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2014 Post-mortem--Oswaldo Arcia


stringer bell

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Oswaldo Arcia finished 2014 playing in 103 games, mostly due to a wrist injury suffered early in the season. His statistics are similar to his rookie season in 2013. Arcia pounded 20 homers, but struck out 127 times in just 410 plate appearances. Arcia also hit .231 with a .300 OBP. The power is undeniable, but the combination of the large number of no-chance at-bats and below average defense has made Arcia less than a productive player.

 

Arcia has been in the Twins' system for seven years. In his minor league career, Oswaldo had an OBP of .376 and a batting average of .314. His top home run season was 17 in 124 games, but home run power seems to be his primary asset as a major leaguer. I submit that his batting percentage and OBP have been a disappointment. He seems to be very fond of hitting long home runs at the expense of being a total hitter. Much has been made of a mechanical flaw but the problem is exacerbated by trying to hit the ball 500 feet. Oswaldo is going to hit home runs if he gets at-bats. He needs to be a more well-rounded hitter to get regular at-bats, not Adam Dunn minus the walks. Arcia hit below the Mendoza line against left handed pitching, with a .574 OPS. The Twins used 2014 as a training/learning experience for him, despite his paltry numbers. If he continues to struggle against southpaws, it wouldn't surprise me that the new manager will limit his at-bats against lefties.

 

This year Arcia played exclusively in right field. He made more good plays and displayed a strong arm. That is the good news. He continued to make some bad misplays and missed cutoff men and threw to the wrong base far too often. I continue to see enough for Arcia to be an average or better defender, but he has to focus and work on his defense as hard as he works on his swing.

 

Arcia has shown enough to have earned a lot of rope before he would be benched, platooned or demoted. He needs to make progress both at the plate and in the field to guarantee continued regular playing time in 2015 and beyond. I think he needs to have a much better two-strike plan. He is still only 23. Barring injury, Oswaldo Arcia will start 2015 as the Twins regular right fielder and will still be 23 years old. He is still a very raw player, often doing amazing and stupefying things in the same game. He has shown the ability to be an All-Star hitter in the middle of a contending lineup and then turned around and looked like an 18-year-old in he Rookie League. 2015 should be a big season for Arcia. If he progresses, he'll probably be a cornerstone of a fast-improving franchise. If he stagnates, Twins fans will move on to someone else to be their power-hitting right fielder (Adam Brett Walker anyone?).

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I was excited to have Arcia play a year ago but the more I've watched him, the more I question his high regard on this website. The Twins sorely need good outfield defense to support their type of swing-and-hit pitchers but continually put the likes of Delmon Young, Jason Kubel, Josh Willingham, Chris Parmelee and this guy out there. Putting aside his .230 bating average and those beer-league softball swings that end up in K's every third at-bat, I've seen enough of his outfield gaffes to easily say bye-bye to his 20 long balls in favor of somebody with potentially less power but a more solid all- around game. - especially if that person can do it without the silly Sammy Sosa posturing.

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An opposite viewpoint, and echoing some of Stringer's points, I've actually seen improvement from Arcia in the defensive area. Perhaps it's my imagination, but I thought his defense showed better the last month or two, which is also when he seemed to come more alive with the bat. Coincidence? Maybe. At 23, and loaded with talent and ability, I still find myself encouraged with his future. The last couple of months add to this.

 

I really don't want to go the ethnic route, but there has always been a bit of an accepted generalization that Latino players tend to be more free swinging and less disciplined in their approach at the plate. Now, I don't know how realistic this generalization really is, but it's been out there. Whether or not it's true, or to what degree if it is, I still believe a Latin coach, or two, on the next coaching staff would do a lot to just assist in the communication of teaching for a large majority of the young players arriving in the system.

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I don't care if Arcia ever becomes even a league average defender. His bat is the reason he is in the show, and it's his bat that will keep him in RF, not his defense. If he can be Willingham-esque, and just avoid Delmon level defense, I'm happy.

 

He's still so damn young. I look forward to his progress as he continues to get MLB at bats. He can crush baseballs. He owns the flag poles in RF.

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