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  • Game Score: Cleveland 3, Twins 1


    Thiéres Rabelo

    The Twins got a quality start from Bailey Ober, plus three scoreless frames from their improved bullpen. But the offense couldn’t capitalize their many chances with men in scoring position and Minnesota failed to rally against Cleveland.

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Bailey Ober: 6.0 IP, 5 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 3 K (75.3% strikes)
    Home Runs: none
    Bottom 3 WPA: Refsnyder -.222, Donaldson -.182, Sanó -.166
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
    584615021_chart(1).png.bbec248bb434b16c030b1bf915017d80.png

    The first half of this game saw a lot of action from both offenses, but, ultimately, the two young starters were able to put out the fires they encountered. Bailey Ober had the help of some very good defense behind him to conclude the first inning. That included a beautiful sliding stop from Andrelton Simmons at short and a bold diving catch from Max Kepler, that prevented José Ramírez from scoring from second.

    The Twins posed a threat of their own during the second inning, as they loaded the bases with no outs against Cleveland’s rookie Eli Morgan. After Miguel Sanó struck out swinging, Rob Refsnyder couldn’t bring his bat back after starting a swing and ended up hitting a weak grounder right into the glove of Morgan, who started an inning-ending double play.

    Then Morgan decided he was done. After that loaded bases jam in the second, he delivered three scoreless frames on 33 pitches, utterly dominating Minnesota’s bats. After he loaded the bases, he retired 11 of the next 12 Twins batters. To make matters worse for Minnesota, he also got some run support. Ober had pitched four solid shutout innings, but gave up a leadoff double to Yu Chang in the fifth, followed by a long two-run home run from Daniel Johnson.

    Ober found himself in trouble again in the sixth. Despite getting ahead on the count, he lost Amed Rosario for a leadoff single. Then, a fielding error from Sanó allowed Rosario to reach third and Ramírez to reach first on a fielder’s choice. Wilson Ramos stepped up to the plate and absolutely clobbered the second pitch he saw. It looked like a home run. That ball left his bat at 107 MPH and it had a 95% chance of becoming a hit (per Statcast), a three-run jack, maybe putting this game out of reach. But Refsnyder made a fantastic catch near the wall and maybe an even more fantastic throw to first, to double up Ramírez. Rosario scored from third to make it 3-0 Cleveland, but that play gave that inning a completely different ending.

    That play not only kept the game within reach but also helped Ober to complete his very first Major League quality start. On only 69 pitches (52 strikes), the rookie completed six innings for the first time in the season, allowing three runs, one of them unearned. Yet another sign that he might earn a permanent rotation spot in 2022.

    Both starters departed the game after the sixth. Coming into this game, Minnesota’s bullpen had the 10th best August ERA in baseball, with 3.22. Ralph Garza Jr. and Nick Vincent both pitched quick, scoreless innings to keep Minnesota’s hopes alive. But they needed their offense to step up. That almost happened in the bottom of the eighth, when Nick Gordon, Kepler and Brent Rooker loaded the bases with no outs, drawing three consecutive walks off Bryan Shaw. Sadly, all they got out of it was a forceout to score only one run. By that point, the Twins were 0-for-9 with runners in scoring position.

    Vincent came through and kept Cleveland scoreless again, in the ninth. Down to their last chance in the bottom of the inning, the offense once again couldn’t provide the needed runs for the comeback. Cleveland reliever Emmanuel Clase had no trouble to pitch a 1-2-3 inning to close out the game. Cleveland evens the series at one game apiece and both teams play a rubber game tomorrow, at 12:10 CT.

    Postgame Interview

    Bullpen Usage Spreadsheet

      FRI SAT SUN MON TUE TOT
    Barnes 0 0 73 0 0 73
    Vincent 37 0 0 0 28 65
    Gant 41 0 0 17 0 58
    García 27 0 21 0 0 48
    Thielbar 0 0 15 19 0 34
    Garza Jr. 0 16 0 0 13 29
    Duffey 0 0 27 0 0 27
    Colomé 0 0 13 10 0 23
    Minaya 0 0 0 19 0 19
    Coulombe 0 10 0 0 0 10

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    Bases loaded, nobody out, and the Twins go groundout-strikeout-groundout to suffocate the rally. Seen that movie one too many times this year.

    Great start for Ober. Cleveland's offense isn't exactly Murderer's Row, but they are an MLB team with Jose Ramirez batting 3rd. Nice work kid. Let's keep the theme going and win the 4th straight series today before going to dreaded NYC.

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    Solid start by Ober.  It's great to see him making the adjustments to hitters and being a solid contributor.

    Also going to tip my cap to Cleveland's pitcher Morgan... give credit where credit is due, he pitched a great game.  At the end of the day, I love to see good pitching and the game last night had it.

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    A couple of interesting tidbits from last night’s broadcast: 

    1. Entering the game the Twins have committed 85 errors - most in the majors and responsible for giving up the third most unearned runs. Simmons, our best fielder, is having his worst defender year and Sano, despite being benched at 1B for Kiriloff for much of the year. has committed more errors than our SSs combined.

    2. Sano leads the team in bases loaded at bats with 18. He has two hits (a single and a grand slam) and NINE k’s. 

    3. With RISP, Donaldson is hitting .260 with 0 homers and 25 RBIs. 

    Just a reminder - Donaldson, Sano and Sano will make over $44MM this season. 

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    8 minutes ago, Nashvilletwin said:

    A couple of interesting tidbits from last night’s broadcast: 

    1. Entering the game the Twins have committed 85 errors - most in the majors and responsible for giving up the third most unearned runs. Simmons, our best fielder, is having his worst defender year and Sano, despite being benched at 1B for Kiriloff for much of the year. has committed more errors than our SSs combined.

    2. Sano leads the team in bases loaded at bats with 18. He has two hits (a single and a grand slam) and NINE k’s. 

    3. With RISP, Donaldson is hitting .260 with 0 homers and 25 RBIs. 

    Just a reminder - Donaldson, Sano and Sano will make over $44MM this season. 

    260 .... That is way over the MLB average this year. Also higher than his average in general.... So he's better with men on base then not. 

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    11 minutes ago, Nashvilletwin said:

    A couple of interesting tidbits from last night’s broadcast: 

    1. Entering the game the Twins have committed 85 errors - most in the majors and responsible for giving up the third most unearned runs. Simmons, our best fielder, is having his worst defender year and Sano, despite being benched at 1B for Kiriloff for much of the year. has committed more errors than our SSs combined.

    Jim Morrison wrote something about how people are strange.  There are many who will blue in the face argue that errors don't matter, which I think proves his point.

    If runs matter, unearned runs matter, and unearned runs only happen because of errors.  An error is the single worst event a fielder can do.  Anecdotally, at least with the Twins over the past ten years or so, it seems like unearned runs are more painful and conducive to losses than earned runs.

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    38 minutes ago, Mike Sixel said:

    260 .... That is way over the MLB average this year. Also higher than his average in general.... So he's better with men on base then not. 

    Of course it should be higher. RISP means better pitches. Arraez’s is 16 points higher (.333 vs. .317). Still zero dingers and 25 ribbies for $23MM?  That’s a fail. With two years left now. The signing didn’t work out. Its ok - it happens. I liked it when it was announced. It was a good bold move by the FO and ownership. But the FO should consider it now a sunk cost and move on in the off-season. Donaldson is not a part of the future and should not impede the progress of any player who could be. 

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    4 hours ago, bighat said:

    Bases loaded, nobody out, and the Twins go groundout-strikeout-groundout to suffocate the rally. Seen that movie one too many times this year.

    Great start for Ober. Cleveland's offense isn't exactly Murderer's Row, but they are an MLB team with Jose Ramirez batting 3rd. Nice work kid. Let's keep the theme going and win the 4th straight series today before going to dreaded NYC.

    No HRs = no runs for this team. Hopefully their homer happy approach is worked on over the off season. 

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    56 minutes ago, Dodecahedron said:

    Jim Morrison wrote something about how people are strange.  There are many who will blue in the face argue that errors don't matter, which I think proves his point.

    If runs matter, unearned runs matter, and unearned runs only happen because of errors.  An error is the single worst event a fielder can do.  Anecdotally, at least with the Twins over the past ten years or so, it seems like unearned runs are more painful and conducive to losses than earned runs.

    Can you name anyone that has said errors don't matter? What people say is that they are not sufficient to gauge defense. Those are two very different things. 

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    I still cannot understand why Kepler over Arraez as the the leadoff hitter. Arraez has an outside chance at the batting title, but (as was so astutely pointed out by others on TD) he may not get enough PAs. That's just one reason. He also has the highest OBP on the team and he doesn't strike out much (unlike Kepler).

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    Everything matters in baseball because things happen in the moment. If you are 0-5 with 4 k's and then hit a walk-off HR in your final AB..you're the hero. If you don't make many errors, and then you boot a ball in the 9th to cost your team the game....well thats not good even tho the stats aren't going to magnify it. Some errors are insignificant to the outcome of a game. Some RBI don't contribute very much to the outcome of a blowout win or loss. Baseball is played everyday. All kinds of neat stuff happens. You lose 10-0 today and win 2-1 tomorrow. Thats why I love the game and don't get too bogged down in all the stats.

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    2 hours ago, Nashvilletwin said:

    Of course it should be higher. RISP means better pitches...

    Wait.. what? You think a pitcher is more likely to give a batter something to hit with RISP? Aside from that making no practical sense because giving batters good pitches to hit would likely score runs. The absolute, hands down, number one scenario a batter will see nothing to hit is RISP (runner on 2nd, nobody on first with 0-1 outs).

    If there is a time when a pitcher is looking to induce the weakest contact possible or get a strike out while throwing absolutely nothing in meat of the zone, it's with RISP. I mean... pitchers will even walk in runs with the bases loaded rather than give a good pitch to hit.

     

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    38 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

     

    Wait.. what? You think a pitcher is more likely to give a batter something to hit with RISP? Aside from that making no practical sense because giving batters good pitches to hit would likely score runs. The absolute, hands down, number one scenario a batter will see nothing to hit is RISP (runner on 2nd, nobody on first with 0-1 outs).

    If there is a time when a pitcher is looking to induce the weakest contact possible or get a strike out while throwing absolutely nothing in meat of the zone, it's with RISP. I mean... pitchers will even walk in runs with the bases loaded rather than give a good pitch to hit.

     

    Can’t walk batters with ducks on the pond. 

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