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The Ricky Shuffle, And Minnesota's Next Moves


Ted Schwerzler

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The day has come and gone, Tyler Duffey and Ricky Nolasco had their show down as spring training draws to a close, and the rotation has been all but set. With Nolasco not seeming a likely rotation option coming into the season, Duffey opened the door with his tough spring, and the veteran capitalized. Now with the rotation looking set, a few other dominoes will fall into place.

 

Despite getting a vote of confidence from manager Paul Molitor out of the gate, Duffey did the one thing he couldn't afford to do this spring, be mediocre. As a candidate for regression after a very solid final 9 starts in 2015, the former Rice closer needed to hold serve and the rotation spot was his. While he was looking to add a third pitch to his repertoire, a changeup, it was his command that alluded him most down in Florida.

 

Although Ricky Nolasco was far from a lights out option this spring, he took the door Duffey left cracked open, and kicked it in. Turning in multiple solid performances on the major league side, the man Minnesota owes $24 million over the next two years forced his way back into the team's plans. Now penciled in to be the club's fifth starter, we can begin to wonder what happens next.

 

First for Nolasco.

 

I looked at what needs to go right for the former Marlins ace back in February. He is signed on an over-extended contract given his track record in the lesser national league, and he's coming off two poor seasons for the Twins. First and foremost, he needs to be able to find his confidence once again. Falling behind hitters far too often in his tenure with the Twins, he's generally given the guy at the plate the advantage from the get go. From there, his breaking pitches need to return to what they once were. His curveball has looked sharp this spring, and his slider needs to again be an out pitch. If he can make those tweaks happen, Minnesota may get some use out of their big 2014 expense after all.

 

The dominoes behind Nolasco are the ones that seem almost more intriguing however. It has often been an uttered sentiment that the Twins best case scenario would be for a brief period of positivity causing teams around the big leagues to check in on Nolasco. In reality, he still has a significant chunk of change tied to his name, and Minnesota would have a tough time swallowing the majority of it. Nolasco going well wouldn't be all bad however.

 

Considering the shape of the AL Central starting rotations, the Twins would have to figure in no worse than third among the grouping. With a solid front three, the inclusion of Tommy Milone and Nolasco as 4th and 5th options is far from a bad thing. As the season gets underway, the back end of the rotation could then serve as somewhat of a revolving door for Molitor.

 

Despite being sent down, Duffey is going to resurface with the Twins at some point in 2016. My opinion would be that it's after the debut of Jose Berrios, who I believe is the first man up sometime in early may. Berrios got his feet wet this spring, and while he wasn't lights out, he was always going to be held back for service time reasons regardless.

 

Considering that injuries and shuffles will take place, there's little reason to bank and the starting five staying in tact for the duration of the season. What Nolasco has done in securing a rotation spot however, should be beneficial down the road to the Twins. In terms of Berrios, he presents a realistic roadblock for the immediate future, and in turn allows Duffey to hone in on his newly developing changeup.

 

Whether Berrios and/or Duffey are called upon due to necessity, or by pushing for their inclusion at the highest level, the Twins will have an extended evaluation period first. Both Milone and Nolasco should be capable of giving the Twins quality starts to open the season, and in grabbing a rotation spot, Nolasco helps to let the chips fall where they may.

 

For more from Off The Baggy, click here. Follow @tlschwerz

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To me the word competition would denote a contest between two persons, or entities. While these parties might not be of equal talent, the rules should be equitable. The operative word here is "should". If Duffey, Nolasco was a prize fight, Duffey as the challenger would not have to just be ahead on points, he would have had to beat Nolasco into the canvas. I don't think I have ever seen this much suspense over something that, short of injury, had no other obvious outcome. Throw in the fact that the Nolasco camp already raised a fuss over a BP slot, that moving Ricky to the pen meant likely losing Tonkin, and that 12M long relievers are pretty rare, and this was virtually preordained!

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More than anyone you know I didn't want Nolasco in the rotation. That said, Duffey was told the spot was his to lose and that's what he did. Sure he was trying to add a change up (which he needs) but he was generally ineffective and all over the zone with his go to stuff as well.

 

I don't like it, I would have rather included Duffey, but I get it.

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I totally disagree on Duffey vs Nolasco. It seemed obvious to me Molitor wanted Duffey in his rotation. He pretty much flat out stated it at the begining of ST, even offering up an escape for Duffey to have a rough patch or two with his comments regarding it taking something pretty unexpected (?) to lose his spot.

 

Unfortunately, the unexpected happened. Too much pressure to keep his spot after his outstanding job last season? Too much time working on his changeup? I sure hope he figures it out because, while now and the future he probably ranks behind Berrios, the pitcher we saw last season was very steady, occassionally great, and made a believer out of me.

 

Is it putting lipstick on a pig to hope and believe Nolasco's solid spring is for real, and that he will actually help our team win, and might even rebound in to actual trade value? Perhaps. But regardless of shade, that painted pig may finally be ready to dance and help us.

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By now it seems obvious that what the manager wants as far as roster decisions has little impact, probably on most clubs, but surely in MN. This was true during the Gardenhire era also. The monetary and contractural considerations override almost everything else. It's why, when Molitor tells Duffey it's his job to lose, and makes it clear he sees Sano in LF, those comments are messages to the FO, which seem to have little or no bearing on roster decisions. GM are not going to spend 12M a year on a pitcher, and let the manager turn him into a long reliever. A move like that is above Molly's pay grade!

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I get the Twins not wanting to eat a lot of the remaining salary if Nolasco is traded, but I would have to assume the fact that his replacement, either Berrios, Duffey, or Meyer, would be making minor-league money would soften the blow and provide incentive to shop him aggressively.

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