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  • End of the Line for Brent Rooker?


    Cody Pirkl

    Brent Rooker finds himself in no man’s land as he finishes his age 26 season for the Twins. On a team with many questions about their future, Rooker has plenty of his own, and the Twins find themselves with a decision to make.

    Image courtesy of Brad Rempel, USA TODAY Sports

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    Rooker has had an unbelievably up and down season. In March and April the right handed slugger posted a putrid -5 wRC+. After being sent down to AAA for a good while, he came back up in July and posted a 164 wRC+, only to dip back down to an 82 mark in August. Rooker appears to be finishing strong however, as he’s been 44% above league average in September.

    Rooker has essentially switched off every other month between looking like an unusable player and being a pitcher’s worst nightmare. His final line of .206/.294/.413 is good for a wRC+ of 114, 14% above league average. The nature of how he got there however isn’t so straightforward and leaves the Twins with a few options to choose from.

    Business as Usual

    Rooker has cycled in and out of the lineup all season and at no point has really had a starting position. The Twins could continue to pick their spots to get him in the lineup as they have to try to put him in favorable matchups.

    This issue with this however is Rooker has historically had reverse splits when it comes to hitting lefties and righties. 7 of his 8 home runs in 2021 have come off of right handed pitching and it’s a bit difficult to slot him into a lineup over someone like Kepler, Kirilloff or at some point Larnach against a right handed pitcher when these other bats have such a stark advantage.

    Furthermore, it’s fair to wonder whether the inconsistent playing time is partially to blame for Brent Rooker’s hot and cold streaks. For a player who has so much swing and miss with such little plate discipline, consistent reps may be keeping him from unlocking his full potential.

    Hand him the Keys

    To combat any kind of concerns with splits or reps, the Twins could simply play Rooker nearly everyday. Larnach will likely begin 2021 in the minors and it could create an opening for him to really get a fair shake at showing what he can do between the DH spot and the corner outfield. 

    The down side of this idea has been well documented, as Rooker is far from an even league average defender. In his brief time in the outfield he’s been worth -2 Outs Above Average in left field and -1 in right. The bat would simply have to be unbelievable to make up for the troubles such a defensive downgrade would create.

    It’s also difficult to envision anything close to a full time DH role. With Kirilloff back and Sano showing little improvement at first base, it’s easy to see the former filling nearly all of the time at first base, leaving Sano to more often than not fill the DH spot. For as frustrated as the fan base is with Sano, Rooker has a long way to go to prove that he deserves those at bats over him.

    Find a Trade Partner

    It’s a strong possibility that the National League will be adopting the designated hitter this winter which would create 15 more suitors for a defensively-challenged slugger such as Rooker. While he likely wouldn’t draw much of a return on his own, it’s easy to see him being a nice peripheral piece to a bigger deal with a team that has no immediate options at their newly opened DH spot.

    While it’s always nerve-racking to part with a prospect who once had such shine, the Twins need to be realistic this winter. At 27 years old headed into 2022, Brent Rooker still has more questions than answers about his future in Major League Baseball. Those answers won’t be found while playing every 3rd or 4th day, and unless the Twins are prepared to provide a real opportunity, it’s really not even fair to him.

     

    So which road should the Twins take? Does Brent Rooker need a fair chance at a full time job or has his window with the Twins closed? Let us know below!

     

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    I think having an option left is big for him. I'd bet he stays on the 40-man and is with the Twins org next year. I'm not a big fan, and don't think he'll have enough contact to be the Sano type player that appears to be his ceiling. But you don't just get rid of former 1st round picks with his minor league production for nothing. I'd take a Gil for Cave trade in reverse. Or have him as part of a package for someone closer to the majors than a Gil for Cave type flier deal. But I don't like the DFA idea and just lose him for nothing in order to save a prospect on the 40-man who likely doesn't have the minor league track record of Rooker, let alone the flashes at the major league level.

    I don't know the option situations (too lazy to look it up right now) for Refsnyder or Garlick, but if they don't have options left (and I'd guess they don't, but not sure) I'd keep Rooker and his option over them. I'm a believer in Martin and think he'll be up next year at some point and he's a better Refsnyder type utility guy. Garlick plays better defense than Rooker (most of us on these forums probably play better defense than Rooker), but I'd take Rooker's bat and option over Garlick. Garlick is a AAAA player and without an option I'm definitely not risking a prospect to the Rule 5 for him. Offer Refsnyder and Garlick minor league deals and if Rooker falls apart next year DFA him and give one of them his 40-man spot then. 

    I don't think Rooker is a long-term piece as I don't think he'll ever hit enough to be a pure DH and he has negative defensive value, but there aren't enough guys who need 40-man spots who have done what he has in the minors so DFAing him for one of them is saying you're expecting them to improve their performance at the major league level compared to what they did in the minors. Bold bet and I'd rather take 1 more year of Rooker with an option left before making that bet. 

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    2 hours ago, Trov said:

    You bring up the perfect question of what comes first, playing time or showing you deserve playing time in the limited at bats you do get?  Would Rooker benefit from regular playing time?  Maybe, but how long of failing do you give him before you put someone else in?  I personally would move on from him.  He has no trade value for anything more than a complete flier prospect.  Bad fielding middle of road hitting OF are everywhere and no team will be jumping at chance to get one.  We saw this with Eddie, who is a much better overall defender and hitter than Rooker has showed, but no team had interest in Eddie.  

    I would DFA Rooker, see if a team claims him, if not let him play back in minors to see if he can be consistent in AAA and then if needed give him a call up.  I bet someone will claim him, but I also bet he becomes one of those DFA by many teams hoping he passes through waivers only to be claimed for a few days.  Unless he can hit at an elite level either power or average, he offers nothing to a team.  

     

    I'm arguing this like I love Rooker. I don't, and if he were DFA'd or traded, life would move on... but it seems like there's a contingent forgetting that Rooker hasn't hit arbitration yet and still has 2 options. He's cheap and can go to AAA. As a comparison to how expensive he is:

      Rooker Sano
    2022 Salary   570k 9.25M
    2023 Salary        Arb 1 14M
    MiLB Options       2 (after 2021) 0
    2021 fwar -0.1 0.3
    2021 OPS 0.691 0.773
    k% 32.50% 34.40%
    BB% 7.60% 11.20%
    wRC+ 91 109

    Sano is better than Rooker, no doubt, but Rooker could be as good, or better than Sano in 2022 and 2023, for $8.5 million to 13 million less. Floating him on waivers to see if he passes to free up a 40 man spot, when there are 10 other players on the 40 man coming off already guarantees that in 2023 the team is spending $10-14m on DH rather than pitching. 

     

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    Brent Rooker is still young enough to evolve into a fine, productive MLB player. A 5-10 year MLB stint is quite an accomplishment for an athlete. He does not need to be an All Star to have an excellent career. The issue for Rooker is his skill set in relationship to the needs of his team. As mentioned, DH is his best position and the Twins have a half dozen players to man the DH spot right now. Rooker also hits right-handed pitchers well so he does not fit in a platoon role easily. He can play left field adequately but increasingly the better teams use better defenders across the outfield. I will add that the athleticism of professional athletes is often severely underrated and anyone who has played against an MLB athlete knows that how they look from the stands or couch is not what is a reality when one is actually playing on the same field; these guys are athletic to a different degree. Naturally, by comparison within MLB, some players are far less skilled. We don't want to compare Rooker to Buxton, but he isn't much different than Kirillof as an outfielder and is more or less the same as Larnach. So the crux of the problem for Rooker is playing time on a team that has so many similar type position players. Rooker may benefit from an opportunity on another team, especially if the NL adds the DH. He would be a valuable additional player in a larger trade with other significant players. Similarly, if others are cleared from the Twins roster, Rooker may fill the DH position decently for the Twins. I don't believe Brent Rooker will be left off of the 40 man roster. He has a future as an MLB player. My scenario sees him as a part of an offseason trade because another team also sees his value. That value is not in a one for one trade but as part of a multi-player transaction.

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    He's fine for what he is, and I would guess his MLB career will continue - it just shouldn't be in MN.  Too much young depth at the positions he plays in the field.  I'm sure his bat will land him someplace that is in rebuild mode.

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    I appreciate this conversation and I think this issue is a really difficult one.  A few things to point out:

    * As bad as it has felt, Rooker has a .691 OPS.  Now, you might scoff at that but I think we forget that we're in a pitcher dominated year (in part because they are a bunch of cheats) but that OPS is not terribly far from the norm.  I'm not making a value judgement on that, merely pointing out that it's fair to point out that he shouldn't be compared to historical examples of what would impress us.  He should be compared to his peers now.  By that comparison, he hasn't been "bad".  Not "good" either, but not bad.

    * The team drafted way too many guys who can't field.  That's the real issue here.

    If I'm the Twins I give Arraez a 3B glove and give him extensive work there all offseason.  That's his new home.  Donaldson looks washed, certainly like he's going to struggle to deliver on that price tag.  Trade him and move on.  That means with Sano getting some reps at 3B as well you have some room at DH to play a guy sometimes.  That means Rooker may have some options to play at 1B, DH, or LF from time to time with enough consistency to evaluate him.  I think Marten is the future LFer and could be a really good one defensively and offensively but he will need most of next year.  The problem for Rooker is he has to fight off Larnach, Sano, Marten, Gordon, Celestino, etc.

    But as long as he has an option, with his draft pedigree and flashes of potential, I don't make that decision now.  I keep him on the 40, I work with him on his defense and improving his approach, and hope he can hold down regular at-bats next year to see if we can find out if he has value or not.  We have time, we should take it.

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    It's so early to write a player off after less than 200 plate appearances and encouraging peripherals. Rooker has years of hitting well at the high minors and he has a near league average bat in his rookie season. Since being called up on 7/23, he's at a .221/.323/.428 triple slash good for a wRC+ 108 in 167 plate appearances and he's been a little better still in September with a .238/.319/.452 wRC+ 111 stat line with a 92.7mph exit velocity.

    He's still getting beat up by people on this site over his first 7 games in April where he played sporadically.

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    On 9/25/2021 at 11:06 AM, LA VIkes Fan said:

    It’s very hard to see Rooker as having any long term place on the Twins for all the reasons stated. He also won’t have any trade value until after the 40 man is announced for the Rule 5 draft.  Why would any team trade for him when there’s at least a decent chance that he would be protected? I think the smart move is to leave him on the 40 man roster and then try to trade him maybe as a sweetener in a package deal. If there isn’t a reasonable deal out there, he does have an option left so we can give it one more yearBut that’s probably just delaying the inevitable. All this assumes there’s room for him on the 40 man without having to expose a decent pitching prospect. It’s a choice between him and any kind of pitcher with any kind of upside, Rooker  should go.

    Young player with insufficient reps in major leagues to know his true potential. Twins let him go. LaMonte Wade? Brent Rooker? Denard Span? Ben Revere? Akil Badoo? David Ortiz? Luis Gil? Ynoa? I think there’s at least a 50% chance that Rooker hits 30 HR in a major league season. But we have too many outfielders to give LaMonte Wade a chance. He would have been our 1st or 2nd best outfielder for the season. 

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    48 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    It's so early to write a player off after less than 200 plate appearances and encouraging peripherals. Rooker has years of hitting well at the high minors and he has a near league average bat in his rookie season. Since being called up on 7/23, he's at a .221/.323/.428 triple slash good for a wRC+ 108 in 167 plate appearances and he's been a little better still in September with a .238/.319/.452 wRC+ 111 stat line with a 92.7mph exit velocity.

    He's still getting beat up by people on this site over his first 7 games in April where he played sporadically.

    Or his lack of defense and position other than DH, which is what most people here are saying.....Where does he play next year? With Sano, Garver, Donaldson, Arraeaz, and Kiriloff and maybe Larnach (who is younger and can almost play OF) and maybe Martin or Lewis in the OF? Or Celestino? The issue is simple....they have a ton of bat first (only?) guys. There isn't room for all of them on the roster, esp. if you want Martin and/or Miranda up next year taking up LF and 3B. 

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    9 hours ago, Trov said:

    We saw this with Eddie, who is a much better overall defender and hitter than Rooker has showed, but no team had interest in Eddie. 

    Expected salary through arbitration was the drag on Rosario's trade value.  An Eddie Rosario being paid what Brent Rooker will make would be a much different matter.

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    On 9/27/2021 at 10:58 AM, chpettit19 said:

    I think having an option left is big for him. I'd bet he stays on the 40-man and is with the Twins org next year. I'm not a big fan, and don't think he'll have enough contact to be the Sano type player that appears to be his ceiling. But you don't just get rid of former 1st round picks with his minor league production for nothing. I'd take a Gil for Cave trade in reverse. Or have him as part of a package for someone closer to the majors than a Gil for Cave type flier deal. But I don't like the DFA idea and just lose him for nothing in order to save a prospect on the 40-man who likely doesn't have the minor league track record of Rooker, let alone the flashes at the major league level.

    I don't know the option situations (too lazy to look it up right now) for Refsnyder or Garlick, but if they don't have options left (and I'd guess they don't, but not sure) I'd keep Rooker and his option over them. I'm a believer in Martin and think he'll be up next year at some point and he's a better Refsnyder type utility guy. Garlick plays better defense than Rooker (most of us on these forums probably play better defense than Rooker), but I'd take Rooker's bat and option over Garlick. Garlick is a AAAA player and without an option I'm definitely not risking a prospect to the Rule 5 for him. Offer Refsnyder and Garlick minor league deals and if Rooker falls apart next year DFA him and give one of them his 40-man spot then. 

    I don't think Rooker is a long-term piece as I don't think he'll ever hit enough to be a pure DH and he has negative defensive value, but there aren't enough guys who need 40-man spots who have done what he has in the minors so DFAing him for one of them is saying you're expecting them to improve their performance at the major league level compared to what they did in the minors. Bold bet and I'd rather take 1 more year of Rooker with an option left before making that bet. 

    According to Fangraphs, Garlick has an option, Refsnyder does not.  My guess is that Garlick and Rooker are on the 40 man next year.  2022 is not realistically a year in contention.  Therefore, players like Rooker / Gordon / Jax / Garza will probably get an extended look in 2022.  Jax might be in the pen or a stacked starter.

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    9 minutes ago, Major League Ready said:

    According to Fangraphs, Garlick has an option, Refsnyder does not.  My guess is that Garlick and Rooker are on the 40 man next year.  2022 is not realistically a year in contention.  Therefore, players like Rooker / Gordon / Jax / Garza will probably get an extended look in 2022.  Jaz might be in the pen or a stacked starter.

    Thanks for looking that up! I think you're probably right about things for those players. If they don't really plan to contend in 2022 I would hope they see Garlick as expendable if it comes down to him or a solid rule 5 prospect. I don't blame the FO for the Baddoo situation, but losing another player like that for a 30 year old platoon corner outfielder (short side of the platoon for that matter) in a season you aren't trying to contend would be a bad move in my opinion. I don't see 30 as a magic age where players fall apart, but Garlick seems to be who he is and a RH platoon corner OFer is incredibly replaceable. I assume TD will have someone write up a pretty detailed look at the 40 man situation after the season and there should be some good discussion on here about what choices we'd all make.

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    On 9/27/2021 at 9:22 AM, Sconnie said:

    I'm arguing this like I love Rooker. I don't, and if he were DFA'd or traded, life would move on... but it seems like there's a contingent forgetting that Rooker hasn't hit arbitration yet and still has 2 options. He's cheap and can go to AAA. As a comparison to how expensive he is:

      Rooker Sano
    2022 Salary   570k 9.25M
    2023 Salary        Arb 1 14M
    MiLB Options       2 (after 2021) 0
    2021 fwar -0.1 0.3
    2021 OPS 0.691 0.773
    k% 32.50% 34.40%
    BB% 7.60% 11.20%
    wRC+ 91 109

    Sano is better than Rooker, no doubt, but Rooker could be as good, or better than Sano in 2022 and 2023, for $8.5 million to 13 million less. Floating him on waivers to see if he passes to free up a 40 man spot, when there are 10 other players on the 40 man coming off already guarantees that in 2023 the team is spending $10-14m on DH rather than pitching. 

     

    Excellent point. I didn't realize he had 2 options remaining. Still a tough call on the 40 man, but does increase his value both to the Twins and to other teams after they stash him for a year as a Rule 5 draftee. I still wouldn't keep him on the 40 man over a youngish pitcher but I would keep him over a 30+ year old reliever with no clear path to the 26 man roster like Kyle Barraclaugh, Nick Vincent and Luke Farrell. His lack of defensive ability really limits his utility - he's got to be a .850 plus OPS guy to really be usable on a contending team. Still, it wouldn't kill me to have him as the 39th or 40th man so we can give him one more try. 

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    8 hours ago, chpettit19 said:

    Thanks for looking that up! I think you're probably right about things for those players. If they don't really plan to contend in 2022 I would hope they see Garlick as expendable if it comes down to him or a solid rule 5 prospect. 

    Yeah like Celestino, Larnach and Rooker that will really bolster the line-up; good grief.

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    1 hour ago, RpR said:

    Yeah like Celestino, Larnach and Rooker that will really bolster the line-up; good grief.

    Don't understand this response. Are you suggesting Garlick is drastically better than those guys? Are you suggesting any of them are Rule 5 eligible players? Are you suggesting cutting guys in their early to mid 20s for a 30 year old career minor leaguer/journey man waiver pick up who can't hit righties and only plays corner outfield, and doesn't play the corners all that well? Not sure what you're getting at.

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