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A Change Coming In The Twins Dugout?


Ted Schwerzler

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Now into the final third of the 2017 Major League Baseball season, the Minnesota Twins have somewhat mapped out their destiny. Selling off short term assets, they will be positioning themselves to make a playoff run in 2018. In the first year under Derek Falvey and Thad Levine, the club was in somewhat of a feeling out period. Over the offseason, the biggest change could come in who heads up the dugout.

 

Paul Molitor was given a one-year grace period by owner Jim Pohlad. Despite mixed results his first two seasons, Molitor was saved as Pohlad mandated that whoever take over for Terry Ryan, keep the current manager in place. Now in the last of a three-year deal, Molitor has nothing to fall back on, and management could go a different direction.

 

When hired, Molitor was up against a group that included names such as Doug Mientkiewicz and Torey Lovullo. The other names in consideration were significantly younger than he was, and had a bit more going for them in terms of managerial experience. Molitor was a guy I backed, and thought made sense, but as we've seen, it's been a bumpy road. It's hard to go backwards and consider what could've been at this point, but the past three years lay a blueprint for Minnesota to avoid.

 

Chief among the issues that plague Molitor are in game decision making, and his relatability to younger players, which is currently the lifeblood of the Twins future. Regarding in game decisions, Minnesota's skipper has done everything from pinch running in odd situations, to making head scratching bullpen moves. In relief, Molitor has latched onto a few guys each year, and ridden them into the ground. For 2017, that name has definitely been Taylor Rogers. Despite running an overflowing bullpen for the bulk of 2017, the same select arms have been used.

 

There's been select games that one could point to in illustrating bad in game managing or bullpen usage, and there's also been a concerning trend of the same mistakes being made. For Molitor, it seems to boil down to a lack of experience, or an inability to best position the Twins for success. Being paired with help like Jeff Pickler this year, it's probably not something that has gone unnoticed by the men in charge.

 

Outside of the in game decision making, there's been a confusing inability to develop youth. While not in the clubhouse or involved in any conversations, it appears from the outside that Molitor struggles with relating to the backbone of Minnesota's core. Whether it be Jorge Polanco, Miguel Sano, Byron Buxton, or some other name, Molitor has dropped the ball at times over the past three seasons. Young players have either gone underutilized or put in odd situations at times, and knowing they represent the organization's future, that's more than a little concerning.

 

In reality, managers in baseball come in somewhere along the middle of the spectrum as far as coaches go. They maybe don't make as many impactful decisions as coaches of other sports do, but the few opportunities they get each night, can have a big influence. Employing an average or mediocre manager may not matter in the standings, but an above average or good choice can absolutely steal you a game or two. Conversely, someone below average as I would argue Molitor has been, can cost a few games over the course of a season. That hasn't mattered in recent memory for Minnesota, but a team with playoff aspirations as soon as next year should want more.

 

As things stand right now, I'm not sure where Derek Falvey and Thad Levine may turn. I do believe they'll go elsewhere to manage the 2018 Twins, and I don't think they can be faulted for that practice. Molitor is finishing out his contract, and I can't see a scenario in which Minnesota or another organization is lined up to give him more run. Paul Molitor the player was a great one, but as a manager, the Twins will need something more a year from now.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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I would say that Tom Kelly added 3-4 wins to the total every year with his moves.  

 

And Kelly developed players.  Larkin, Harper, Mack, Knoblauch, Lawton, Hunter, Jones, Koskie, Mientkiewicz.  All prospered and improved their games at the MLB level.  That's been missing since he left.  Is there really anyone you can point to since Kelly retired and say "this guy was so-so when he got here, but he sure did develop into a nice player."?  Mauer, Morneau and Cuddyer came in with uber talent.  Frankly, none of them (Morneau maybe) overacheived or improved at the MLB level..  Mauer is essentially the same hitter now as the day he came up.  AJ Pierzynski maybe.  

 

The pitching track record is less successful, but IMO a large part of that was the organizational philosophy of drafting pitch to contact types.  Big strikeout guys cost more, after all.

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At the risk of repeating myself, despite decades in the game Molitor seems to have no "feel" for either a game, or the part of the season the team is in. His decisions are jerky jerky, someone said panicky. I think he has managed with an eye on his job status, far more than on the teams development. A bad manager will drag a good team down far further than a good mangager will lift one up. Putting Buxton in the 3 hole to start the season should have alone been cause for immediate termination.

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In September just like minor league players getting a look see,  we often see minor league managers get added to the coaching staff as a way of saying job well done. I wonder if this year we might get a preview of things to come and allow certain minor league managers to get reacquainted with the major league roster?

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Couple things here:

 

Promotions before September need to happen. With September baseball being watered down, it's silly to only give guys a look then. Let them compete when games still matter to teams.

 

We'll never know how much Falvine is interjecting right now, but my thought would be that they'd allowed Molitor to run the ship and sink or swim. He's sank, and they'll have the ammunition to say thanks and bye.

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Huge fan of Paul Molitor the player.  Not so of Molitor the manager.  I would kind of like to see either Jake Mauer or Doug M.  Mauer seems to have done a great job wherever he has been. The Lookouts are currently playing at a .750 pace in the second half after posting a .600 line in the first half.  Both have worked with and seem to know and get along with the young core of players.

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I was one of those who was very disappointed to hear the Twins were going to keep Molitor this year. Pohlad set this team's development back a year by giving Molitor a free pass with the new ownership, it was an extremely bush-league move. The guy's got the personality of a box of Triscuits. He couldn't even figure out how the double-switch works and 'dun goofed up a ballgame in Los Angeles for a half an hour while the umps explained it to him. Joke city. Alas, Molitor doesn't make up for lack of management talent with being a "good clubhouse guy" either. He's a wet blanket who was given a favor by the hometown team, and it's frankly an embarrassment. Much like fellow Minnesotan Glen Perkins, Molitor's time has passed and the time to move on from him was last year. The relentless scythe of change should have Molitor in its crosshairs and he shouldn't be kept on. Torii Hunter for manager, Doug Meinkewitcz #2 choice, or just grab a talented AAA guy from outside the organization.

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There is still something in the water that isn't keeping up the pep. The minor league teams seem to be doing better than ever, although the pitching pipeline is being derailed bigtime with injuries and Rochester, once again, was a haven for minor league castoffs until late (look at the current pitching staff and its stats...some good stuff happening from a lot of non-name prospects).

 

If the Twins go forth with a youth punch, and there is little reason to NOT do so, they have three fabulous names that should be handling on-field duties in any number of ways at the major league level - Dougie Mientkiewicz, Tommy Watkins and Jake Mauer. They must be doing something right and if those three could be the manager, bench coach and one of the base coaches, you got the beginnings of another dynasty of on-field staff. Not sure what the Twins need for a pitching coach. But something isn't playing right in Kansas, eh...in Minneapolis right now.

 

And, yes, September should be a time for callups and those guys to play, if not a tad sooner, as there is more than enough depth in the Twins system right now to restock the 10-or-so bodies that should be up here come September 1st getting major league playing time. Can start earlier in August by eliminating those players that don't need to be on the 40-man in the off-season or even at spring training.

 

It will give you a bit better idea of what to go after with all that extra cash you got in player sales during the season and in salary dumps come August, not to mention solid ticket revenue.

 

Hoping the Twins bandwagon continues thru August and even though September might be slow, maybe some braintrust in the Twins marketing department will figure out something to put fans in the stands.

 

Hey, I have August promotions already: the first in a series of "going away parties" for certain players or on-field staff."

 

Don't worry about putting a competitive team on the field of play in pennant races. Right now, you are a team that needs to look at as many pieces of the future as possible and give those pieces a taste of the big leagues and see how hungry they are for major league salary and meal money!

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