umyeahsure

By this definition there is never a reach. It would be impossible to say every other team would pass on a player. There would be no way to verify it. Obviously this is a subjective art, not a science. However, if someone consistently picks players that are rated far below the projected range, and they don't turn into MLB players, that person will lose their job. Of course there are a lot of exceptions, it is a general principle. Does Soroka prove that there is never a reach? Sometimes scouts have a unique take on a player and they are right, sometimes they are wrong. To suggest that a subjective rating obviates the objective industry estimate of draft slot is not persuasive to me. Of course, this is just my opinion :-)

Part of the problem with taking a player with very little track record is magnifying the importance of one performance. This can lead to bad picks. Now, maybe Dunn turns out to be a stud- if we draft him i hope he does. But it seems like a reach. MLB draft is a lot different then the NFL draft, teams fall in love with a players that seem to be reaches. It's been a contested issue on this forum- Twins drafting relievers and thinking they will be starters. Of course BC started the transition for us. Draft him and if they don't want to sign- how much money does Boras get? The Twins still get a comp pick.

I agree with old nurse. I assume new rules would apply to future drafts. Speaking of comp picks. Looks like Kyle Cody lost some money. And as a senior he will have little leverage. Ouch. If Braxton Garrett is available at 15, I hope they draft him.

Wow, Dunn would be like a replay of last year. I was not a huge fan of picking Jay. He's a former closer, like Jay. I would prefer a high ceiling high school arm, or maybe Hudson drops to us. The Twins lovercollege closers though....