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Twins Outright Missed Opportunities


Ted Schwerzler

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In my 2017 Minnesota Twins wish list I touched on the fact that I am looking forward to new President of Baseball Operations, Derek Falvey, coming in and cleaning up the 40 man roster. There is no shortage of players that can be moved on from, and the Twins must do so in order to turn the page on what was an abysmal 2016. Before he has even gotten into the building though, Minnesota began making moves.

 

Admittedly, I have no idea if the Twins were in touch with Falvey prior to outrighting five players this week. Tommy Milone, Andrew Albers, Pat Dean, James Beresford, and Jordan Schafer were all sent packing off of the 40 man. Whether Falvey was involved or not, it was all but certain none of them belonged. Milone wasn't going to be given arbitration, Albers and Schafer are veteran retreads, and both Beresford and Dean are nothing more than minor league depth pieces. You really shouldn't need anyone to sign off on moves like that.

 

As Falvey comes in though, the hope should be that those types of players don't continue to find their way to Minnesota. Now, to be fair, Tommy Milone really doesn't belong grouped in with that lot. He's a capable big league starter, and while he struggled at times for the Twins, there's little doubt that he can go fill out a big league rotation elsewhere. Terry Ryan acquiring him in returning Sam Fuld to the Oakland Athletics a couple of years ago was about as shrewd a move as it gets. Right now though, it was just time for both parties to go their separate ways.

 

If there's a problem with the five outrighted players though, it's that the represent opportunity. I'm a firm believer in the idea that if you aren't going to be good now, you should either be creative or have a plan for being good again in the immediate future. What players like Schafer, Albers, Dean and Beresford don't represent is creativity or future success.

 

It's hard to be too harsh on the Twins for giving a hat tip promotion to James Beresford. He was signed by the organization out of Australia and has toiled away in the minors for over 1,000 games and 10 seasons. He paid his dues, and on a 103 loss team, he found his time in the sun.

 

When quantifying what the four players not named Tommy Milone represent though, we come up with this:

  • 2 hitters (Beresford/Schafer) 36 G 98 plate appearances .233 AVG .597 OPS 5 XBH
  • 2 pitchers (Albers/Dean) 25 G 84.1 IP 11 starts 6.05 ERA

No matter how you cut it, that's a significant chunk of exposure. Now Dean throws off the numbers a little bit as he was called up as early as May, and made appearances in both June and August as well. Regardless, giving nearly 100 plate appearances, 11 starts, and 80+ innings pitched to four players that have no future benefit to the organization seems like a silly allocation of playing time.

 

If you remember correctly, it was Jose Berrios (the Twins top pitching prospect) who was repeatedly threatened (and was) sent down to the minors after poor outings. There was talk of him going to the bullpen following some late season starts, and he had to scratch and claw his way to finish the year with 14 starts. It wasn't an isolated incident however.

 

J.T. Chargois was passed over multiple times for a promotion in the middle of the year, and players like D.J. Baxendale, Jake Reed, Mitch Garver, and Adam Brett Walker (on the 40 man) were never given a shot at all. Each of the above names fits both the criteria of being creative, or contributing in future winning seasons, yet the Twins went with the lowest possible options across the board.

 

At some point, a bad team has to stop giving away time to players who've shown they aren't big leagues. Schafer is a 29 year old with a career .611 OPS in 318 games, Albers flopped in Korea and has been passed on by everyone not named Minnesota in the major leagues. It's moves like these that do little to help a franchise now or in the future.

 

Throughout the rest of the offseason, you can bet there will be more changes to the Twins 40 man roster. As players fall off, go unclaimed, and become free agents, Falvey must steer the Twins in the direction of meaningful talent at every corner. For a team that will rely upon its internal processes, they have to start practicing them at a much higher level.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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At the end of the season, it certainly felt like the team gave up on the future, and wanted to find players who wouldn't embarrass themselves on the mound, field, or batter's box. 

Who knows why that was the case. We could speculate that the MLB clubhouse was so toxic they didn't want to expose more young players to it. Perhaps they got so tired of young players failing that they didn't want to keep doing it. All of this is speculation, with no substance to back it up. 

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I had hope for Dean but he flopped so hard, I wish him luck but he was waste of a roster spot you're right we need to embrace the youth movement and give the spots to guys who could be real impact players one day i'm hoping Palka or Walker can make an appearance next season. 

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Your points in the article seem symptomatic of the Ryan Administration. Many moves of lower level talent, talent which would struggle but not totally implode. No six walks in 3 innings types. Maybe 4 poor innings where one could say, "gee, just that ONE pitch that was crushed, otherwise he only gave up 2 other runs"! Berrios, Meyer, and Chargois all had games where they imploded, early, and Ryan and Molitor can't seem to handle the learning curve. As for Beresford, I had no problem with his month in the sun. He earned it. Not with talent, but with perseverance and loyalty. Good orginisations know that it is necessary to reward that trait also. Playing Suzuki, Centeno, and Grossman at years end had much more to do with missed prospect evaluation than did Beresford.

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Besides Brian Dozier, no player in the Twins MLB or MiLB system has played in as many seasonal games as ABW II.  Brian Dozier has played in 95% of the Twins games over the last 4 seasons.  The next closest player (93%) over that span is ABW II.  He has served as the most durable player in the system not named Dozier.  He has led his team in games played in each of the last 4 seasons.  Regardless to promotions - No player has played in as many games over that span either.  Twins missed that rewarding opportunity for a player who obviously put in the work in the off season.  Plus his teams averaged 82  wins per season during that span having only played 140 games.  Agreed - Missed Opportunity.

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I for one will be so happy when ABW II gets his promo to the bigs next year.  I expect he will have stats similar to BHP, with a 40% K rate, a BA below the Mendoza line, and a few tape measure HRs.  Then he will know what to work on when he returns to Rochester.

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I for one will be so happy when ABW II gets his promo to the bigs next year.  I expect he will have stats similar to BHP, with a 40% K rate, a BA below the Mendoza line, and a few tape measure HRs.  Then he will know what to work on when he returns to Rochester.

 

Imagine if the Twins could've properly positioned him to have that information going into 2017 right?!

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While we celebrate the number 1 pick in the draft and down play minor league accomplishments - recognize that ABW II has an incredible winning percentage in his 5 minor league seasons of:

2012 - 66% Champion

2013 - 64% Best MiLB Record in Entire & MWL MVP

2014 - 59% Champion

2015 - 55% Champion

2015 - 60% AFL Champion

2016 - 56% Missed Playoffs despite 81 wins

 

When you talk about how ABW II can't win a championship by himself - Check to see how many championships Sano; Buxton; Polanco; Rosario, Berrios, Chargois,  Kepler, etc. have (the young guns)?  Kepler will be the only one with more than 1 championship.  

 

Before you tell me the downfalls of ABW II - Show me how to win and stop averaging a top 5 draft pick every year.  [Intangibles of an Anomaly]

Missed Opportunities

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Dean was a prospect depth piece that was given an opportunity and called up and was ok the first few starts then got shelled and at this point has earned his way either off the 40 man and back to AAA or off the roster all together.  We now know he is not much of a prospect.

 

Albers was depth piece all the way.  called up to be the extra player in a double header and threw 6 solid innings so when a need arrived he earned the call.  He is what he is a depth piece who i hope is back in AAA to be a 7th or 8th starter and down the road swingman.  there is a place for players like that.  he may be able to carve out some big league time over the next few years yet but his time is running out. 

 

Schafer was called up to be a back up OF and waste on the bench.  that is not the situation you want to put prospects into which is why Schafer got the call. 

 

Beresford deserved the token call.  He is a solid depth piece backup if one is needed while a player is on the 15 day DL.  I hope they keep him for next season in AAA should the need arise. 

 

There was a lack of talent on the roster but most of these call ups were not the reason.

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It is not who they called up, it is who they did not call up.  It is using suzuki at DH instead of a young player with potential.  It is starting mediocre vets instead of stretching out some young and future arms.  September for a loser like the Twins is about looking for the future, but what we saw was an attempt to not lose 104 games. We lost more than games, we lost opportunities.

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I for one will be so happy when ABW II gets his promo to the bigs next year.  I expect he will have stats similar to BHP, with a 40% K rate, a BA below the Mendoza line, and a few tape measure HRs.  Then he will know what to work on when he returns to Rochester.

It is likely the coaching staffs at all of his minor league stops, roving instructors, major league staff during spring training and maybe even the batboys have all told him to cut the strikeouts, make contact. A BB% usually near 9% shows he might understand the strike zone.

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It is likely the coaching staffs at all of his minor league stops, roving instructors, major league staff during spring training and maybe even the batboys have all told him to cut the strikeouts, make contact. A BB% usually near 9% shows he might understand the strike zone.

ABW had the same hitting instructor for the last 3 levels (Chad Allen). Chad is a hitting coach who has helped several guys, but maybe, just maybe,  Walker could benefit from a new voice to correct his flaws.  He has performed with a 20% K rate during a full season before.  It could be that simple?

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 All of this is speculation, with no substance to back it up. 

 

I wholeheartedly defend your right to speculate.

 

http://www.history.co.uk/sites/default/files/ancient-aliens-1.png

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Yes, the biggest complaint is giving at bats to Schafer instead of Walker, both on the 40-man (or Schafer was actually added). You can argue that the Twins should find places for the pitchers who MIGHT be added to the 40-man, or give a look to other pitchers of the same quality as Dean/Albers (they did add Wimmers for a looksee and have to make a keep or go decision on him). Wheeler was the one who could've gotten a look to see if he was worth even considering for the 40-man in the off-season, or just going after as minor league depth.

 

You could argue that instead of Beresford, the Twins should've elevated Goodrum, perhaps. Someone to consider keeping in the organization (they have, but he is still eligible for the Rule 5). But the Beresford reward was nice and he might stay with the team another season as minor league experience and depth, and speak highly of the Twins to fellow Australians.

 

My problem is guys like Landa, Rosario and Melotakis. They were still unlikely to appear with the Twins in 2016. Now they also appear unlikely to appear in 2017? Yet the Twins lost Zach Jones (who they got back) and kept Pat Dean, and added Andrew Albers. Sheesh. A lot of names that went nowhere fast. At what point do you fear losing that 3-year player who still has dues to pay before reaching true prospect status.

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The only benefit those types of guys offer is to keep some guys who should spend more time on the farm doing so.  This club does a great job of advancing guys thru the low minors in an orderly fashion.  But it seems that once they hit the high minors management starts reading the blogs and promotes too many of them too early.  If the presence of Dean and Albers kept Gonsalves from getting screwed up too soon at the big level I'm OK with that.

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