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Sixty-one Major League Free Agents are Unsigned and there are Four who can Help the Twins


Thrylos

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Twins Video

Originally published at The Tenth Inning Stretch

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While the Twins blogosphere, fan sites, and sportswriters are being focusing on the fact that Joe Mauer, has been having issues with his vision, which is totally expected after a concussion and should not be news, there are 61 major league free agents who are unsigned. This does not include the unsigned minor league free agents.

 

 

Here is a like of those sixty one free agents as of today, broken down alphabetically and loosely be position:

 

31 position players:

 

Pedro Alvarez 1B

Jeff Baker 1B

Corey Hart 1B

Casey McGehee 1B/3B

Justin Morneau 1B

Chris Parmelee 1B

 

Clint Barmes 2B/SS/3B

Willie Bloomquist SS

Alberto Callaspo 2B/3B

Luis Yander La O Camacho 2B

Ian Desmond SS (Declined Qualified Offer)

David Freese 3B

Jonathan Herrera 2B

Juan Uribe 3B

Rickie Weeks 2B/OF

 

Marlon Byrd LF/RF

David DeJesus LF

Chris Denorfia LF/RF

Dexter Fowler CF (Declined Qualified Offer)

Jeff Francoeur RF

Guillermo Heredia CF

Austin Jackson CF

Matt Joyce LF

David Murphy LF/RF

Ryan Raburn LF/RF

Alex Rios RF

Grady Sizemore LF/RF

Drew Stubbs CF

Will Venable LF/CF

Shane Victorino RF/LF

Delmon Young RF

 

30 pitchers:

 

Chad Billingsley RHSP

Yovani Gallardo RHSP (Declined Qualified Offer)

Jeremy Guthrie RHSP

Aaron Harang RHSP

Josh Johnson RHSP

Tim Lincecum RHSP

Kyle Lohse RHSP

Alfredo Simon RHSP

Randy Wolf RHSP

 

Mark Buehrle LHSP

Cliff Lee LHSP

Mike Minor LHSP

 

Burke Badenhop RHRP

Matt Belisle RHRP

Rafael Betancourt RHRP

Jason Frasor RHRP

Greg Holland RHRP

Casey Janssen RHRP

Justin Masterson RHRP

Joe Nathan RHRP

Bobby Parnell RHRP

Ryan Webb RHRP

 

Joe Beimel LHRP

Neal Cotts LHRP

Brian Duensing LHRP

Sean Marshall LHRP

Franklin Morales LHRP

Manny Parra LHRP

Eric Stults LHRP

Matt Thornton LHRP

 

 

There are several issues remaining with the Twins, primarily regarding their bullpen and outfield.

 

The outfield is a catch-22 issue, with the primary issue being that there are not enough good hitting players who can play Centerfield with an average plus defense (Byron Buxton, Ryan Sweeney and Joe Benson have all potential hitting issues, which they need to overcome), while the corners are overflown with out of options Oswaldo Arcia and recently converted Miguel Sano, who are not all stars with the glove, and Eddie Rosario, who can in a pitch play centerfield but is suited to a corner position better. Add Danny Santana, the out of options almost ordained fourth outfielder and you have a problem, better solved by some subtraction and not only an addition.

 

Austin Jackson, a 29 year old first time free agent with a career 11.8 UZR, 556 out of zone plays made, and 49 defensive runs saved in 7115 innings at CF. His .267/.311/.385 slash line between the Mariners and the Cubs in 2015 is not impressive by any means. For his career he has been the epitome of an average hitter hitting .273/.333/.399 (101 OPS plus). This is the exact player who could keep Centerfield warm for Byron Buxton for a season, and push Eddie Rosario to the corner where he belongs. This would require a. the Twins dealing Santana or Arcia (and since lack of LH power has been a problem against RHPs, Arcia should be a lock, unless they find an alternative) and b. Jackson accepting a single year contract much below the $7.7 million he made in 2015, filled with incentives, to get himself back in the market for 2017.

 

Bullpen is probably the biggest eyesore out there, with Terry Ryan pretty much keeping the pen intact and hoping that: a. declining 33 year old closer Gren Perkins, will start pitching like it is 2012 again or like the beginning of the last 3 seasons, b. 31 year old Kevin Jepsen will sustain his outlier 2 months with the Twins instead of turning into an average reliever who was who he was before coming to the Twins and c. Casey Fien might get it together and prove reliable beyond the mop-up duties he is suited to. Also, Trevor May, who might be the best pitcher mentioned, is a wild card along with several young promising pitchers invited to Spring Training as well as the potential rotation rejects. So the 2016 Twins' bullpen is build on a prayer, hope and luck, so far and that is not how the bullpens of contenders should be build. Fortunately there are a couple of player who can help the Twins' pen in 2016 and beyond:

 

Most of the free agent field, and especially at LHRP, which is a position that the Twins need the most help, is filled by players who have many things to prove in 2016 and for the most part is getting older or overcoming injuries. I would love it if the Twins bring back Brian Duensing, at least to see whether he can beat two of Ryan O'Rourke, Taylor Rogers, Fernando Abad or Mason Melotakis for a spot on the pen this spring. He has the skills, is a great member of the community and that decision will be a no-brainer to me. If the Twins can sign Aaron Thompson who has half the talent, no ties to the organization and the community and was suspended for drug use, they can sign Brian Duensing. Period.

 

Justin Masterson, a 30 year old former top prospect who had a few good years in the Indians rotation, is very intriguing. Signing an one year $9.5M contract with the Red Sox in 2015, he fell flat. He started 9 games with 44 innings pitched, 21 walks and 32 strikeouts for a 6.14 ERA and 1.682 WHIP, pushing himself to the bullpen. His once 93 mph fastball, averaged 87.5 and his once 83 mph slider, averaged 82.3. And he is the poster-boy of the two pitch starter who cannot stay a starter when those pitches decline, because hitters will avoid the slider and seat on the non-so fast fastball. There is a gamble here but there are encouraging signs: After the move to the bullpen, his fastball that bottomed out to a 87 mph average in June, reached a 90.7 mph average in September. The slider that was at 78.6 in June, rebounded to 80.6 in September. Still about 2 mph slower than his career peak when he was missing bats and inducing soft grounders, as a reliever in 15.3 innings in 2015 he walked 6 and struck out 17 (10 K/9 , 25.4 K%), with a 4.11 ERA (5.42 FIP, 4.22 xFIP) and 1.37 WHIP (.324 BABIP), inducing 1.5 GB/FB. His FIP is inflated by a ridiculous 21.4% HR/FB. Given that and the BABIP-driven WHIP, in contrast to his strikeouts and groundball, and with the increased speed it is a good bet that Masterson can be a reliable reliever in 2016; at least a lot more reliable that, let's say Casey Fien, and potentially Kevin Jepsen from the right side. Masterson, like Jackson, would have all the incentives in the world to sign a make good one year contract with potential mutual options.

 

Which brings us to the last player, who will likely not help the Twins in 2016, but this should be a longer term singing, at the 3-year mark with lots of incentives and back loaded: Greg Holland. The 30 year old Holland was the closer in the best bullpen in the majors in 2014 and until his injury in 2015; underwent UCL replacement (Tommy John) surgery on October 2, 2015. There is a slight chance that he could pitch in September and October in 2016, helping a team in the postseason, but this signing is for 2017 and 2018. Why sign now? Because you have to take the risk and jump ahead in the line, which will be long once he recovers and starts pitching. A 3 year contract loaded with incentives is a better deal that the one the Twins gave Nick Blackburn not to pitch.

 

So there are still opportunities out there to close some of the Twins' holes this season, and they better start getting advantage of them, since there are a couple of handful of dates before pitchers and catchers report.

 

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I'd have no problem with Duensing, Morales. Cotts, Parra, Thornton... They're all pretty much the same. Solid vets... but again, Twins need to decide whether their experience is better than the upside of the likes of Rogers, Melotakis (in a couple of months), etc. 

 

Austin Jackson would be fine, but they'd have to pay him enough to be a starter, and he shouldn't, unless Buxton is sent down, but again, we want Buxton up soon. Jackson wouldn't want to come here, as much as we would probably love to see him. I think a Drew Stubbs would be more realistic. Stopgap in CF. Like Benson, a very good defensive centerfielder... he just strikes out a lot. 

 

I'd be fine with the Greg Holland type of signing, but again, I don't think it makes a ton of sense. By the time he gets healthy, he'll be 31-32 and a question mark. Hopefully enough questions will get answered in the Twins bullpen this season. 

 

This is a good list, to see all the names like that... 

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I'd have no problem with Duensing, Morales. Cotts, Parra, Thornton... They're all pretty much the same. Solid vets... but again, Twins need to decide whether their experience is better than the upside of the likes of Rogers, Melotakis (in a couple of months), etc. 

 

Austin Jackson would be fine, but they'd have to pay him enough to be a starter, and he shouldn't, unless Buxton is sent down, but again, we want Buxton up soon. Jackson wouldn't want to come here, as much as we would probably love to see him. I think a Drew Stubbs would be more realistic. Stopgap in CF. Like Benson, a very good defensive centerfielder... he just strikes out a lot. 

 

I'd be fine with the Greg Holland type of signing, but again, I don't think it makes a ton of sense. By the time he gets healthy, he'll be 31-32 and a question mark. Hopefully enough questions will get answered in the Twins bullpen this season. 

 

This is a good list, to see all the names like that... 

 

I kind of agree with the above, if it were 2012, 2013 or 2014.  Now the Twins are contenders and should be acting like it.   Contender mentality teams will not start the season like the Twins will in the bullpen, hoping and praying.  They would get 2-3 end of the bullpen arms, and if the kids developed, that's a great problem to have because they can use them to instead of the Fiens and Tonkins and O'Rourke's.  

 

That's how contenders think.  But I seriously question Ryan's ability to build one or to go the extra step that needs to be taken.  He has never done it.  Smith has.  If you compare what the Twins did during the deadline last season vs to what the Mets did, you'd know what I am talking about...

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The team is better and deeper with Jackson. Masterson and Duensng may help as long as they are willing to cut ties if they don't pitch well. That same statement should be made with Nolasco and Fien in mind. I would pass on Stubbs. Jackson is worth the difference in salary.

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I see quite a few names that the Twins have tire kicked in the past, or who are actually former Twins. Beimel, Parmelee, Lohse, Delmon Young besides the obvious). 

 

Any other time but now, it would've been nice to return Justin Morneau, but the DH is overcrowded and we have another player with concussion issues already at first. Sign.

 

It will be interesting to see the contract of most of these 60, as at least 50 of them aren't set to hang up their spikes, yet. But are there two rosters spots remaining on all major league rosters, elt alone AAA rosters?

 

 

 

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It will be interesting to see the contract of most of these 60, as at least 50 of them aren't set to hang up their spikes, yet. But are there two rosters spots remaining on all major league rosters, elt alone AAA rosters?

 

AAA and AA DLs work wonders for those matters.   And every season after Spring Training teams clear a good 5-10 players...

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I would think that the prices on these signings would have to be low. It would be a good time to be aggressive. I really like the Holland idea. He probably would not help until next year but would probably require a small guarantee for this year.

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Taking CF for example. On this team, at this time Buxton should start there, and stay there. It's time. If you sign Jackson, and he has a "decent" start, he will be here in August unless injured. Ryan does not dump first year FA who can still walk. I am ready to move past decent fill ins, and see if we have some "good" young players to build on. Fill in FA tend to become permanent in Twins Territory!

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Taking CF for example. On this team, at this time Buxton should start there, and stay there. It's time. If you sign Jackson, and he has a "decent" start, he will be here in August unless injured. Ryan does not dump first year FA who can still walk. I am ready to move past decent fill ins, and see if we have some "good" young players to build on. Fill in FA tend to become permanent in Twins Territory!

 

This implies that Buxton can hit MLB pitching.  If Buxton is ready, this is a good problem to have, which means that Rosario instead of Santana will be the 4th outfielder.

 

This is a contending team and better start behaving like one.  MLB is not the proving ground for Rookies in contenders...

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I still keep thinking someone is going to pick up Morneau for a song. His odds of having a good year are being underestimated.

 

September 2015 slash line: .338/.423/.471  (.894)

He only had 78 PA in September, but that's not nothin'.

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Twins are not contenders in 2016, unless they prove they are on the field.

 

I would not make any of these moves now.

 

Wait until the season is two months in, see what you got, try some of the kids in MiLB, especially in the bullpen, add, subtract, deal with injuries and positional depth.

 

Make any changes in June or July.

 

Yeah, I know, maybe June or July the Twins are out of it.  But, you know what, if that's true, they were never contenders to begin with.

 

In MLB, you don't win on paper, or in projections, or in theory.  You win it on grass.  And when you sense you have a chance, you build in what you need through trades.

 

 

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Twins are not contenders in 2016, unless they prove they are on the field.

 

I would not make any of these moves now.

 

Wait until the season is two months in, see what you got, try some of the kids in MiLB, especially in the bullpen, add, subtract, deal with injuries and positional depth.

 

Make any changes in June or July.

 

Yeah, I know, maybe June or July the Twins are out of it.  But, you know what, if that's true, they were never contenders to begin with.

 

In MLB, you don't win on paper, or in projections, or in theory.  You win it on grass.  And when you sense you have a chance, you build in what you need through trades.

 

In 2015 the Twins were contenders.  The 2016 team is pretty much the same, so there should be contenders...

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I absolutely love the idea of signing Holland now. Yes, it's a risk, but I think you get it in now, pay some for this season on a payroll that can better tolerate it, with a chance for a nice reward in the future. Like Nike, the Twins should JUST DO IT!

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