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2014 Post-mortem--Trevor Plouffe


stringer bell

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The Twins 2014 season is over. It is hot stove league time, at least as far as my favorite team is concerned. Much virtual ink has been spilled discussing perhaps as many as a dozen key players. I thought I would blog about some of these guys and perhaps start a conversation. I will start with 2014 3rd Baseman Trevor Plouffe.

 

Plouffe went into 2014 considered the "luckiest man alive" because top prospect and Plouffe's eventual successor Miguel Sano got injured early in Spring Training and was ruled out for the bulk of the season (actually the entire season). Plouffe came to camp looking strong and had a decent spring. He started out the regular season strongly as well. Trevor hit .307 in the month of April with a robust .892 OPS.

 

Plouffe had his ups and downs during the season and hit the disabled list in mid-June. He played almost every day until he broke his forearm during the last home game of the season. He finished with a .258 batting average and .751 OPS setting personal bests for almost all offensive stats except home runs. Plouffe also had a positive defensive rating for the first time.

 

One word summarized Plouffe's season--improved--every facet of his game seemed to pick up a notch. He walked slightly more, struck out slightly less, hit better with runners on base and set a team record for doubles by a third baseman. As noted earlier, Trevor made large strides in playing third base. He seemed more focused, better positioned, and seems to have mastered the barehanded pickup and throw.

 

Plouffe has a reputation as a lefty masher and indeed he's always hit left handers better then righties, but this year he improved markedly against right handed pitching, recording an OPS of .738 against same-handed hurlers. Off the score sheet, there seems to be improved focus, a better approach when hitting and certainly more maturity in dealing with the ups and downs of a long major league season playing for a 70 win team. He seems to be one of the leaders of the team, quite a change from when he was first promoted in 2010.

 

Plouffe's future remains cloudy despite his very good season. Sano should be back next year hitting home runs in the upper minors. He most likely will get recalled sometime during the season and would figure to displace Plouffe. I have always thought that Plouffe could move to another position and one outfield slot seems to be open. However, his strong season and relatively low salary (he'll be in his second year of arbitration eligibility) would seem to make Plouffe desirable to some teams.

 

I think Trevor stays with the Twins this offseason. Sano remains a prospect and perhaps not a sure thing. Plouffe's RH bat is pretty valuable. If Sano does move up pretty early, it is quite possible that he will have to change positions. I think he could be a capable corner outfielder, although he probably would be pretty rough at first. My sense is that Plouffe is not done improving and that the best is yet to come for him. However, there is a distinct possibility that Trevor's best might come in another uniform.

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Plouffe has been talked about as a potential super utility guy after Sano gets here or as a trading chip, but after watching him this year I'm not so sure that's the direction I would go.  With the outfield looking suspect and Plouffe's major improvement as a 3rd Baseman, I started thinking that it might not be so stupid to look at Sano in left.  Many thought Sano might have to be moved to a corner OF, so why not consider it.  Being able to have both of their bats in the lineup long term, might make a lot of sense.

 

How about a lineup that looks like this - Santana SS, Buxton CF, Mauer 1B, Sano LF, Vargas DH, Arcia RF, Plouffe 3B, Suzuki/Pinto C, Dozier 2B

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Nice write up Stringer.

 

I'd like to think Plouffe made a bit of statement this season with his play this season, and if Sano is going to take it from him next season or 2016, he will have to earn it.

 

Sure Plouffe's stats don't blow you away, but he was one of our offensive spark plugs and played with a urgency/intensity that was impressive. It was great to see his defensive improvement, and offensively he did pretty well, especially considering the down turn in offensive statistics the last few years.

 

I certainly do not hope the Twins trade Plouffe this offseason as I feel confident that would hurt this team a helping handful next season. But, if you can get something super substantial, I guess you have to listen, and maybe pull the trigger.

 

As for the super utility role, I am very skeptical. Yes, he can play SS in a pinch and he must have played some 2B in the last 4 years at the MLB level. I think it fair to say if Plouffe can play a corner OF position, so can Mauer. That is not fair, although I wish it were the case for both players.

 

Maybe Plouffe is a better 3B now than Sano will ever be, maybe he is not - who knows? I have to agree with Scotty B's above post - Sano might be best suited for the outfield - not that I am down on Sano or that I don't think he can improve at the hot corner, I just don't want to see the Twins screw with a piece of the puzzle that does not need to be screwed with right now.

 

I do not think Sano will be a contributing factor next season.

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Sano still has a lot to prove before being given the keys to the Twins starting 3B job. His defensive skills have always been suspect, and while his bat will likely play at MLB, let's make sure he comes back healthy and find his stroke again before we get too excited.

 

Plouffe did exactly what he needed to do to come back in 2015. Sano will be there, but he'll have to make a hugh splash if he wants to take Plouffe's job anytime before the ASG.

 

Plouffe is a nice young player. I suspect he'll have a considerably better than swag master Danny Valencia, who also had some big platoon splitz.

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To Bark's point about doing well in an offensive downtown--Plouffe had an OPS+ of 106 in his breakout home run year when he had an OPS of .756.  This year's .751 netted an OPS+ of 110 despite being lower than his 2012 OPS number.

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I believe Sano is about as close as you can get to being a sure thing. The overall talent is about as undeniable as you can get. That being said, there are a couple tempers to be considered.

 

Defensively, Sano has shown vast improvement with his glove, footwork and positioning. He also has a rocket for an arm. Remember, he's actually a former SS. That being said, the reactions at 3B are different. He's not a pitcher, the rehab of his strong arm is very different than for a pitcher. However, 3B defense, quality ML defense takes time. Gaetti took time. Koskie took time. Plouffe has taken time. Just realize that when Sano arrives, there could be an initial dip in defensive play at the hot corner, but it shouldn't be unexpected.

 

Plouffe has developed in to a valuable player. And he'll own 3B to begin 2015. I don't know if he will stick there, or move to the OF, become a valuable and versatile utility player, or become a quality trade option. But he's really nice to have. Glad we have him. And it's a nice problem to have!

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