of a double play considerably.  They put more pressure on the pitcher and the defense.  The out becomes worth it, especially when the person you are asking to bunt is your low average hitter and is likely to make an out anyway.  

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    4 hours ago, Unwinder said:

    Same. I feel like I can't actually critique Rocco without inviting another pile-on, so I avoid saying anything at all about him.

    I do think that some people defend Rocco a bit too aggressively and personally, and I think what's going on under the hood is that they believe in the analytical style of baseball that Rocco and the front office represent, and they feel like the Twins are going to lose even more if they're replaced by a more go-with-your-gut regime. I definitely feel a lot more inclined to leap to Rocco's defense when someone suggests that his problem is that he won't turn back the clock and ignore the last 20 years of baseball knowledge.

    As opposed to the first 120 years of baseball knowledge?  What some of us are saying is the former should compliment the latter, not replace it.  

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    5 hours ago, wabene said:

    Well I don't think someone vigorously attacking another for posting negatively about Baldelli is the right approach. For example my answer to the OP that you are quoting doesn't attack anyone. I do get very weary of the repetitive negativity. I even have my own complaints about Baldelli and the front office. I have not felt it was wise to add them to this site that is overrun with complaint. 

    Your post I quoted doesn't attack anyone?

    It literally starts with "those that deride Baldelli in every post."

    The entire post is about other posters.

    Zero about Baldelli. 

     

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    3 hours ago, USAFChief said:

    Your post I quoted doesn't attack anyone?

    It literally starts with "those that deride Baldelli in every post."

    The entire post is about other posters.

    Zero about Baldelli. 

     

    That's not an attack. C'mon man. It is an observation and a factual one. I don't even pass any judgement I just state the fact. Now if you want my opinion on that behavior, that is another story. The OP was about what it would take to win fans back. I chose to discuss those that exhibit the most disdain for the man and my opinion on what would have to happen to change their stance. That is impossible to discuss without mentioning those fans and how they behave. 

    Edit: the rest was just a rant and wasn't going to do any good. 

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    13 hours ago, jmlease1 said:

    Some people are definitely asking the Twins to play a different style of baseball, though. There are consistent demands for the starters to be left in games longer, period. Demands for the team to bunt more and "manufacture runs" (which clearly translates to a different approach). explicit requests for the game/lineup/decisions to be done more on "feel" and less by analytics. that's not a different style?

    Finally, I'm not really sure where you get the idea I said that 2021 was a rebuilding year. I said clearly that we were expected to contend from the jump in 2021 and then the team collapsed (through early bullpen implosions and then a deluge of injuries), causing major disappointment. I called 2022 a re-loading year, NOT a rebuilding one as well.

    Is there any person that doesn't think the Twins should let their starters go longer in certain situations?  (not all situations)

    Trying to manufacture a run now and then isn't asking them to play a different style it is asking to them to have the tiniest bit of situational awareness. For example on at least 4 occasions the Twins ended a game down by 1 with multiple runners on with a fly ball to the warning track, that is going for a homer when a single wins or extends the game and that terrible baseball.

    You are correct on your second paragraph I didn't read your post the way it was intended, I apologize.

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    9 hours ago, USAFChief said:

    And that's different than those who vigorously attack anyone questioning a baseball manager...how?

    Not only is there seemingly nothing Baldelli can do to make them even question a single decision, It's like they take it personally when someone else does.

     

    Seemingly is an important word that you use. 

    Speaking for myself. I have often questioned decisions made. 

    By choice, I am not going to pour that gasoline over this burning website. 

     

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    15 hours ago, dex8425 said:

    Bunts don't create runs. They create outs. 

    Not if they are executed properly. I've seen our high school baseball team win 2 state Championships with properly executed squeeze bunts. Oh, never mind, that's not baseball for the majors, it's only for young people who don't know how to play the game.

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    10 hours ago, USAFChief said:

    And that's different than those who vigorously attack anyone questioning a baseball manager...how?

    Not only is there seemingly nothing Baldelli can do to make them even question a single decision, It's like they take it personally when someone else does.

     

    It's actually the self-righteousness and headstrong insistence that there's only one way to play baseball that bother me, not the Rocco bashing itself. There are good reasons to both retain and fire him.

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    20 minutes ago, rv78 said:

    Not if they are executed properly. I've seen our high school baseball team win 2 state Championships with properly executed squeeze bunts. Oh, never mind, that's not baseball for the majors, it's only for young people who don't know how to play the game.

    Well, Manny Machado isn't playing third base for Eden Prairie.

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    13 hours ago, prouster said:

    I’m not being snarky—if this is the style of baseball you want to watch, you should switch to college baseball. 

    I can't believe anybody is looking for the Twins to play that style of baseball all the time, just asking the Twins to play a bit more situational baseball, but if they are you are correct they are watching the wrong games.

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    12 minutes ago, prouster said:

    It's actually the self-righteousness and headstrong insistence that there's only one way to play baseball that bother me, not the Rocco bashing itself. There are good reasons to both retain and fire him.

    So are you saying you don't like the Twins self-righteousness and headstrong insistence on there's only one way to play baseball?

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    By so many responses in a 24 hour period , it is clear what the twins fan base thinks of Rocco  ...

    Don't forget the plan the FO  has orchestrated  , I hope they  stay away from the dumpster diving  ....

    Average pitching can make you competitors during the seasons but not contenders in post season  ...

    Their plan has to change,,, Quality pitching wins games ...

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    Many many years ago. I landed my first Classic Rock programming job and we had an event that first week that a lot of our listeners would attend. I was going to talk with all of them and gather their opinions in an effort to build the perfect radio station because I was young, inexperienced with reality and I was going to create the greatest radio station ever on my way to being the best radio programmer ever. 

    I talked to a listener and he told me that we played way too much Pink Floyd. I listened to him, I took him seriously and I respectfully talked about the popularity of Dark Side of the Moon, The Wall, Album Sales, I talked about the test scores of Wish You Were Here. I gave him actual rotation data on the approximate intervals of how often Pink Floyd is actually played. I compared Pink Floyd air play to the Stones, Zeppelin and other artists. I told him exactly how many Pink Floyd songs that we consistently play and how many we would consider playing. I took him seriously and I answered honestly, I spent a lot of time explaining Pink Floyd and the role it played in the format and the radio station. 

    It didn't matter... he replied to everything with something along the lines of "If I wanted to hear Pink Floyd, I'd listen to the Soft Rock Station". 

    I thanked him and worked my way through the room to gather more opinions from others in my quest to be the greatest ever. The next person that I talked with told me that "WE DIDN"T PLAY ENOUGH PINK FLOYD". 

    Rocco has no chance of avoiding pitchforks. No matter what he does... they are coming from one direction or the other. 

     

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    During the off-season, Rocco could do what Tom Kelly also hated to do...go out and meet fans, be it on question-and-answer talk radio, appearing with TC Bear and a player at some bigger events.

    An opportunity to really talk abseball philosophy, as well as spread the Twins brand.

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    4 minutes ago, Fire Dan Gladden said:

    Don't bring logic to an emotional (or opinion based) discussion.

    It’s ironic, given your screen name, because I don’t know if you listen to the games on the radio often or not, but Dan Gladden and Cory Provus routinely see deeper into the game than Rocco apparently does, and Gladden out-manages Rocco in real time on a regular basis. :) 

    By the way, basically the whole radio team including Atteberry and the backups to him, everyone there sounds fed up with the starting pitcher usage. It’s not just some nasty people on the Internet who are questioning it.

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