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  • Doubleheader Recap: Tigers Sweep, Twins Sink To 3rd Place


    Thiéres Rabelo

    The Twins managed to collect just eight total hits en route to suffering a doubleheader sweep at the hands of the Tigers Saturday in Detroit. The losses dropped the Twins to third place in the AL Central.

    Image courtesy of © Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Game 1: DET 8, MIN 2

    Box Score

    Dobnak: 4.1 IP, 12 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 1 K

    Home Runs: Cruz (12)

    Bottom 3 WPA: Dobnak -.261, Avila -.087, Cruz -.061

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs):

    ccs-8747-0-35013500-1598739648.png

    Game 2: DET 4, MIN 2

    Box Score

    Home Runs: Cruz (13)

    Bottom 3 WPA: Duffey -.271, May -.193, Sanó -.160

    Win Probability Chart:

    ccs-8747-0-45818100-1598739688.png

    Facing lefties this year has been one of the toughest tasks for this Twins offense. Coming into this series, Minnesota had the 10th worst OPS (.686) and wRC+ (89) against southpaws as a team. The Tigers had two lefties lined up to start both games and they didn’t have much trouble in dominating the Twins lineup for the day.

    Offense was bad...

    For Game 1 Rocco Baldelli made some experiments with the lineup, promoting two big changes. Max Kepler, who batted either first or second in 24 of his 30 previous games this season, started this game batting eighth, only for the second time this year. The other one was Miguel Sanó batting second for the very first time this season. Luis Arráez and Jake Cave sat this one out, as Minnesota tried to overcome their struggles against left handers.

    The strategies didn’t work very well. Minnesota’s offense was absolutely dominated by Tigers starter Matthew Boyd, who allowed only one hit through the first four innings, a Polanco leadoff single in the first. Even the only Twins run he allowed on that stretch came after first baseman Jeimer Candelario allowed Kepler to go to second on an error and Polanco scored him on a sac-fly.

    The Twins offense simply couldn’t figure Boyd out this afternoon. Not only hitting, but they couldn’t draw a single walk against him either. Minnesota’s other run came on a Nelson Cruz solo home run in the sixth.

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1299783199132979207

    ...and pitching was worse

    But that wasn’t even the worst performance from Minnesota in the game. Randy Dobnak had the worst start of his young career, giving up six earned runs on 12 hits. It was brutal and a bit surprising, given his great start to the game, throwing a six-pitch first. His pitch to contact approach failed him today, as 11 of the 12 hits he allowed were hard hits. Curiously enough, only three of those resulted in extra bases.

    To go with such bad pitching performance, the Twins fielding also had a day to forget. From a bizarre throw to first from Polanco in the second inning to retire Candelario (a runner who would later score), to Eddie Rosario and Mak Kepler failing to glove a couple of hard hit balls that became RBI doubles, the defense was awful. Candelario’s single, by the way, had a .050 xBA and came off the bat at only 82.7 mph.

    Lewis Thorpe wasn’t much of an improvement when he took over for Dobnak in the fifth, with the bases loaded.He gave up a total of four hits, including a two-run double in the sixth to Miguel Cabrera. After a promising start to the season, he finished a rough month of August with an 8.49 ERA, the worst month of his young career.

    Bullpen studs struggle

    Things didn’t look much better in the second game. Detroit brought in another lefty in rookie Tarik Skubal, who held the Twins to only three hits in the first four innings. However, Minnesota was able to capitalize this time, starting with a sac fly from Marwin González in the second inning to take the 1-0 lead.

    The bullpen game had been working really well for the Twins this year. Well, not today. Matt Wisler started the game in great fashion, ending his outing one out shy of delivering two scoreless innings. But then the unthinkable took place. Two of the team’s best and most reliable arms of the year, Trevor May and Tyler Duffey, had terrible outings. Detroit took the lead against May in the third with a one-out, two-run homer from Candelario. Tyler Clippard came in to finish the inning and pitch a scoreless fourth. With him on the mound, Minnesota tied it up with Cruz’s second home run of the day, his 13th on the year.

    https://twitter.com/Twins/status/1299819218167312384

    Duffey took the mound in the fifth, and after giving up a walk, Miguel Cabrera made him pay, homering to right for his third hit of the day to put Detroit ahead, 4-2. Some really good defense from the Tigers helped them to hold on to win. Cruz and Rosario both reached to open the final inning, but Sanó grounded into a double play.

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

    ccs-8747-0-22316500-1598739658_thumb.png

    Postgame Pint

    Seth Stohs is joined by Matthew Trueblood, Nate Palmer and Twins Daily's live virtual audience to discuss the Minnesota Twins' bats going silent versus the Tigers.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75L-OoGW78c&feature=youtu.be

    Download The Postgame Pint Podcast

    You can also listen to the Postgame Pint and never miss another one. Just head over to our iTunes page and subscribe. Every morning you'll have a new episode waiting for you. Or listen wherever you download your favorite podcasts.

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    I'll bet we could Kikuchi from the Mariners. Sure his ERA is not very good but he's started showing flashes of his days in Japan. I think he's finally healthy too. (He can bring it at 98 for those of you who are wondering.)

    How confident are you in Kikuchi going forward? He's set to make $17 mil next year, plus a $13 mil player option for 2022.

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    How confident are you in Kikuchi going forward? He's set to make $17 mil next year, plus a $13 mil player option for 2022.

    I'm thinking of forward actually. When pitchers are dinged up, they don't pitch like they are able to. I've seen him pitch in Japan and when he's comfortable, he can completely dominate (very similar to Darvish, who is now finally healthy and mowing everyone down, but Kikuchi doesn't have his own museum yet, so maybe we should hold off). I also like Yamaguchi, but I doubt the Blue Jays are ready to jettison him. He's starting to pitch the way I imagined he would. (Yamaguchi is designated as long-relief, which is weird because in Japan, he had been converted into a starter and now he's back to relief, but he is a horse. I watched one game where he threw over 140 pitches and another where he threw over 130. He throws everything but the kitchen sink to hitters and spots his fastball now and then. Eventually, he'll probably end up as a starter, I would guess.) I guess I'm always in the tank for Japanese players.

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    I'm thinking of forward actually. When pitchers are dinged up, they don't pitch like they are able to. I've seen him pitch in Japan and when he's comfortable, he can completely dominate (very similar to Darvish, who is now finally healthy and mowing everyone down, but Kikuchi doesn't have his own museum yet, so maybe we should hold off).

    But by the time they get a museum, it is usually too late to acquire them affordably! :)

     

    I haven’t seen any trade chatter about Kikuchi, but maybe it’s just assumed that every Mariners player is available all the time. On the other hand, the Mariners payroll is already pretty low, so they may not feel as much pressure to dump salary anymore.

     

    Here is a Rays blogger who was targeting him, at least, with some info on his pitch usage and results in 2019-2020:

     

    https://www.draysbay.com/2020/8/28/21404691/rays-pitcher-trade-targets-seattle-arizona-cincinnati-detroit

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    But by the time they get a museum, it is usually too late to acquire them affordably! :)

    I haven’t seen any trade chatter about Kikuchi, but maybe it’s just assumed that every Mariners player is available all the time. On the other hand, the Mariners payroll is already pretty low, so they may not feel as much pressure to dump salary anymore.

    Here is a Rays blogger who was targeting him, at least, with some info on his pitch usage and results in 2019-2020:

    https://www.draysbay.com/2020/8/28/21404691/rays-pitcher-trade-targets-seattle-arizona-cincinnati-detroit

     

     

    Thanks!

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