Is Max Kepler One of Baseball’s Most Valuable Trade Assets?

the most valuable trade asset would be if another team views him as such and he can be a solution.  Yankees who need OF help come to mind.  So yes for them and let's see if there is anything we value for in return from the Yanks

In a word-No. 

If he would/could hit the ball to the left side during the shifts, he'd raise his batting average and eventually eliminate many of the shifts against him, thus allowing more hits to the right side of the field evetually. 

Even though he's had only one truly good year, I have thought that there would be interest in buyers precisely because of his team-friendly contract.  Also given the plethora of OFs the Twins have, this would not surprise me at all.  

I guess I am a little surprised and maybe don't understand how FO's look at players.  Max has trouble with two things and if he ever conquers them he would probably be an All-Star caliber player.  He needs to hit lefties better as it is getting to a point where platooning him might make the most sense.  He hits everything pull side directly into the shift so his BABIP will always be low.  If he fixes one or both of those them yes Max would be even higher on that list. As things stand he is who he is.  If you are OK with his current level of production then yes he has great value.  

Wouldn't mind it if he is traded and Bux is locked up long-term

He may be one of their best but I don’t think he is a great trade asset. He also might be a sell low right now.

If teams need to fill a 2021 hole they are really better off getting a rental that is likely to put up better numbers over two months. That rental won’t have the same overall trade value but probably fits their need better. The Yankees with their injuries come to mind. They might be better off finding a short term replacement and then signing a better long term fix this winter in free agency,

The better fit might be a smaller market team where his reasonable contract and control would suit them long term. That also describes the Twins though. If someone will give them a good starting pitching prospect or perhaps shortstop prospect they should do the deal. That doesn’t seem likely. 

Fangraphs is currently running their annual trade value series. They ranked Kepler at 45. I guess that could meet someone’s definition of “one of the most valuable” trade candidates. I would disagree with that person, but I wouldn’t think they’re crazy. 

He also has a lot of value as part of future Twins teams.  And I question the common belief that the Twins have an abundance of corner outfielders.  We have Larnach and Kirilloff with the Twins.  Both are going to be great hitters, however, Kirilloff is better suited to first base.  Who after this pair is both very good and in the high minors?  Really no one.  Maybe Wallner will make it to the Twins, but he is a couple years away.  So I don't see the Twins having excess talent and no one anywhere near as good as Max defensively.

Like others, if someone blows you away with an offer you gotta consider it.  But I prefer to believe that with good coaching Max can solve one or both of his problems and become a very good hitter. 

18 minutes ago, roger said:

He also has a lot of value as part of future Twins teams.  And I question the common belief that the Twins have an abundance of corner outfielders.  We have Larnach and Kirilloff with the Twins.  Both are going to be great hitters, however, Kirilloff is better suited to first base.  Who after this pair is both very good and in the high minors?  Really no one.  Maybe Wallner will make it to the Twins, but he is a couple years away.  So I don't see the Twins having excess talent and no one anywhere near as good as Max defensively.

Like others, if someone blows you away with an offer you gotta consider it.  But I prefer to believe that with good coaching Max can solve one or both of his problems and become a very good hitter. 

I concur.  Kirilloff is the 1B of the future.  Sano can just try to see if he can make contact to be the DH next year.

If Larnach looked a little more comfortable at the plate, I wouldn’t be against a Kepler trade.  But even then, Larnach is not a great defensive fielder, Buxton isn’t durable and could be traded or play out his last year, Kirilloff is better at 1B, Arraez is a defensive liability (at least in last night’s game).   I think the Twins should hold onto Kepler, who at least provides above average to excellent defense, and has decent at-bats. .  

I have heard this before. I think the Giants are one of those teams who've been known to covet Kepler for a while to some degree. I suppose a lot depends on the field you play on, and how right-handed you are. We've got a mess on our hands. Unless we could acquire some much needed pitching help, dealing Max would be a mistake in my opinion. We are the team that needs affordable quality. I think Max looks like affordable quality for 3 more years to come. Now if we can surround him with enough quality for him to be our 4th outfielder, then we've built a better team. 

If his batting average struggles can be improved by the shift elimination rule change then hang onto him and re-evaluate after

I would also like to know the future of the "two position players on each side of second base" question.  Max's value increases substantially if they cannot shift on him, as he's been unwilling or unable to go to the opposite field.  Really hard to assess his value without knowing what the rules are going to be for the next several years.

4 hours ago, roger said:

He also has a lot of value as part of future Twins teams.  And I question the common belief that the Twins have an abundance of corner outfielders.  We have Larnach and Kirilloff with the Twins.  Both are going to be great hitters, however, Kirilloff is better suited to first base.  Who after this pair is both very good and in the high minors?  Really no one.  Maybe Wallner will make it to the Twins, but he is a couple years away.  So I don't see the Twins having excess talent and no one anywhere near as good as Max defensively.

Like others, if someone blows you away with an offer you gotta consider it.  But I prefer to believe that with good coaching Max can solve one or both of his problems and become a very good hitter. 

Yes! I too think he is should be a part of good future Twins teams. He was snubbed of an all-star selection in '19 and I think his hamstring is continuing to bother him. Yes, would love to see him hit the other way & lefties better. I'm more concerned with Larnach's swing though. It doesn't seem quick enough especially with 2 strikes.

1 hour ago, South Dakota Tom said:

I would also like to know the future of the "two position players on each side of second base" question.  Max's value increases substantially if they cannot shift on him, as he's been unwilling or unable to go to the opposite field.  Really hard to assess his value without knowing what the rules are going to be for the next several years.

That is a great point.

9 hours ago, roger said:

He also has a lot of value as part of future Twins teams.  And I question the common belief that the Twins have an abundance of corner outfielders.  We have Larnach and Kirilloff with the Twins.  Both are going to be great hitters, however, Kirilloff is better suited to first base.  Who after this pair is both very good and in the high minors?  Really no one.  Maybe Wallner will make it to the Twins, but he is a couple years away.  So I don't see the Twins having excess talent and no one anywhere near as good as Max defensively.

Like others, if someone blows you away with an offer you gotta consider it.  But I prefer to believe that with good coaching Max can solve one or both of his problems and become a very good hitter. 

Bingo!

A change in philosophy, team wide or personal, along with, PERHAPS, a change in coaching, might still see some improvement from Max to unlock his talent/potential.

I DO NOT want to label Kirilloff as a 1B only at this point as I think he's fine as a corner OF as well. Even without raising his game to another level, a RH hitting OF of decent quality allows Kepler to semi-platoon and help cover CF as well. (I dismiss defensive metrics for this season due to his hamstring issue). Think Refsnyder being real or a RH version of Cave to be added. (No snark needed, I'm making an example). 

The Twins have graduated Kirilloff and Larnach with real promise and potential shown. Celistino has been promoted way early, which we all recognize, but has nice potential in CF with a little more time, or as a versatile 4th OF. But as it stands today, the majority of OF talent in the minors is mostly at A ball.

A lot of teams in contention could get real help from Kepler. And you have to listen if they call. But he is young enough, talented enough, proven enough, and cost controlled to be a viable, quality part of the Twins for the next few years. The offer to move him would have to be pretty damn good.

Is this seriously even a topic right now??? Quick easy answer is not even close 

Can we please stop bringing up 2019 and the juiced ball year… other than that year alone he’s been border line serviceable 

Baseball trade Values has Kepler at 30.4 for his value.  You could get a LOT back if it was valued at 30.4.  If you acquired Weathers and Clevinger from the Padres it still wouldn't be 304.  If you got the Yankees (who DESPERATELY need outfielders and LH hitters right now) you could get Devi Garcia and and one of their minor league SS's.  I could go on with more examples, but if you accept that baseball trade Values as a decent gauge of what you could get, then Max at 30.4 could get us a LOT !!   

20 hours ago, RedBull34 said:

I concur.  Kirilloff is the 1B of the future.  Sano can just try to see if he can make contact to be the DH next year.

I am much happier when Kiri is on 1st vs Sano. Is it rational? Maybe not.

Max couldn't hit LH pitchers at all, we feared he was destined to be a career mediocrity as a platoon player, then he seemed to figure it out more than a little bit.  He flourished for a season, we signed him to a five year extension that is easy, and since then he's struggled for various reasons.  

He is athletic, he's a legitimate backup to Buxton in CF when the need inevitably arises, and if healthy he can potentially blossom as the player we hoped for when the extension was accomplished.  All of the foregoing does or does not happen under a contract that is easy to handle.

I say do NOT trade Kepler, I say stay the course and look for the upside that made for the five year deal in the first place.  There's nothing about the young talent we have that suggests Kepler is expendable.  He's got more going on than the young fellas by reason of his short career to date, and I think he's an important part of the plan going forward.

I was glad to see it reported that the Twins asking price for Kepler is exorbitant. It should be for any of the assets they have under control beyond this season. Seemingly fair deals don’t make this franchise better. They need someone to come in and offer some level of overpay for Kepler. If there is a team that is going for it this year with a pressing need they might get that overpay.