WARNE: The Twins Offense is too Good to Bunt -- Seriously.
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Read this story in full on Zone Coverage here.
It’s a play as old as the game itself, and maybe that’s because the DH didn’t always exist. It’s the bunt, a time-honored tradition that is being phased out of the game more and more every year.
Fangraphs has sacrifice bunt totals dating back to 1895, and according to their database, the 925 sacrifice bunts laid down by teams in 2017 was the second-lowest figure in MLB history. Only the 1900 season (806 bunts) featured fewer, and there were only eight teams back then.
So yeah, the bunt is dying a slow death.
At a glance, the Twins were in the middle of the pack as far as bunts were concerned, checking in 17th among 30 MLB teams with 26 sacrifices in 2017. That’s a deceptive number, though; flip the dial to only AL teams, and only two teams -- the White Sox and Rangers -- bunted more often than the Twins.
That’s more problematic. Subtracting NL teams -- yay, pitchers hitting! -- from that figure shows how much more the Twins were devoted to bunting than their junior circuit contemporaries.
To frame up how different the game is bunts-wise, consider this:
Twins bunts as a percentage of MLB on the whole: 2.8 percent (one team = 3.3 percent of MLB)
Twins bunts as a percentage of AL on the whole: 9.6 percent (one team = 6.7 percent of AL)
As you can see, bunting is severely shifted toward the NL, and the Twins are well above the average mark of their AL contemporaries.
The White Sox offense was absolutely dreadful in 2017, scoring 109 fewer runs than the Twins while the team lost more games than every team in the AL but the Detroit Tigers. The Rangers were in the thick of the race for much of the season despite Adrian Beltre missing time due to injury and a patchwork rotation, and scored just 16 fewer runs than the Twins while winning 78 games to Minnesota’s 85.
So maybe everything said in this space will also apply to the Rangers -- we’ll see.
Here’s one thing that stands out, and it is glaring: no team bunted more than the Twins did with their No. 3 hitters. In fact, according to Baseball Reference, the Twins bunted five times with their third hitter. The rest of the league combined bunted six times with their No. 3 guy -- and no team did so more than once.
And according to Parker Hageman of Twins Daily, none of those bunts led to runs. Blech.
So what’s the big deal? It’s just giving up an out to move up a base. Doesn’t it make it more likely the team scores a run? Doesn’t it lead to more scoring? Aren’t those basically asking the same question?
- Danchat, Oldgoat_MN and nytwinsfan
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