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While obtaining starting pitching is priority number one, spending big money on free-agent pitching is easier said than done. Plenty of other teams will be in on the top starters and even though the Twins have built a good team, the prospect of playing and living in Minnesota isn’t always that enticing. Of course, the Minnesota will have to find a way to fill the rotation, but with catcher Jason Castro becoming a free-agent, back-up catcher is one spot where the Twins could spend and greatly improve the ball club.
Mitch Garver emerged as one of, if not the best hitting catcher in baseball, and spending big on another catcher may seem unnecessary or even wasteful, but it is a way to add value to the current club. Garver worked hard to improve his defense and pitch framing but is unlikely to ever be better than average behind the dish and seemed to thrive with plenty of rest, as Manager Rocco Baldelli has prioritized for his catchers.
With that said, the soon-to-be 31-year-old Milwaukee Brewers catcher Yasmani Grandal is likely to become a free-agent this offseason. He has a mutual option for 2020 with the Brewers but seems all but certain to test the market and look for a multi-year contract. Grandal won’t come cheap and is on the wrong side of 30, but signing Grandal could immediately improve Minnesota’s offense, defense, and pitching.
Grandal not only is a great hitting catcher (121 wRC+ in 2019, 119 wRC+ career), but he also ranks as one of the top defensive catchers in the League. FanGraphs has only J.T. Realmuto and Austin Hedges ranked ahead of Grandal defensively and he ranks second in pitch framing. Adding a great pitch framer would further enhance whatever group of starters the Twins end up with.
Grandal will not come cheap. He earned $18 million in 2019, in what would essentially be a one-year deal if he declines his option as is expected. Since 2015 his fWAR has consistently been very good, ranging from a low of 4.1 to a high of 5.8, with a 5.2 fWAR in 2019. But again, now is as good a time to spend as ever for the Twins and they should have at least 70 million to spend this offseason. Signing Grandal should not inhibit Minnesota from signing (and trading for) some starters as well.
If the Twins do sign Grandal, they would need to figure out how to split time with Garver. Since Grandal is the superior backstop, it would make more sense for him to get the majority of starts behind the plate. However, as mentioned, the Twins seem to prefer well-rested catchers so something close to a 60-40 split in favor of Grandal might work best.
Naturally the Twins will want both Garver's and Grandal’s potent bats in the lineup more often than not and with Nelson Cruz taking the lion’s share of DH duty, first base is the best option. Grandal played first in 20 games (16 starts) in 2019 and there has been much talk of getting Garver more reps at first, so that should be feasible. It would probably mean letting C.J. Cron go, and splitting first between Garver, Grandal, and possibly Miguel Sano and Marwin Gonzalez. The two catchers could also see some time at DH as Cruz will need some rest days and is likely to miss some time due to injury.
While adding starting pitching is a must, there are other ways to improve the team, and adding an additional piece that is likely to improve both the offense and pitching may prove to be prudent. Plus, there has never been a better time to spend.
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